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Iannn
Iannn
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2023-03-12
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68% of Warren Buffett's $334 Billion Portfolio Is Invested in Only 4 Stocks
Portfolio concentration has played a sizable role in Buffett's vast outperformance of the S&P 500.
68% of Warren Buffett's $334 Billion Portfolio Is Invested in Only 4 Stocks
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Iannn
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2023-03-04
Bearish. Beware
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Iannn
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2023-02-25
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Further Fed Hikes Expected After Data Dashes "Disinflation" Hopes
Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to push interest rates higher and keep them ele
Further Fed Hikes Expected After Data Dashes "Disinflation" Hopes
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Iannn
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2022-12-16
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
bull trap
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Iannn
Iannn
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2022-09-30
Be careful
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Iannn
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2022-09-25
$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$
More drop to come
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Iannn
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2022-09-25
Ok
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Iannn
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2022-09-25
$Apple(AAPL)$
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Iannn
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2022-09-18
$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$
Buying more before it rises next week
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Iannn
Iannn
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2022-09-18
$PING AN(02318)$
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.h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n68% of Warren Buffett's $334 Billion Portfolio Is Invested in Only 4 Stocks\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-12 07:43 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/10/68-warren-buffett-portfolio-invested-only-4-stocks/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you've ever wondered why investors pay so much attention to what Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A -2.33%) (BRK.B -2.10%) CEO Warren Buffett is buying and selling, I can offer nearly 3.8 million reasons....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/10/68-warren-buffett-portfolio-invested-only-4-stocks/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"IE00BJTD4V19.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LONG SHORT EQUITY \"A1\" (USD) ACC","BK4579":"人工智能","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A(dist)","BK4588":"碎股","BK4507":"流媒体概念","LU1571399168.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"IP\" (USD) ACC","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0985489474.SGD":"First Eagle Amundi International AHS-C SGD-H","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","IE00BLSP4452.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Tactical Dividend Income A Mdis SGD-H 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SGD-H","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2023/03/10/68-warren-buffett-portfolio-invested-only-4-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2318205468","content_text":"If you've ever wondered why investors pay so much attention to what Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A -2.33%) (BRK.B -2.10%) CEO Warren Buffett is buying and selling, I can offer nearly 3.8 million reasons.Since the Oracle of Omaha took over the role of CEO in 1965, he's created more than $680 billion in value for his company's shareholders (himself included) and delivered an aggregate return on Berkshire's Class A shares (BRK.A) of 3,787,464%. That's 153 times better than the 24,708% total return, including dividends paid, for the widely followed S&P 500 over the same stretch.Investors are constantly dissecting Buffett's strategy with the hope of replicating even a fraction of his outperformance. While many of Buffett's investing traits are well known and credited for his success, such as buying for the long haul and gravitating to dividend stocks, it's his penchant for portfolio concentration that's really paid off.Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett. Image source: The Motley Fool.With the belief that diversification is only necessary if you don't know what you're doing, Warren Buffett has put a whopping 68% of Berkshire Hathaway's $334 billion investment portfolio to work in only four stocks.Apple: $138.3 billion (41.4% of invested assets)In the Oracle of Omaha's letter to shareholders published last year, he referred to tech stock Apple (AAPL -1.49%) as one of Berkshire Hathaway's \"four giants.\" Given that this position comprises more than 41% of Berkshire's invested assets, calling it a \"giant\" is a fair assessment.Although Apple's supercharged growth days are now in the past, it continues to be a cash-flow juggernaut driven by innovation. For more than a decade, Apple's physical products have endeared consumers to its brand. Since launching a 5G-capable iPhone during the fourth quarter of 2020, it's been able to command around half of U.S. smartphone market share.Sales of Mac personal computers (PCs) have been climbing, too. After consistently accounting for between 11% and 13% of global PC shipment share for the past nine years, Mac PC shipments jumped to a greater than 17% worldwide share in late 2022.Warren Buffett and his investment team also appreciate Apple's management team. CEO Tim Cook is spearheading an ongoing transformation that's emphasizing subscription services. Subscriptions tend to have high margins and can play a key role in minimizing revenue fluctuations when Apple is upgrading one or more of its physical products.But it's Apple's capital-return program that really gains praise from Buffett. Apple has repurchased in excess of $550 billion of its shares over the past decade and is doling out of the largest nominal-dollar dividends in the world.Bank of America: $35.3 billion (10.6% of invested assets)There's no sector Buffett enjoys putting Berkshire Hathaway's money to work in more than financials. At the moment, no bank stock is more beloved than Bank of America (BAC -6.20%). Aside from Apple, it's the only other stock to account for a double-digit percentage of Berkshire's invested assets.The attraction to bank stocks is that they're natural moneymakers -- as long as you're patient. Even though banks are cyclical and recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, banks are able to grow their loans and deposits over time and take advantage of the natural expansion of the U.S. economy.Bank of America's secret sauce is its interest rate sensitivity. With the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at the fastest pace in four decades, no large bank is seeing a larger benefit than BofA. These rate hikes are adding billions of dollars in net interest income each quarter -- and the nation's central bank isn't done hiking rates.Despite its seemingly stodgy disposition, Bank of America is also improving its operating efficiency through investments in digitization. Nearly half of its total sales were completed online or via mobile app during the fourth quarter. As more people shift to online/mobile banking, BofA will have the option of consolidating some of its physical branches and reducing its operating expenses.What's more, bank stocks tend to handsomely reward their shareholders during economic expansions. It's not abnormal for BofA to return $20 billion per year (or perhaps far more) via dividends and share buybacks.Image source: Getty Images.Chevron: $27.6 billion (8.3% of invested assets)Though energy stock Chevron (CVX -1.52%) is one of the newer additions to Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio (held since the fourth quarter of 2020), it wasted no time becoming one of Buffett's largest holdings.The likeliest reason Buffett and his investing lieutenants, Ted Weschler and Todd Combs, piled into Chevron is the belief that oil prices would remain elevated for years to come. While a lot of attention has been paid to Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the supply issues this invasion creates for Europe, COVID-19 is a far bigger catalyst.Three years of demand uncertainty tied to COVID-19 caused oil and gas companies to pare back their capital expenditures. As a result, crude oil supply is expected to be constrained for years to come. Supply and-demand economics suggests this will provide a lift to the spot price of oil.Though Chevron brings in its juiciest margins from drilling, the Oracle of Omaha can appreciate that it's an integrated operator. Chevron owns transmission pipelines, refineries, and chemical plants, which help it generate predictable cash flow, as well as partially hedge against lower crude oil prices.Among global energy majors, Chevron is also arguably the top dog when it comes to balance sheet health. Substantially higher energy commodity prices allowed Chevron to reduce its net debt in 2022 from $25.7 billion to $5.4 billion.And big oil is known for its sizable capital-return programs. Chevron has increased its base annual dividend for 36 consecutive years, and its board recently authorized an up to $75 billion share repurchase program.American Express: $27.2 billion (8.1% of invested assets)The fourth stock that, with Apple, BofA, and Chevron, collectively accounts for 68% of Berkshire Hathaway's $334 billion of invested assets is credit-services provider American Express (AXP -1.55%). AmEx is Buffett's second longest-held stock -- 30 years, and counting.The macro thesis that guides Buffett's love of bank stocks pertains to American Express as well. Even though AmEx is susceptible to weakness during recessions, long-winded periods of expansion allow it to grow in lockstep with the U.S. and global economy.But it's American Express's ability to double-dip that can really supercharge its growth prospects during bull markets. In addition to being one of the largest payment processors in the U.S., AmEx is also a lender. This allows it to collect fees from merchants, as well as annual fees/interest income from its cardholders.The downside to playing both sides of the fence is that, as noted, AmEx is exposed to weakness during recessions. However, American Express's target client tends to play a key role in helping it navigate turbulent waters. Specifically, AmEx does a fantastic job of courting high earners and high-net-worth individuals.High earners are less likely than the typical consumer to adjust their spending habits or fail to pay their bill when the U.S. or global economy falters. In other words, American Express can bounce back quicker than a lot of lenders from a bumpy economic outlook.Lastly, AmEx has a rock-solid capital-return program. Given Berkshire Hathaway's exceptionally low cost basis of $8.49 per share of AmEx, the $0.60 quarterly dividend American Express will soon be paying out equates to a better than 28% yield on cost.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.B":0.9,"BRK.A":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940290038,"gmtCreate":1677913796125,"gmtModify":1677913799600,"author":{"id":"3582079632440924","authorId":"3582079632440924","name":"Iannn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3cafaa5e809ec83a52654c87982f675","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582079632440924","authorIdStr":"3582079632440924"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bearish. Beware","listText":"Bearish. Beware","text":"Bearish. Beware","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940290038","repostId":"1188147335","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9957254856,"gmtCreate":1677319614576,"gmtModify":1677319618135,"author":{"id":"3582079632440924","authorId":"3582079632440924","name":"Iannn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3cafaa5e809ec83a52654c87982f675","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582079632440924","authorIdStr":"3582079632440924"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9957254856","repostId":"2314343613","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2314343613","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1677280410,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2314343613?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-25 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Further Fed Hikes Expected After Data Dashes \"Disinflation\" Hopes","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2314343613","media":"Reuters","summary":"Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to push interest rates higher and keep them ele","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to push interest rates higher and keep them elevated longer than previously projected rose on Friday after data showed a key inflation gauge accelerated last month.</p><p>Even so, Fed policymakers speaking on Friday did not push for a return to the kind of aggressive action that marked last year's interest-rate hikes, suggesting that for now central bankers are content to stick to a gradual tightening path despite signs that inflation is not cooling as they had hoped.</p><p>The Commerce Department reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the metric by which the Fed measures its 2% inflation target, rose 5.4% last month from a year earlier, a pickup from an upwardly revised 5.3% annual pace in December.</p><p>Underlying "core" inflation climbed a faster-than-expected 4.7% from a year earlier, compared to December's upwardly revised 4.6% pace.</p><p>The report "is another indication that the impulse of inflation and price pressures is still with us," Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Reuters on the sidelines of a conference in New York. "It's going to take more effort on the part of the Fed to get inflation on that sustainable downward path to 2%."</p><p>Even so, Mester -- who had wanted a half-point hike at the Fed's last meeting -- said she could not yet say if she would support such a large hike at the Fed's upcoming meeting.</p><p>She is among the minority of Fed policymakers who in December thought they would need to lift the policy rate to 5.4% to stop inflation, while most believed 5.1% would suffice. Earlier on Friday she said she had not revised her view.</p><p>Similarly, none of the other Fed policymakers who spoke on Friday, including the normally hawkish Governor Christopher Waller and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, focused on the fresh inflation data to argue for a more muscular Fed response. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said more rate hikes will be needed, but did not specify a particular stopping point.</p><p>Implied yields on federal funds futures contracts rose on Friday as traders firmed up expectations for at least three more rate hikes through June, a path that would push the U.S. central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate to the 5.25%-5.50% range, from the current 4.50%-4.75% range.</p><p>Pricing also now puts about a 40% chance of an even higher stopping point for that rate, up from about 30% prior to the release of the PCE data.</p><p>And traders largely erased what had been consistent bets on Fed rate cuts toward the end of the year, pricing in a year-end Fed policy rate of 5.26%.</p><p>"There are inflationary pressures in the economy, the level of inflation is still too high, and it's going to take more on the monetary policy side to get inflation down, Mester said.</p><p>Economic data in recent weeks has generally come in stronger than expected, with job growth still robust and wage gains exceeding what Fed Governor Phillip Jefferson said on Friday was consistent with a timely return to 2% inflation.</p><p>Revisions to data from prior months in Friday's Commerce Department report showed inflation did not cool in November and December as much as had been thought, and spending in January rose more than expected even as the savings rate increased.</p><p>All told, the economic readings may throw doubt on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's assessment this month that the "disinflationary process" had begun, a view that seemed to justify the central bank's decision at its Jan. 31-Feb. 1 policy meeting to deliver a quarter-percentage-point rate increase after a string of bigger hikes in 2022.</p><p>"If the Fed had this data at the last meeting, they probably would've raised by 50 (basis points) and the tone from the press conference would've been a lot different," said Gene Goldman, chief investment officer at Cetera Investment Management.</p><p>Goldman said he expects the next round of Fed projections, to be published in March, to signal rates will rise father and stay there longer than previously thought.</p><p>"It looks like the Fed will have to be more aggressive," said Yelena Shulyatyeva, an economist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNPQF\">BNP Paribas</a>. "They will probably overdo it, in our view, and that will eventually lead to a recession; the question is more like when, not whether, it will be a recession."</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Further Fed Hikes Expected After Data Dashes \"Disinflation\" Hopes</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFurther Fed Hikes Expected After Data Dashes \"Disinflation\" Hopes\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-02-25 07:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to push interest rates higher and keep them elevated longer than previously projected rose on Friday after data showed a key inflation gauge accelerated last month.</p><p>Even so, Fed policymakers speaking on Friday did not push for a return to the kind of aggressive action that marked last year's interest-rate hikes, suggesting that for now central bankers are content to stick to a gradual tightening path despite signs that inflation is not cooling as they had hoped.</p><p>The Commerce Department reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the metric by which the Fed measures its 2% inflation target, rose 5.4% last month from a year earlier, a pickup from an upwardly revised 5.3% annual pace in December.</p><p>Underlying "core" inflation climbed a faster-than-expected 4.7% from a year earlier, compared to December's upwardly revised 4.6% pace.</p><p>The report "is another indication that the impulse of inflation and price pressures is still with us," Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Reuters on the sidelines of a conference in New York. "It's going to take more effort on the part of the Fed to get inflation on that sustainable downward path to 2%."</p><p>Even so, Mester -- who had wanted a half-point hike at the Fed's last meeting -- said she could not yet say if she would support such a large hike at the Fed's upcoming meeting.</p><p>She is among the minority of Fed policymakers who in December thought they would need to lift the policy rate to 5.4% to stop inflation, while most believed 5.1% would suffice. Earlier on Friday she said she had not revised her view.</p><p>Similarly, none of the other Fed policymakers who spoke on Friday, including the normally hawkish Governor Christopher Waller and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, focused on the fresh inflation data to argue for a more muscular Fed response. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said more rate hikes will be needed, but did not specify a particular stopping point.</p><p>Implied yields on federal funds futures contracts rose on Friday as traders firmed up expectations for at least three more rate hikes through June, a path that would push the U.S. central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate to the 5.25%-5.50% range, from the current 4.50%-4.75% range.</p><p>Pricing also now puts about a 40% chance of an even higher stopping point for that rate, up from about 30% prior to the release of the PCE data.</p><p>And traders largely erased what had been consistent bets on Fed rate cuts toward the end of the year, pricing in a year-end Fed policy rate of 5.26%.</p><p>"There are inflationary pressures in the economy, the level of inflation is still too high, and it's going to take more on the monetary policy side to get inflation down, Mester said.</p><p>Economic data in recent weeks has generally come in stronger than expected, with job growth still robust and wage gains exceeding what Fed Governor Phillip Jefferson said on Friday was consistent with a timely return to 2% inflation.</p><p>Revisions to data from prior months in Friday's Commerce Department report showed inflation did not cool in November and December as much as had been thought, and spending in January rose more than expected even as the savings rate increased.</p><p>All told, the economic readings may throw doubt on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's assessment this month that the "disinflationary process" had begun, a view that seemed to justify the central bank's decision at its Jan. 31-Feb. 1 policy meeting to deliver a quarter-percentage-point rate increase after a string of bigger hikes in 2022.</p><p>"If the Fed had this data at the last meeting, they probably would've raised by 50 (basis points) and the tone from the press conference would've been a lot different," said Gene Goldman, chief investment officer at Cetera Investment Management.</p><p>Goldman said he expects the next round of Fed projections, to be published in March, to signal rates will rise father and stay there longer than previously thought.</p><p>"It looks like the Fed will have to be more aggressive," said Yelena Shulyatyeva, an economist at <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNPQF\">BNP Paribas</a>. "They will probably overdo it, in our view, and that will eventually lead to a recession; the question is more like when, not whether, it will be a recession."</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2314343613","content_text":"Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will need to push interest rates higher and keep them elevated longer than previously projected rose on Friday after data showed a key inflation gauge accelerated last month.Even so, Fed policymakers speaking on Friday did not push for a return to the kind of aggressive action that marked last year's interest-rate hikes, suggesting that for now central bankers are content to stick to a gradual tightening path despite signs that inflation is not cooling as they had hoped.The Commerce Department reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the metric by which the Fed measures its 2% inflation target, rose 5.4% last month from a year earlier, a pickup from an upwardly revised 5.3% annual pace in December.Underlying \"core\" inflation climbed a faster-than-expected 4.7% from a year earlier, compared to December's upwardly revised 4.6% pace.The report \"is another indication that the impulse of inflation and price pressures is still with us,\" Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester told Reuters on the sidelines of a conference in New York. \"It's going to take more effort on the part of the Fed to get inflation on that sustainable downward path to 2%.\"Even so, Mester -- who had wanted a half-point hike at the Fed's last meeting -- said she could not yet say if she would support such a large hike at the Fed's upcoming meeting.She is among the minority of Fed policymakers who in December thought they would need to lift the policy rate to 5.4% to stop inflation, while most believed 5.1% would suffice. Earlier on Friday she said she had not revised her view.Similarly, none of the other Fed policymakers who spoke on Friday, including the normally hawkish Governor Christopher Waller and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, focused on the fresh inflation data to argue for a more muscular Fed response. Boston Fed President Susan Collins said more rate hikes will be needed, but did not specify a particular stopping point.Implied yields on federal funds futures contracts rose on Friday as traders firmed up expectations for at least three more rate hikes through June, a path that would push the U.S. central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate to the 5.25%-5.50% range, from the current 4.50%-4.75% range.Pricing also now puts about a 40% chance of an even higher stopping point for that rate, up from about 30% prior to the release of the PCE data.And traders largely erased what had been consistent bets on Fed rate cuts toward the end of the year, pricing in a year-end Fed policy rate of 5.26%.\"There are inflationary pressures in the economy, the level of inflation is still too high, and it's going to take more on the monetary policy side to get inflation down, Mester said.Economic data in recent weeks has generally come in stronger than expected, with job growth still robust and wage gains exceeding what Fed Governor Phillip Jefferson said on Friday was consistent with a timely return to 2% inflation.Revisions to data from prior months in Friday's Commerce Department report showed inflation did not cool in November and December as much as had been thought, and spending in January rose more than expected even as the savings rate increased.All told, the economic readings may throw doubt on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's assessment this month that the \"disinflationary process\" had begun, a view that seemed to justify the central bank's decision at its Jan. 31-Feb. 1 policy meeting to deliver a quarter-percentage-point rate increase after a string of bigger hikes in 2022.\"If the Fed had this data at the last meeting, they probably would've raised by 50 (basis points) and the tone from the press conference would've been a lot different,\" said Gene Goldman, chief investment officer at Cetera Investment Management.Goldman said he expects the next round of Fed projections, to be published in March, to signal rates will rise father and stay there longer than previously thought.\"It looks like the Fed will have to be more aggressive,\" said Yelena Shulyatyeva, an economist at BNP Paribas. \"They will probably overdo it, in our view, and that will eventually lead to a recession; the question is more like when, not whether, it will be a recession.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928027076,"gmtCreate":1671153698596,"gmtModify":1676538499858,"author":{"id":"3582079632440924","authorId":"3582079632440924","name":"Iannn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3cafaa5e809ec83a52654c87982f675","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582079632440924","authorIdStr":"3582079632440924"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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careful","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916173507","repostId":"2271744574","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2057,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911015261,"gmtCreate":1664085750853,"gmtModify":1676537388939,"author":{"id":"3582079632440924","authorId":"3582079632440924","name":"Iannn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3cafaa5e809ec83a52654c87982f675","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582079632440924","authorIdStr":"3582079632440924"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$</a>More drop to come","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$</a>More drop to come","text":"$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$More drop to come","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911015261","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911012655,"gmtCreate":1664085620478,"gmtModify":1676537388915,"author":{"id":"3582079632440924","authorId":"3582079632440924","name":"Iannn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3cafaa5e809ec83a52654c87982f675","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582079632440924","authorIdStr":"3582079632440924"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911012655","repostId":"2270440415","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911012803,"gmtCreate":1664085595303,"gmtModify":1676537388907,"author":{"id":"3582079632440924","authorId":"3582079632440924","name":"Iannn","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3cafaa5e809ec83a52654c87982f675","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582079632440924","authorIdStr":"3582079632440924"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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