AI's take on selling PUT option for 09988 (Alibaba)-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

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AI's take on selling PUT option for 09988 (Alibaba)

Michane
2025-03-03

Analysis of Selling Put Options on Alibaba (09988) (as of March 3, 2025):

Current Price: HKD 129.1

Key Metrics:-

Implied Volatility (IV) : 55.64% (elevated, ideal for premium sellers).

Short Volume Ratio: >1,400% (extreme bearish bets; upside risk if short squeeze occurs).

Support Level: HKD 122.35 (5.2% below current price).

Analyst Sentiment: 15 Buy, 1 Hold (bullish consensus).

Put Options Snapshot (March 14 Expiry)

Advantages:

- High IV drives premium yields.

- Strong institutional inflows (+HKD 1.18B on Feb 26).

- Liquidity in near-term expiries (e.g., March 14).

Risk: Short-term resistance at HKD 133.25; failure to hold above HKD 127.5 could trigger assignment.

Recommendation:-

Sell Alibaba (09988) March 14 HKD 130 Put :

Premium: HKD 5.58 per share.

Breakeven: HKD 124.42 (HKD 130 - HKD 5.58).

Margin of Safety: 3.6% below current price (HKD 129.1 → HKD 124.42).

Rationale:

- High IV compensates for downside risk.

- Short squeeze potential (short volume ratio >1,400%).

- Strong technical support at HKD 122.35 (-5.2% from current).

Disclaimer:

Options involve risk of capital loss. Alibaba’s technicals are volatile, and liquidity may shift rapidly. Verify real-time data before trading. This analysis is based on market conditions as of March 3, 2025. Consult a financial advisor.

# Alibaba price target raised

Modify on 2025-03-04 00:45

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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NinaEmmie
·2025-03-05
Great insight
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- Michane:
  Thank u and that is from AI, not me [Chuckle]
  2025-03-06
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Alibaba’s technicals are volatile, and liquidity may shift rapidly. Verify real-time data before trading. This analysis is based on market conditions as of March 3, 2025. Consult a financial advisor.</i></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><h3>Analysis of Selling Put Options on Alibaba (09988) (as of March 3, 2025):</h3>\n<p><b>Current Price: </b>HKD 129.1</p>\n<p><b>Key Metrics:-</b></p>\n<p><b>Implied Volatility (IV) :</b> 55.64% (elevated, ideal for premium sellers).</p>\n<p><b>Short Volume Ratio:</b> &gt;1,400% (extreme bearish bets; upside risk if short squeeze occurs).</p>\n<p><b>Support Level: </b>HKD 122.35 (5.2% below current price).</p>\n<p><b>Analyst Sentiment:</b> 15 Buy, 1 Hold (bullish consensus).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\" style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; align-items: center;\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6370976458025f35bd4d09f79fcddff0\" tg-width=\"857\" tg-height=\"625\"><span class=\"\">Put Options Snapshot (March 14 Expiry)</span></p>\n<p><b>Advantages:</b></p>\n<p>- High IV drives premium yields.</p>\n<p>- Strong institutional inflows (+HKD 1.18B on Feb 26).</p>\n<p>- Liquidity in near-term expiries (e.g., March 14).</p>\n<p><b>Risk:</b> Short-term resistance at HKD 133.25; failure to hold above HKD 127.5 could trigger assignment.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p><b>Recommendation:-</b></p>\n<p><b>Sell Alibaba (09988) March 14 HKD 130 Put :</b></p>\n<p><b>Premium: </b>HKD 5.58 per share.</p>\n<p><b>Breakeven: </b>HKD 124.42 (HKD 130 - HKD 5.58).</p>\n<p><b>Margin of Safety:</b> 3.6% below current price (HKD 129.1 → HKD 124.42).</p>\n<p><b>Rationale:</b></p>\n<p>- High IV compensates for downside risk.</p>\n<p>- Short squeeze potential (short volume ratio &gt;1,400%).</p>\n<p>- Strong technical support at HKD 122.35 (-5.2% from current).</p>\n<p><i>Disclaimer:</i></p>\n<p><i>Options involve risk of capital loss. Alibaba’s technicals are volatile, and liquidity may shift rapidly. Verify real-time data before trading. This analysis is based on market conditions as of March 3, 2025. Consult a financial advisor.</i></p></body></html>","text":"Analysis of Selling Put Options on Alibaba (09988) (as of March 3, 2025): Current Price: HKD 129.1 Key Metrics:- Implied Volatility (IV) : 55.64% (elevated, ideal for premium sellers). Short Volume Ratio: >1,400% (extreme bearish bets; upside risk if short squeeze occurs). Support Level: HKD 122.35 (5.2% below current price). Analyst Sentiment: 15 Buy, 1 Hold (bullish consensus). Put Options Snapshot (March 14 Expiry) Advantages: - High IV drives premium yields. - Strong institutional inflows (+HKD 1.18B on Feb 26). - Liquidity in near-term expiries (e.g., March 14). Risk: Short-term resistance at HKD 133.25; failure to hold above HKD 127.5 could trigger assignment. Recommendation:- Sell Alibaba (09988) March 14 HKD 130 Put : Premium: HKD 5.58 per share. Breakeven: HKD 124.42 (HKD 130 - HKD 5.58). Margin of Safety: 3.6% below current price (HKD 129.1 → HKD 124.42). Rationale: - High IV compensates for downside risk. - Short squeeze potential (short volume ratio >1,400%). - Strong technical support at HKD 122.35 (-5.2% from current). Disclaimer: Options involve risk of capital loss. Alibaba’s technicals are volatile, and liquidity may shift rapidly. Verify real-time data before trading. This analysis is based on market conditions as of March 3, 2025. Consult a financial advisor.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":40,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":3,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/409516570071448","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2381,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["09988","HKD","BABA"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":true,"length":1098,"optionInvolvedFlag":true,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[{"id":410155769037032,"commentId":"410155769037032","gmtCreate":1741164561890,"gmtModify":1741174003425,"authorId":9000000000000454,"author":{"id":9000000000000454,"idStr":"9000000000000454","authorId":9000000000000454,"name":"NinaEmmie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fc0bb702215fdd5f1335f8d65e3e9bc","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":409516570071448,"objectIdStr":"409516570071448","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Great insight","text":"Great insight","html":"Great insight","likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"subComments":[{"id":410489067061448,"commentId":"410489067061448","gmtCreate":1741197646499,"gmtModify":1741197651502,"authorId":4091891386414570,"author":{"id":4091891386414570,"idStr":"4091891386414570","authorId":4091891386414570,"name":"Michane","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34d5ed60a80aa56ff9a8771c943602c","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6444b4970948c1077534c593eccd6d16","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":409516570071448,"objectIdStr":"409516570071448","type":1,"supId":410155769037032,"supIdStr":"410155769037032","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Thank u and that is from AI, not me  [Chuckle]","text":"Thank u and that is from AI, not me  [Chuckle]","html":"Thank u and that is from AI, not me  [Chuckle]","disclaimerType":0}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"hasMoreComment":true,"orderType":2}