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2022-09-16
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Tightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008
高涨的房贷利率严重挤压房地产贷款需求,更多的购房者开始持币观望。伴随着美联储政策持续收紧,美国最受欢迎的住房贷款平均利率自2008年以来首次升至6%以上。抵押贷款银行家协会(MBA)数据显示,截至9月
Tightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008
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2022-06-08
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Bank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming
策略师们表示, 美国银行客户并不认为经济衰退即将来临,自2021年7月以来,流入美国周期性股票的资金继续超过流入防御性股票的资金。Jill Carey Hall等策略师在报告中写道,美银客户上周成为美国股票的净买家,散户客户居首。客户买入单一股票,ETF则出现1月以来最大资金流出;中型股被买入,大盘股和小盘股遭抛售。需要注意到的是,随着财报季结束,股票回购速度较前一周有所放缓。策略师表示,标普500指数11个行业板块中8个走高,科技和非必需消费品股领涨。股民福利来了!十大金股送给你,带你掘金“黄金坑”!点击查看>>
Bank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming
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2022-05-25
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2022-05-25
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2022-05-25
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When will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic
美银发布报告前一天,高盛周一报告称,和2018年类似,一个潜在的衰退风险信号就足以让美联储放弃持续紧缩。
When will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic
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","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934222382","repostId":"2267068823","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2267068823","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663254748,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2267068823?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-15 23:12","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Tightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2267068823","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"高涨的房贷利率严重挤压房地产贷款需求,更多的购房者开始持币观望。伴随着美联储政策持续收紧,美国最受欢迎的住房贷款平均利率自2008年以来首次升至6%以上。抵押贷款银行家协会(MBA)数据显示,截至9月","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The rising mortgage interest rate has severely squeezed the demand for real estate loans, and more property buyers have begun to wait and see. As the Federal Reserve continues to tighten policy, the average interest rate on the most popular home loan in the United States rose above 6% for the first time since 2008.</p><p>According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), the 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate in the United States rose to 6.01% in the week ending September 9, breaking the 6% mark for the first time since 2008 and twice that of the same period last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d221eff5a83aecbb6996b21f7f45d5a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Soaring mortgage interest rates have severely squeezed the demand for real estate loans.</b>Mortgage home purchase applications fell 29% for the week ending Sept. 9 compared to the same period in 2021. The Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage applications, fell 1.2% from the previous week. The MBA Refinance Index is down 4% from the previous week and 83% from the same period last year. Joel Kan, the MBA's vice president of economic and industry forecasting, said,<b>Rising mortgage rates are causing more homebuyers to sit on the sidelines.</b></p><p>As the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, the entire U.S. real estate industry is affected by higher interest rates. Previous data showed that new home sales in the United States in July were 12.6% higher than the previous month, which was significantly lower than the expected 2.5% decline. New home sales fell month-on-month in six of the past seven months. Sales shrank to their lowest level in six and a half years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f3a07a596f24e18a871d1e6cc1b627a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>While sales were sluggish, new home inventories in the United States were high. As of the end of July, there were 464,000 new homes for sale, the most since 2008. At the current pace of sales, it will take 10.9 months to empty the supply of new homes, the highest inventory-to-sales ratio since March 2009 and almost double that at the beginning of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5da9e4aaf175e9be328df0ab07033077\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Although the new home market only accounts for 10% of the U.S. property market, the sales of new homes are calculated according to the data at the time of signing the purchase contract, which is different from the sales of existing homes after the signing of the contract and then included in the statistics, so it is regarded as the leading indicator of the U.S. property market.<b>Some market analysts believe that in view of the plunge in housing mortgage loan applications, new home sales are expected to fall further in the future.</b></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTightening expectations are rising again! U.S. mortgage interest rate exceeds 6% mark for the first time since 2008\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-09-15 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The rising mortgage interest rate has severely squeezed the demand for real estate loans, and more property buyers have begun to wait and see. As the Federal Reserve continues to tighten policy, the average interest rate on the most popular home loan in the United States rose above 6% for the first time since 2008.</p><p>According to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), the 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate in the United States rose to 6.01% in the week ending September 9, breaking the 6% mark for the first time since 2008 and twice that of the same period last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d221eff5a83aecbb6996b21f7f45d5a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Soaring mortgage interest rates have severely squeezed the demand for real estate loans.</b>Mortgage home purchase applications fell 29% for the week ending Sept. 9 compared to the same period in 2021. The Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage applications, fell 1.2% from the previous week. The MBA Refinance Index is down 4% from the previous week and 83% from the same period last year. Joel Kan, the MBA's vice president of economic and industry forecasting, said,<b>Rising mortgage rates are causing more homebuyers to sit on the sidelines.</b></p><p>As the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, the entire U.S. real estate industry is affected by higher interest rates. Previous data showed that new home sales in the United States in July were 12.6% higher than the previous month, which was significantly lower than the expected 2.5% decline. New home sales fell month-on-month in six of the past seven months. Sales shrank to their lowest level in six and a half years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f3a07a596f24e18a871d1e6cc1b627a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"290\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>While sales were sluggish, new home inventories in the United States were high. As of the end of July, there were 464,000 new homes for sale, the most since 2008. At the current pace of sales, it will take 10.9 months to empty the supply of new homes, the highest inventory-to-sales ratio since March 2009 and almost double that at the beginning of the year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5da9e4aaf175e9be328df0ab07033077\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"301\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Although the new home market only accounts for 10% of the U.S. property market, the sales of new homes are calculated according to the data at the time of signing the purchase contract, which is different from the sales of existing homes after the signing of the contract and then included in the statistics, so it is regarded as the leading indicator of the U.S. property market.<b>Some market analysts believe that in view of the plunge in housing mortgage loan applications, new home sales are expected to fall further in the future.</b></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3670388\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3c5822c22b6cfd1d0ae2625b7bc085e","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3670388","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2267068823","content_text":"高涨的房贷利率严重挤压房地产贷款需求,更多的购房者开始持币观望。伴随着美联储政策持续收紧,美国最受欢迎的住房贷款平均利率自2008年以来首次升至6%以上。抵押贷款银行家协会(MBA)数据显示,截至9月9日当周,美国30年期固定抵押贷款利率升至6.01%,为2008年以来首次突破6%关口,是去年同期的两倍。高涨的房贷利率严重挤压房地产贷款需求。截至9月9日当周,抵押贷款购房申请比2021年同期下降了29%。衡量抵押贷款申请量的市场综合指数较前一周下降了1.2%。MBA再融资指数较前一周下降了4%,较去年同期下降了83%。MBA负责经济和行业预测的副总裁Joel Kan表示,抵押贷款利率上升导致更多购房者持币观望。伴随着美联储持续升息,整个美国房地产行业都受到更高利率的影响。此前数据显示,美国7月新屋销售环比大12.6%,大幅不及预期的下跌2.5%,新屋销售在过去七个月中,有六个月环比下跌。销售量萎缩至六年半以来的最低水平。销售萎靡的同时,美国新屋库存高企。截至7月末,有46.4万套新房待售,为2008年以来最多。按照目前的销售速度计算,将需要10.9个月才能清空新房供应,这是自2009年3月以来的最高库销比,几乎是今年年初的两倍。新屋市场虽仅占美国楼市的一成,但新屋销售按照签订购房合同之时的数据计算,与签约完成再纳入统计的成屋销售有所区别,因此被视为美国楼市的领先指标。有市场分析认为,鉴于房屋按揭贷款申请的暴跌,新屋销售未来预计仍将进一步下跌。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9934222915,"gmtCreate":1663260376337,"gmtModify":1676537239022,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089010487435940","idStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good ","listText":"Good ","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934222915","repostId":"2267687636","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9051335618,"gmtCreate":1654644895034,"gmtModify":1676535482645,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089010487435940","idStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9051335618","repostId":"2241270077","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9051335184,"gmtCreate":1654644877348,"gmtModify":1676535482645,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089010487435940","idStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9051335184","repostId":"2241907023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2241907023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1654643193,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2241907023?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-08 07:06","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Bank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2241907023","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"策略师们表示, 美国银行客户并不认为经济衰退即将来临,自2021年7月以来,流入美国周期性股票的资金继续超过流入防御性股票的资金。Jill Carey Hall等策略师在报告中写道,美银客户上周成为美国股票的净买家,散户客户居首。客户买入单一股票,ETF则出现1月以来最大资金流出;中型股被买入,大盘股和小盘股遭抛售。需要注意到的是,随着财报季结束,股票回购速度较前一周有所放缓。策略师表示,标普500指数11个行业板块中8个走高,科技和非必需消费品股领涨。股民福利来了!十大金股送给你,带你掘金“黄金坑”!点击查看>>","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Strategists said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Clients don't think a recession is imminent, and inflows into U.S. cyclical stocks have continued to outweigh inflows into defensive stocks since July 2021.</p><p>Strategists such as Jill Carey Hall wrote in the report that Bank of America clients became net buyers of U.S. stocks last week, with retail clients leading the way.</p><p>Customers buy a single stock,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF | ETFs</a>There will be the largest capital outflow since January; Mid-cap stocks were bought and large-cap and small-cap stocks were sold off.</p><p>It's important to note that as earnings season ends, the pace of share buybacks has slowed from the previous week.</p><p>Eight of the 11 industry sectors in the S&P 500 were higher, led by technology and consumer discretionary stocks, strategists said.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina_symbol","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America strategist: Investors don't think a U.S. recession is coming\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-06-08 07:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Strategists said,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Clients don't think a recession is imminent, and inflows into U.S. cyclical stocks have continued to outweigh inflows into defensive stocks since July 2021.</p><p>Strategists such as Jill Carey Hall wrote in the report that Bank of America clients became net buyers of U.S. stocks last week, with retail clients leading the way.</p><p>Customers buy a single stock,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSFF\">Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF | ETFs</a>There will be the largest capital outflow since January; Mid-cap stocks were bought and large-cap and small-cap stocks were sold off.</p><p>It's important to note that as earnings season ends, the pace of share buybacks has slowed from the previous week.</p><p>Eight of the 11 industry sectors in the S&P 500 were higher, led by technology and consumer discretionary stocks, strategists said.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-06-07/doc-imizmscu5622440.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e9ba109e7f6844f2904f6647779f151","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","BAC":"美国银行","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","BK4207":"综合性银行","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://cj.sina.cn/article/normal_detail?url=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-06-07/doc-imizmscu5622440.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2241907023","content_text":"策略师们表示, 美国银行客户并不认为经济衰退即将来临,自2021年7月以来,流入美国周期性股票的资金继续超过流入防御性股票的资金。Jill Carey Hall等策略师在报告中写道,美银客户上周成为美国股票的净买家,散户客户居首。客户买入单一股票,Pacer Swan SOS Fund of Funds ETF|ETF则出现1月以来最大资金流出;中型股被买入,大盘股和小盘股遭抛售。需要注意到的是,随着财报季结束,股票回购速度较前一周有所放缓。策略师表示,标普500指数11个行业板块中8个走高,科技和非必需消费品股领涨。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"BAC":0.9,"SSO":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026712553,"gmtCreate":1653435450372,"gmtModify":1676535280170,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089010487435940","idStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026712553","repostId":"2238304789","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026716559,"gmtCreate":1653435408272,"gmtModify":1676535280154,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089010487435940","idStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026716559","repostId":"2238371098","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2493,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9026716183,"gmtCreate":1653435386942,"gmtModify":1676535280138,"author":{"id":"4089010487435940","authorId":"4089010487435940","name":"yapfuiping","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a27fbd615737b61aec5a628994a8a59","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4089010487435940","idStr":"4089010487435940"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9026716183","repostId":"2238130573","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2238130573","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1653434786,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2238130573?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-05-25 07:26","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"When will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2238130573","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美银发布报告前一天,高盛周一报告称,和2018年类似,一个潜在的衰退风险信号就足以让美联储放弃持续紧缩。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Monday, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed up collectively for the first time in the last four trading days. On Tuesday, they fell across the board. The S&P 500 fell more than 2% intraday, and fell into the bear market range again after last Friday, compared with the record high in January this year. More than 20%.</p><p>When will U.S. stocks bottom out? On this issue, the two major Wall Street institutions<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Holding the same view, they all believe that U.S. stocks may have to fall until the Federal Reserve signals an end to monetary tightening.</p><p>On Tuesday, 24th Eastern Time, Bank of America strategists such as Benjamin Bowler released a report saying that the Federal Reserve has not provided any help to risky assets and seems to be far from starting to lend a helping hand. It pointed out that judging from past Fed interventions, indicators of market pressure such as liquidity and credit spreads of S&P 500 futures are currently at pre-Fed intervention levels.</p><p>The above-mentioned Bank of America strategist said in the report that we believe the market will continue to test the \"Fed put option\"-that is, the market view that the Fed will intervene to curb the decline if the stock market falls. But these strategists point out that,</p><p>\"There will be more market panic before the Fed starts panicking.\" The Bank of America report came a day after Goldman Sachs strategist Vickie Chang released a report on Monday saying that the Fed is unlikely to turn to easing policy without the U.S. economy entering a significant recession. But similar to 2018, a potential recession risk signal is enough for the Fed to abandon continued tightening.</p><p>Chang pointed out that historically, the Fed's monetary tightening usually ended three months before the stock market actually bottomed out, and turned to easing two months after the stock market bottomed out. Stock market corrections triggered by monetary tightening tend to bottom out when the Federal Reserve turns accommodative, regardless of whether real economic activity bottoms out.</p><p>Chang believes that investors are unlikely to get a clear signal of policy shift from the Fed at present, unless there is conclusive evidence that economic growth is slowing down and prices are cooling. Markets need to see signs of decelerating inflation to see a pivot in monetary policy. Goldman Sachs currently expects U.S. inflation to slow significantly in the second half of the year.</p><p>Earlier this month, the Federal Reserve just decided to issue a 50 basis point rate hike for the first time in 22 years. Fed President Jerome Powell said at a press conference after the meeting that the next two meetings in June and July may be suitable for this range of rate hike. Last Tuesday, Powell reiterated that it may be appropriate to continue rate hike's 50 basis point pace at the two meetings in June and July.</p><p>On Monday, Atlanta Fed President Bostic said that the Fed may issue a 50 basis point rate hike at each of its next two meetings, adding that he believes it is reasonable to stop rate hike in September. However, the senior Fed official who released dovish remarks does not have the right to vote at the FOMC meeting of the Fed Monetary Committee this year, and it will be his turn to enjoy the right to vote in 2024.</p><p>St. Louis Fed President Bullard, the voting committee who has FOMC voting rights this year, also said on Friday: \"We should try to get the Federal Funds rate to 3.50% by the end of 2022.\" That means 50 basis points per rate hike at all the Fed meetings for the rest of the year.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>When will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhen will U.S. stocks fall? When will the Fed panic so that the market will not panic\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-05-25 07:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Monday, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed up collectively for the first time in the last four trading days. On Tuesday, they fell across the board. The S&P 500 fell more than 2% intraday, and fell into the bear market range again after last Friday, compared with the record high in January this year. More than 20%.</p><p>When will U.S. stocks bottom out? On this issue, the two major Wall Street institutions<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>And<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Holding the same view, they all believe that U.S. stocks may have to fall until the Federal Reserve signals an end to monetary tightening.</p><p>On Tuesday, 24th Eastern Time, Bank of America strategists such as Benjamin Bowler released a report saying that the Federal Reserve has not provided any help to risky assets and seems to be far from starting to lend a helping hand. It pointed out that judging from past Fed interventions, indicators of market pressure such as liquidity and credit spreads of S&P 500 futures are currently at pre-Fed intervention levels.</p><p>The above-mentioned Bank of America strategist said in the report that we believe the market will continue to test the \"Fed put option\"-that is, the market view that the Fed will intervene to curb the decline if the stock market falls. But these strategists point out that,</p><p>\"There will be more market panic before the Fed starts panicking.\" The Bank of America report came a day after Goldman Sachs strategist Vickie Chang released a report on Monday saying that the Fed is unlikely to turn to easing policy without the U.S. economy entering a significant recession. But similar to 2018, a potential recession risk signal is enough for the Fed to abandon continued tightening.</p><p>Chang pointed out that historically, the Fed's monetary tightening usually ended three months before the stock market actually bottomed out, and turned to easing two months after the stock market bottomed out. Stock market corrections triggered by monetary tightening tend to bottom out when the Federal Reserve turns accommodative, regardless of whether real economic activity bottoms out.</p><p>Chang believes that investors are unlikely to get a clear signal of policy shift from the Fed at present, unless there is conclusive evidence that economic growth is slowing down and prices are cooling. Markets need to see signs of decelerating inflation to see a pivot in monetary policy. Goldman Sachs currently expects U.S. inflation to slow significantly in the second half of the year.</p><p>Earlier this month, the Federal Reserve just decided to issue a 50 basis point rate hike for the first time in 22 years. Fed President Jerome Powell said at a press conference after the meeting that the next two meetings in June and July may be suitable for this range of rate hike. Last Tuesday, Powell reiterated that it may be appropriate to continue rate hike's 50 basis point pace at the two meetings in June and July.</p><p>On Monday, Atlanta Fed President Bostic said that the Fed may issue a 50 basis point rate hike at each of its next two meetings, adding that he believes it is reasonable to stop rate hike in September. However, the senior Fed official who released dovish remarks does not have the right to vote at the FOMC meeting of the Fed Monetary Committee this year, and it will be his turn to enjoy the right to vote in 2024.</p><p>St. Louis Fed President Bullard, the voting committee who has FOMC voting rights this year, also said on Friday: \"We should try to get the Federal Funds rate to 3.50% by the end of 2022.\" That means 50 basis points per rate hike at all the Fed meetings for the rest of the year.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3660233\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4552":"Archegos爆仓风波概念","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GS":"高盛","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares",".DJI":"道琼斯","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3660233","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2238130573","content_text":"周一美股三大指数才实现最近四个交易日首次集体收涨,周二就全线下跌,标普500盘中跌超2%、继上周五之后再度跌入熊市区间,较今年1月的纪录高位跌超20%。美股何时能见底?对这个问题,两大华尔街机构高盛和美国银行持同样的观点,都认为,美股可能还得下跌,直到美联储暗示结束收紧货币为止。美东时间24日周二,Benjamin Bowler等美国银行的策略师发布报告称,美联储没有给风险资产提供任何帮助,看来远未开始伸出援手。其指出,从过往美联储干预的情况看,标普500期货的流动性和信用利差这类市场压力的指标目前处于美联储干预前的水平。上述美银策略师在报告中称,我们相信,市场将继续测试“美联储看跌期权”——即如果股市下跌美联储就会出手干预遏制跌势的市场观点。但这些策略师指出,“在美联储开始恐慌前,还要有更多的市场恐慌。”美银发布上述报告前一天,高盛策略师Vickie Chang本周一发布报告称,在美国经济目前没有明显步入衰退的情况下,美联储不太可能转向宽松政策。但与2018年类似,一个潜在的衰退风险信号就足以让美联储放弃持续紧缩。Chang指出,历史上美联储的货币紧缩通常在股市真正触底三个月前就结束,在股市触底两个月后转向宽松。由货币紧缩引发的股市调整往往会在美联储转向宽松时触底,而不管实际经济活动是否触底。Chang认为,投资者目前不太可能从美联储获得政策转变的明确信号,除非有确凿证据显示经济增长放缓,物价降温。市场需要看到通胀减速的迹象,才能看到货币政策的转向。目前高盛预计,美国通胀将在下半年显著放缓。美联储本月初刚刚决定二十二年来首度一次加息50个基点,联储主席鲍威尔就在会后的新闻发布会上说,6月和7月的未来两次会议可能都适合这个幅度加息。上周二鲍威尔重申,6月和7月的两次会议上可能适合延续加息50个基点的步调。本周一,亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克表示,美联储可能会接下来的两次会议中分别加息50个基点,还说,他认为9月停止加息是合理的。不过,这位放出鸽派言论的美联储高官今年并没有联储货币委员会FOMC会议的投票权,2024年才轮到他享有投票权力。今年拥有FOMC投票权的票委、圣路易斯联储主席布拉德上周五还表示:“应当设法让联邦基金利率到2022年年末达到3.50%。” 这意味着在美联储将在今年余下的所有会议上每次加息50个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"SH":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"GS":1,"QID":0.6,"OEF":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"DOG":0.6,".DJI":1,"SPY":1,"DDM":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,".IXIC":1,"MNQmain":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SDS":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3016,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}