To The Moon

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh made his first FOMC appearance this week, and his hawkish tone immediately poured cold water on markets, triggering a sharp repricing across global assets. The policy rate itself did not change. The Fed kept rates unchanged at 3.5%–3.75% for the fourth consecutive meeting, with a unanimous 12-0 vote

The group eventually became synonymous with the AI bull market. Apple sells devices and ecosystems. Meta monetizes attention. Amazon combines e-commerce and cloud. Microsoft dominates software and enterprise AI. NVIDIA sells compute. Tesla is a bet on EVs, robotics, and autonomy.

Today started differently. Stocks opened higher, with the S&P up about 0.2%, the Nasdaq Composite up 0.5%, and the Nasdaq 100 up 0.6%, before giving back some gains during the session

$易方達白酒(03189)$  

The 2026 World Cup kicks off — the biggest ever. 48 teams, 104 matches, co-hosted by the U.S., Canada and Mexico, running June 11 to July 19. It's also shaping up as one of the largest sports-betting events in history, with global wagers projected near $50 billion.

The hype has reached a fever pitch. More than $250 billion in subscription funds have reportedly been locked up, with retail investors alone contributing over $70 billion. Allocation rates are expected to be only 20–30%, while more than 1,000 institutions competed for shares and international allocations accounted for less than 10% of the deal. With a greenshoe stabilization mechanism in place, most investors expect a strong debut rather than an IPO break.

Sure no problem

$易方達白酒(03189)$  

Jensen Huang is in Korea, and he’s been hyping stocks everywhere he goes: eating fried chicken with SK hynix executives, watching baseball, meeting esports players, and telling anyone who’ll listen, “business is booming” He also announced that SK hynix will become Nvidia’s primary memory supplier for AI data centers. One bullish headline after another.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ at 8000 by year-end (about +6% from now), riding on earnings resilience with expected EPS growth of 24% 2026 is a big IPO year: US IPO fundraising is projected to hit a record $225 billion, far above the previous high of about $115 billion in 2021. But demand outweighs supply — corporate buybacks alone total $1.3 trillion, overwhelming the $1.1 trillion of issuance + lockup-expiry supply (though Goldman warns that supply-demand will tighten in 2027)