To The Moon

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$

Is Donald Trump responsible for the stock market’s decline? Should you step aside or seize this as a prime opportunity to buy the dip? That’s exactly what we’ll break down on today’s show.

Right away, we’ll discuss which age groups and types of investors might be better off moving to the sidelines and who should view the current dips—especially across major FANG stocks—as a buying opportunity. We’ll also dive into the technicals, showing where the market is pulling back and identifying key entry points on the charts.

There’s plenty of news to cover, as many of these stocks have made headlines this week. For those tracking the markets, I’m recording this about 20 minutes before the close, so prices may fluctuate. Let’s get started, as always, with Meta Platforms—beginning the week at $671 but now down over 7%.

Meta News

You’ll want to keep a close eye on Meta—it’s pulling into a key technical area where investors might consider locking in profits, hovering around $622 per share.

Right now, many investors are bombarded with conflicting opinions from CNBC, Twitter, and other financial sources. On Monday, I sent out a short, straightforward newsletter addressing this market volatility. My advice? If you're 65 or older, on a fixed income, and relying on a modest nest egg—which is the case for most retirees—I’d consider stepping to the sidelines and letting the dust settle on these tariff concerns.

Trump operates like a tornado, periodically tearing through the stock market. If you're a retiree, watching your $100K, $1 million, or even $2 million portfolio shrink by 20% in a matter of days is simply not an option. Many major stocks have dropped 10-20% in just two weeks, making it understandable why older investors might want to play it safe.

However, for younger investors—especially those under 50—this volatility presents an opportunity. Market swings driven by political events often create tactical buying moments. Trump’s influence is temporary; in a week or two, the media and public focus will shift elsewhere.

What truly drives the market—particularly in tech—isn’t retirees or minimum-wage earners. It’s the massive spending power of hyperscalers, with budgets in the hundreds of billions. Companies like Google and Apple aren’t sitting back—they’re increasing capital expenditures, with Google planning a 34% jump in 2025. That number may even be a conservative estimate as the year progresses.

Speaking of market pressure, let’s turn to Apple…

Apple News

Apple hasn’t faced as much pressure as other FANG stocks this week, but it still saw a slight decline—starting at $242 and drifting about 2% lower to close the week around $238. However, the company is feeling the heat in AI, particularly with its more advanced and personalized version of Siri, which was originally showcased at last year’s Worldwide Developers Conference. That update, initially expected at the end of last year, has now been delayed until 2026.

Digging deeper, there’s speculation that the delay is partially due to compute constraints. While Apple has the necessary technology, it reportedly lacks the computing power required to run an advanced Siri, both on devices and in the cloud. Broadcom, in its recent earnings call, hinted that Apple might be among the customers ramping up server infrastructure to support high-end voice AI products.

In other developments, Apple is rumored to be launching its first foldable iPhone by 2026. The challenge with hardware, especially for Apple, is that design decisions must be locked in well ahead of launch. This foldable device is expected to cost over $2,000, which could make it a premium product in the U.S. However, Apple is also grappling with slowing growth in China. In response, the company announced the iPhone 16e, a smaller, more affordable model. Analysts—including myself—believe this budget-friendly phone may underperform in China, partly because of government subsidies for smartphone purchases. When consumers receive subsidies, they often opt for higher-end models rather than budget versions, making Apple’s decision to push a cheaper phone in that market questionable.

On the bright side, Apple’s App Store continues to perform well as AI-driven software demand rises. Many software companies, including Nvidia, are seeing revenue growth tied to AI, and Apple benefits from taking a cut of those app sales. The company also made several hardware announcements this week, including:

• A new iPad Air with an M3 chip, essentially putting laptop-level power into a lightweight tablet, starting at $600.

• A refreshed Mac Studio, Apple’s high-end desktop designed for creatives and developers, starting at $2,000+, with prices rising based on configuration.

• A MacBook Air update, now $100 cheaper than last year’s model, featuring an upgraded chip and starting at $1,000—a great option for those wanting a lightweight, powerful laptop. I might consider one myself, given how heavy my MacBook Pro is for travel.

Beyond hardware, Apple is also challenging a U.K. ruling that would allow the government to create "backdoor" access to encrypted user data. While this is alarming from a privacy standpoint, it’s not unlike some actions taken by the U.S. government in the past. Apple is pushing back on this decision, but we’ll have to see how it unfolds.

Now, shifting gears to Amazon…

Amazon News

Amazon’s stock dipped as low as $193 before recovering slightly, but it still ended the week down about 6%.

The company is expanding its live sports offering, securing the rights to stream All Elite Wrestling (AEW) pay-per-view events. While I’m not deeply familiar with the wrestling world, AEW appears to be a competitor to WWE—though likely with a smaller fanbase. That said, wrestling fans are known for their loyalty, so this could help Amazon bolster its live content strategy.

On the AWS side, Amazon is reportedly diving into "agentic AI," a term gaining traction in enterprise software. Similar to efforts from Salesforce and ServiceNow, this technology focuses on automating complex workflows—ranging from lead generation and customer interactions to chatbots and social media engagement.

Additionally, Amazon is developing a new reasoning AI model, reinforcing its push into advanced AI. The company already has a partnership with Anthropic, which recently hit a $15 billion valuation. As AI startups like Anthropic, OpenAI, and CoreWeave continue growing, it’ll be interesting to see if any of them go public—though given the current market downturn, IPOs may be on hold for now.

NVIDIA News

Nvidia started the week at $120 but dropped 7%, closing at $112 per share—well below its 52-week high of $153. In fact, the company has lost $1 trillion in market cap since reaching record highs earlier this year, which is staggering, especially as it heads into the Blackwell product ramp-up.

Last quarter, Nvidia generated $11 billion from a total $40+ billion in revenue, and as demand picks up later this year, we’ll see how things unfold. This follows a pattern I’ve been highlighting for years: the AI boom is rolling out in phases—first hardware (led by Nvidia), then software, and eventually, AI will be integrated everywhere.

We’re now moving into the software phase of AI. Companies like Salesforce, ServiceNow, and Palantir are seeing surges in AI-driven growth, despite some mixed earnings reports. Meanwhile, AI startups like Anthropic, xAI, and OpenAI have seen their valuations 10x to 100x in just a few years.

One major development is Project Stargate, a massive AI infrastructure initiative from OpenAI, Microsoft, and Oracle. They’re expected to need 64,000 of Nvidia’s latest GB200 GPUs by the end of next year—though that figure seems a bit conservative compared to other large-scale AI projects.

On the chip manufacturing side, reports suggest that Nvidia and Broadcom are testing Intel’s Foundry services—a big deal, as Intel has struggled to secure a high-profile external client. Meanwhile, TSMC announced another significant U.S. investment this week, signaling fierce competition in the semiconductor space.

Lastly, CoreWeave, a cloud AI infrastructure company, is reportedly preparing to go public as soon as next week. They’ve seen explosive revenue growth but remain unprofitable. Let me know if you’d like a deeper dive into CoreWeave—it’s definitely an interesting story.

Google News

Google started the week at $171 and bounced back by over 1.5%, closing near $174.

Employee Push & Autonomous Vehicles

Co-founder Sergey Brin is pushing employees to step up their efforts, urging them to work 60 hours per week and come into the office five days a week. He’s trying to reignite a strong work ethic at Google—we’ll see if it works.

Meanwhile, Waymo, Google’s self-driving car division, has officially launched its autonomous vehicles in Austin, Texas, in partnership with Uber. While Uber bulls are optimistic, this move seems strategic on Waymo’s part. Historically, companies like Amazon have invited third parties onto their platform only to eventually launch a competing, in-house product that’s better and more cost-efficient. Waymo could be following a similar path—partnering with Uber for now to gain data and insights, but ultimately aiming to dominate the self-driving ride-share market with its own platform.

Legal Battle & DOJ Scrutiny

Google is urging the Department of Justice not to break up the company as its antitrust trial moves forward. While we’re still in the remedy stage, regulators could force Google to divest major products, such as Chrome. A resolution is expected by this summer.

YouTube & AI-Powered Search

Google is testing a new YouTube Premium Lite plan in the U.S. for $7.99 per month, a lower-tier option compared to the existing $13.99 plan. The Lite plan removes ads but lacks features like background play, downloads, and YouTube Music access. Some users on the higher-tier plan might even downgrade to the cheaper option, though Google likely has a calculated strategy behind this pricing shift.

The biggest news this week is Google’s testing of an AI-only search mode, removing traditional blue links in favor of AI-generated overviews. This is likely a direct result of Brin’s push for employees to ship products faster, reducing internal delays from excessive filtering and red tape.

While AI-powered search will not apply to all queries, its presence will increase significantly over the next few years. Traditional SEO strategies have been in decline for years, but with AI-driven search taking over, they could become almost obsolete. The key question: How will Google monetize AI search? If history is any indication, Google will find a way, leveraging its massive user base and advertising expertise to ensure profitability.

Google’s strength in monetization and its ability to integrate ads seamlessly into products remain key competitive advantages. Whether it’s in search, YouTube, or AI-driven tools, Google consistently finds ways to generate revenue—a trend likely to continue despite shifting market dynamics.

Microsoft News

Microsoft started the week at $394 and remained mostly flat throughout.

AI Agents & Pricing Concerns

OpenAI claims it could sell AI agents for $20,000 per month—which translates to $240,000 per year. Many startup founders are leveraging AI to enhance productivity, not necessarily to replace employees, but rather to avoid hiring additional staff.

That said, a $20,000/month AI agent seems highly unrealistic in today’s market. It’s easy for OpenAI to make bold pricing claims, but that doesn’t mean businesses will adopt them at scale. It’s like saying, "If I lived in LA, I’d be a movie star" or "If I were 6’5”, I’d be in the NBA." The reality is, businesses will seek more affordable alternatives.

As Jeff Bezos famously said, "Your margin is my opportunity." If OpenAI tries to charge $20,000 per month, competitors like xAI, Anthropic, Salesforce, or others will undercut them—potentially offering similar AI agents for a fraction of the cost, like $5,000 per month or less.

OpenAI’s Legal Battle

Elon Musk’s attempt to block OpenAI’s transition into a for-profit company was rejected, meaning OpenAI can continue moving forward with its business model. This ensures the company remains a key player in the AI space, though regulatory and ethical concerns will likely persist.

Tesla News

Tesla: Struggling Amid Market Shifts

Tesla reversed course this week, starting at $297 and dropping 11% to finish near $261. The stock’s decline aligns with broader technical weakness, but the company is still making strategic moves.

Battery Business Outpacing Auto Sales

Tesla is constructing its third Megafactory near Houston, where it will produce Megapacks—large-scale battery storage units. Battery technology is Tesla’s fastest-growing segment and could soon become its most profitable. With Tesla’s auto margins shrinking, the battery business may overtake vehicle sales in profitability next quarter.

These Megapacks also tie into the AI data center boom, helping manage power storage and distribution more efficiently. Unlike Tesla’s highly competitive EV segment, the Megapack business has relatively little competition and strong multi-year growth potential.

Tariff Battle in India

Tesla and other automakers are pushing for zero tariffs on car imports into India, where current import duties can be as high as 110%. This tariff structure makes importing non-domestic vehicles incredibly expensive, limiting the market to ultra-luxury brands catering to India’s wealthiest consumers.

If Tesla succeeds in reducing or eliminating tariffs, it could unlock significant demand in one of the world’s largest growing auto markets. However, with political uncertainty around tariffs—especially with Donald Trump flip-flopping on trade policies—this remains a wild card.

Sales Decline in Germany & China

Tesla’s German sales have plummeted despite overall EV market growth in the country. A potential factor is the upcoming Model Y refresh, which may be causing consumers to delay purchases—similar to how people hold off on buying an iPhone before a new model release.

However, the situation in China is more concerning. Tesla’s sales dropped 49% in February, while domestic EV makers like Nio and Xpeng saw strong growth. This suggests that Tesla is losing ground to Chinese competitors, who are gaining market share.

To counteract this, Tesla has introduced an insurance subsidy worth over $1,000 in China. In the U.S., Tesla has also cut prices, lowered APRs to 0%, and offered incentives like free Supercharging—all signs that demand has softened.

Tesla’s real-time sales data allows it to adjust prices quickly, but frequent price cuts indicate weaker demand. Whether these incentives will stabilize sales remains to be seen.

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

Looking at the S&P 500, the recent dip over the past two weeks is barely noticeable on a long-term chart. If you’ve been investing for a while—through the dot-com crash or the 2008-2009 financial crisis—you know that short-term pullbacks are just part of the cycle.

The key is to have a plan and execute it. Timing the market perfectly is impossible, but long-term investors who buy during dips often reap the rewards years later. The S&P 500 hit all-time highs just a few weeks ago, so this pullback isn’t a major concern. In fact, deeper pullbacks should be seen as buying opportunities.

Meta (META) Technical Analysis

Meta is right in the middle of its channel, making this an area to start accumulating shares if you're looking to build a position. Many investors hesitate during pullbacks, but waiting too long often means missing the rebound. The market will eventually shift focus—whether it's politics, international conflicts, or economic news—and stocks will bounce back.

Apple (AAPL) Technical Analysis

Apple is holding up well in a tight range. While there’s no obvious buying opportunity yet, its resilience suggests strong institutional support.

Amazon (AMZN) Technical Analysis

Amazon has pulled back nearly 20%, entering full correction territory. Historically, 20%+ pullbacks in Amazon have been strong buying opportunities, making this a potential automatic buy for long-term investors.

Netflix (NFLX) Technical Analysis

Netflix saw a rare big red candle, bringing it near the bottom of its channel. If you’ve been waiting to start or add to a position, this could be a buying opportunity.

Nvidia (NVDA) Technical Analysis

Nvidia is clinging to support around $106-$110. This level has held in the past, with rebounds occurring when prices dipped into this range. However, if this level breaks, the next major support is around $80-$90—and in a worst-case scenario, a drop to $43 would be a "back up the truck" buying moment.

Google (GOOGL) Technical Analysis

Google is pulling into a solid technical area, but it’s not an urgent, must-buy opportunity. Zooming out, this pullback looks relatively small in the bigger picture. If you’ve already planned to accumulate shares, this is a good entry point—but there’s no need to rush.

Microsoft (MSFT) Technical Analysis

Microsoft has pulled back to a decade-long trendline, a level that has historically been a strong buying opportunity. It has bounced off this level multiple times over the past 10 years.

Many investors worry about being "wrong" when buying into a pullback, but long-term success comes from consistently adding to strong companies at good prices. If Microsoft drops further to $320, that would be an even stronger buying zone.

If you don’t have extra cash to invest, the real solution is increasing your income, developing skills, and boosting your earning potential—because the opportunities in the market will always be there.

Tesla Technical Analysis

Tesla has pulled back to a great buying opportunity if you’re comfortable with its speculative nature. The stock has dropped significantly, down 46% from its highs in December, within just a month and a half. What’s interesting is that Tesla has been consolidating sideways for quite some time now.

If you add the volume profile indicator, you’ll notice this sideways movement is important—this is where the stock has bounced before. Could Tesla break below this level? Absolutely. Tesla tends to have higher volatility than other stocks, meaning it can swing more dramatically. But the important thing here is that there’s clear demand for Tesla shares down to around $160, based on the chart.

When the market is unpredictable and emotions are running high, whether it’s political tension or media buzz, it’s easy for your mind to become clouded. But trust the charts. They show you where demand is—down to $160. These are levels where you can accumulate shares for the long term.

Disclaimer: I want to make it clear that I am not a financial advisor, and nothing I say is intended to be a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Additionally, it's important to remember that there are no guarantees or certainties in trading or investing, and you should never invest money that you can't afford to lose.

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