To The Moon

It’s not just about AI hype. Liquidity remains a major driver of the market. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has been closely tracking Global M2 with an approximately 11-week lag, and that relationship is currently pointing toward a potential 8,200 level for the index. At the same time, the AI infrastructure boom is starting to show up in corporate earnings. Massive spending on data centers, chips, power, networking and related infrastructure is creating a broad earnings tailwind across the market. The combination of expanding liquidity and accelerating AI-driven earnings could provide the S&P 500 with another leg higher.

$Goldman Sachs(GS)$ just dropped a map of the entire AI optics supply chain. Goldman just mapped the AI optics supply chain from chips to testing. The list covers the major publicly traded players across nearly every layer of the ecosystem. Chip / xPU Design:$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Intel(INTC)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Cisco(CSCO)$ MediaTek Photonic & Electronic ICs:$Lumentum(LITE)$

The market has been carried by everything except AI for the last 3 months. 3M returns… 👇 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ex-AI: +8.4% Broad AI: 0%, despite being 4x more volatile 🐯🪙 Share your choice and reasoning in the comments — thoughtful views may receive Tiger Coins! Good allocation isn’t just about investing — it’s also about keeping everyday life organised. Just like a well-balanced portfolio, the right organisation can make business trips, travel and workouts a little easier. The new Tiger Toiletry Bag features a dual-layer dry & wet separation design with plenty of space to keep your essentials neatly organised, wherever you go. Redeem the new Tiger Toiletry Bag now in Tiger Coin Mall.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ realized vol dispersion is at levels last seen during the Dot Com Bubble unwind. In other words, individual stocks are diverging wildly from the index itself.

Despite a historic Momentum crash in July… Momentum crowding is STILL in the 93rd %ile versus history. 🤯 $iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF(MTUM)$ $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$

We called the $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ breakdown weeks ago, and it just hit my first downside target. Here's what comes next... When it rains, it pours. The selling pressure is starting to accelerate this week. It started overnight in Korea, where the KOSPI crashed -11% in a single session. Samsung fell -13% and SK Hynix fell -15%. Then the US opened, and it was another bloodbath for AI stocks today. Semis fell -4.5% on the day. At its lows, SOX traded down to $10,799. That was my first downside target. 🎯🎯🎯 I called for a SOX move down to $10.6k-$10.8k ~3 weeks ago (7/7) in “Chip Wrecked” (-11% ago). Today, we tagged my $10.8k target (at lows). Week after week, we have given it to you straight. We told you last Tuesday’s bounce was N

We are seeing what a crowded trade unwind looks like. Semi ETF inflows went parabolic this year with $46B coming in <7 months YTD. This is more than the previous 9 years COMBINED. Now, it’s unwinding. $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ “Trump has to do something soon” Trump doesn’t care about AI Bubble stocks getting torched. The SPX is down ~2.4%. CTAs haven’t even started selling yet. If the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ starts to roll over, this will become another big headwind for stoc

Tuesday was the 11th time since 1999 that High Beta Momentum gained 7%+ while above its 200 DMA. 4 of those 11 have happened in 2026‼️ 3 came in early 2021. 3 came in early 2000.

Hedge funds have unloaded Tech stocks at a record pace over the past 8 weeks. In cumulative % terms, the recent HF Tech selling is the largest on record. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$

$Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ hit ~80% above its 200 day MA in early June. A number surpassed only once in history. At the peak of the Dot Com Bubble in early 2000. On that note, SOX has moved +/- 3% in 15 of the last 30 trading days. Last happened in 2000. "Short term volatility is greatest at turning points and diminishes as a trend becomes established." - George Soros