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AugusTeo
AugusTeo
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2021-06-23
Hi Dear All, does anyone know ''b'' , ''s'' and ''-'' means what?
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AugusTeo
AugusTeo
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2021-06-09
WSB frenzy perhaps?
Why This Millennial Is Rage-Buying AMC and Crypto
Karl Marx would have loved Reddit. If the German philosopher were alive today, he’d be posting that
Why This Millennial Is Rage-Buying AMC and Crypto
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AugusTeo
AugusTeo
·
2021-06-07
Would it face retracement anytime soon?
So many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one
S&P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.The S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond
So many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one
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AugusTeo
AugusTeo
·
2021-06-06
$Apple(AAPL)$
Paper account free share ?
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AugusTeo
AugusTeo
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2021-06-06
Strong intraday momentum!
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AugusTeo
AugusTeo
·
2021-06-05
They're facing fierce competition from AMD
Nvidia Stock: Is It Still A Good Buy?
Summary Nvidia's stock price reaches a new historical high, but analysts' target prices and histori
Nvidia Stock: Is It Still A Good Buy?
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AugusTeo
AugusTeo
·
2021-06-05
Well they're fund manager, not fund manager I guess
Fund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.
It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to
Fund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.
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AugusTeo
AugusTeo
·
2021-06-05
Well they're fund manager, not fun manager I guess
Fund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.
It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to
Fund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.
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If the German philosopher were alive today, he’d be posting that ","content":"<p>Karl Marx would have loved Reddit. If the German philosopher were alive today, he’d be posting that everyone should get in on trading meme stocks and cryptocurrency. Not to get rich—though that’s a nice side benefit—but to strike back at the investor class. “It’s worthwhile running some risk in order to relieve the enemy of his money,” Marxwrote. I’m right there with you, Karl.</p>\n<p>Working-class millennials have been denied the chance to build generational wealth over the course of our professional careers. Many of us are risking what little we have left as a way of raging against a machine we feel is rigged against us. And we’re following in Marx’s footsteps.</p>\n<p>After a friend died in 1864, Marx received £820 in a bequest, his biographerrecounts. That comes out to roughly $151,500 today after adjusting for inflation and applying current conversion rates. Marx used a portion of his inheritance to become a financial speculator, often engaging in the same sort of penny-stock bubble schemes that the notorious WallStreetBets sub-Reddit has been accused of engaging in this year. “[Stocks] are springing up like mushrooms this year,” Marx wrote in a letter to his uncle, bragging that he had already made £400 from speculation. He added that many of his investments were typically “forced up to quite an unreasonable level and then, for the most part, collapse.”</p>\n<p>Marx’s trading stories are difficult to substantiate, but millennials’ love of meme stocks is very real. I’ve already made more this year from trading meme stocks and cryptocurrency than I have as a professional writer. I’ve come to look at the meme stock boom as millennials’ chance to finally build wealth. But if not, we’re content with making the investors largely responsible for our financial woes feel a bit of the pain they’ve inflicted on us. Short-sellers are losing their shirts to the tune of$4.5 billionon meme stocks so far.</p>\n<p>As a 34-year-old American, almost every generational stereotype applies to me. HuffPost’s Michael Hobbessummed upmillennials’ financial situation best in 2017: “My rent consumes nearly half my income, I haven’t had a steady job since Pluto was a planet and my savings are dwindling faster than the ice caps the baby boomers melted.”</p>\n<p>Perhaps because we’re the only American generation to live through two major recessions and two wars in our coming-up years, we’re the first generation to be financially worse off than our parents, despite beingbetter educatedon average. We paid for it, too. A year of college that cost $10,000 for boomers set millennials back more than $15,000 on average in inflation-adjusted dollars, according toBloomberg. Millennials of color, particularly Black millennials, have it worse. They graduated witheven more student debtthan their white classmates, arefar less likelyto be hired in white-collar professions, and their households earnjust 60%of what their white coworkers make.</p>\n<p>Millennials’ high-priced educations haven’t bought us much job security. A 2018 Gallup studycalledmillennials the “job-hopping generation.” Maybe, but not by choice. A 2019University of Chicago studyfound millennials actually long for a stable career. It should come as little surprise, then, that a generation plagued with job insecurity and mounting debt is leading the“baby bust.”The birth rate is at its lowest inthree decades. There may not be enough working-age Americans to care for the nation’s swelling senior population. Boomers effectively climbed the class ladder, then took a saw and cut off the rungs below them. (And they still ask us when we’ll give them grandchildren!)</p>\n<p>If all that doesn’t make meme stocks and cryptocurrency more appealing, at least it might help explain why some of us just don’t care any more about playing it safe. I’ll be the first to admit that investing in meme stocks isn’t a sustainable way to build wealth. A lot more of us will get hurt than get rich. But I’m not primarily investing to make money: I want the investors who crashed the economy and got bailed out in my senior year of college—thustorpedoingmy career earning potential—to feel at least a little bit of the hardship they put my generation through. And given thepredominantly millennialcomposition of /r/WallStreetBets, I know I’m not the only rage-driven investor.</p>\n<p>There’s plenty to be mad about. Like we saw withGameStop,workers organizing to make the stock market pay out in our favor results in strict blowback. After Redditors speculated GameStop shares through the roof in late January, mobile trading app Robinhood not only restricted trading, but evenreportedlysold investors’ GameStop shares without their consent. (Robinhooddeniesforced-selling occurred.) When it came to light that Robinhood had afinancial relationshipwith firms that help route its customers’ orders, it made a lot of newbie investors like me even more jaded about the markets.</p>\n<p>In March, when New York City opened movie theaters, I decided to buy AMC shares on a lark for $7 apiece. As of early June, my investment has appreciated in value by more than 550%. That could evaporate, but I’m taking a lesson from GameStop. Its stock is still trading at more than $250 per share despite starting the year under $20. I plan on continuing to hold my AMC shares in hopes the value will increase even more. When it’s finally time, I’ll sell half and re-invest my profits in cryptocurrency.</p>\n<p>When that happens, I’ll be far from the only millennial betting big on crypto. According to Business Insider, my generation ischiefly responsiblefor the sudden rise of cryptocurrency in 2021, in which both blue-chip digital currencies like Ethereum, as well as joke cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin, are thriving. Ethereum’s price has gone from $730.97 per coin on Jan. 1 to a peak of over $4,000 in May. Dogecoin hasappreciatedby more than 21,000% since its inception as a meme in 2013. (I’m still kicking myself for selling my Dogecoin when it was trading for less than 10 cents, even though I still made thousands in profit). Millennials’ commitment to crypto is now forcing the giants to play along: In March,Morgan Stanleybecame thefirst bankto offer Bitcoin funds to its wealthy clients. And as if on cue, now that the workers have made a little money in the rigged casino, U.S. regulators are reportedly preparing a “crackdown” on cryptocurrency.</p>\n<p>Millennials went through childhood being told we had to work hard to have financial security. Then we were told we had to shackle ourselves with debt to get a college degree that would get us a good job. Then we were told that only a lucky few actually build wealth from their jobs and that to have true financial success, we should invest. And then when we invested, we were told we were doing it wrong. I get the message. Millennials aren’t meant to win. Financial security isn’t for us. So if we can make a few grand by speculating penny stocks to the moon and hurt a few smug hedge fund vultures in the process, we’ll settle for that.</p>\n<p><b>Corrections & Amplifications</b>: Citadel Securities is a market-maker that provides services for Robinhood, not a hedge fund. An earlier version of this commentary incorrectly reported that a subsidiary of Citadel Securities held a short position in GameStop.</p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why This Millennial Is Rage-Buying AMC and Crypto</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy This Millennial Is Rage-Buying AMC and Crypto\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-09 22:04 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-im-still-rage-buying-meme-stocks-51623165336><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Karl Marx would have loved Reddit. If the German philosopher were alive today, he’d be posting that everyone should get in on trading meme stocks and cryptocurrency. Not to get rich—though that’s a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-im-still-rage-buying-meme-stocks-51623165336\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","AMC":"AMC院线","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-im-still-rage-buying-meme-stocks-51623165336","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188697627","content_text":"Karl Marx would have loved Reddit. If the German philosopher were alive today, he’d be posting that everyone should get in on trading meme stocks and cryptocurrency. Not to get rich—though that’s a nice side benefit—but to strike back at the investor class. “It’s worthwhile running some risk in order to relieve the enemy of his money,” Marxwrote. I’m right there with you, Karl.\nWorking-class millennials have been denied the chance to build generational wealth over the course of our professional careers. Many of us are risking what little we have left as a way of raging against a machine we feel is rigged against us. And we’re following in Marx’s footsteps.\nAfter a friend died in 1864, Marx received £820 in a bequest, his biographerrecounts. That comes out to roughly $151,500 today after adjusting for inflation and applying current conversion rates. Marx used a portion of his inheritance to become a financial speculator, often engaging in the same sort of penny-stock bubble schemes that the notorious WallStreetBets sub-Reddit has been accused of engaging in this year. “[Stocks] are springing up like mushrooms this year,” Marx wrote in a letter to his uncle, bragging that he had already made £400 from speculation. He added that many of his investments were typically “forced up to quite an unreasonable level and then, for the most part, collapse.”\nMarx’s trading stories are difficult to substantiate, but millennials’ love of meme stocks is very real. I’ve already made more this year from trading meme stocks and cryptocurrency than I have as a professional writer. I’ve come to look at the meme stock boom as millennials’ chance to finally build wealth. But if not, we’re content with making the investors largely responsible for our financial woes feel a bit of the pain they’ve inflicted on us. Short-sellers are losing their shirts to the tune of$4.5 billionon meme stocks so far.\nAs a 34-year-old American, almost every generational stereotype applies to me. HuffPost’s Michael Hobbessummed upmillennials’ financial situation best in 2017: “My rent consumes nearly half my income, I haven’t had a steady job since Pluto was a planet and my savings are dwindling faster than the ice caps the baby boomers melted.”\nPerhaps because we’re the only American generation to live through two major recessions and two wars in our coming-up years, we’re the first generation to be financially worse off than our parents, despite beingbetter educatedon average. We paid for it, too. A year of college that cost $10,000 for boomers set millennials back more than $15,000 on average in inflation-adjusted dollars, according toBloomberg. Millennials of color, particularly Black millennials, have it worse. They graduated witheven more student debtthan their white classmates, arefar less likelyto be hired in white-collar professions, and their households earnjust 60%of what their white coworkers make.\nMillennials’ high-priced educations haven’t bought us much job security. A 2018 Gallup studycalledmillennials the “job-hopping generation.” Maybe, but not by choice. A 2019University of Chicago studyfound millennials actually long for a stable career. It should come as little surprise, then, that a generation plagued with job insecurity and mounting debt is leading the“baby bust.”The birth rate is at its lowest inthree decades. There may not be enough working-age Americans to care for the nation’s swelling senior population. Boomers effectively climbed the class ladder, then took a saw and cut off the rungs below them. (And they still ask us when we’ll give them grandchildren!)\nIf all that doesn’t make meme stocks and cryptocurrency more appealing, at least it might help explain why some of us just don’t care any more about playing it safe. I’ll be the first to admit that investing in meme stocks isn’t a sustainable way to build wealth. A lot more of us will get hurt than get rich. But I’m not primarily investing to make money: I want the investors who crashed the economy and got bailed out in my senior year of college—thustorpedoingmy career earning potential—to feel at least a little bit of the hardship they put my generation through. And given thepredominantly millennialcomposition of /r/WallStreetBets, I know I’m not the only rage-driven investor.\nThere’s plenty to be mad about. Like we saw withGameStop,workers organizing to make the stock market pay out in our favor results in strict blowback. After Redditors speculated GameStop shares through the roof in late January, mobile trading app Robinhood not only restricted trading, but evenreportedlysold investors’ GameStop shares without their consent. (Robinhooddeniesforced-selling occurred.) When it came to light that Robinhood had afinancial relationshipwith firms that help route its customers’ orders, it made a lot of newbie investors like me even more jaded about the markets.\nIn March, when New York City opened movie theaters, I decided to buy AMC shares on a lark for $7 apiece. As of early June, my investment has appreciated in value by more than 550%. That could evaporate, but I’m taking a lesson from GameStop. Its stock is still trading at more than $250 per share despite starting the year under $20. I plan on continuing to hold my AMC shares in hopes the value will increase even more. When it’s finally time, I’ll sell half and re-invest my profits in cryptocurrency.\nWhen that happens, I’ll be far from the only millennial betting big on crypto. According to Business Insider, my generation ischiefly responsiblefor the sudden rise of cryptocurrency in 2021, in which both blue-chip digital currencies like Ethereum, as well as joke cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin, are thriving. Ethereum’s price has gone from $730.97 per coin on Jan. 1 to a peak of over $4,000 in May. Dogecoin hasappreciatedby more than 21,000% since its inception as a meme in 2013. (I’m still kicking myself for selling my Dogecoin when it was trading for less than 10 cents, even though I still made thousands in profit). Millennials’ commitment to crypto is now forcing the giants to play along: In March,Morgan Stanleybecame thefirst bankto offer Bitcoin funds to its wealthy clients. And as if on cue, now that the workers have made a little money in the rigged casino, U.S. regulators are reportedly preparing a “crackdown” on cryptocurrency.\nMillennials went through childhood being told we had to work hard to have financial security. Then we were told we had to shackle ourselves with debt to get a college degree that would get us a good job. Then we were told that only a lucky few actually build wealth from their jobs and that to have true financial success, we should invest. And then when we invested, we were told we were doing it wrong. I get the message. Millennials aren’t meant to win. Financial security isn’t for us. So if we can make a few grand by speculating penny stocks to the moon and hurt a few smug hedge fund vultures in the process, we’ll settle for that.\nCorrections & Amplifications: Citadel Securities is a market-maker that provides services for Robinhood, not a hedge fund. An earlier version of this commentary incorrectly reported that a subsidiary of Citadel Securities held a short position in GameStop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"GBTC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114379581,"gmtCreate":1623054283043,"gmtModify":1704195099329,"author":{"id":"3585960342090985","authorId":"3585960342090985","name":"AugusTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0bf131cf8680ca2df10a6d41e89a96","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585960342090985","idStr":"3585960342090985"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Would it face retracement anytime soon?","listText":"Would it face retracement anytime soon?","text":"Would it face retracement anytime soon?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/114379581","repostId":"1191872806","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191872806","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623054201,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191872806?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-07 16:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"So many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191872806","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"S&P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.The S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond ","content":"<blockquote><b>S&P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.</b></blockquote><p>The S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond – its all-time highs at 4238. The failure to break through to new highs this week gives the bears another chance.</p><p>The broader picture is that the index has been trading in a range between 4060 and 4238 for nearly two months. Given the length of time the S&P has spent inside this range, a breakout from the range should be significant.</p><p>An aggressive way to deal with a trading range is to buy the market near the lows of the range and sell (short) the market near the top of the ranking, planning to reverse your position if the market does indeed break out of the range. A less aggressive trade is to buy straddles when SPX is near the top or bottom of the range, figuring that it will either break out or trade to the other side of the range.</p><p>The S&P has been sitting near the top of the range since May 24. The longer it goes without breaking out to new all-time highs, the more likely it will trade down to the lower regions of the range.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b76daeb46d3b4588f3f20f6b007b4520\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">For the record, below the range there is support at 4000 and 3870, but it seems to me that if the lower of the range is broken, there will be a swift move lower to test those support levels. Also, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect, as noted at the upper right of the accompanying SPX chart.</p><p>Equity-only put-call ratios are still on sell signals, at least according to the computer programs we use to analyze these charts. However, to the naked eye they are no longer rising (which places the sell signals in jeopardy). One can see that the standard ratio has taken a dip over the past couple of days (the dip being caused, in part, by extremely heavy call buying in the “short squeeze” stocks: AMC, BlackBerry, Beyond Meat etc.).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4a2d971772c195acca42723b2a23d37\" tg-width=\"914\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">There is a similar, but less obvious dip on the weighted chart. For now, the sell signals remain in place, but if this new pace of heavy call buying persists, these indicators could roll over to buy signals soon.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c60e1cdfdbb7193427ffba139a9b7b00\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"682\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Breadth has improved greatly in the last week or so. Both breadth oscillators are on buy signals. Moreover, they have moved into overbought territory, which is a good thing only if SPX can follow through and break out to the upside. In addition, the cumulative breadth indicators are trading at new all-time highs once again.</p><p>New 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on the NYSE and elsewhere. Thus this indicator remains bullish. In fact, the number of new highs has expanded considerably and is near the extreme levels last seen in late February, but not seen for five years prior to that.</p><p>The volatility “complex” is bullish on stocks, in general. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect, and the trend of VIXVIX,4.63%is downward. Traders are still reluctant to push VIX down to extremely low levels, but one can see from the accompanying chart that VIX is below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. As long as the trend of volatility is lower, that is bullish for stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ac25caadad8b56159e600a98a4763f4\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains a bullish indicator for stocks. The VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through October. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward.</p><p>In summary, there are mostly bullish indicators in place. However, the most important indicator – the price of the stock market itself – is not confirming this apparent bullishness. It needs to break out to new all-time highs to do so, and that has been lacking.</p><p>We continue to expect a volatile move away from current levels – whether that entails a retracement to the lower end of the trading or a strong breakout to new all-time highs. Hence, we are employing trading range strategies, along with holding positions in line with confirmed signals from our indicators.</p><p><b>New recommendation: Cornerstone OnDemand</b></p><p>Option activity has increased dramatically in Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD,+3.39%as there are takeover rumors. The stock traded up to near-term resistance at 47 and then fell back. We are going to use a contingent recommendation here. In other words, we will only buy the CSOD call options if the contingency is fulfilled:</p><p><b>IF CSOD closes above 47, THEN buy 4 CSOD July (16th) 47.5 calls</b></p><p>If the calls are bought, we will hold without a stop, while the rumors play out.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89fee88abb92504efba975eec92b68a3\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"690\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>New recommendation: Dropbox</b></p><p>Another stock with heavy option activity has been DropboxDBX,+1.06%.The activist investor Elliot Group has taken a stake and will push the company to pursue strategies that increase its stock price in the short term. One rumor is a merger with rival BoxBOX,+1.78%.</p><p>Dropbox probed up to a three-year high on the news, but then fell back. So we are going to use a contingent recommendation here also:</p><p><b>IF DBX closes above 28.50, THEN buy 4 DBX July (16th) 28 calls</b></p><p>If these calls are bought, we will hold without a stop initially and see if the activist investor can accomplish something.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdc61a08d1269de554b35f4ced78a776\" tg-width=\"918\" tg-height=\"686\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Follow-up action</b></p><p><i>All stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.</i></p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:</b>This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band, which is at 4320 and moving sideways. The signal would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.</p><p><b>Long 1 SPY June (18th) 420 put and short 1 SPY Jun (18th) 400 put:</b>This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY trades at the lower strike at any time.</p><p><b>Long 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.</p><p><b>Long 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:</b>This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any three-day or shorter period (using closing prices).</p><p><b>Long 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:</b>Kansas City SouthernKSU,-0.14%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian NationalCNI,+0.66%.The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. So, with CNI at 112, the deal is worth $326. Of course, there will be regulatory delays. We are going to hold to see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian PacificCP,-0.14%—the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer or not. Finally, stop out the calls if CNI closes at 108 or lower.</p><p><b>Long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 call and long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 put:</b>This long straddle is in anticipation of SPX making a volatile move away from the 420 level. If SPX<i>trades</i>at 437, roll the calls up from the 420 strike to the 437 strike (or the closest strike to that). Conversely, if SPX trades at 403, roll the puts down to the 403 strike.</p><p><b>Long 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls:</b>Hold without a stop while takeover rumors persist.</p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>So many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSo many bullish signs for this stock market — except the most important one\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-07 16:23 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/so-many-bullish-signs-for-this-stock-market-except-the-most-important-one-01622734536?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>S&P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.The S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond – its all-time highs at 4238. The failure to break through to new highs this week gives the bears ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/so-many-bullish-signs-for-this-stock-market-except-the-most-important-one-01622734536?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/so-many-bullish-signs-for-this-stock-market-except-the-most-important-one-01622734536?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191872806","content_text":"S&P 500 bulls keep failing to take control.The S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.88%probed up to – but not beyond – its all-time highs at 4238. The failure to break through to new highs this week gives the bears another chance.The broader picture is that the index has been trading in a range between 4060 and 4238 for nearly two months. Given the length of time the S&P has spent inside this range, a breakout from the range should be significant.An aggressive way to deal with a trading range is to buy the market near the lows of the range and sell (short) the market near the top of the ranking, planning to reverse your position if the market does indeed break out of the range. A less aggressive trade is to buy straddles when SPX is near the top or bottom of the range, figuring that it will either break out or trade to the other side of the range.The S&P has been sitting near the top of the range since May 24. The longer it goes without breaking out to new all-time highs, the more likely it will trade down to the lower regions of the range.For the record, below the range there is support at 4000 and 3870, but it seems to me that if the lower of the range is broken, there will be a swift move lower to test those support levels. Also, the McMillan Volatility Band (MVB) sell signal is still in effect, as noted at the upper right of the accompanying SPX chart.Equity-only put-call ratios are still on sell signals, at least according to the computer programs we use to analyze these charts. However, to the naked eye they are no longer rising (which places the sell signals in jeopardy). One can see that the standard ratio has taken a dip over the past couple of days (the dip being caused, in part, by extremely heavy call buying in the “short squeeze” stocks: AMC, BlackBerry, Beyond Meat etc.).There is a similar, but less obvious dip on the weighted chart. For now, the sell signals remain in place, but if this new pace of heavy call buying persists, these indicators could roll over to buy signals soon.Breadth has improved greatly in the last week or so. Both breadth oscillators are on buy signals. Moreover, they have moved into overbought territory, which is a good thing only if SPX can follow through and break out to the upside. In addition, the cumulative breadth indicators are trading at new all-time highs once again.New 52-week highs continue to easily outnumber new 52-week lows on the NYSE and elsewhere. Thus this indicator remains bullish. In fact, the number of new highs has expanded considerably and is near the extreme levels last seen in late February, but not seen for five years prior to that.The volatility “complex” is bullish on stocks, in general. The VIX “spike peak” buy signal remains in effect, and the trend of VIXVIX,4.63%is downward. Traders are still reluctant to push VIX down to extremely low levels, but one can see from the accompanying chart that VIX is below both its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. As long as the trend of volatility is lower, that is bullish for stocks.Finally, the construct of volatility derivatives remains a bullish indicator for stocks. The VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through October. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward.In summary, there are mostly bullish indicators in place. However, the most important indicator – the price of the stock market itself – is not confirming this apparent bullishness. It needs to break out to new all-time highs to do so, and that has been lacking.We continue to expect a volatile move away from current levels – whether that entails a retracement to the lower end of the trading or a strong breakout to new all-time highs. Hence, we are employing trading range strategies, along with holding positions in line with confirmed signals from our indicators.New recommendation: Cornerstone OnDemandOption activity has increased dramatically in Cornerstone OnDemandCSOD,+3.39%as there are takeover rumors. The stock traded up to near-term resistance at 47 and then fell back. We are going to use a contingent recommendation here. In other words, we will only buy the CSOD call options if the contingency is fulfilled:IF CSOD closes above 47, THEN buy 4 CSOD July (16th) 47.5 callsIf the calls are bought, we will hold without a stop, while the rumors play out.New recommendation: DropboxAnother stock with heavy option activity has been DropboxDBX,+1.06%.The activist investor Elliot Group has taken a stake and will push the company to pursue strategies that increase its stock price in the short term. One rumor is a merger with rival BoxBOX,+1.78%.Dropbox probed up to a three-year high on the news, but then fell back. So we are going to use a contingent recommendation here also:IF DBX closes above 28.50, THEN buy 4 DBX July (16th) 28 callsIf these calls are bought, we will hold without a stop initially and see if the activist investor can accomplish something.Follow-up actionAll stops are mental closing stops unless otherwise noted.Long 2 SPY June (11th) 410 puts and short 2 SPY June (11th) 385 puts:This trade was taken because of the MVB sell signal that occurred, when SPX traded down through 4105 on May 12. It would be stopped out by SPX once again closing above the +4σ Band, which is at 4320 and moving sideways. The signal would reach its profit target if SPX trades at the -4σ Band. Right now, the lower Band is at about 4020 and moving sideways. Sell half of this position if SPX trades at 4000 at any time.Long 1 SPY June (18th) 420 put and short 1 SPY Jun (18th) 400 put:This recommendation is based on the equity-only put-call ratio sell signal that is in place. We will hold this recommendation as long as the equity-only put-call ratios are on sell signals. Hence, we will be updating the status weekly. Roll the position down, 20 strikes on each side, if SPY trades at the lower strike at any time.Long 3 DUK June (18th) 100 calls:Hold without a stop while we wait for the activist investor to produce a positive result.Long 2 SPY June (18th) 415 calls and short 2 SPY June (18th) 428 calls:This spread was bought when the most recent VIX “spike peak” buy signal was confirmed on May 21. It would be stopped out if VIX were to return to spiking mode – that is, if it rose at least 3.00 points over any three-day or shorter period (using closing prices).Long 1 KSU Jun (18th) 300 call:Kansas City SouthernKSU,-0.14%has formally accepted the higher takeover bid from Canadian NationalCNI,+0.66%.The deal is for $200 cash + 1.129 shares of CNI. So, with CNI at 112, the deal is worth $326. Of course, there will be regulatory delays. We are going to hold to see if this spread can tighten somewhat. It is unclear whether or not Canadian PacificCP,-0.14%—the other bidder – will come back with a superior offer or not. Finally, stop out the calls if CNI closes at 108 or lower.Long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 call and long 1 SPY July (16th) 420 put:This long straddle is in anticipation of SPX making a volatile move away from the 420 level. If SPXtradesat 437, roll the calls up from the 420 strike to the 437 strike (or the closest strike to that). Conversely, if SPX trades at 403, roll the puts down to the 403 strike.Long 4 CERN June (18th) 80 calls:Hold without a stop while takeover rumors persist.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2125,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115626925,"gmtCreate":1622988865667,"gmtModify":1704194114186,"author":{"id":"3585960342090985","authorId":"3585960342090985","name":"AugusTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0bf131cf8680ca2df10a6d41e89a96","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585960342090985","idStr":"3585960342090985"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Paper account free share ?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>Paper account free share ?","text":"$Apple(AAPL)$Paper account free share ?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7934e7d057935daf3f95d0c85e075779","width":"2160","height":"1296"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115626925","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115623638,"gmtCreate":1622988650924,"gmtModify":1704194110780,"author":{"id":"3585960342090985","authorId":"3585960342090985","name":"AugusTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0bf131cf8680ca2df10a6d41e89a96","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585960342090985","idStr":"3585960342090985"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Strong intraday momentum!","listText":"Strong intraday momentum!","text":"Strong intraday momentum!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5844ea9425dfdaa45eaeb666ddc550ad","width":"750","height":"906"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/115623638","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112455128,"gmtCreate":1622907358764,"gmtModify":1704193190596,"author":{"id":"3585960342090985","authorId":"3585960342090985","name":"AugusTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0bf131cf8680ca2df10a6d41e89a96","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585960342090985","idStr":"3585960342090985"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"They're facing fierce competition from AMD","listText":"They're facing fierce competition from AMD","text":"They're facing fierce competition from AMD","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112455128","repostId":"1175623977","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175623977","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622857814,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175623977?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-05 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia Stock: Is It Still A Good Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175623977","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nNvidia's stock price reaches a new historical high, but analysts' target prices and histori","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Nvidia's stock price reaches a new historical high, but analysts' target prices and historical & peer valuation comparisons suggest that NVDA's future upside could be limited.</li>\n <li>NVDA's record-high stock price and premium valuations are justified to a large extent by its above-expectations quarterly results and the strong performance of its gaming & data center businesses.</li>\n <li>Nvidia Corporation is not a good buy now, as expectations are relatively high now as evidenced by its valuations and there are considerable risks relating to earnings disappointment.</li>\n <li>I think that a Neutral rating for Nvidia is fair; the company's long-term growth prospects are good, but it will be challenging for the stock to meet the market's near-term growth expectations.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8500b66052f55b26703173429661952\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>Elevator Pitch</b></p>\n<p>I have a Neutral rating assigned to Nvidia Corporation (NVDA).</p>\n<p>Nvidia's stock price reached a new historical high, but analysts' target prices and historical & peer valuation comparisons suggest that NVDA's future upside could be limited. NVDA's record-high stock price and premium valuations are justified to a large extent by its above-expectations quarterly results and the strong performance of its gaming & data center businesses.</p>\n<p>Nvidia Corporation is not a good buy now, in my view, as expectations are relatively high now as evidenced by its valuations and there are considerable risks relating to earnings disappointment. I think that a Neutral rating for Nvidia is fair; the company's long-term growth prospects are good, but it will be challenging for the stock to meet the market's near-term growth expectations.</p>\n<p><b>Company Description</b></p>\n<p>On its investor relations website, Nvidia Corporation calls itself \"the pioneer of GPU (Graphics Processing Unit)-accelerated computing\", a company focused on \"products and platforms for the large, growing markets of gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive.\" NVDA was started in 1993 and listed on Nasdaq in 1999.</p>\n<p>Nvidia generated 47% and 40% of the company's FY 2021 (YE January 31) revenue from its gaming and data center markets, respectively. The professional visualization, automotive, and OEM & others markets accounted for the remaining 6%, 3% and 4% of NVDA's sales, respectively in the most recent fiscal year.</p>\n<p>The company also derived 27%, 23%, 19% and 7% of its top line from Taiwan, China, the US and Europe (based on where its direct customers are located), respectively in FY 2021. The rest of Asia Pacific and other countries contributed the other 19% and 5% of NVDA's revenue in the last fiscal year, respectively.</p>\n<p><b>Nvidia Stock Price</b></p>\n<p>It has been a great one year and five months for Nvidia's shareholders, with respect to the company's stock price performance. Nvidia's share price rose by +186% from $234.83 as of December 31, 2019 to $671.13 as of June 2, 2021.</p>\n<p>The majority of Wall Street seem to be positive on Nvidia, with 65% and 20% of the sell-side analysts covering the stock having \"Very Bullish\" and \"Bullish\" ratings for the stock, respectively. But the analysts' target prices tell a different story. Based on S&P Capital data, the mean sell-side target price for Nvidia Corporation is $709.26, while the median target price set by analysts is $720. In other words, the market on average only expects a +5%-6% upside for Nvidia's stock price of $671.13 as of June 2, 2021.</p>\n<p>While it is possible that some of the sell-side analysts might have yet to publish new research reports updating their target prices, the relatively limited upside implied by Wall Street analysts' target prices does suggest Nvidia's stock price and valuations are not particularly attractive.</p>\n<p>As per the valuation comparison tables below, the market currently values Nvidia Corporation at a significant premium to its historical valuation averages and peer comparables.</p>\n<p><b>Historical Valuation Comparison For Nvidia Corporation</b></p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Nvidia's Valuation Multiple</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Forward Next Twelve Months' Enterprise Value-To-Revenue</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Forward Next Twelve Months' EV/EBITDA</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Forward Next Twelve Months' Normalized P/E</b></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Latest Valuation Multiple As Of June 2, 2021</td>\n <td>16.3</td>\n <td>42.0</td>\n <td>41.9</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Historical Three-Year Average Valuation Multiple</td>\n <td>12.1</td>\n <td>39.1</td>\n <td>36.6</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Historical Five-Year Average Valuation Multiple</td>\n <td>10.7</td>\n <td>34.0</td>\n <td>35.9</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Historical 10-Year Average Valuation Multiple</td>\n <td>6.1</td>\n <td>20.9</td>\n <td>25.5</td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: S&P Capital IQ</p>\n<p><b>Peer Valuation Comparison For Nvidia Corporation</b></p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td><b>Stock</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Current Fiscal Year Enterprise Value-To-Revenue</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Forward One Fiscal Year Enterprise Value-To-Revenue</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Current Fiscal Year EV/EBITDA</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Forward One Fiscal Year EV/EBITDA</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Current Fiscal Year Normalized P/E</b></td>\n <td><b>Consensus Forward One Fiscal Year Normalized P/E</b></td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Nvidia Corporation</td>\n <td>16.4</td>\n <td>14.8</td>\n <td>41.4</td>\n <td>40.9</td>\n <td>42.3</td>\n <td>39.1</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (AMD)</td>\n <td>6.4</td>\n <td>5.4</td>\n <td>26.9</td>\n <td>21.7</td>\n <td>37.9</td>\n <td>30.6</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Intel Corporation (INTC)</td>\n <td>3.4</td>\n <td>3.3</td>\n <td>7.6</td>\n <td>7.3</td>\n <td>12.4</td>\n <td>12.6</td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Source: S&P Capital IQ</p>\n<p>In the next section of this article, I examine Nvidia Corporation's recent financial performance to see if the stock's high stock price and valuations are justified.</p>\n<p><b>Why Is Nvidia Stock So High?</b></p>\n<p>Nvidia reported the company's 1Q FY 2022 (February 1, 2021 to April 30, 2021) financial results last week on May 26, 2021. Nvidia Corporation's most recent quarterly financial performance beat market expectations, and specifically, its core gaming and data center businesses did very well. This justifies NVDA's strong year-to-date 2021 share price performance as highlighted in the preceding section.</p>\n<p>The company's total revenue expanded by +84% YoY and +13% QoQ to $5,661 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2022. This was the highest quarterly revenue in Nvidia's history, and NVDA's top line came in +5% better than what Wall Street analysts were forecasting. Nvidia Corporation's 1Q FY 2022 diluted non-GAAP (mainly adjusted for stock compensation and M&A-related expenses) earnings per share of $3.66 also represented impressive QoQ and YoY growth rates of +18% and +103%, respectively. The company's bottom line was +12% higher than market consensus' quarterly earnings per share forecasts.</p>\n<p>Notably, NVDA's key gaming and data center businesses drove the company's better-than-expected financial performance in the most recent quarter.</p>\n<p>The gaming business' revenue grew by +11% QoQ and +106% YoY to $2,760 million in 1Q FY 2022. The robust growth for the gaming business was mainly attributable to higher gaming demand as a result of Work-From-Home or WFH tailwinds brought about by COVID-19, and the good performance of the company's new GeForce RTX 30 Series GPUs since its introduction to the market in September 2020. Cryptocurrency mining was also another tailwind for NVDA in 1Q FY 2022, which is detailed in the next section of this article.</p>\n<p>Looking ahead, a key growth driver for Nvidia's gaming business in the coming quarters is the recent launch of \"new GeForce RTX 3050 and GeForce RTX 3050 Ti laptops\" with more than 140 \"mass-market\" models available priced as low as $799, as per the company's May 11, 2021 media release.</p>\n<p>Separately, sales for Nvidia Corporation's data center business increased by +79% YoY and +8% QoQ to $2,048 million in the first quarter of the current fiscal year, which was also a new historical high. It is also noteworthy that this is the sixth consecutive quarter that the data center business has set a new historical record in terms of quarterly revenue, which is indicative of the business' strong growth momentum.</p>\n<p>Specifically, the completion of the acquisition of Mellanox Technologies in April 2020 has been the key driving force behind the excellent growth of Nvidia Corporation's data center business. According to Mellanox Technologies' corporate profile that is available on its website, the company is a \"supplier of end-to-end Ethernet and InfiniBand intelligent interconnect solutions and services for servers, storage, and hyper-converged infrastructure\", and Nvidia's hyperscale data center clients had strong demand for Mellanox Technologies' products. At the company's recent 1Q FY 2022 results briefing, NVDA also disclosed that it \"achieved key design wins and proof-of-concept trials for the NVIDIA BlueField-2 DPU (Data Processing Unit) with cloud service providers and consumer Internet companies.\"</p>\n<p>Moving forward, the increased adoption of the NVIDIA BlueField-2 A100 (\"a converged card that combines GPUs and DPUs\" based onmedia release) and the recent launch of the NVIDIA BlueField-3 DPU (referred to the \"first DPU built for AI and accelerated computing\" at company's recent earnings call) in April 2021, are expected to boost the future revenue growth prospects of the data center business.</p>\n<p>Given that Nvidia Corporation benefited from WFH tailwinds to a large extent in FY 2021, it is no surprise that the market expects the company's top line and bottom line growth to slow in FY 2022 as per S&P Capital IQ estimates. Market consensus sees Nvidia Corporation's revenue growth moderating from +53% in FY 2021 to 49% in FY 2022, while sell-side analysts anticipate that NVDA's normalized earnings growth will go from +75% in the most recent fiscal year to +59% in the current fiscal year.</p>\n<p>More importantly, I think that there could be downside to Nvidia Corporation's FY 2022 financial forecasts, which I elaborate on in the subsequent section.</p>\n<p><b>Is Nvidia A Good Buy Now?</b></p>\n<p>I don't think that Nvidia is a good buy now. As highlighted in an earlier section of the article, Nvidia Corporation's stock price is high and its valuations are rich. More significantly, I see downside risks for NVDA's FY 2022 earnings, which I explain below.</p>\n<p>Nvidia's strong gaming business performance in 1Q FY 2022 was partly driven by cryptocurrency mining. The company acknowledged at its recent 1Q FY 2022 earnings call that its \"gaming (business) also benefited from crypto mining demand\", while emphasizing that \"it's hard to estimate exactly how much and where crypto mining is being done.\" Assuming that the price of cryptocurrencies drop significantly, demand for Nvidia's gaming GPUs could be adversely impacted. Notably, Nvidia's stock price fell to a \"16-month low\" in late-November 2018, after the price of bitcoin dropped by -30% in a week, according to a November 26, 2018<i>PC Gamer</i> article. The possibility of a repeat of such volatility in the price of cryptocurrencies and Nvidia's share price can't be ruled out.</p>\n<p>For NVDA's other key data center business, the current semiconductor chip shortage situation is one to watch. Charlie Boyle, who is the general manager of the Nvidia DGX division,mentioned in a recent April 2021 interview with The Data Center Podcast that the data center business \"hasn't been short on CPUs or GPUs\" although \"it's taken a lot of extra work by the company's operations team to source other components.\" The chip shortage represents another potential downside risk to Nvidia Corporation's FY 2022 revenue & earnings, although it does not seem to be an issue for now.</p>\n<p>A stock is a good buy when its share price and valuation reflect relatively modest expectations, and there is a good chance of upside surprises. The reverse is true for Nvidia now i.e. lofty expectations and a high probability of downside surprises.</p>\n<p><b>Is Nvidia A Good Stock To Buy Now?</b></p>\n<p>I like Nvidia as a company and I am positive on its long-term growth trajectory. However, I don't see Nvidia as a good stock to buy now.</p>\n<p>As per the chart below, Nvidia operates in fast-growing markets with lots of potential in the future. Things like virtual reality, augmented reality and artificial intelligence are important future trends, and Nvidia Corporation is a key beneficiary of such growth tailwinds. Separately, Nvidia's proposed acquisition of ARM Limited expected to conclude in early-2022, will help to address any semiconductor chip shortage issues in the medium term. Also, paying for the majority of ARM Limited acquisition consideration with its own shares (as opposed) is positive. From a capital allocation perspective, it is value-accretive to repurchase shares when one's shares are under-valued and issue shares (to drive future growth) when one's shares are over-valued.</p>\n<p><b>An Overview Of Nvidia's Key Markets And Their Respective Growth Drivers</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3270747f008d9c111b3a24d373eedcfa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"242\"><span>Source: Nvidia's 1Q FY 2022 Investor Presentation Slides</span></p>\n<p>On the flip side, as explained in the prior section of this article, growth expectations for Nvidia Corporation are very high, which translate into a high probability of earnings disappointment and valuation de-rating as a result.</p>\n<p>Nvidia Corporation's key risks are a larger-than-expected decline in the price of cryptocurrencies which depresses gaming GPU demand, and the semiconductor chip shortage situation worsening to the point that it affects the company's data center business.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia Stock: Is It Still A Good Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 09:50 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433129-nvidia-stock-still-good-buy><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nNvidia's stock price reaches a new historical high, but analysts' target prices and historical & peer valuation comparisons suggest that NVDA's future upside could be limited.\nNVDA's record-...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433129-nvidia-stock-still-good-buy\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433129-nvidia-stock-still-good-buy","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175623977","content_text":"Summary\n\nNvidia's stock price reaches a new historical high, but analysts' target prices and historical & peer valuation comparisons suggest that NVDA's future upside could be limited.\nNVDA's record-high stock price and premium valuations are justified to a large extent by its above-expectations quarterly results and the strong performance of its gaming & data center businesses.\nNvidia Corporation is not a good buy now, as expectations are relatively high now as evidenced by its valuations and there are considerable risks relating to earnings disappointment.\nI think that a Neutral rating for Nvidia is fair; the company's long-term growth prospects are good, but it will be challenging for the stock to meet the market's near-term growth expectations.\n\nPhoto by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News via Getty Images\nElevator Pitch\nI have a Neutral rating assigned to Nvidia Corporation (NVDA).\nNvidia's stock price reached a new historical high, but analysts' target prices and historical & peer valuation comparisons suggest that NVDA's future upside could be limited. NVDA's record-high stock price and premium valuations are justified to a large extent by its above-expectations quarterly results and the strong performance of its gaming & data center businesses.\nNvidia Corporation is not a good buy now, in my view, as expectations are relatively high now as evidenced by its valuations and there are considerable risks relating to earnings disappointment. I think that a Neutral rating for Nvidia is fair; the company's long-term growth prospects are good, but it will be challenging for the stock to meet the market's near-term growth expectations.\nCompany Description\nOn its investor relations website, Nvidia Corporation calls itself \"the pioneer of GPU (Graphics Processing Unit)-accelerated computing\", a company focused on \"products and platforms for the large, growing markets of gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive.\" NVDA was started in 1993 and listed on Nasdaq in 1999.\nNvidia generated 47% and 40% of the company's FY 2021 (YE January 31) revenue from its gaming and data center markets, respectively. The professional visualization, automotive, and OEM & others markets accounted for the remaining 6%, 3% and 4% of NVDA's sales, respectively in the most recent fiscal year.\nThe company also derived 27%, 23%, 19% and 7% of its top line from Taiwan, China, the US and Europe (based on where its direct customers are located), respectively in FY 2021. The rest of Asia Pacific and other countries contributed the other 19% and 5% of NVDA's revenue in the last fiscal year, respectively.\nNvidia Stock Price\nIt has been a great one year and five months for Nvidia's shareholders, with respect to the company's stock price performance. Nvidia's share price rose by +186% from $234.83 as of December 31, 2019 to $671.13 as of June 2, 2021.\nThe majority of Wall Street seem to be positive on Nvidia, with 65% and 20% of the sell-side analysts covering the stock having \"Very Bullish\" and \"Bullish\" ratings for the stock, respectively. But the analysts' target prices tell a different story. Based on S&P Capital data, the mean sell-side target price for Nvidia Corporation is $709.26, while the median target price set by analysts is $720. In other words, the market on average only expects a +5%-6% upside for Nvidia's stock price of $671.13 as of June 2, 2021.\nWhile it is possible that some of the sell-side analysts might have yet to publish new research reports updating their target prices, the relatively limited upside implied by Wall Street analysts' target prices does suggest Nvidia's stock price and valuations are not particularly attractive.\nAs per the valuation comparison tables below, the market currently values Nvidia Corporation at a significant premium to its historical valuation averages and peer comparables.\nHistorical Valuation Comparison For Nvidia Corporation\n\n\n\nNvidia's Valuation Multiple\nConsensus Forward Next Twelve Months' Enterprise Value-To-Revenue\nConsensus Forward Next Twelve Months' EV/EBITDA\nConsensus Forward Next Twelve Months' Normalized P/E\n\n\nLatest Valuation Multiple As Of June 2, 2021\n16.3\n42.0\n41.9\n\n\nHistorical Three-Year Average Valuation Multiple\n12.1\n39.1\n36.6\n\n\nHistorical Five-Year Average Valuation Multiple\n10.7\n34.0\n35.9\n\n\nHistorical 10-Year Average Valuation Multiple\n6.1\n20.9\n25.5\n\n\n\nSource: S&P Capital IQ\nPeer Valuation Comparison For Nvidia Corporation\n\n\n\nStock\nConsensus Current Fiscal Year Enterprise Value-To-Revenue\nConsensus Forward One Fiscal Year Enterprise Value-To-Revenue\nConsensus Current Fiscal Year EV/EBITDA\nConsensus Forward One Fiscal Year EV/EBITDA\nConsensus Current Fiscal Year Normalized P/E\nConsensus Forward One Fiscal Year Normalized P/E\n\n\nNvidia Corporation\n16.4\n14.8\n41.4\n40.9\n42.3\n39.1\n\n\nAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc (AMD)\n6.4\n5.4\n26.9\n21.7\n37.9\n30.6\n\n\nIntel Corporation (INTC)\n3.4\n3.3\n7.6\n7.3\n12.4\n12.6\n\n\n\nSource: S&P Capital IQ\nIn the next section of this article, I examine Nvidia Corporation's recent financial performance to see if the stock's high stock price and valuations are justified.\nWhy Is Nvidia Stock So High?\nNvidia reported the company's 1Q FY 2022 (February 1, 2021 to April 30, 2021) financial results last week on May 26, 2021. Nvidia Corporation's most recent quarterly financial performance beat market expectations, and specifically, its core gaming and data center businesses did very well. This justifies NVDA's strong year-to-date 2021 share price performance as highlighted in the preceding section.\nThe company's total revenue expanded by +84% YoY and +13% QoQ to $5,661 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2022. This was the highest quarterly revenue in Nvidia's history, and NVDA's top line came in +5% better than what Wall Street analysts were forecasting. Nvidia Corporation's 1Q FY 2022 diluted non-GAAP (mainly adjusted for stock compensation and M&A-related expenses) earnings per share of $3.66 also represented impressive QoQ and YoY growth rates of +18% and +103%, respectively. The company's bottom line was +12% higher than market consensus' quarterly earnings per share forecasts.\nNotably, NVDA's key gaming and data center businesses drove the company's better-than-expected financial performance in the most recent quarter.\nThe gaming business' revenue grew by +11% QoQ and +106% YoY to $2,760 million in 1Q FY 2022. The robust growth for the gaming business was mainly attributable to higher gaming demand as a result of Work-From-Home or WFH tailwinds brought about by COVID-19, and the good performance of the company's new GeForce RTX 30 Series GPUs since its introduction to the market in September 2020. Cryptocurrency mining was also another tailwind for NVDA in 1Q FY 2022, which is detailed in the next section of this article.\nLooking ahead, a key growth driver for Nvidia's gaming business in the coming quarters is the recent launch of \"new GeForce RTX 3050 and GeForce RTX 3050 Ti laptops\" with more than 140 \"mass-market\" models available priced as low as $799, as per the company's May 11, 2021 media release.\nSeparately, sales for Nvidia Corporation's data center business increased by +79% YoY and +8% QoQ to $2,048 million in the first quarter of the current fiscal year, which was also a new historical high. It is also noteworthy that this is the sixth consecutive quarter that the data center business has set a new historical record in terms of quarterly revenue, which is indicative of the business' strong growth momentum.\nSpecifically, the completion of the acquisition of Mellanox Technologies in April 2020 has been the key driving force behind the excellent growth of Nvidia Corporation's data center business. According to Mellanox Technologies' corporate profile that is available on its website, the company is a \"supplier of end-to-end Ethernet and InfiniBand intelligent interconnect solutions and services for servers, storage, and hyper-converged infrastructure\", and Nvidia's hyperscale data center clients had strong demand for Mellanox Technologies' products. At the company's recent 1Q FY 2022 results briefing, NVDA also disclosed that it \"achieved key design wins and proof-of-concept trials for the NVIDIA BlueField-2 DPU (Data Processing Unit) with cloud service providers and consumer Internet companies.\"\nMoving forward, the increased adoption of the NVIDIA BlueField-2 A100 (\"a converged card that combines GPUs and DPUs\" based onmedia release) and the recent launch of the NVIDIA BlueField-3 DPU (referred to the \"first DPU built for AI and accelerated computing\" at company's recent earnings call) in April 2021, are expected to boost the future revenue growth prospects of the data center business.\nGiven that Nvidia Corporation benefited from WFH tailwinds to a large extent in FY 2021, it is no surprise that the market expects the company's top line and bottom line growth to slow in FY 2022 as per S&P Capital IQ estimates. Market consensus sees Nvidia Corporation's revenue growth moderating from +53% in FY 2021 to 49% in FY 2022, while sell-side analysts anticipate that NVDA's normalized earnings growth will go from +75% in the most recent fiscal year to +59% in the current fiscal year.\nMore importantly, I think that there could be downside to Nvidia Corporation's FY 2022 financial forecasts, which I elaborate on in the subsequent section.\nIs Nvidia A Good Buy Now?\nI don't think that Nvidia is a good buy now. As highlighted in an earlier section of the article, Nvidia Corporation's stock price is high and its valuations are rich. More significantly, I see downside risks for NVDA's FY 2022 earnings, which I explain below.\nNvidia's strong gaming business performance in 1Q FY 2022 was partly driven by cryptocurrency mining. The company acknowledged at its recent 1Q FY 2022 earnings call that its \"gaming (business) also benefited from crypto mining demand\", while emphasizing that \"it's hard to estimate exactly how much and where crypto mining is being done.\" Assuming that the price of cryptocurrencies drop significantly, demand for Nvidia's gaming GPUs could be adversely impacted. Notably, Nvidia's stock price fell to a \"16-month low\" in late-November 2018, after the price of bitcoin dropped by -30% in a week, according to a November 26, 2018PC Gamer article. The possibility of a repeat of such volatility in the price of cryptocurrencies and Nvidia's share price can't be ruled out.\nFor NVDA's other key data center business, the current semiconductor chip shortage situation is one to watch. Charlie Boyle, who is the general manager of the Nvidia DGX division,mentioned in a recent April 2021 interview with The Data Center Podcast that the data center business \"hasn't been short on CPUs or GPUs\" although \"it's taken a lot of extra work by the company's operations team to source other components.\" The chip shortage represents another potential downside risk to Nvidia Corporation's FY 2022 revenue & earnings, although it does not seem to be an issue for now.\nA stock is a good buy when its share price and valuation reflect relatively modest expectations, and there is a good chance of upside surprises. The reverse is true for Nvidia now i.e. lofty expectations and a high probability of downside surprises.\nIs Nvidia A Good Stock To Buy Now?\nI like Nvidia as a company and I am positive on its long-term growth trajectory. However, I don't see Nvidia as a good stock to buy now.\nAs per the chart below, Nvidia operates in fast-growing markets with lots of potential in the future. Things like virtual reality, augmented reality and artificial intelligence are important future trends, and Nvidia Corporation is a key beneficiary of such growth tailwinds. Separately, Nvidia's proposed acquisition of ARM Limited expected to conclude in early-2022, will help to address any semiconductor chip shortage issues in the medium term. Also, paying for the majority of ARM Limited acquisition consideration with its own shares (as opposed) is positive. From a capital allocation perspective, it is value-accretive to repurchase shares when one's shares are under-valued and issue shares (to drive future growth) when one's shares are over-valued.\nAn Overview Of Nvidia's Key Markets And Their Respective Growth Drivers\nSource: Nvidia's 1Q FY 2022 Investor Presentation Slides\nOn the flip side, as explained in the prior section of this article, growth expectations for Nvidia Corporation are very high, which translate into a high probability of earnings disappointment and valuation de-rating as a result.\nNvidia Corporation's key risks are a larger-than-expected decline in the price of cryptocurrencies which depresses gaming GPU demand, and the semiconductor chip shortage situation worsening to the point that it affects the company's data center business.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112452542,"gmtCreate":1622907284786,"gmtModify":1704193189941,"author":{"id":"3585960342090985","authorId":"3585960342090985","name":"AugusTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0bf131cf8680ca2df10a6d41e89a96","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585960342090985","idStr":"3585960342090985"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well they're fund manager, not fund manager I guess","listText":"Well they're fund manager, not fund manager I guess","text":"Well they're fund manager, not fund manager I guess","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112452542","repostId":"1114675600","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114675600","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622859189,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114675600?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-05 10:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114675600","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to ","content":"<p>It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to ignore it.</p>\n<p>It all started with GameStop (ticker: GME) in January;since then, retail traders on Reddit message boards have collaborated to push share prices higher for several small-company stocks. These companies—such as Express(EXPR),BlackBerry(BB),Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY),and others—aren’t any more profitable or otherwise more attractive based on fundamentals. Investors left owning the stock after the initial promoters of the shares sell their stakes often end up with a losing investment.</p>\n<p>Small-cap fund managers, for the most part, have avoided these stocks. “Oftentimes, [meme stocks] do not meet our criteria,” says Jamie Cuellar, manager of the $1.2 billion Buffalo Small Capfund (BUFSX). “And we do not change our investment process if the market is rewarding meme stocks.” Chris Retzer, manager of the $228 million Needham Small Cap Growthfund (NESGX), says the same: “We would not chase those names based on our fundamental viewpoints.”</p>\n<p>That’s good news for investors, though a challenging stance for fund managers. Shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC)—the latest leader of meme stocks—surged 418% from May 21 to this past Wednesday, before falling 23% as of Friday’s close. At its peak, the stock became the largest member of the Russell 2000 index—the benchmark against which many small-cap funds are measured—with a market value of $28 billion.GameStop was the third largest member. While each stock makes up less than 1% of the index, their wild surge means that they’ve contributed the most to the small-cap benchmark’s recent gains.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4862424d8d1aacb204de9fce666d5e\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"651\"></p>\n<p>“I can imagine there are many small-cap active managers right now very frustrated by what they’re seeing,” says Ben Johnson, director of global ETF research for Morningstar. In the first five months of 2021, he says, not owning GameStop, or owning less than the benchmark, has been the biggest performance detractor for small-cap value funds. (Because meme stocks are generally of battered companies, they are usually found in the value index.)</p>\n<p>Fund investors, however, should be wary of attributing too much over- or underperformance to whether or not a fund owns meme stocks. Sure, it can be marginally more difficult to beat the benchmark when meme stocks are on a tear. But they don’t have as much influence as many investors think: The Russell 2000 has gained 16% so far this year; AMC and GameStop combined contributed just 1.3 percentage points to that rise. That’s still a high hurdle for active managers to beat. Similarly, when meme stocks drop, it can make benchmark-beating gains look more impressive. Ultimately, the bigger issue is not the performance of meme stocks; it’s that their volatility makes evaluating the performance of funds difficult.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b00008b77302ea5d4f8f76370c5612b8\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"593\"></p>\n<p>What’s more, the Russell 2000 will make its annual reconstitution at the end of June. If AMC and GameStop remain at their current levels, they’ll likely move from the small-cap index into the large-cap Russell 1000. That means if, or when, they tumble again, the drawdown will affect the large-cap index, not the small-cap benchmark.</p>\n<p>“Small-cap managers who are underweight these names are forced into a difficult near-term choice,” wrote Wells Fargo analyst Chris Harvey in a Friday note. “Either add these names before the rebalance to limit relative-performance risk, or cross fingers and hope their prices fall before they are graduated out, i.e., before the underperformance is locked in.”</p>\n<p>Some active funds, including the $4.3 billion BlackRock Advantage Small Cap Corefund (BDSAX), have added AMC and GameStop shares this year. The fund, however, has more than 800 holdings, and those two make up less than 0.3% of its portfolio.</p>\n<p>Many active managers say they’re not too concerned about lagging behind the benchmark due to a lack of meme stocks. For starters, while these small stocks are making big moves and getting a lot of media attention, those moves ultimately have little real effect on the broad universe of small companies. “Meme stocks have minimal impact on long-term small-cap investors who focus on fundamental results,” says Needham’s Retzer. Are his clients concerned? “It’s not even a topic,” he says.</p>\n<p>“People hire discretionary managers to use their discretion,” says Morningstar’s Johnson. “I would think they’d want the managers to stick to their guns and keep their cool through the environments we’re living through now.”</p>\n<p>Fund investors should evaluate funds’ performance relative to other, similar funds, rather than their performance relative to the Russell 2000 benchmark. It’s also important to take a look at funds’ risk-adjusted returns—even if a fund does well owning meme stocks, those returns come with more inherent risk, and it’s important to know that a manager is willing to make momentum bets. If you’re an investor focused on owning good companies that do well because their businesses are growing, it might be OK to underperform the benchmark while the meme market rules.</p>\n<p>This is not to say that active managers should always avoid meme stocks. While meme stocks’ rise is mostly driven by social-media hype rather than genuine fundamental improvements, the rally itself has led to changes that might help these struggling firms turn around. AMC, for one, has been raising money by selling new shares, which could be used to repay debt, acquire rivals, or invest in new growth opportunities.</p>\n<p>The long-term implication of these moves has yet to be determined, says Retzer, but it’s certainly worth monitoring. “What they do with that cash will determine whether these valuation can be supported,” he says. “But under current fundamental analysis, it would be a struggle to view these stocks as value investments right now.”</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 10:13 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/funds-meme-stocks-51622853015?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to ignore it.\nIt all started with GameStop (ticker: GME) in January;since then, retail traders on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/funds-meme-stocks-51622853015?mod=hp_LATEST\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","BB":"黑莓","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线","EXPR":"Express, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/funds-meme-stocks-51622853015?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114675600","content_text":"It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to ignore it.\nIt all started with GameStop (ticker: GME) in January;since then, retail traders on Reddit message boards have collaborated to push share prices higher for several small-company stocks. These companies—such as Express(EXPR),BlackBerry(BB),Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY),and others—aren’t any more profitable or otherwise more attractive based on fundamentals. Investors left owning the stock after the initial promoters of the shares sell their stakes often end up with a losing investment.\nSmall-cap fund managers, for the most part, have avoided these stocks. “Oftentimes, [meme stocks] do not meet our criteria,” says Jamie Cuellar, manager of the $1.2 billion Buffalo Small Capfund (BUFSX). “And we do not change our investment process if the market is rewarding meme stocks.” Chris Retzer, manager of the $228 million Needham Small Cap Growthfund (NESGX), says the same: “We would not chase those names based on our fundamental viewpoints.”\nThat’s good news for investors, though a challenging stance for fund managers. Shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC)—the latest leader of meme stocks—surged 418% from May 21 to this past Wednesday, before falling 23% as of Friday’s close. At its peak, the stock became the largest member of the Russell 2000 index—the benchmark against which many small-cap funds are measured—with a market value of $28 billion.GameStop was the third largest member. While each stock makes up less than 1% of the index, their wild surge means that they’ve contributed the most to the small-cap benchmark’s recent gains.\n\n“I can imagine there are many small-cap active managers right now very frustrated by what they’re seeing,” says Ben Johnson, director of global ETF research for Morningstar. In the first five months of 2021, he says, not owning GameStop, or owning less than the benchmark, has been the biggest performance detractor for small-cap value funds. (Because meme stocks are generally of battered companies, they are usually found in the value index.)\nFund investors, however, should be wary of attributing too much over- or underperformance to whether or not a fund owns meme stocks. Sure, it can be marginally more difficult to beat the benchmark when meme stocks are on a tear. But they don’t have as much influence as many investors think: The Russell 2000 has gained 16% so far this year; AMC and GameStop combined contributed just 1.3 percentage points to that rise. That’s still a high hurdle for active managers to beat. Similarly, when meme stocks drop, it can make benchmark-beating gains look more impressive. Ultimately, the bigger issue is not the performance of meme stocks; it’s that their volatility makes evaluating the performance of funds difficult.\n\nWhat’s more, the Russell 2000 will make its annual reconstitution at the end of June. If AMC and GameStop remain at their current levels, they’ll likely move from the small-cap index into the large-cap Russell 1000. That means if, or when, they tumble again, the drawdown will affect the large-cap index, not the small-cap benchmark.\n“Small-cap managers who are underweight these names are forced into a difficult near-term choice,” wrote Wells Fargo analyst Chris Harvey in a Friday note. “Either add these names before the rebalance to limit relative-performance risk, or cross fingers and hope their prices fall before they are graduated out, i.e., before the underperformance is locked in.”\nSome active funds, including the $4.3 billion BlackRock Advantage Small Cap Corefund (BDSAX), have added AMC and GameStop shares this year. The fund, however, has more than 800 holdings, and those two make up less than 0.3% of its portfolio.\nMany active managers say they’re not too concerned about lagging behind the benchmark due to a lack of meme stocks. For starters, while these small stocks are making big moves and getting a lot of media attention, those moves ultimately have little real effect on the broad universe of small companies. “Meme stocks have minimal impact on long-term small-cap investors who focus on fundamental results,” says Needham’s Retzer. Are his clients concerned? “It’s not even a topic,” he says.\n“People hire discretionary managers to use their discretion,” says Morningstar’s Johnson. “I would think they’d want the managers to stick to their guns and keep their cool through the environments we’re living through now.”\nFund investors should evaluate funds’ performance relative to other, similar funds, rather than their performance relative to the Russell 2000 benchmark. It’s also important to take a look at funds’ risk-adjusted returns—even if a fund does well owning meme stocks, those returns come with more inherent risk, and it’s important to know that a manager is willing to make momentum bets. If you’re an investor focused on owning good companies that do well because their businesses are growing, it might be OK to underperform the benchmark while the meme market rules.\nThis is not to say that active managers should always avoid meme stocks. While meme stocks’ rise is mostly driven by social-media hype rather than genuine fundamental improvements, the rally itself has led to changes that might help these struggling firms turn around. AMC, for one, has been raising money by selling new shares, which could be used to repay debt, acquire rivals, or invest in new growth opportunities.\nThe long-term implication of these moves has yet to be determined, says Retzer, but it’s certainly worth monitoring. “What they do with that cash will determine whether these valuation can be supported,” he says. “But under current fundamental analysis, it would be a struggle to view these stocks as value investments right now.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"EXPR":0.9,"BB":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"RTYmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112458114,"gmtCreate":1622906856138,"gmtModify":1704193186016,"author":{"id":"3585960342090985","authorId":"3585960342090985","name":"AugusTeo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0bf131cf8680ca2df10a6d41e89a96","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3585960342090985","idStr":"3585960342090985"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well they're fund manager, not fun manager I guess","listText":"Well they're fund manager, not fun manager I guess","text":"Well they're fund manager, not fun manager I guess","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112458114","repostId":"1114675600","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114675600","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622859189,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114675600?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-05 10:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114675600","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to ","content":"<p>It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to ignore it.</p>\n<p>It all started with GameStop (ticker: GME) in January;since then, retail traders on Reddit message boards have collaborated to push share prices higher for several small-company stocks. These companies—such as Express(EXPR),BlackBerry(BB),Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY),and others—aren’t any more profitable or otherwise more attractive based on fundamentals. Investors left owning the stock after the initial promoters of the shares sell their stakes often end up with a losing investment.</p>\n<p>Small-cap fund managers, for the most part, have avoided these stocks. “Oftentimes, [meme stocks] do not meet our criteria,” says Jamie Cuellar, manager of the $1.2 billion Buffalo Small Capfund (BUFSX). “And we do not change our investment process if the market is rewarding meme stocks.” Chris Retzer, manager of the $228 million Needham Small Cap Growthfund (NESGX), says the same: “We would not chase those names based on our fundamental viewpoints.”</p>\n<p>That’s good news for investors, though a challenging stance for fund managers. Shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC)—the latest leader of meme stocks—surged 418% from May 21 to this past Wednesday, before falling 23% as of Friday’s close. At its peak, the stock became the largest member of the Russell 2000 index—the benchmark against which many small-cap funds are measured—with a market value of $28 billion.GameStop was the third largest member. While each stock makes up less than 1% of the index, their wild surge means that they’ve contributed the most to the small-cap benchmark’s recent gains.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f4862424d8d1aacb204de9fce666d5e\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"651\"></p>\n<p>“I can imagine there are many small-cap active managers right now very frustrated by what they’re seeing,” says Ben Johnson, director of global ETF research for Morningstar. In the first five months of 2021, he says, not owning GameStop, or owning less than the benchmark, has been the biggest performance detractor for small-cap value funds. (Because meme stocks are generally of battered companies, they are usually found in the value index.)</p>\n<p>Fund investors, however, should be wary of attributing too much over- or underperformance to whether or not a fund owns meme stocks. Sure, it can be marginally more difficult to beat the benchmark when meme stocks are on a tear. But they don’t have as much influence as many investors think: The Russell 2000 has gained 16% so far this year; AMC and GameStop combined contributed just 1.3 percentage points to that rise. That’s still a high hurdle for active managers to beat. Similarly, when meme stocks drop, it can make benchmark-beating gains look more impressive. Ultimately, the bigger issue is not the performance of meme stocks; it’s that their volatility makes evaluating the performance of funds difficult.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b00008b77302ea5d4f8f76370c5612b8\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"593\"></p>\n<p>What’s more, the Russell 2000 will make its annual reconstitution at the end of June. If AMC and GameStop remain at their current levels, they’ll likely move from the small-cap index into the large-cap Russell 1000. That means if, or when, they tumble again, the drawdown will affect the large-cap index, not the small-cap benchmark.</p>\n<p>“Small-cap managers who are underweight these names are forced into a difficult near-term choice,” wrote Wells Fargo analyst Chris Harvey in a Friday note. “Either add these names before the rebalance to limit relative-performance risk, or cross fingers and hope their prices fall before they are graduated out, i.e., before the underperformance is locked in.”</p>\n<p>Some active funds, including the $4.3 billion BlackRock Advantage Small Cap Corefund (BDSAX), have added AMC and GameStop shares this year. The fund, however, has more than 800 holdings, and those two make up less than 0.3% of its portfolio.</p>\n<p>Many active managers say they’re not too concerned about lagging behind the benchmark due to a lack of meme stocks. For starters, while these small stocks are making big moves and getting a lot of media attention, those moves ultimately have little real effect on the broad universe of small companies. “Meme stocks have minimal impact on long-term small-cap investors who focus on fundamental results,” says Needham’s Retzer. Are his clients concerned? “It’s not even a topic,” he says.</p>\n<p>“People hire discretionary managers to use their discretion,” says Morningstar’s Johnson. “I would think they’d want the managers to stick to their guns and keep their cool through the environments we’re living through now.”</p>\n<p>Fund investors should evaluate funds’ performance relative to other, similar funds, rather than their performance relative to the Russell 2000 benchmark. It’s also important to take a look at funds’ risk-adjusted returns—even if a fund does well owning meme stocks, those returns come with more inherent risk, and it’s important to know that a manager is willing to make momentum bets. If you’re an investor focused on owning good companies that do well because their businesses are growing, it might be OK to underperform the benchmark while the meme market rules.</p>\n<p>This is not to say that active managers should always avoid meme stocks. While meme stocks’ rise is mostly driven by social-media hype rather than genuine fundamental improvements, the rally itself has led to changes that might help these struggling firms turn around. AMC, for one, has been raising money by selling new shares, which could be used to repay debt, acquire rivals, or invest in new growth opportunities.</p>\n<p>The long-term implication of these moves has yet to be determined, says Retzer, but it’s certainly worth monitoring. “What they do with that cash will determine whether these valuation can be supported,” he says. “But under current fundamental analysis, it would be a struggle to view these stocks as value investments right now.”</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFund Managers Are Ignoring Meme Stocks. That’s a Good Thing.\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 10:13 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/funds-meme-stocks-51622853015?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to ignore it.\nIt all started with GameStop (ticker: GME) in January;since then, retail traders on ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/funds-meme-stocks-51622853015?mod=hp_LATEST\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","BB":"黑莓","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","AMC":"AMC院线","EXPR":"Express, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/funds-meme-stocks-51622853015?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114675600","content_text":"It’s a meme-stock world; we just live in it—and small-company fund managers are doing their best to ignore it.\nIt all started with GameStop (ticker: GME) in January;since then, retail traders on Reddit message boards have collaborated to push share prices higher for several small-company stocks. These companies—such as Express(EXPR),BlackBerry(BB),Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY),and others—aren’t any more profitable or otherwise more attractive based on fundamentals. Investors left owning the stock after the initial promoters of the shares sell their stakes often end up with a losing investment.\nSmall-cap fund managers, for the most part, have avoided these stocks. “Oftentimes, [meme stocks] do not meet our criteria,” says Jamie Cuellar, manager of the $1.2 billion Buffalo Small Capfund (BUFSX). “And we do not change our investment process if the market is rewarding meme stocks.” Chris Retzer, manager of the $228 million Needham Small Cap Growthfund (NESGX), says the same: “We would not chase those names based on our fundamental viewpoints.”\nThat’s good news for investors, though a challenging stance for fund managers. Shares of AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC)—the latest leader of meme stocks—surged 418% from May 21 to this past Wednesday, before falling 23% as of Friday’s close. At its peak, the stock became the largest member of the Russell 2000 index—the benchmark against which many small-cap funds are measured—with a market value of $28 billion.GameStop was the third largest member. While each stock makes up less than 1% of the index, their wild surge means that they’ve contributed the most to the small-cap benchmark’s recent gains.\n\n“I can imagine there are many small-cap active managers right now very frustrated by what they’re seeing,” says Ben Johnson, director of global ETF research for Morningstar. In the first five months of 2021, he says, not owning GameStop, or owning less than the benchmark, has been the biggest performance detractor for small-cap value funds. (Because meme stocks are generally of battered companies, they are usually found in the value index.)\nFund investors, however, should be wary of attributing too much over- or underperformance to whether or not a fund owns meme stocks. Sure, it can be marginally more difficult to beat the benchmark when meme stocks are on a tear. But they don’t have as much influence as many investors think: The Russell 2000 has gained 16% so far this year; AMC and GameStop combined contributed just 1.3 percentage points to that rise. That’s still a high hurdle for active managers to beat. Similarly, when meme stocks drop, it can make benchmark-beating gains look more impressive. Ultimately, the bigger issue is not the performance of meme stocks; it’s that their volatility makes evaluating the performance of funds difficult.\n\nWhat’s more, the Russell 2000 will make its annual reconstitution at the end of June. If AMC and GameStop remain at their current levels, they’ll likely move from the small-cap index into the large-cap Russell 1000. That means if, or when, they tumble again, the drawdown will affect the large-cap index, not the small-cap benchmark.\n“Small-cap managers who are underweight these names are forced into a difficult near-term choice,” wrote Wells Fargo analyst Chris Harvey in a Friday note. “Either add these names before the rebalance to limit relative-performance risk, or cross fingers and hope their prices fall before they are graduated out, i.e., before the underperformance is locked in.”\nSome active funds, including the $4.3 billion BlackRock Advantage Small Cap Corefund (BDSAX), have added AMC and GameStop shares this year. The fund, however, has more than 800 holdings, and those two make up less than 0.3% of its portfolio.\nMany active managers say they’re not too concerned about lagging behind the benchmark due to a lack of meme stocks. For starters, while these small stocks are making big moves and getting a lot of media attention, those moves ultimately have little real effect on the broad universe of small companies. “Meme stocks have minimal impact on long-term small-cap investors who focus on fundamental results,” says Needham’s Retzer. Are his clients concerned? “It’s not even a topic,” he says.\n“People hire discretionary managers to use their discretion,” says Morningstar’s Johnson. “I would think they’d want the managers to stick to their guns and keep their cool through the environments we’re living through now.”\nFund investors should evaluate funds’ performance relative to other, similar funds, rather than their performance relative to the Russell 2000 benchmark. It’s also important to take a look at funds’ risk-adjusted returns—even if a fund does well owning meme stocks, those returns come with more inherent risk, and it’s important to know that a manager is willing to make momentum bets. If you’re an investor focused on owning good companies that do well because their businesses are growing, it might be OK to underperform the benchmark while the meme market rules.\nThis is not to say that active managers should always avoid meme stocks. While meme stocks’ rise is mostly driven by social-media hype rather than genuine fundamental improvements, the rally itself has led to changes that might help these struggling firms turn around. AMC, for one, has been raising money by selling new shares, which could be used to repay debt, acquire rivals, or invest in new growth opportunities.\nThe long-term implication of these moves has yet to be determined, says Retzer, but it’s certainly worth monitoring. “What they do with that cash will determine whether these valuation can be supported,” he says. “But under current fundamental analysis, it would be a struggle to view these stocks as value investments right now.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"EXPR":0.9,"BB":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"RTYmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}