$iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ There might be a 200 SMA bounce on the daily, either right at it, slightly above or below, then one final rally to retest the 500-520 area before a collapse to 350-400. That hypothetical price action is what I'd be betting on. Second scenario is straight down to 350-400, KOSPI crash style, but I'm leaning toward the first one. $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ DCA near the 473-465 level looks strong for a scalp or day trade, maybe holding a day or two. The issue is RSI can stay very strong under 30 on the daily, and it can still waterfall from
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ Honestly, who cares about the crash talk? Big capital will push this higher again. They're too deep into the AI buildout, and a lot of their structure depends on it working out. Before that though, they'll keep working these markets and taking money from retail traders chasing misleading signals. Wealth keeps moving from the bottom to the top. If you believe in the business, just buy shares. Everyone is scrambling not to be left behind. To the moon.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ SOXS bounces look like places to consider puts. These leveraged inverse ETFs are built to decay, and the short-lived green moves tend not to last. The repeated reverse splits are not random, they come from negative roll yield, daily resets, and the constant bleed baked into the structure. Buying puts on the bounces is a way to play that structural weakness rather than trying to time it perfectly. Retail traders often get pulled into these products and end up watching the floor drop out from under them.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ Ok, I went through some analysis. 1) Meta's print looked very bullish for semis. They are issuing shares to raise funds. 2) LAM's print seemed bad on the surface, but it was largely tied to China demand. Actual core demand exceeded supply, and this doesn't really affect the majority of the $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ index.
$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ 1 GB of compute power equals $50 billion in revenue, according to Nvidia's Jensen Huang. That kind of revenue scale is something you never would have heard of in stock market history. Bears can't seem to process this sort of number, so they just keep creating FUD. All of this will be profitable before supply exceeds demand. By the end of 2027, everyone will have at least 1 GB of compute power.