To The Moon

$Deere(DE)$’s fiscal third quarter produced its first year-over-year profit increase in three years even though the large-farm-equipment downturn continued. The surprise came from construction and forestry, where spending on infrastructure and artificial-intelligence data centres helped offset weak demand for high-horsepower tractors and combines. Deere reported on August 20 for the quarter ended July 26. Worldwide net sales and revenue increased 5% to $12.61 billion, while net income rose 7% to $1.379 billion, or $5.10 per share. Construction and Forestry sales increased 18% and operating profit rose approximately 84% to $436 million. By contrast, Production and Precision Agriculture sales declined 6%. Deere’s official third-quarter investor materi

$Wal-Mart(WMT)$ is usually treated as one of the stock market’s safest consumer businesses: when household budgets tighten, shoppers often trade down to its stores. Its fiscal second-quarter report challenged that assumption. Revenue and e-commerce grew, and management raised its annual forecast, yet US comparable sales slowed enough to suggest that even Walmart cannot escape pressure from fuel costs and cautious consumers. Walmart logo with Consumer Staples background Walmart reported on August 20 for the quarter ended July 31. Revenue increased 5.9% to $187.94 billion, adjusted earnings reached $0.81 per share and global e-commerce sales grew 23%. Operating profit rose 28.8% to approximately $9.4 billion. However, Walmart US comparable sales excl

Yesterday's bloodiest stock story was Walmart. The surface data is all good news: EPS is $0.81 better than expected $0.74, revenue of 1,879 billion higher than expected 1,868 billion, and annual guidance has also been increased. But the stock price plummeted 9.2%, the largest single day decline since July 2022 Walmart, traded at 40 times P/E, its valuation implies an assumption that it successfully transformed into a tech-enabled commerce platform. But when a company with a net margin of just 3%, revenue growth rate of 56% enjoys the premium of growth stock, any guidance miss is seen by the market in a magnifying glass. $沃爾瑪(WMT)$  

Memory Stocks Swing Wildly: Can AI and HBM Break the Traditional Cycle? Memory stocks rebounded broadly on Thursday, with $SK hynix (SKHY.US)$, $Seagate Technology (STX.US)$, $SanDisk (SNDK.US)$, $Western Digital(WDC)$  , and $Micron Technology(MU)$   all moving higher. The sector had been under pressure in recent sessions. On Wednesday, Treasury yields fell sharply and SK Hynix announced a massive share buyback, yet memory stocks still gave up early gains. The muted response to positive catalysts has brought one key question back into focus: Is the memory cycle approaching a peak, or are AI and HBM extending the traditional memory

In this article we would like to share what are our thoughts of the topic. Our analysis concludes that while foundational building blocks will achieve operational maturity in the near term (1–3 years), widespread global adoption will proceed through a bifurcated timeline. Sub-narratives such as AI agent micro-payments on Lightning and energy grid co-optimization are set to see immediate adoption in niche developer, open-source, and cloud-compute ecosystems. However, full-scale macroeconomic integration faces significant derailment risks. Key structural catalysts include the deployment of open-source agent frameworks (e.g., $Block, Inc.(XYZ)$ Block’s Goose and Buzz), multi-party signature identity standards, and energy load balancing. Conversely, fi

Marvell Bears Spar With Bulls as Google Deal Bolsters Outlook $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$   bulls battled it out with bears looking to fade Wednesday’s gains that were fueled by a major commercial partnership with $Alphabet(GOOG)$  's Google.  Shares of the chipmaker swung between gains and losses Thursday after its 8% the previous session pushed eight of the 15 most commonly used technical indicators to flash warnings of a divergence or oversold conditions that could disrupt the rally. After yesterday's gains, the stock is now up 44% from its low on July 29. That could mean near-term caution or consolidation risk is elevated

QQQ Pulls Back as Whales Sell Over $70M in Puts: Is the Bottom Near? $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$   continued to pull back on Thursday, falling about 1% intraday to around $709. Long-term Treasury yields moved higher again, keeping valuation pressure on technology stocks. Meanwhile, QQQ's options market saw a cluster of large put-selling trades. Traders are taking advantage of the pullback to sell downside risk while showing a willingness to take on QQQ exposure at lower levels. Over $70 Million in Put-Selling Activity Several large QQQ put sales appeared on Thursday: – Sep. 18 $685 Put: 37,000 contracts, about $29.42 million in premium – Sep. 18 $660 Put: 37,000 contracts, about $15.17 million – Sep. 18 $682 Put: 17,

In this article we analyse whether this cross-asset divergence signifies a broader institutional shift toward risk assets or a specific tactical allocation into non-sovereign stores of value. It evaluates the impact of pending alternative crypto legislation on market infrastructure and institutional participation, examines the intensifying pressure on Big Tech debt financing in an elevated rate environment, and provides an actionable 1-to-3-month portfolio playbook designed to hedge macro volatility while strategically capturing selective upside. 1. The August 20 Sell-Off: Macro Triple-Whammy vs. Crypto Resurgence The substantial downturn across broad U.S. stock indexes on August 20, 2026, underscores a fragile macroeconomic backdrop. The convergence of three distinct headwinds triggered w

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   Headline News For Nvidia (NVDA) NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $217.16 ahead of its upcoming fiscal Q2 earnings report scheduled for August 26, 2026. Wall Street expects revenue to more than double year-over-year to over $91.5 billion, driven by rock-solid artificial intelligence demand, strong hyperscaler commitments, and easing export restrictions allowing H200 chip shipments to regions like China. Key Stock Drivers Upcoming Earnings: Reporting on August 26, 2026, with high expectations for robust Q3 guidance around $105 billion. Valuation Talk: Bank of America analysts note that NVIDIA trades at a notable valuation discount relative to its historical pace and peers, despite dominant market share. C

$Apollo Bancorp, Inc.(APLO)$   Six of the world's largest asset managers just committed $500 billion to AI infrastructure. Not Nvidia stock. The layer underneath. Apollo. BlackRock. Blackstone. Brookfield. Goldman Sachs. KKR. Bloomberg called it "Wall Street's biggest infrastructure bet." Here's what most retail investors haven't grasped yet: this isn't a headline that fades. It's a $500 billion capital deployment starting right now and rolling out across the next 12 months. The gap between when institutions position and when retail catches on is usually measured in months, not years.

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Memory: Up to 10% Share Reduction, CPO Adds New Optionality Memory makers are no longer just printing profits — they are starting to retire serious amounts of stock. SK hynix could ultimately shrink its share base by nearly 10%, while Sandisk’s remaining authorization equals roughly 6.7%. Sandisk Fired First. SK hynix Just Raised the Stakes $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$   kicked things off by adding $14B to its repurchase authorization, leaving $15.5B available. At its Aug. 19 closing price, that is equivalent to roughly 6.6% of the share base. The company had already repurchased $4.5B of stock in the prior quarter. $SK hynix(SKHY)$   then raised the stakes. Its KRW40T ($28.7B) program will bu

Marvell's Google Win Reveals the Real AI ASIC War $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$   disclosed an expanded agreement with $Alphabet(GOOG)$   covering a broad range of custom products tied to the TPU ecosystem, including AI inference accelerators, NICs, storage controllers, memory interface controllers and near memory compute products. $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ also received warrants tied largely to future purchases of Marvell custom silicon. The market quickly interpreted the deal as a threat to Broadcom's historically dominant position around Google TPUs, sending Marvell higher and Broadcom lower. However, 

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$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$Moderna and Merck’s personalized cancer therapy met its key goals in a Phase 3 melanoma trial, sending MRNA sharply higher and lifting the broader biotech sector. Biotech stocks have finally found a major catalyst. Moderna (MRNA) surged roughly 177%, while Merck (MRK) gained about 12.6%. BioNTech (BNTX), which is also developing mRNA-based cancer treatments, climbed nearly 22%. Biotech ETFs XBI and IBB rose about 5.9% and 6.6%, respectively. The catalyst was positive Phase 3 data for intismeran autogene, also known as V940 or mRNA-4157. The personalized mRNA therapy is being jointly developed by Moderna and Merck and tested in combination with Merck’s blockbuster immunotherapy drug Keytruda. The combination met

Nvidia Earnings Preview: What Will It Take to Beat the Bar? $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   , the world's leading AI chip maker, is set to release its FY27Q2 earnings after market close on August 26. Being the last among the "Mag7" to report this season, the release has drawn global attention. Investors are primarily focused on the ramp up pace of Vera Rubin's revenue contribution and updated guidance regarding the China market.  With numerous semiconductor firms recently beating estimates yet still declining because results missed the market's most bullish expectations, this report poses a significant test for Nvidia. FY27Q2 Core Financial Indicators – Revenue consensus estimate is $91.9 billion, up 97% YoY and 13%

$Deere(DE)$’s fiscal third quarter produced its first year-over-year profit increase in three years even though the large-farm-equipment downturn continued. The surprise came from construction and forestry, where spending on infrastructure and artificial-intelligence data centres helped offset weak demand for high-horsepower tractors and combines. Deere reported on August 20 for the quarter ended July 26. Worldwide net sales and revenue increased 5% to $12.61 billion, while net income rose 7% to $1.379 billion, or $5.10 per share. Construction and Forestry sales increased 18% and operating profit rose approximately 84% to $436 million. By contrast, Production and Precision Agriculture sales declined 6%. Deere’s official third-quarter investor materi

$Wal-Mart(WMT)$ is usually treated as one of the stock market’s safest consumer businesses: when household budgets tighten, shoppers often trade down to its stores. Its fiscal second-quarter report challenged that assumption. Revenue and e-commerce grew, and management raised its annual forecast, yet US comparable sales slowed enough to suggest that even Walmart cannot escape pressure from fuel costs and cautious consumers. Walmart logo with Consumer Staples background Walmart reported on August 20 for the quarter ended July 31. Revenue increased 5.9% to $187.94 billion, adjusted earnings reached $0.81 per share and global e-commerce sales grew 23%. Operating profit rose 28.8% to approximately $9.4 billion. However, Walmart US comparable sales excl

In this article we would like to share what are our thoughts of the topic. Our analysis concludes that while foundational building blocks will achieve operational maturity in the near term (1–3 years), widespread global adoption will proceed through a bifurcated timeline. Sub-narratives such as AI agent micro-payments on Lightning and energy grid co-optimization are set to see immediate adoption in niche developer, open-source, and cloud-compute ecosystems. However, full-scale macroeconomic integration faces significant derailment risks. Key structural catalysts include the deployment of open-source agent frameworks (e.g., $Block, Inc.(XYZ)$ Block’s Goose and Buzz), multi-party signature identity standards, and energy load balancing. Conversely, fi

In this article we analyse whether this cross-asset divergence signifies a broader institutional shift toward risk assets or a specific tactical allocation into non-sovereign stores of value. It evaluates the impact of pending alternative crypto legislation on market infrastructure and institutional participation, examines the intensifying pressure on Big Tech debt financing in an elevated rate environment, and provides an actionable 1-to-3-month portfolio playbook designed to hedge macro volatility while strategically capturing selective upside. 1. The August 20 Sell-Off: Macro Triple-Whammy vs. Crypto Resurgence The substantial downturn across broad U.S. stock indexes on August 20, 2026, underscores a fragile macroeconomic backdrop. The convergence of three distinct headwinds triggered w

Memory Stocks Swing Wildly: Can AI and HBM Break the Traditional Cycle? Memory stocks rebounded broadly on Thursday, with $SK hynix (SKHY.US)$, $Seagate Technology (STX.US)$, $SanDisk (SNDK.US)$, $Western Digital(WDC)$  , and $Micron Technology(MU)$   all moving higher. The sector had been under pressure in recent sessions. On Wednesday, Treasury yields fell sharply and SK Hynix announced a massive share buyback, yet memory stocks still gave up early gains. The muted response to positive catalysts has brought one key question back into focus: Is the memory cycle approaching a peak, or are AI and HBM extending the traditional memory

Marvell Bears Spar With Bulls as Google Deal Bolsters Outlook $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$   bulls battled it out with bears looking to fade Wednesday’s gains that were fueled by a major commercial partnership with $Alphabet(GOOG)$  's Google.  Shares of the chipmaker swung between gains and losses Thursday after its 8% the previous session pushed eight of the 15 most commonly used technical indicators to flash warnings of a divergence or oversold conditions that could disrupt the rally. After yesterday's gains, the stock is now up 44% from its low on July 29. That could mean near-term caution or consolidation risk is elevated

QQQ Pulls Back as Whales Sell Over $70M in Puts: Is the Bottom Near? $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$   continued to pull back on Thursday, falling about 1% intraday to around $709. Long-term Treasury yields moved higher again, keeping valuation pressure on technology stocks. Meanwhile, QQQ's options market saw a cluster of large put-selling trades. Traders are taking advantage of the pullback to sell downside risk while showing a willingness to take on QQQ exposure at lower levels. Over $70 Million in Put-Selling Activity Several large QQQ put sales appeared on Thursday: – Sep. 18 $685 Put: 37,000 contracts, about $29.42 million in premium – Sep. 18 $660 Put: 37,000 contracts, about $15.17 million – Sep. 18 $682 Put: 17,

Marvell's Google Win Reveals the Real AI ASIC War $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$   disclosed an expanded agreement with $Alphabet(GOOG)$   covering a broad range of custom products tied to the TPU ecosystem, including AI inference accelerators, NICs, storage controllers, memory interface controllers and near memory compute products. $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ also received warrants tied largely to future purchases of Marvell custom silicon. The market quickly interpreted the deal as a threat to Broadcom's historically dominant position around Google TPUs, sending Marvell higher and Broadcom lower. However, 

Yesterday's bloodiest stock story was Walmart. The surface data is all good news: EPS is $0.81 better than expected $0.74, revenue of 1,879 billion higher than expected 1,868 billion, and annual guidance has also been increased. But the stock price plummeted 9.2%, the largest single day decline since July 2022 Walmart, traded at 40 times P/E, its valuation implies an assumption that it successfully transformed into a tech-enabled commerce platform. But when a company with a net margin of just 3%, revenue growth rate of 56% enjoys the premium of growth stock, any guidance miss is seen by the market in a magnifying glass. $沃爾瑪(WMT)$  

$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$Moderna and Merck’s personalized cancer therapy met its key goals in a Phase 3 melanoma trial, sending MRNA sharply higher and lifting the broader biotech sector. Biotech stocks have finally found a major catalyst. Moderna (MRNA) surged roughly 177%, while Merck (MRK) gained about 12.6%. BioNTech (BNTX), which is also developing mRNA-based cancer treatments, climbed nearly 22%. Biotech ETFs XBI and IBB rose about 5.9% and 6.6%, respectively. The catalyst was positive Phase 3 data for intismeran autogene, also known as V940 or mRNA-4157. The personalized mRNA therapy is being jointly developed by Moderna and Merck and tested in combination with Merck’s blockbuster immunotherapy drug Keytruda. The combination met

Memory: Up to 10% Share Reduction, CPO Adds New Optionality Memory makers are no longer just printing profits — they are starting to retire serious amounts of stock. SK hynix could ultimately shrink its share base by nearly 10%, while Sandisk’s remaining authorization equals roughly 6.7%. Sandisk Fired First. SK hynix Just Raised the Stakes $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$   kicked things off by adding $14B to its repurchase authorization, leaving $15.5B available. At its Aug. 19 closing price, that is equivalent to roughly 6.6% of the share base. The company had already repurchased $4.5B of stock in the prior quarter. $SK hynix(SKHY)$   then raised the stakes. Its KRW40T ($28.7B) program will bu

Nvidia Earnings Preview: What Will It Take to Beat the Bar? $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   , the world's leading AI chip maker, is set to release its FY27Q2 earnings after market close on August 26. Being the last among the "Mag7" to report this season, the release has drawn global attention. Investors are primarily focused on the ramp up pace of Vera Rubin's revenue contribution and updated guidance regarding the China market.  With numerous semiconductor firms recently beating estimates yet still declining because results missed the market's most bullish expectations, this report poses a significant test for Nvidia. FY27Q2 Core Financial Indicators – Revenue consensus estimate is $91.9 billion, up 97% YoY and 13%

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   Headline News For Nvidia (NVDA) NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $217.16 ahead of its upcoming fiscal Q2 earnings report scheduled for August 26, 2026. Wall Street expects revenue to more than double year-over-year to over $91.5 billion, driven by rock-solid artificial intelligence demand, strong hyperscaler commitments, and easing export restrictions allowing H200 chip shipments to regions like China. Key Stock Drivers Upcoming Earnings: Reporting on August 26, 2026, with high expectations for robust Q3 guidance around $105 billion. Valuation Talk: Bank of America analysts note that NVIDIA trades at a notable valuation discount relative to its historical pace and peers, despite dominant market share. C

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ and $PayPal(PYPL)$ just got the bull case reloaded. $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ and $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ just got downgraded. Four calls, two very different views of where money is heading next. On one side: Alphabet, where massive AI spending is finally translating into stronger Cloud growth and a $514B backlog. On the other: CrowdStrike and Palantir, two AI winners still delivering strong growth but trading at valuations that leave much less room for disappointment. PayPal sits somewhere else entirely — its near-term t

$Apollo Bancorp, Inc.(APLO)$   Six of the world's largest asset managers just committed $500 billion to AI infrastructure. Not Nvidia stock. The layer underneath. Apollo. BlackRock. Blackstone. Brookfield. Goldman Sachs. KKR. Bloomberg called it "Wall Street's biggest infrastructure bet." Here's what most retail investors haven't grasped yet: this isn't a headline that fades. It's a $500 billion capital deployment starting right now and rolling out across the next 12 months. The gap between when institutions position and when retail catches on is usually measured in months, not years.

Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik

$Lyntris(LYNX)$ entered public markets with exposure to battlefield sensors, electronic warfare and defence software at a time of exceptional military demand. Its shares nevertheless opened below the reduced offer price, demonstrating that investors will not value every defence listing as if geopolitical urgency guarantees profitable growth. Lyntris began trading on the New York Stock Exchange on August 19. The company and selling shareholders offered 17 million shares at $17.50 each, raising approximately $297.5 million. The transaction had originally targeted 24 million shares at $19–$22. Shares opened at $15.50 and finished their first session approximately 11% below the IPO price, valuing Lyntris near $1.8 billion. Reuters’ report on the debut

$Ford(F)$ shares rose as the United States and Canada moved closer to reducing tariffs on vehicles, steel and aluminium. A final agreement would ease an important cost and supply-chain risk, but Ford’s long-term profitability still depends on product mix, warranty costs and electric-vehicle economics rather than trade relief alone. Reuters reported on August 19 that negotiators were discussing cutting the headline US tariff on Canadian-built cars and trucks from 25% to 15%, before deductions for US-made content. Proposed steel and aluminium tariffs could fall from 50% to 25% within a quota, reportedly around four million metric tons annually. However, no final agreement had been signed, and tariffs on approximately $20 billion of Canadian goods were

$Analog Devices(ADI)$ delivered record quarterly revenue and forecast another sequential increase. Artificial-intelligence infrastructure is an important driver, but the more convincing signal is that industrial demand is recovering alongside it—reducing reliance on a single capital-spending theme. The company reported on August 19 for its fiscal third quarter ended August 1. Revenue increased 40% year over year to $4.02 billion, while adjusted earnings reached $3.45 per share, up 68%. Trailing-12-month operating cash flow was $5.5 billion and free cash flow was $4.9 billion, equivalent to 40% and 36% of revenue, respectively. Analog Devices also returned $1.7 billion through dividends and repurchases during the quarter. Analog Devices’ official re

In this article, we would like to share an in-depth analysis of recent macroeconomic and regulatory developments impacting global fixed income, corporate debt markets, and the digital asset ecosystem. Following a sharp spike in long-end sovereign yields driven by war risks and national debt approaching $40 trillion, the U.S. Treasury announced a doubling of its liquidity-support buybacks for 10-to-30-year Treasuries to at least $4 billion per operation through November 4, 2026. $US Treasury 10 Year Note ETF(UTEN)$ This intervention successfully suppressed 30-year yields to ~5.19% and injected vital liquidity into the long end. Simultaneously, digital asset markets have surged as institutional investors migrate toward hard assets and regulatory mom