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yapfuiping
yapfuiping
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2023-12-11
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2022-10-28
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2022-10-28
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yapfuiping
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2022-09-16
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Tightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008
高涨的房贷利率严重挤压房地产贷款需求,更多的购房者开始持币观望。伴随着美联储政策持续收紧,美国最受欢迎的住房贷款平均利率自2008年以来首次升至6%以上。抵押贷款银行家协会(MBA)数据显示,截至9月
Tightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008
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2022-09-16
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2022-06-08
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2022-06-08
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Bank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming
策略师们表示, 美国银行客户并不认为经济衰退即将来临,自2021年7月以来,流入美国周期性股票的资金继续超过流入防御性股票的资金。Jill Carey Hall等策略师在报告中写道,美银客户上周成为美国股票的净买家,散户客户居首。客户买入单一股票,ETF则出现1月以来最大资金流出;中型股被买入,大盘股和小盘股遭抛售。需要注意到的是,随着财报季结束,股票回购速度较前一周有所放缓。策略师表示,标普500指数11个行业板块中8个走高,科技和非必需消费品股领涨。股民福利来了!十大金股送给你,带你掘金“黄金坑”!点击查看>>
Bank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming
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yapfuiping
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2022-05-25
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yapfuiping
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2022-05-25
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Has U.S. debt passed its lowest point? Wall Street veterans decided to gamble
从贝莱德到T. Rowe Price Group Inc.,华尔街一些对判断债市荣枯颇有经验的市场老手看到了预示可重新买入的迹象。 但没有人急着下市场见底的判断,因为美国通胀率仍处于四十年高点,而且美联储刚开始收紧货币政策。 但是,今年以来美国国债收益率已经飙升了许多,其中10年期国债收益率上涨近一倍,令人回想起上一次退潮时被证明时机不错的买入窗口。10年期国债收益率周二盘中一度下挫13基点至2.72%,创4月27日以来最低水平。
Has U.S. debt passed its lowest point? Wall Street veterans decided to gamble
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2022-05-25
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When will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic
美银发布报告前一天,高盛周一报告称,和2018年类似,一个潜在的衰退风险信号就足以让美联储放弃持续紧缩。
When will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic
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","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934222382","repostId":"2267068823","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2267068823","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663254748,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2267068823?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 23:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Tightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2267068823","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"高涨的房贷利率严重挤压房地产贷款需求,更多的购房者开始持币观望。伴随着美联储政策持续收紧,美国最受欢迎的住房贷款平均利率自2008年以来首次升至6%以上。抵押贷款银行家协会(MBA)数据显示,截至9月","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The rising mortgage interest rate has severely squeezed the demand for real estate loans, and more property buyers have begun to wait and see. As the Federal Reserve continues to tighten policy, the average interest rate on the most popular home loan in the United States rose above 6% for the first time since 2008.</p><p>According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), the 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate in the United States rose to 6.01% in the week ending September 9, breaking the 6% mark for the first time since 2008 and twice that of the same period last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d221eff5a83aecbb6996b21f7f45d5a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Soaring mortgage interest rates have severely squeezed the demand for real estate loans.</b>Mortgage home purchase applications fell 29% for the week ending Sept. 9 compared to the same period in 2021. The Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage applications, fell 1.2% from the previous week. The MBA Refinance Index is down 4% from the previous week and 83% from the same period last year. Joel Kan, the MBA's vice president of economic and industry forecasting, said,<b>Rising mortgage rates are causing more homebuyers to sit on the sidelines.</b></p><p>As the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, the entire U.S. real estate industry is affected by higher interest rates. Previous data showed that new home sales in the United States in July were 12.6% higher than the previous month, which was significantly lower than the expected 2.5% decline. New home sales fell month-on-month in six of the past seven months. Sales shrank to their lowest level in six and a half years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f3a07a596f24e18a871d1e6cc1b627a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>While sales were sluggish, new home inventories in the United States were high. As of the end of July, there were 464,000 new homes for sale, the most since 2008. At the current pace of sales, it will take 10.9 months to empty the supply of new homes, the highest inventory-to-sales ratio since March 2009 and almost double that at the beginning of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5da9e4aaf175e9be328df0ab07033077\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Although the new home market only accounts for 10% of the U.S. property market, the sales of new homes are calculated according to the data at the time of signing the purchase contract, which is different from the sales of existing homes after signing the contract and then included in the statistics, so it is regarded as the leading indicator of the U.S. property market.<b>Some market analysts believe that in view of the plunge in housing mortgage loan applications, new home sales are expected to fall further in the future.</b></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-09-15 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The rising mortgage interest rate has severely squeezed the demand for real estate loans, and more property buyers have begun to wait and see. As the Federal Reserve continues to tighten policy, the average interest rate on the most popular home loan in the United States rose above 6% for the first time since 2008.</p><p>According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), the 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate in the United States rose to 6.01% in the week ending September 9, breaking the 6% mark for the first time since 2008 and twice that of the same period last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d221eff5a83aecbb6996b21f7f45d5a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Soaring mortgage interest rates have severely squeezed the demand for real estate loans.</b>Mortgage home purchase applications fell 29% for the week ending Sept. 9 compared to the same period in 2021. The Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage applications, fell 1.2% from the previous week. The MBA Refinance Index is down 4% from the previous week and 83% from the same period last year. Joel Kan, the MBA's vice president of economic and industry forecasting, said,<b>Rising mortgage rates are causing more homebuyers to sit on the sidelines.</b></p><p>As the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, the entire U.S. real estate industry is affected by higher interest rates. Previous data showed that new home sales in the United States in July were 12.6% higher than the previous month, which was significantly lower than the expected 2.5% decline. New home sales fell month-on-month in six of the past seven months. Sales shrank to their lowest level in six and a half years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f3a07a596f24e18a871d1e6cc1b627a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>While sales were sluggish, new home inventories in the United States were high. As of the end of July, there were 464,000 new homes for sale, the most since 2008. At the current pace of sales, it will take 10.9 months to empty the supply of new homes, the highest inventory-to-sales ratio since March 2009 and almost double that at the beginning of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5da9e4aaf175e9be328df0ab07033077\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Although the new home market only accounts for 10% of the U.S. property market, the sales of new homes are calculated according to the data at the time of signing the purchase contract, which is different from the sales of existing homes after signing the contract and then included in the statistics, so it is regarded as the leading indicator of the U.S. property market.<b>Some market analysts believe that in view of the plunge in housing mortgage loan applications, new home sales are expected to fall further in the future.</b></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3670388\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c5822c22b6cfd1d0ae2625b7bc085e","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3670388","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2267068823","content_text":"高涨的房贷利率严重挤压房地产贷款需求,更多的购房者开始持币观望。伴随着美联储政策持续收紧,美国最受欢迎的住房贷款平均利率自2008年以来首次升至6%以上。抵押贷款银行家协会(MBA)数据显示,截至9月9日当周,美国30年期固定抵押贷款利率升至6.01%,为2008年以来首次突破6%关口,是去年同期的两倍。高涨的房贷利率严重挤压房地产贷款需求。截至9月9日当周,抵押贷款购房申请比2021年同期下降了29%。衡量抵押贷款申请量的市场综合指数较前一周下降了1.2%。MBA再融资指数较前一周下降了4%,较去年同期下降了83%。MBA负责经济和行业预测的副总裁Joel Kan表示,抵押贷款利率上升导致更多购房者持币观望。伴随着美联储持续升息,整个美国房地产行业都受到更高利率的影响。此前数据显示,美国7月新屋销售环比大12.6%,大幅不及预期的下跌2.5%,新屋销售在过去七个月中,有六个月环比下跌。销售量萎缩至六年半以来的最低水平。销售萎靡的同时,美国新屋库存高企。截至7月末,有46.4万套新房待售,为2008年以来最多。按照目前的销售速度计算,将需要10.9个月才能清空新房供应,这是自2009年3月以来的最高库销比,几乎是今年年初的两倍。新屋市场虽仅占美国楼市的一成,但新屋销售按照签订购房合同之时的数据计算,与签约完成再纳入统计的成屋销售有所区别,因此被视为美国楼市的领先指标。有市场分析认为,鉴于房屋按揭贷款申请的暴跌,新屋销售未来预计仍将进一步下跌。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1925,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9934222915,"gmtCreate":1663260376337,"gmtModify":1676537239022,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089010487435940","authorIdStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good ","listText":"Good ","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934222915","repostId":"2267687636","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3002,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9051335618,"gmtCreate":1654644895034,"gmtModify":1676535482645,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089010487435940","authorIdStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9051335618","repostId":"2241270077","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9051335184,"gmtCreate":1654644877348,"gmtModify":1676535482645,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089010487435940","authorIdStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9051335184","repostId":"2241907023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2241907023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1654643193,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2241907023?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-08 07:06","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Bank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2241907023","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"策略师们表示, 美国银行客户并不认为经济衰退即将来临,自2021年7月以来,流入美国周期性股票的资金继续超过流入防御性股票的资金。Jill Carey Hall等策略师在报告中写道,美银客户上周成为美国股票的净买家,散户客户居首。客户买入单一股票,ETF则出现1月以来最大资金流出;中型股被买入,大盘股和小盘股遭抛售。需要注意到的是,随着财报季结束,股票回购速度较前一周有所放缓。策略师表示,标普500指数11个行业板块中8个走高,科技和非必需消费品股领涨。股民福利来了!十大金股送给你,带你掘金“黄金坑”!点击查看>>","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Strategists said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Clients don't think a recession is imminent, and inflows into U.S. cyclical stocks have continued to outweigh inflows into defensive stocks since July 2021.</p><p>Strategists such as Jill Carey Hall wrote in the report that Bank of America clients became net buyers of U.S. stocks last week, with retail clients leading the way.</p><p>Customers buy a single stock,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF | ETFs</a>There will be the largest capital outflow since January; Mid-cap stocks were bought and large-cap and small-cap stocks were sold off.</p><p>It's important to note that as earnings season ends, the pace of share buybacks has slowed from the previous week.</p><p>Eight of the 11 industry sectors in the S&P 500 were higher, led by technology and consumer discretionary stocks, strategists said.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-06-08 07:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Strategists said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Clients don't think a recession is imminent, and inflows into U.S. cyclical stocks have continued to outweigh inflows into defensive stocks since July 2021.</p><p>Strategists such as Jill Carey Hall wrote in the report that Bank of America clients became net buyers of U.S. stocks last week, with retail clients leading the way.</p><p>Customers buy a single stock,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF | ETFs</a>There will be the largest capital outflow since January; Mid-cap stocks were bought and large-cap and small-cap stocks were sold off.</p><p>It's important to note that as earnings season ends, the pace of share buybacks has slowed from the previous week.</p><p>Eight of the 11 industry sectors in the S&P 500 were higher, led by technology and consumer discretionary stocks, strategists said.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-06-07/doc-imizmscu5622440.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e9ba109e7f6844f2904f6647779f151","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BAC":"美国银行","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","OEX":"标普100","BK4207":"综合性银行","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-06-07/doc-imizmscu5622440.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2241907023","content_text":"策略师们表示, 美国银行客户并不认为经济衰退即将来临,自2021年7月以来,流入美国周期性股票的资金继续超过流入防御性股票的资金。Jill Carey Hall等策略师在报告中写道,美银客户上周成为美国股票的净买家,散户客户居首。客户买入单一股票,Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF则出现1月以来最大资金流出;中型股被买入,大盘股和小盘股遭抛售。需要注意到的是,随着财报季结束,股票回购速度较前一周有所放缓。策略师表示,标普500指数11个行业板块中8个走高,科技和非必需消费品股领涨。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SPY":0.9,"SDS":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"BAC":0.9,"SH":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"SPXU":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2197,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026712553,"gmtCreate":1653435450372,"gmtModify":1676535280170,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089010487435940","authorIdStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026712553","repostId":"2238304789","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026716559,"gmtCreate":1653435408272,"gmtModify":1676535280154,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089010487435940","authorIdStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026716559","repostId":"2238371098","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2238371098","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1653433904,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2238371098?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-25 07:11","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Has U.S. debt passed its lowest point? Wall Street veterans decided to gamble","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238371098","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"从贝莱德到T. Rowe Price Group Inc.,华尔街一些对判断债市荣枯颇有经验的市场老手看到了预示可重新买入的迹象。 但没有人急着下市场见底的判断,因为美国通胀率仍处于四十年高点,而且美联储刚开始收紧货币政策。 但是,今年以来美国国债收益率已经飙升了许多,其中10年期国债收益率上涨近一倍,令人回想起上一次退潮时被证明时机不错的买入窗口。10年期国债收益率周二盘中一度下挫13基点至2.72%,创4月27日以来最低水平。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>From<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>To T. Rowe Price Group Inc., some market veterans on Wall Street who are experienced in judging the boom and bust of the bond market see signs that they can rebuy.</p><p>But no one is in a hurry to judge that the market has bottomed out, because the inflation rate in the United States is still at a 40-year high and the Federal Reserve has just begun to tighten monetary policy.</p><p>However, the yield of U.S. Treasury Bond has soared a lot this year, with the yield of 10-year Treasury Bond nearly doubling, recalling the buying window that proved to be well timed at the last ebb tide. On top of that, there are signs that the economy is cooling, with big retailers reporting changes in consumer spending and a decline in residential sales. The decline in risky assets such as growth stocks and cryptocurrencies has made the U.S. Treasury Bond a safe haven again. Investors who entered the market earlier this month when yields peaked earned good returns.</p><p>All of this gives long-term fund managers a reason to cautiously increase their exposure, with some prepared to step up the pace of buying when yields exceed what they think is reasonable.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The global head of interest rates at Asset Management said that the worst phase of the decline in U.S. bonds has passed, because the prospect of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates has been largely priced in by the market.</p><p>David Giroux, head of investment strategy at T. Rowe Price Investment Management, said, \"A lot of the bad news has been digested, and the current environment is reminiscent of 2013 and 2018, when the 10-year Treasury Bond yield exceeded 3%. We cut our cash allocation, has been buying U.S. Treasury Bond.\"</p><p>Market sentiment has shifted significantly over the past two weeks, with investors speculating that the Russia-Ukraine conflict and global monetary policy tightening will drag down economic growth. The 10-year Treasury Bond yield fell 13 basis points to 2.72% on Tuesday, the lowest level since April 27.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0a7c3dc21d9e61d01823242de860909\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>U.S. Treasury Bond markets remain facing considerable uncertainty, and if the Fed finds itself battling persistent inflation, yields could exceed the peak of the past decade. Powell said last week that the Fed is prepared to adjust its policy rate above neutral until there is \"clear and compelling\" evidence that inflation is falling. In addition, the Federal Reserve will also begin shrinking balance sheet in June, which may bring new headwinds to the market.</p><p>Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group released a rather cautious research report, predicting that the yield of 10-year Treasury Bond will reach around 3.3% by the end of the year.</p><p>\"We don't think it's at a point where we can get the green light,\" said RJ Gallo, senior portfolio manager at Federated Investment. \"The economy still has growth momentum, and the inflation rate is not falling rapidly.\"</p><p>However, there are some signals that the Fed's moves are leading to tightening financial conditions. The rise in indicators to measure corporate credit risk makes the borrowing cost of heavily indebted companies rise. Mortgage rates are slowing down the housing market, and this year's stock market decline may further erode consumer confidence.</p><p>Yvette Klevan, portfolio manager for Lazard Asset Management's global fixed income team, said that \"we're not completely out of inflation, so yields are likely to rise slightly\". But she added that \"given that a lot has been priced in, the yield on 10-year US Treasury Bond should be around 3%\".</p><p>Rick Rieder, chief investment officer of the global fixed income business at BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, said, \"Several funds have added more interest rate exposure in recent weeks, and there are concerns that interest rates will be much higher, and we are already betting on the other side\".</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Has U.S. debt passed its lowest point? Wall Street veterans decided to gamble</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHas U.S. debt passed its lowest point? Wall Street veterans decided to gamble\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-05-25 07:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>From<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>To T. Rowe Price Group Inc., some market veterans on Wall Street who are experienced in judging the boom and bust of the bond market see signs that they can rebuy.</p><p>But no one is in a hurry to judge that the market has bottomed out, because the inflation rate in the United States is still at a 40-year high and the Federal Reserve has just begun to tighten monetary policy.</p><p>However, the yield of U.S. Treasury Bond has soared a lot this year, with the yield of 10-year Treasury Bond nearly doubling, recalling the buying window that proved to be well timed at the last ebb tide. On top of that, there are signs that the economy is cooling, with big retailers reporting changes in consumer spending and a decline in residential sales. The decline in risky assets such as growth stocks and cryptocurrencies has made the U.S. Treasury Bond a safe haven again. Investors who entered the market earlier this month when yields peaked earned good returns.</p><p>All of this gives long-term fund managers a reason to cautiously increase their exposure, with some prepared to step up the pace of buying when yields exceed what they think is reasonable.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The global head of interest rates at Asset Management said that the worst phase of the decline in U.S. bonds has passed, because the prospect of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates has been largely priced in by the market.</p><p>David Giroux, head of investment strategy at T. Rowe Price Investment Management, said, \"A lot of the bad news has been digested, and the current environment is reminiscent of 2013 and 2018, when the 10-year Treasury Bond yield exceeded 3%. We cut our cash allocation, has been buying U.S. Treasury Bond.\"</p><p>Market sentiment has shifted significantly over the past two weeks, with investors speculating that the Russia-Ukraine conflict and global monetary policy tightening will drag down economic growth. The 10-year Treasury Bond yield fell 13 basis points to 2.72% on Tuesday, the lowest level since April 27.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0a7c3dc21d9e61d01823242de860909\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>U.S. Treasury Bond markets remain facing considerable uncertainty, and if the Fed finds itself battling persistent inflation, yields could exceed the peak of the past decade. Powell said last week that the Fed is prepared to adjust its policy rate above neutral until there is \"clear and compelling\" evidence that inflation is falling. In addition, the Federal Reserve will also begin shrinking balance sheet in June, which may bring new headwinds to the market.</p><p>Analysts at Goldman Sachs Group released a rather cautious research report, predicting that the yield of 10-year Treasury Bond will reach around 3.3% by the end of the year.</p><p>\"We don't think it's at a point where we can get the green light,\" said RJ Gallo, senior portfolio manager at Federated Investment. \"The economy still has growth momentum, and the inflation rate is not falling rapidly.\"</p><p>However, there are some signals that the Fed's moves are leading to tightening financial conditions. The rise in indicators to measure corporate credit risk makes the borrowing cost of heavily indebted companies rise. Mortgage rates are slowing down the housing market, and this year's stock market decline may further erode consumer confidence.</p><p>Yvette Klevan, portfolio manager for Lazard Asset Management's global fixed income team, said that \"we're not completely out of inflation, so yields are likely to rise slightly\". But she added that \"given that a lot has been priced in, the yield on 10-year US Treasury Bond should be around 3%\".</p><p>Rick Rieder, chief investment officer of the global fixed income business at BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, said, \"Several funds have added more interest rate exposure in recent weeks, and there are concerns that interest rates will be much higher, and we are already betting on the other side\".</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-05-25/doc-imizirau4597088.shtml?finpagefr=p_115\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0a7c3dc21d9e61d01823242de860909","relate_stocks":{"BND":"债券指数ETF-Vanguard美国","TLT":"20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares","IEF":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 7-10年","IEI":"iShares Barclays 3-7 Year Trea","GOVT":"iShares安硕核心美国国债ETF","SHY":"债券指数ETF-iShares Barclays 1-3年国债"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-05-25/doc-imizirau4597088.shtml?finpagefr=p_115","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2238371098","content_text":"从贝莱德到T. Rowe Price Group Inc.,华尔街一些对判断债市荣枯颇有经验的市场老手看到了预示可重新买入的迹象。但没有人急着下市场见底的判断,因为美国通胀率仍处于四十年高点,而且美联储刚开始收紧货币政策。但是,今年以来美国国债收益率已经飙升了许多,其中10年期国债收益率上涨近一倍,令人回想起上一次退潮时被证明时机不错的买入窗口。最重要的是,迹象表明经济正在降温, 大型零售商报告消费者支出发生变化,住宅销售下降。成长股、加密货币等风险资产下挫令美国国债再次成为避险天堂,本月早些时候在收益率见顶时入市买入的投资者获得了不错回报。所有这些都让长线基金经理看到了谨慎增加风险敞口的理由,一些人准备在收益率超过他们认为合理的水平时加快买入步伐。摩根大通资产管理的全球利率主管说,美债下跌最猛烈的阶段已经过去,因为美联储的升息前景基本被市场所消化。T. Rowe Price Investment Management投资策略主管David Giroux表示,“很多利空消息已经被消化,现在的环境让人联想到2013年和2018年,当时10年期国债收益率超过3%。 我们削减了现金配置,一直在购买美国国债。”过去两周市场情绪发生了明显转变,投资者猜测俄乌冲突和全球货币政策收紧将拖累经济增长。10年期国债收益率周二盘中一度下挫13基点至2.72%,创4月27日以来最低水平。美国国债市场仍然面临相当大的不确定性,如果美联储发现自己在对抗持续的通胀,那么收益率可能会超过过去十年的峰值。 鲍威尔上周表示,美联储准备将政策利率调整至中性水平以上,直到有“明确且令人信服”的证据表明通胀正在下降。此外,美联储还将从6月开始缩表,这可能给市场带来新的阻力。高盛集团分析师发布了一份颇为谨慎的研报,预测10年期国债收益率将在年末时达到3.3%左右。“我们认为现在还没有达到我们可以绿灯通行的地步,”Federated Investment的高级投资组合经理RJ Gallo表示。“经济仍然有增长动能,通胀率没有迅速下降。”然而,有一些信号显示美联储的举措正在导致金融环境收紧。衡量企业信用风险的指标上升,使得负债累累的公司举债成本上升。抵押贷款利率正在令房地产市场放缓,今年的股市下跌有可能进一步侵蚀消费者信心。Lazard Asset Management全球固定收益团队投资组合经理Yvette Klevan表示,“我们并没有完全摆脱通胀困境,因此收益率还可能略有上升”。但她补充称, “鉴于很多事情已经被消化,10年期美国国债的收益率应该在3%左右”。全球最大资产管理公司贝莱德的全球固定收益业务首席投资官Rick Rieder表示,“几只基金最近几周增加了更多的利率敞口,人们担心利率会高得多,我们已经在另一侧下注”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBmain":0.6,"TLT":0.6,"SHY":0.6,"ZBmain":0.6,"IEI":0.6,"ZTmain":0.6,"BND":1,"IEF":0.6,"TNmain":0.6,"GOVT":0.6,"ZFmain":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026716183,"gmtCreate":1653435386942,"gmtModify":1676535280138,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4089010487435940","authorIdStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026716183","repostId":"2238130573","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2238130573","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653434786,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2238130573?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-25 07:26","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"When will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238130573","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美银发布报告前一天,高盛周一报告称,和2018年类似,一个潜在的衰退风险信号就足以让美联储放弃持续紧缩。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Monday, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed up collectively for the first time in the last four trading days. On Tuesday, they fell across the board. The S&P 500 fell more than 2% intraday, and fell into the bear market range again after last Friday, compared with the record high in January this year. More than 20%.</p><p>When will U.S. stocks bottom out? On this issue, the two major Wall Street institutions<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Holding the same view, they all believe that U.S. stocks may have to fall until the Federal Reserve signals an end to monetary tightening.</p><p>On Tuesday, 24th Eastern Time, Bank of America strategists such as Benjamin Bowler released a report saying that the Federal Reserve has not provided any help to risky assets and seems to be far from starting to lend a helping hand. It pointed out that judging from past Fed interventions, indicators of market pressure such as liquidity and credit spreads of S&P 500 futures are currently at pre-Fed intervention levels.</p><p>The above-mentioned Bank of America strategist said in the report that we believe the market will continue to test the \"Fed put option\"-that is, the market view that the Fed will intervene to curb the decline if the stock market falls. But these strategists point out that,</p><p>\"There will be more market panic before the Fed starts panicking.\" The Bank of America report came a day after Goldman Sachs strategist Vickie Chang released a report on Monday saying that the Fed is unlikely to turn to easing policy without the U.S. economy entering a significant recession. But similar to 2018, a potential recession risk signal is enough for the Fed to abandon continued tightening.</p><p>Chang pointed out that historically, the Fed's monetary tightening usually ended three months before the stock market actually bottomed out, and turned to easing two months after the stock market bottomed out. Stock market corrections triggered by monetary tightening tend to bottom out when the Federal Reserve turns accommodative, regardless of whether real economic activity bottoms out.</p><p>Chang believes that investors are unlikely to get a clear signal of policy shift from the Fed at present, unless there is conclusive evidence that economic growth is slowing down and prices are cooling. Markets need to see signs of decelerating inflation to see a pivot in monetary policy. Goldman Sachs currently expects U.S. inflation to slow significantly in the second half of the year.</p><p>Earlier this month, the Federal Reserve just decided to issue a 50 basis point rate hike for the first time in 22 years. Fed President Jerome Powell said at a press conference after the meeting that the next two meetings in June and July may be suitable for this range of rate hike. Last Tuesday, Powell reiterated that it may be appropriate to continue rate hike's 50 basis point pace at the two meetings in June and July.</p><p>On Monday, Atlanta Fed President Bostic said that the Fed may issue a 50 basis point rate hike at each of its next two meetings, adding that he believes it is reasonable to stop rate hike in September. However, the senior Fed official who released dovish remarks does not have the right to vote at the FOMC meeting of the Fed Monetary Committee this year, and it will be his turn to enjoy the right to vote in 2024.</p><p>St. Louis Fed President Bullard, the voting committee who has FOMC voting rights this year, also said on Friday: \"We should try to get the Federal Funds rate to 3.50% by the end of 2022.\" That means 50 basis points per rate hike at all the Fed meetings for the rest of the year.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-05-25 07:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Monday, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed up collectively for the first time in the last four trading days. On Tuesday, they fell across the board. The S&P 500 fell more than 2% intraday, and fell into the bear market range again after last Friday, compared with the record high in January this year. More than 20%.</p><p>When will U.S. stocks bottom out? On this issue, the two major Wall Street institutions<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Holding the same view, they all believe that U.S. stocks may have to fall until the Federal Reserve signals an end to monetary tightening.</p><p>On Tuesday, 24th Eastern Time, Bank of America strategists such as Benjamin Bowler released a report saying that the Federal Reserve has not provided any help to risky assets and seems to be far from starting to lend a helping hand. It pointed out that judging from past Fed interventions, indicators of market pressure such as liquidity and credit spreads of S&P 500 futures are currently at pre-Fed intervention levels.</p><p>The above-mentioned Bank of America strategist said in the report that we believe the market will continue to test the \"Fed put option\"-that is, the market view that the Fed will intervene to curb the decline if the stock market falls. But these strategists point out that,</p><p>\"There will be more market panic before the Fed starts panicking.\" The Bank of America report came a day after Goldman Sachs strategist Vickie Chang released a report on Monday saying that the Fed is unlikely to turn to easing policy without the U.S. economy entering a significant recession. But similar to 2018, a potential recession risk signal is enough for the Fed to abandon continued tightening.</p><p>Chang pointed out that historically, the Fed's monetary tightening usually ended three months before the stock market actually bottomed out, and turned to easing two months after the stock market bottomed out. Stock market corrections triggered by monetary tightening tend to bottom out when the Federal Reserve turns accommodative, regardless of whether real economic activity bottoms out.</p><p>Chang believes that investors are unlikely to get a clear signal of policy shift from the Fed at present, unless there is conclusive evidence that economic growth is slowing down and prices are cooling. Markets need to see signs of decelerating inflation to see a pivot in monetary policy. Goldman Sachs currently expects U.S. inflation to slow significantly in the second half of the year.</p><p>Earlier this month, the Federal Reserve just decided to issue a 50 basis point rate hike for the first time in 22 years. Fed President Jerome Powell said at a press conference after the meeting that the next two meetings in June and July may be suitable for this range of rate hike. Last Tuesday, Powell reiterated that it may be appropriate to continue rate hike's 50 basis point pace at the two meetings in June and July.</p><p>On Monday, Atlanta Fed President Bostic said that the Fed may issue a 50 basis point rate hike at each of its next two meetings, adding that he believes it is reasonable to stop rate hike in September. However, the senior Fed official who released dovish remarks does not have the right to vote at the FOMC meeting of the Fed Monetary Committee this year, and it will be his turn to enjoy the right to vote in 2024.</p><p>St. Louis Fed President Bullard, the voting committee who has FOMC voting rights this year, also said on Friday: \"We should try to get the Federal Funds rate to 3.50% by the end of 2022.\" That means 50 basis points per rate hike at all the Fed meetings for the rest of the year.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3660233\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","OEX":"标普100","SPY":"标普500ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","GS":"高盛","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3660233","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2238130573","content_text":"周一美股三大指数才实现最近四个交易日首次集体收涨,周二就全线下跌,标普500盘中跌超2%、继上周五之后再度跌入熊市区间,较今年1月的纪录高位跌超20%。美股何时能见底?对这个问题,两大华尔街机构高盛和美国银行持同样的观点,都认为,美股可能还得下跌,直到美联储暗示结束收紧货币为止。美东时间24日周二,Benjamin Bowler等美国银行的策略师发布报告称,美联储没有给风险资产提供任何帮助,看来远未开始伸出援手。其指出,从过往美联储干预的情况看,标普500期货的流动性和信用利差这类市场压力的指标目前处于美联储干预前的水平。上述美银策略师在报告中称,我们相信,市场将继续测试“美联储看跌期权”——即如果股市下跌美联储就会出手干预遏制跌势的市场观点。但这些策略师指出,“在美联储开始恐慌前,还要有更多的市场恐慌。”美银发布上述报告前一天,高盛策略师Vickie Chang本周一发布报告称,在美国经济目前没有明显步入衰退的情况下,美联储不太可能转向宽松政策。但与2018年类似,一个潜在的衰退风险信号就足以让美联储放弃持续紧缩。Chang指出,历史上美联储的货币紧缩通常在股市真正触底三个月前就结束,在股市触底两个月后转向宽松。由货币紧缩引发的股市调整往往会在美联储转向宽松时触底,而不管实际经济活动是否触底。Chang认为,投资者目前不太可能从美联储获得政策转变的明确信号,除非有确凿证据显示经济增长放缓,物价降温。市场需要看到通胀减速的迹象,才能看到货币政策的转向。目前高盛预计,美国通胀将在下半年显著放缓。美联储本月初刚刚决定二十二年来首度一次加息50个基点,联储主席鲍威尔就在会后的新闻发布会上说,6月和7月的未来两次会议可能都适合这个幅度加息。上周二鲍威尔重申,6月和7月的两次会议上可能适合延续加息50个基点的步调。本周一,亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克表示,美联储可能会接下来的两次会议中分别加息50个基点,还说,他认为9月停止加息是合理的。不过,这位放出鸽派言论的美联储高官今年并没有联储货币委员会FOMC会议的投票权,2024年才轮到他享有投票权力。今年拥有FOMC投票权的票委、圣路易斯联储主席布拉德上周五还表示:“应当设法让联邦基金利率到2022年年末达到3.50%。” 这意味着在美联储将在今年余下的所有会议上每次加息50个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,".DJI":1,"SQQQ":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"QID":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,".IXIC":1,"QQQ":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"GS":1,"NQmain":0.6,"SPY":1,"SPXU":0.6,"ESmain":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}