Profile - To The Moon

jamesathon

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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2022-12-26
  Definitely owning apple, netflix and disney stocks. Additionally owning more ETF stocks such as VOO and VYM. Last but not least, some tesla shares as well.
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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2022-04-06
  $ADVANCED SYSTEMS AUTOMATION(5TY.SI)$oh golly
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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2021-09-12
  Like
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2021-09-06
  Nice
  GameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
  U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then feat
  GameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2021-09-05
  Like
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2021-09-01
  Nice
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2021-08-31
  Nice
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2021-08-30
  Oh no
  The Coming Inflation Shock
  The Coming Inflation Shock Rents (surge) are about to impact PCE and CPI. A surge in PPI is flowing
  The Coming Inflation Shock
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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2021-08-28
  Nice, and please like
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- jamesathonjamesathon
  ·2021-08-27
  This is not good.Please like :)
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The August consumer price index will be out the following week, on Sept. 14.</p>\n<p>On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will release its latest beige book, full of updates on economic, hiring, and business conditions in each of the dozen central bank districts. The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday, but is widely expected to hold its target interest rate at its current level of negative 0.5%.</p>\n<p><b>Monday 9/6</b></p>\n<p>Stock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p>\n<p><b>Tuesday 9/7</b></p>\n<p>Casey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.</p>\n<p><b>Wednesday 9/8</b></p>\n<p>Copart, GameStop, and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results.</p>\n<p>Analog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.</p>\n<p>Global Payments, Johnson Controls International, and ResMed hold virtual investor days.</p>\n<p>The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.</p>\n<p>The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.</p>\n<p><b>Thursday 9/9</b></p>\n<p>Home Depot hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.</p>\n<p>Moderna hosts its fifth annual R&amp;D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.</p>\n<p>Danaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.</p>\n<p>International Paper, Synchrony Financial, and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.</p>\n<p>The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.</p>\n<p>The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.</p>\n<p><b>Friday 9/10</b></p>\n<p>The BLS reports the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.</p>\n<p>Kroger holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Moderna, Home Depot, Kroger, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-06 06:56 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-moderna-home-depot-kroger-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51630853023?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then features several notable company updates and economic data releases.\nGameStop and Lululemon Athletica ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-moderna-home-depot-kroger-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51630853023?mod=hp_LATEST\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KR":"克罗格",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","HD":"家得宝",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-moderna-home-depot-kroger-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51630853023?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143325200","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day. The holiday-shortened week then features several notable company updates and economic data releases.\nGameStop and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results on Wednesday, followed by International Paper on Thursday and Kroger on Friday. Analog Devices—fresh off of its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products—will host an investor day on Wednesday. Moderna, Danaher, and Home Depot managements will also speak with investors on Thursday. Finally, Albemarle hosts an investor day on Friday.\nThe economic data highlight of the week will be Friday’s August producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists’ consensus estimate is for a 0.6% monthly rise in the headline index, and a 0.5% increase for the core PPI—which leaves out more volatile food and energy prices. Both the core and headline indexes rose 1% in July. The August consumer price index will be out the following week, on Sept. 14.\nOn Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will release its latest beige book, full of updates on economic, hiring, and business conditions in each of the dozen central bank districts. The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday, but is widely expected to hold its target interest rate at its current level of negative 0.5%.\nMonday 9/6\nStock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.\nTuesday 9/7\nCasey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.\nWednesday 9/8\nCopart, GameStop, and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results.\nAnalog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.\nGlobal Payments, Johnson Controls International, and ResMed hold virtual investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.\nThe Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.\nThe Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.\nThursday 9/9\nHome Depot hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.\nModerna hosts its fifth annual R&D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.\nDanaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.\nInternational Paper, Synchrony Financial, and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.\nThe European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.\nFriday 9/10\nThe BLS reports the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.\nKroger holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"KR":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"HD":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814862200,"gmtCreate":1630806886500,"gmtModify":1676530397354,"author":{"id":"3586066377351912","authorId":"3586066377351912","name":"jamesathon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19a073940712aba6c764eff10df0cad2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586066377351912","authorIdStr":"3586066377351912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/814862200","repostId":"2164803577","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816921530,"gmtCreate":1630461554420,"gmtModify":1676530309675,"author":{"id":"3586066377351912","authorId":"3586066377351912","name":"jamesathon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19a073940712aba6c764eff10df0cad2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586066377351912","authorIdStr":"3586066377351912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/816921530","repostId":"1127254265","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818319829,"gmtCreate":1630375398461,"gmtModify":1676530284660,"author":{"id":"3586066377351912","authorId":"3586066377351912","name":"jamesathon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19a073940712aba6c764eff10df0cad2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586066377351912","authorIdStr":"3586066377351912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/818319829","repostId":"1115065229","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811072644,"gmtCreate":1630281308488,"gmtModify":1676530254484,"author":{"id":"3586066377351912","authorId":"3586066377351912","name":"jamesathon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19a073940712aba6c764eff10df0cad2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586066377351912","authorIdStr":"3586066377351912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/811072644","repostId":"1113860468","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113860468","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630280706,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113860468?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-30 07:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Coming Inflation Shock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113860468","media":"zerohedge","summary":"The Coming Inflation Shock\nRents (surge) are about to impact PCE and CPI. A surge in PPI is flowing ","content":"<p><b>The Coming Inflation Shock</b></p>\n<p><i><b>Rents (surge) are about to impact PCE and CPI. A surge in PPI is flowing into CPI.</b></i></p>\n<p>History will record that during the present time the most used word was \"inflation\" and the second most used word was \"temporary.\"</p>\n<p>What isn't in this life transitory? But if inflation lasts three years because of a demand shift caused by a zero-carbon emissions goal consensus, then call it what you will, we at The Bear Traps will allocate capital accordingly. It reminds us of Marty Zweig not caring if the down stock market was a correction or a bear market. Either way, he didn't want to be long stocks. We don't really care if inflation ends a year or three from now. We want to be long energy and metals.</p>\n<p>By insisting on the word \"transitory\" all the Fed is signaling is that it is ignoring and will continue to ignore prices of goods and services. It's brilliant in its own way because if six months from now prices are still going up, the Fed will merely say that, aha, now, surely, inflation is transitory. And it will play that game every six months for years if it can. It will only change its tune when things get so bad it has to change. As we have pointed out several times in the past, even Volcker didn't fight inflation until he saw directly that inflation was increasing unemployment.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c269ea9398ed80b4d4712245b3082085\" tg-width=\"820\" tg-height=\"478\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Some things are different now, of course than in Volcker's day, the primary one being the Fed owns such a large portion of the treasury float that the treasury market has lost most, not all, of its signal value. This type of thing is not without precedent, by the way. The early 1930s devaluation of the dollar caused gold to go from just above $20 to $35, where it remained fixed into Nixon's administration. That was a long time.</p>\n<p>What is clear is that US bond yields have a negative real return. If you own treasuries, you are pretty much guaranteed to lose money in real terms.&nbsp;This should cause borrowing to increase, which in fact has happened. Mortgage debt is above $10 trillion, surpassing the pre-Lehman crash peak.&nbsp;An expansionary monetary and fiscal policy assumes that by extending credit, people will still by everything at increasingly higher prices no matter what. The reality is somewhat different. At first it goes along that way, true enough, but then comes a sticker shock pause, followed by a hoarding panic buying spree.</p>\n<p>Normally this last phase causes a run on the currency which is akin to throwing nitroglycerin into a raging fire. At this point, central banks cave, raise rates, and accept the stock market selloff and economic recession. Unless, of course, yours is a reserve currency. That can, but doesn't have to, change the game theory. Bottom line: Fed and Treasury probably figure they can get away with whatever they want to do. Of course, if they are wrong, it's an unmitigated disaster. And yet, of course, something like a 9% weaker greenback would probably be welcomed by Fed and Treasury.</p>\n<p>A further nuance is the fact that the Central Banks coordinate monetary policy. This is of necessity. When foreign banking systems are in trouble, it is the Fed that extends emergency swap lines to provide eurodollar liquidity to other Central Banks. Under such a circumstance, it would be unthinkable for monetary policy not to be coordinated on a global scale.&nbsp;So monetary policy is loose on a global scale, such that trillions of debt trade at negative nominal yields. Inflation just adds insult to that injury.&nbsp;But adding to inflation is supply constraint, not short term supply disruption, but long term supply absence altogether. There has been little mining activity to find new sources of metals for over a decade. As build local becomes the imperative, we note that not only has our industrial base not grown, it has shrunk, and in dramatic fashion. If any infrastructure bill passes, the drama will only become that much more accute. A negative supply shift away from China paired with a positive demand shift in infrastructure is the very stuff inflationary nightmares are made of.</p>\n<p>Additionally, we have stressed the dawn of the age of the power of labor. Labor is harder to find and more expensive. And after decades of getting shafted, it is only fair the pendulum is finally swinging the other way. But labor inflation is difficult to cure for the simple reason that a majority of the voting population doesn't see getting paid more money as a problem.</p>\n<p>And finally, we have the problem of more money supply. At this point, money creation is no longer the immediate risk. No. The immediate risk is an increase in the velocity of the money that has already been created. Velocity has collapsed to such an extent that simply to mean revert to its downward regression line of old would be massively inflationary. But of course the velocity of money will increase as transactions increase in a global synchronized post Covid scenario. And finally, once the global economy kicks into high gear for several quarters, then, and only then, will banks start to aggressively lend thereby increasing the money supply magnificently.</p>\n<p>So sustainable inflation seems fairly inevitable at this point even if years from now it proves \"transitory.\"</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Coming Inflation Shock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Coming Inflation Shock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-30 07:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/coming-inflation-shock><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Coming Inflation Shock\nRents (surge) are about to impact PCE and CPI. A surge in PPI is flowing into CPI.\nHistory will record that during the present time the most used word was \"inflation\" and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/coming-inflation-shock\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/coming-inflation-shock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113860468","content_text":"The Coming Inflation Shock\nRents (surge) are about to impact PCE and CPI. A surge in PPI is flowing into CPI.\nHistory will record that during the present time the most used word was \"inflation\" and the second most used word was \"temporary.\"\nWhat isn't in this life transitory? But if inflation lasts three years because of a demand shift caused by a zero-carbon emissions goal consensus, then call it what you will, we at The Bear Traps will allocate capital accordingly. It reminds us of Marty Zweig not caring if the down stock market was a correction or a bear market. Either way, he didn't want to be long stocks. We don't really care if inflation ends a year or three from now. We want to be long energy and metals.\nBy insisting on the word \"transitory\" all the Fed is signaling is that it is ignoring and will continue to ignore prices of goods and services. It's brilliant in its own way because if six months from now prices are still going up, the Fed will merely say that, aha, now, surely, inflation is transitory. And it will play that game every six months for years if it can. It will only change its tune when things get so bad it has to change. As we have pointed out several times in the past, even Volcker didn't fight inflation until he saw directly that inflation was increasing unemployment.\n\nSome things are different now, of course than in Volcker's day, the primary one being the Fed owns such a large portion of the treasury float that the treasury market has lost most, not all, of its signal value. This type of thing is not without precedent, by the way. The early 1930s devaluation of the dollar caused gold to go from just above $20 to $35, where it remained fixed into Nixon's administration. That was a long time.\nWhat is clear is that US bond yields have a negative real return. If you own treasuries, you are pretty much guaranteed to lose money in real terms. This should cause borrowing to increase, which in fact has happened. Mortgage debt is above $10 trillion, surpassing the pre-Lehman crash peak. An expansionary monetary and fiscal policy assumes that by extending credit, people will still by everything at increasingly higher prices no matter what. The reality is somewhat different. At first it goes along that way, true enough, but then comes a sticker shock pause, followed by a hoarding panic buying spree.\nNormally this last phase causes a run on the currency which is akin to throwing nitroglycerin into a raging fire. At this point, central banks cave, raise rates, and accept the stock market selloff and economic recession. Unless, of course, yours is a reserve currency. That can, but doesn't have to, change the game theory. Bottom line: Fed and Treasury probably figure they can get away with whatever they want to do. Of course, if they are wrong, it's an unmitigated disaster. And yet, of course, something like a 9% weaker greenback would probably be welcomed by Fed and Treasury.\nA further nuance is the fact that the Central Banks coordinate monetary policy. This is of necessity. When foreign banking systems are in trouble, it is the Fed that extends emergency swap lines to provide eurodollar liquidity to other Central Banks. Under such a circumstance, it would be unthinkable for monetary policy not to be coordinated on a global scale. So monetary policy is loose on a global scale, such that trillions of debt trade at negative nominal yields. Inflation just adds insult to that injury. But adding to inflation is supply constraint, not short term supply disruption, but long term supply absence altogether. There has been little mining activity to find new sources of metals for over a decade. As build local becomes the imperative, we note that not only has our industrial base not grown, it has shrunk, and in dramatic fashion. If any infrastructure bill passes, the drama will only become that much more accute. A negative supply shift away from China paired with a positive demand shift in infrastructure is the very stuff inflationary nightmares are made of.\nAdditionally, we have stressed the dawn of the age of the power of labor. Labor is harder to find and more expensive. And after decades of getting shafted, it is only fair the pendulum is finally swinging the other way. But labor inflation is difficult to cure for the simple reason that a majority of the voting population doesn't see getting paid more money as a problem.\nAnd finally, we have the problem of more money supply. At this point, money creation is no longer the immediate risk. No. The immediate risk is an increase in the velocity of the money that has already been created. Velocity has collapsed to such an extent that simply to mean revert to its downward regression line of old would be massively inflationary. But of course the velocity of money will increase as transactions increase in a global synchronized post Covid scenario. And finally, once the global economy kicks into high gear for several quarters, then, and only then, will banks start to aggressively lend thereby increasing the money supply magnificently.\nSo sustainable inflation seems fairly inevitable at this point even if years from now it proves \"transitory.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819748177,"gmtCreate":1630110603499,"gmtModify":1676530225952,"author":{"id":"3586066377351912","authorId":"3586066377351912","name":"jamesathon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19a073940712aba6c764eff10df0cad2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586066377351912","authorIdStr":"3586066377351912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice, and please like","listText":"Nice, and please like","text":"Nice, and please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/819748177","repostId":"2162521078","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819999812,"gmtCreate":1630025658936,"gmtModify":1676530202681,"author":{"id":"3586066377351912","authorId":"3586066377351912","name":"jamesathon","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19a073940712aba6c764eff10df0cad2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586066377351912","authorIdStr":"3586066377351912"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is not good.Please like :)&nbsp;","listText":"This is not good.Please like :)&nbsp;","text":"This is not good.Please like :)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/819999812","repostId":"2162847016","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}