To The Moon

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ is a a hardy scavenger, starting out as a crypto mining company (adding to the hardware shorting during that period), then pivoting into cloud computing when crypto crashed, and is now further buoyed by the AI exuberance. And the biggest killer in this AI bubble that has investors shivering is the CAPEX, but it has had a reasonable headstart on companies like Oracle who want to cash in on the hype (but face all the challenges like funding, bottlenecks in hardware availability, etc.). Much has been said about the circular economy problem, where the hardware has great value, being boosted by the growing AI bubble, which is then used as collateral to secure more funding for even more AI related hardware acquisition, and

Colour me surprised, I expected good results, but the numbers are spectacular, it would indeed be nice to see if uob and ocbc would have results as impressive. Feels like the chaos in the middle east has no significant impact... [Surprised]

The non stop spending will keep attracting the disdain of the market and investors, it only serves to inflate the AI bubble. I would be taking profits at every juncture then buying back in in hopes the bubble continues. But I will gradually start picking up HALO shares to start hedging for the eventual bubble pop. I don't see a need to be the one holding the bag when shit happens...

I am obviously on google and amazon's side. They made the rights moves with the available resources, while microsoft felt like they kept trying to force changes with the success they had from investing in openai and having the first mover's advantage. Microsoft failed to understand that they should have branched out organically, instead of trying to force feed new functionalities down the throats of existing users who were happy to varying degrees with the status quo. By making hasty moves, and not listening to feedback, they lost ground to others who were later to the game. Hopefully someone is there to steer things the right way, before it is too late.

Side note: I am still curious as to why openai won't accelerate their plan to get listed. The AI bubble is slowly growing and better to step in and make a killing while the frenzy is still ongoing. I do not believe in openai's super long term viability, but in the short and near term, they have the brand recognition and should cash in as soon as possible, and leave investors holding the bag. I firmly believe that without being the first on the market, they would not be able to compete now. they simply cannot innovate at competitive costs, cannot make money and cannot produce a strong model that chokes out competitors.

I think any period before the AI bubble pops will be conducive for further growth, specifically for the companies that are directly involved with AI. So Meta, Google/Alphabet, Amazon, maybe Microsoft. So bofa will have to acknowledge that, because that is an obvious and "safe" answer. On the flipside, if bofa is worth their salt, they know that the bubble will eventually pop and that there's some elements of gambling on making good money before the house of cards come crashing down.

So $Apple(AAPL)$ took a slide after Cook announced he will be resigning. I believe the next earnings will show positive results, but will be interested to see if the impact of this leadership change will offset the good news.

I believe that there has been and will continue to be success for the iphone 17 series. But I am curious if aapl still has the hunger and the innovative power to churn out tech that might fizzle out, but shows their proverbial muscles. If they lose sight of what makes them great, by either focusing on trying to create their own AI functionalities (it is concerning that they allowed SIRI to slowly decay and fall backwards as a phone assistant), or tunnel vision fully on their phones because it brings most of their success, then this transition of leadership might mark the death of a behemoth.

The CEO transition should add wind to their sales, but it seems like the new guy is meant to bring them onwards in the AI era, but I hope he isn't just another flunky who blindly believes in the slop producing power. It is actually fine to focus on your brand's bread and butter, and not doing it in-house (just like aapl tried and failed), and instead outsourcing it to someone (which aapl did, collaborating with google's gemini). After all, making tough calls is what a leader is there for, and if he doesn't lie to himself, the AI bubble is here and it will eventually pop, so not feeding into the blind frenzy will help protect your brand's value.

Just sounds like OpenAI paying Oracle for AI infrastructure build up, then cancelling it because orcl can't keep up and does not have the money. (Oracle... the famed software company, now a builder? And resorting to cheating their investors to gather more funds. Utter absurdity.) Or openai committing to hynix for huge amounts of dram, amounting to 40% of global supply. Everyone is trying to cash in on the market's insatiable hunger and the big names know that any news will result in more buying. The fact that openai had to shutter sora shows the run is obviously unsustainable, which shocks me that openai isn't pushing to IPO quickly to make the big bucks before the bubble pops... cash in on the brand recognition before it's too late. Again, I pity the bag holders who buy in and refuse