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Jasonsparrow

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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2024-08-01
  Sept
  经济降温警报频响，美联储年内三次降息稳了？
  美国7月制造业活动进一步萎缩，初请数据再次证明就业市场放缓，交易员完全定价美联储年内将降息三次。
  经济降温警报频响，美联储年内三次降息稳了？
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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2024-01-12
  $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$
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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2023-07-19
  $美国超微公司(AMD)$
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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2023-06-27
  $应用软件(BK4023)$ fly
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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2022-12-21
  $小鹏汽车(XPEV)$
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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2022-12-14
  $AMC院线(AMC)$
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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2022-12-14
  $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$
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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2022-11-14
  $科尔士百货(KSS)$
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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2022-11-14
  $Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$ Good
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- JasonsparrowJasonsparrow
  ·2022-10-26
  $AMC院线(AMC)$
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01:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"经济降温警报频响，美联储年内三次降息稳了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2456576431","media":"金十数据","summary":"美国7月制造业活动进一步萎缩，初请数据再次证明就业市场放缓，交易员完全定价美联储年内将降息三次。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周四，更多的数据凸显出美国经济面临的挑战，包括制造业活动萎缩幅度加深，以及就业市场进一步降温。</p><p>数据显示，<strong>美国7月ISM制造业PMI</strong>录得46.8，不及预期的48.8和前值48.5，为2023年11月以来新低。<strong>美国6月营建支出月率</strong>录得-0.3%，远低于预期的0.2%，为2022年10月以来最大降幅，前值从-0.1%下修至-0.4%。稍早的时候，<strong>美国初请失业金人数</strong>录得24.9万人，超过预期的23.6万人，为2023年8月5日当周以来新高。</p><p>数据公布后，美债延续反弹，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/US10Y.BOND\">美国10年期国债收益率</a>跌破4%，至2月份以来最低。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>短线走低10余点。现货黄金一度站上2460美元/盎司，最高升至2462.21美元/盎司，随后掉头向下，短线波幅约14美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d695e1eb756f3556a8673b3544898b6\" tg-width=\"1250\" tg-height=\"704\"/></p><p>ISM制造业商业调查委员会主席Timothy Fiore表示，7月份制造业经济活动连续第四个月萎缩，也是过去21个月以来的第20次萎缩。美国制造业活动进入了更深的收缩阶段。需求再次疲软，产出下降，投入总体上保持宽松。由于当前的联邦货币政策和其他条件，企业表现出不愿意投资资本和库存。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPGI\">标普全球</a>市场情报公司首席商业经济学家Chris Williamson指出，制造业的复苏在7月份出现了逆转，尽管在经济增长黯淡的同时，<strong>商品生产部门的通胀也明显降温</strong>。此外，由于<strong>新订单自4月份以来首次下降</strong>，导致生产几近停滞，7月份企业的经营状况进一步恶化。它们担心销售弱于预期，因此采购活动正在下降，招聘也已放缓，<strong>就业人口创四年来最大降幅</strong>。</p><p>不过，Williamson认为这种低迷也是情有可原的。他说，“许多企业预计这种疲软是暂时的，与总统大选前暂停支出和投资有关。”</p><p>然而，从历史标准来看，企业对一年后产出的预期仍然偏低，这反映出企业对利率上升和持续通胀的影响更加担忧。7月份，厂房和机械等投资品的订单降幅尤为明显，凸显了近期资本支出的回落，而消费品生产商也报告需求略有下降。</p><p>通胀方面则有更好的消息。Williamson指出，投入成本通胀在5月份升至13个月高点后，7月份已经连续第二个月降温。投入成本的降低帮助进一步缓解了销售价格通胀的压力。7月份，销售价格通胀大幅放缓至一年来的最低水平。他认为，<strong>这种生产者价格通胀几乎为零的情况应该会在未来几个月内传导至消费者价格通胀的下降。</strong></p><p>与此同时，美国初请失业金人数升至近一年来的最高水平，进一步证明劳动力市场正在放缓。续领失业金人数在截至7月20日的一周也上升至188万人，为2021年11月以来的最高水平。</p><p>在一系列令人担忧的经济数据公布后，目前<strong>美联储利率互换市场完全定价年底前将有3次降息。</strong></p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n经济降温警报频响，美联储年内三次降息稳了？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-08-02 01:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=144810&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>周四，更多的数据凸显出美国经济面临的挑战，包括制造业活动萎缩幅度加深，以及就业市场进一步降温。数据显示，美国7月ISM制造业PMI录得46.8，不及预期的48.8和前值48.5，为2023年11月以来新低。美国6月营建支出月率录得-0.3%，远低于预期的0.2%，为2022年10月以来最大降幅，前值从-0.1%下修至-0.4%。稍早的时候，美国初请失业金人数录得24.9万人，超过预期的23.6万人...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=144810&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/654649f0d683db15e6503138da196ca4","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=144810&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2456576431","content_text":"周四，更多的数据凸显出美国经济面临的挑战，包括制造业活动萎缩幅度加深，以及就业市场进一步降温。数据显示，美国7月ISM制造业PMI录得46.8，不及预期的48.8和前值48.5，为2023年11月以来新低。美国6月营建支出月率录得-0.3%，远低于预期的0.2%，为2022年10月以来最大降幅，前值从-0.1%下修至-0.4%。稍早的时候，美国初请失业金人数录得24.9万人，超过预期的23.6万人，为2023年8月5日当周以来新高。数据公布后，美债延续反弹，美国10年期国债收益率跌破4%，至2月份以来最低。美元指数短线走低10余点。现货黄金一度站上2460美元/盎司，最高升至2462.21美元/盎司，随后掉头向下，短线波幅约14美元。ISM制造业商业调查委员会主席Timothy Fiore表示，7月份制造业经济活动连续第四个月萎缩，也是过去21个月以来的第20次萎缩。美国制造业活动进入了更深的收缩阶段。需求再次疲软，产出下降，投入总体上保持宽松。由于当前的联邦货币政策和其他条件，企业表现出不愿意投资资本和库存。标普全球市场情报公司首席商业经济学家Chris Williamson指出，制造业的复苏在7月份出现了逆转，尽管在经济增长黯淡的同时，商品生产部门的通胀也明显降温。此外，由于新订单自4月份以来首次下降，导致生产几近停滞，7月份企业的经营状况进一步恶化。它们担心销售弱于预期，因此采购活动正在下降，招聘也已放缓，就业人口创四年来最大降幅。不过，Williamson认为这种低迷也是情有可原的。他说，“许多企业预计这种疲软是暂时的，与总统大选前暂停支出和投资有关。”然而，从历史标准来看，企业对一年后产出的预期仍然偏低，这反映出企业对利率上升和持续通胀的影响更加担忧。7月份，厂房和机械等投资品的订单降幅尤为明显，凸显了近期资本支出的回落，而消费品生产商也报告需求略有下降。通胀方面则有更好的消息。Williamson指出，投入成本通胀在5月份升至13个月高点后，7月份已经连续第二个月降温。投入成本的降低帮助进一步缓解了销售价格通胀的压力。7月份，销售价格通胀大幅放缓至一年来的最低水平。他认为，这种生产者价格通胀几乎为零的情况应该会在未来几个月内传导至消费者价格通胀的下降。与此同时，美国初请失业金人数升至近一年来的最高水平，进一步证明劳动力市场正在放缓。续领失业金人数在截至7月20日的一周也上升至188万人，为2021年11月以来的最高水平。在一系列令人担忧的经济数据公布后，目前美联储利率互换市场完全定价年底前将有3次降息。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":262294483308712,"gmtCreate":1705070941959,"gmtModify":1705070946981,"author":{"id":"4088747122325190","authorId":"4088747122325190","name":"Jasonsparrow","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35d420fa01300f656bd7ce17c862c568","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088747122325190","idStr":"4088747122325190"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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