To The Moon

$ISHARES S&P 500 ETF/AUS(IVV.AU)$ 

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$  

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$  

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$  

Interesting disconnect between the bullish 8000 S&P target and the weakening macro data. If payrolls come in near 60k and consumer spending keeps slowing, earnings growth expectations may need to be revised lower. The AI capex cycle is still supporting markets, but eventually investors will want to see productivity gains translate into revenue and profits rather than just spending.

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$  

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$  

When you look at history, markets have gone through far worse — 30%, 40%, even 50% drawdowns — and still recovered. So a small pullback doesn’t change the long-term game. Q1: What is a “big decline”? To me, it’s not just -10%. That’s normal volatility. A real “Buffett-level” opportunity starts around -20% (bear market territory), and becomes compelling at -30% or more — when fear is widespread and quality stocks get dragged down with everything else. Q2: If I were Buffett? I’d stay patient and hold cash, waiting for true dislocations. No rushing. When the market gives you discounts on great businesses, that’s when you deploy aggressively — not during mild dips. Q3: My current positioning * Majority still invested (long-term mindset) * Gradually adding on dips, not all-in * Keeping

Buffett saying “this is nothing” really puts things into perspective. When you look at history, markets have gone through far worse — 30%, 40%, even 50% drawdowns — and still recovered. So a small pullback doesn’t change the long-term game. Q1: What is a “big decline”?
To me, it’s not just -10%. That’s normal volatility. A real “Buffett-level” opportunity starts around -20% (bear market territory), and becomes compelling at -30% or more — when fear is widespread and quality stocks get dragged down with everything else. Q2: If I were Buffett?
I’d stay patient and hold cash, waiting for true dislocations. No rushing. When the market gives you discounts on great businesses, that’s when you deploy aggressively — not during mild dips. Q3: My current positioning * Majority still invested (long-t