To The Moon

Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :

If you think US banks are still winners in 2026, it needs an October update. For starters, $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ stock ticked down slightly early Thu, 08 Oct 2026, extending a painful sell-off that has almost zeroed out 2026 gains for the storied Wall Street bank - days ahead of its Q3 2026 earnings release. (see below) According to Yahoo Finance data: GS has fallen in 10 of the past 12 weeks. Dropping more than -20% since its July 2026 peak. (see below) For the year, shares were up less than 1% as of Thu, 08 Oct 2026 morning. Prior to 08 Oct 2026's trading, shares of the investment bank had lost -13.44% lagged the Finance sector's loss of -4.09% and the S&P 500's gain of +1.4%. The retreat comes as a dramatic reversal of investor appetite. 

[你懂的]  Pagaya Technologies (PGY): An Underrated Fintech Company Turning Profitable — Is There More Upside Ahead? What if one of the more interesting AI-related investment opportunities wasn't another semiconductor company, but a fintech business helping banks make better lending decisions? Meet Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ: PGY). Pagaya operates at the intersection of artificial intelligence, consumer credit, and financial markets. Its business is built around helping financial institutions evaluate borrowers, expand lending opportunities, and connect loan originations with institutional funding. What makes the company particularly interesting is its financial transformation. After reporting a substantial GAAP net loss in 2024, Pagaya returned to profitability in 2025 and remained

CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk

The indices: the selling stayed inside technology, so the Nasdaq fell while the Dow closed higher The three indices split on Thursday: the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 1.25 per cent to 27,193.34, the steepest of them; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.47 per cent to 7,765.36; and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rose 0.10 per cent to 51,231.60. The 10-year Treasury yield came back from 5.28 per cent to 5.23 per cent on the same day. Rates fell and equities fell with them, which is not the chain of cause and effect of recent days: what was repriced was the assumption about demand along the AI chain, and the discount rate had nothing to d

While investors debate AI valuations and technology stocks face pressure, I’m watching a different sector today: airlines. $Delta Air Lines(DAL)$  is worth watching as its latest earnings put travel demand, operating costs and profit expectations in focus. 🛫 What does Delta do? Delta is one of the largest US airlines, earning revenue from passenger travel, premium cabins, loyalty programmes and cargo services. Its premium travel business and loyalty ecosystem help differentiate it from competitors. 📊 Why is DAL interesting now? 1. Earnings provide a reality check Investors will be looking beyond headline revenue to passenger demand, unit revenue, profit margins and management’s outlook. Strong travel demand is positive, but the key question is

④ The real AI bubble test isn't whether revenue reaches $50 billion or $70 billion. It's whether revenue can eventually justify the enormous infrastructure bill. A $50 billion annualized run rate is still impressive, but annualized revenue isn't realized annual revenue, and neither guarantees positive cash flow. Investors must distinguish genuine customer demand from growth supported by cloud credits, strategic partnerships, or financing arrangements. Here's the uncomfortable question: What happens if AI revenue keeps growing, but infrastructure spending grows even faster? GPU makers like NVIDIA and memory suppliers like Micron could face valuation pressure if hyperscalers slow spending. The danger isn't that AI suddenly becomes useless; it's that the market has priced in monetization ar

Not every growth opportunity comes from technology. Sometimes, it comes from a consumer brand trying to win space on supermarket shelves. Today’s stock to watch: $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$   Celsius makes energy drinks marketed around fitness and active lifestyles. Its challenge is to turn brand recognition into sustainable sales growth while competing against established giants such as Red Bull and Monster Beverage. 🥤 1. A growing category Energy drinks have become a mainstream consumer product. Celsius has an opportunity to attract customers looking for alternatives to traditional energy drink brands. 📈 2. Distribution is the key Getting more shelf space and reaching more retailers can expand sales. But investors need to watch

BUY IT CHEAP NOW !  MASSIVE IPO LISTING OF ITS SPINOFF UNIT $KUAISHOU-W(01024)$   $BABA-W(09988)$   $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  

🌟🌟🌟There is a quiet, almost invisible magic built into the concrete foundations of Singapore.  It doesn't scream for attention like a volatile tech stock on Wall Street, nor does it keep you awake at 3am in a cold sweat.  It is the steady unyielding power of financial compounding. Compounding is the financial equivalent of rolling a tiny snowball down Bukit Timah Hill.  At first it looks insignificant.  But as it rolls, the snow picks up more snow.  In the investing world, your money makes babies and then those babies have babies, until you are suddenly sitting on a generational empire. In Singapore, the kings of this compounding kingdom are our local banking trio: $DBS(D05.SI)$  

A new OpenAI investor disclosure is forcing the market to take a closer look at one of the most important numbers in the AI boom. According to the latest investor materials, OpenAI’s annualized revenue was approaching $50 billion at the end of September. That is still an extraordinary growth rate, but it is roughly $20 billion lower than the nearly $70 billion figure that had been circulating in the market just days earlier. The important point is that OpenAI did not suddenly lose $20 billion of revenue. The gap appears to come largely from different accounting and comparison methodologies. Some earlier estimates adjusted OpenAI’s revenue to make it more comparable with Anthropic, including revenue generated through cloud partners or distribution arrangements. OpenAI’s own reported run-rat

Singapore’s stock market experienced a major sell-off on October 8, 2026, driven by a sharp decline in its heavyweight banking stocks. This has also rattled retail and institutional investors alike. In this article, we would like to provide a breakdown of whether the sell-off is a mere reaction to analyst notes or a necessary fundamental re-pricing, while offering a strategic framework for evaluating entry points. 1. Unpacking the Trigger: The Citibank Downgrade On October 7, 2026, Singapore's financial markets experienced a sharp shock when $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ OCBC shares tumbled nearly 6% following a downgrade from Citibank. Citi revised its rating on OCBC from "neutral" to "sell," citing softer-than-expected third-quarter earnings expectation

Sometimes the strongest businesses are the ones with a simple formula — loyal customers, recurring revenue and products people buy every week. Today I’m watching Costco $Costco(COST)$   — a business built around something surprisingly powerful: getting customers to pay for the privilege of shopping there. So what does Costco actually do? Think about a typical Costco trip: groceries, petrol, electronics, appliances, clothing, furniture, pharmacy items and its famous food court. It sells a huge range of products through membership warehouses and its online business, using high sales volumes and rapid inventory turnover to keep prices competitive. And that’s the interesting part of the business model. Costco makes money from selling pr

The strongest aspect of Ouster's performance is its Financial Strength, rated 8/10, suggesting a solid balance sheet and manageable debt levels. However, the company struggles significantly in profitability, earning a score of just 1/10, which aligns with its cash-flow negative status. The disparity between the growth rank of 8/10 and the valuation rank of 1/10 highlights the potential for growth that may not yet be reflected in its current valuation.

I am still bullish on the AI-driven memory cycle, especially with HBM demand remaining strong. Samsung’s huge profit growth shows how powerful the current pricing environment is, but the muted share-price reaction tells me investors are already looking beyond the next quarter. For me, the key question is how sustainable these margins are. I will watch DRAM/HBM pricing, new capacity and whether hyperscalers push harder on costs. In a cyclical industry, stocks can peak before earnings do. I am not calling the cycle over yet because AI infrastructure demand remains strong. However, I would stay selective rather than chase record earnings. If demand keeps outpacing supply, the cycle could last much longer. @Tiger_comments

$DHT Holdings Inc(DHT)$ 30 Target Price. --DHT Holdings Inc. Overview-- DHT is the world's largest independent VLCC owner — 3 vessels delivered in Q1-2026, 1 more coming in Q4-2026 with total market cap of $3B. --Growth Catalysts for DHT Holdings (NYSE: DHT)-- 1). Fleet Renewal + Tighter Supply - *4 newbuild VLCCs scheduled for 2026* — first 3 (DHT Gazelle, Addax, etc.) already contributing. Q1-2026 revenue is $157.4M beats EBITDA $133.3M, with profit margin 84.7% (i.e.+97% YoY ). - Total payments for VLCC new-built program is $444.2M by March 31, remaining ∼$77.5M balance deficit only. - Strategy: Sold older tonnage at huge gains — DHT Europe + China sold for $95M cash, $60M gain in Q1-2026. DHT Bauhinia agreed $51.5M sale, $34.2M gain attained at

② Earnings are still strong, but the best growth rate is behind us Samsung’s 783% profit surge proves how powerful the AI memory cycle has become. HBM demand remains strong, while server DRAM and enterprise SSDs continue benefiting from hyperscaler spending. But investors should distinguish record earnings from accelerating earnings. Memory is cyclical. Extraordinary margins eventually attract new capacity from Samsung, SK hynix, Micron and Chinese suppliers. If supply catches up faster than demand, pricing power can weaken before AI demand actually slows. That is why Samsung’s muted stock reaction matters. The market is looking beyond Q3 profits and asking whether these margins can survive into 2027. I choose ②. I’m not calling the memory cycle over, but the easiest part of the trade may

Samsung just delivered a set of numbers that look almost unreal. For Q3 2026, the company expects revenue of about KRW 195 trillion and operating profit of roughly KRW 107.4 trillion, or around $80.2 billion, up about 783% year over year. The main driver is still AI: HBM, traditional DRAM and NAND are all benefiting from tight supply, giving memory makers exceptional pricing power. What is more interesting is the market reaction. Despite the record-level profit, Samsung shares barely moved and remain well below their June high. That suggests investors are no longer asking, “How much can Samsung earn this quarter?” The question has shifted to: How long can these margins last? That is now the key debate across the memory sector. Demand is still strong. AI servers continue to absorb HBM, serv

🌟🌟🌟The selling pressure on the Singapore Exchange has intensified for a second consecutive day, turning what started as a single broker downgrade into a broader macro rout.  Following Wednesday's initial hit, $DBS(D05.SI)$  $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$  and $UOB(U11.SI)$  extended their declines on Thursday, dragging the benchmark Straits Times Index (STI) down by more than 2.5%. The new catalyst shifting this from corporate profit taking to sector wide panic is a fresh warning from JP Morgan.  Analysts warned that surging global long bond yields whi

We live in an undeniably exciting world where the global news cycle functions as a masterclass in unpredictability, keeping its inhabitants entirely on their toes. A recent fatal illness of a lab technician at a remote research facility sparked international queries regarding a potential plague. Reminiscent of the tight data control during a historical nuclear disaster, officials swiftly assured the public that no high-threat pathogens exist, beautifully demonstrating that certain traditions of managing public narratives remain flawlessly intact. [Applaud]  [Applaud]    Meanwhile, the global landscape continues to shift with remarkable speed. A prominent military force suddenly extracted all its strategic heavy bombers from an allied airbase back to domestic s

Markets saw little meaningful volatility during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holiday, giving us a calm and enjoyable break. However, unusual moves emerged once trading resumed. The rebound in crude oil futures deserves the most attention. The continuous WTI crude oil contract opened at 90.40, reached a high of 93.68 and a low of 88.79, before closing at 92.91. The candle itself was not extraordinary. Its location was what mattered. My technical model provides a useful framework for tracking this market over time. Crude oil tends to respect key technical levels. This rebound began precisely at the long-term ascending trendline extending from the lows. Prices also held the previous consolidation range between 89.86 and 104.70 :

If you think US banks are still winners in 2026, it needs an October update. For starters, $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ stock ticked down slightly early Thu, 08 Oct 2026, extending a painful sell-off that has almost zeroed out 2026 gains for the storied Wall Street bank - days ahead of its Q3 2026 earnings release. (see below) According to Yahoo Finance data: GS has fallen in 10 of the past 12 weeks. Dropping more than -20% since its July 2026 peak. (see below) For the year, shares were up less than 1% as of Thu, 08 Oct 2026 morning. Prior to 08 Oct 2026's trading, shares of the investment bank had lost -13.44% lagged the Finance sector's loss of -4.09% and the S&P 500's gain of +1.4%. The retreat comes as a dramatic reversal of investor appetite. 

CFTC Data: What It Is, Why It Matters and What to Watch The CFTC publishes its Commitments of Traders report each week. Known as the COT report, it is a key gauge of positioning across global futures markets. Its main value lies in showing which investor groups are driving price action. Market moves ultimately reflect competition among different types of capital. CFTC data makes these forces visible by breaking positions down by trader category. The CFTC divides market positions into three main categories: Non-commercial: Speculative traders, mainly hedge funds and CTAs, that seek to profit from price moves. They are the most responsive and directional market participants. Commercial: Companies that use futures to hedge business risks. Their positions primarily reflect risk

[你懂的]  Pagaya Technologies (PGY): An Underrated Fintech Company Turning Profitable — Is There More Upside Ahead? What if one of the more interesting AI-related investment opportunities wasn't another semiconductor company, but a fintech business helping banks make better lending decisions? Meet Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ: PGY). Pagaya operates at the intersection of artificial intelligence, consumer credit, and financial markets. Its business is built around helping financial institutions evaluate borrowers, expand lending opportunities, and connect loan originations with institutional funding. What makes the company particularly interesting is its financial transformation. After reporting a substantial GAAP net loss in 2024, Pagaya returned to profitability in 2025 and remained

The indices: the selling stayed inside technology, so the Nasdaq fell while the Dow closed higher The three indices split on Thursday: the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 1.25 per cent to 27,193.34, the steepest of them; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.47 per cent to 7,765.36; and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rose 0.10 per cent to 51,231.60. The 10-year Treasury yield came back from 5.28 per cent to 5.23 per cent on the same day. Rates fell and equities fell with them, which is not the chain of cause and effect of recent days: what was repriced was the assumption about demand along the AI chain, and the discount rate had nothing to d

🌟🌟🌟There is a quiet, almost invisible magic built into the concrete foundations of Singapore.  It doesn't scream for attention like a volatile tech stock on Wall Street, nor does it keep you awake at 3am in a cold sweat.  It is the steady unyielding power of financial compounding. Compounding is the financial equivalent of rolling a tiny snowball down Bukit Timah Hill.  At first it looks insignificant.  But as it rolls, the snow picks up more snow.  In the investing world, your money makes babies and then those babies have babies, until you are suddenly sitting on a generational empire. In Singapore, the kings of this compounding kingdom are our local banking trio: $DBS(D05.SI)$  

A new OpenAI investor disclosure is forcing the market to take a closer look at one of the most important numbers in the AI boom. According to the latest investor materials, OpenAI’s annualized revenue was approaching $50 billion at the end of September. That is still an extraordinary growth rate, but it is roughly $20 billion lower than the nearly $70 billion figure that had been circulating in the market just days earlier. The important point is that OpenAI did not suddenly lose $20 billion of revenue. The gap appears to come largely from different accounting and comparison methodologies. Some earlier estimates adjusted OpenAI’s revenue to make it more comparable with Anthropic, including revenue generated through cloud partners or distribution arrangements. OpenAI’s own reported run-rat

Singapore’s stock market experienced a major sell-off on October 8, 2026, driven by a sharp decline in its heavyweight banking stocks. This has also rattled retail and institutional investors alike. In this article, we would like to provide a breakdown of whether the sell-off is a mere reaction to analyst notes or a necessary fundamental re-pricing, while offering a strategic framework for evaluating entry points. 1. Unpacking the Trigger: The Citibank Downgrade On October 7, 2026, Singapore's financial markets experienced a sharp shock when $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ OCBC shares tumbled nearly 6% following a downgrade from Citibank. Citi revised its rating on OCBC from "neutral" to "sell," citing softer-than-expected third-quarter earnings expectation

While investors debate AI valuations and technology stocks face pressure, I’m watching a different sector today: airlines. $Delta Air Lines(DAL)$  is worth watching as its latest earnings put travel demand, operating costs and profit expectations in focus. 🛫 What does Delta do? Delta is one of the largest US airlines, earning revenue from passenger travel, premium cabins, loyalty programmes and cargo services. Its premium travel business and loyalty ecosystem help differentiate it from competitors. 📊 Why is DAL interesting now? 1. Earnings provide a reality check Investors will be looking beyond headline revenue to passenger demand, unit revenue, profit margins and management’s outlook. Strong travel demand is positive, but the key question is

Not every growth opportunity comes from technology. Sometimes, it comes from a consumer brand trying to win space on supermarket shelves. Today’s stock to watch: $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$   Celsius makes energy drinks marketed around fitness and active lifestyles. Its challenge is to turn brand recognition into sustainable sales growth while competing against established giants such as Red Bull and Monster Beverage. 🥤 1. A growing category Energy drinks have become a mainstream consumer product. Celsius has an opportunity to attract customers looking for alternatives to traditional energy drink brands. 📈 2. Distribution is the key Getting more shelf space and reaching more retailers can expand sales. But investors need to watch

Wall Street closed lower following the release of the Federal Reserve FOMC Minutes, with major indexes declining as rising Treasury yields revived inflation fears. In this article, we seek to provide an in-depth analysis of monetary policy shifts, hyperscaler capex dynamics, and asset allocation strategies for the current situation. 1. Key Takeaways from the FOMC Minutes The minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee meeting underscored a decisive pivot toward a higher-for-longer policy stance. While policymakers acknowledged moderating economic momentum in certain sectors, persistent service-sector inflation and robust labor market conditions complicated the disinflation narrative. Several core insights emerged: Prolonged High Rates: A clear majority of participants emphasized that mo

④ The real AI bubble test isn't whether revenue reaches $50 billion or $70 billion. It's whether revenue can eventually justify the enormous infrastructure bill. A $50 billion annualized run rate is still impressive, but annualized revenue isn't realized annual revenue, and neither guarantees positive cash flow. Investors must distinguish genuine customer demand from growth supported by cloud credits, strategic partnerships, or financing arrangements. Here's the uncomfortable question: What happens if AI revenue keeps growing, but infrastructure spending grows even faster? GPU makers like NVIDIA and memory suppliers like Micron could face valuation pressure if hyperscalers slow spending. The danger isn't that AI suddenly becomes useless; it's that the market has priced in monetization ar

🌟🌟🌟The selling pressure on the Singapore Exchange has intensified for a second consecutive day, turning what started as a single broker downgrade into a broader macro rout.  Following Wednesday's initial hit, $DBS(D05.SI)$  $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$  and $UOB(U11.SI)$  extended their declines on Thursday, dragging the benchmark Straits Times Index (STI) down by more than 2.5%. The new catalyst shifting this from corporate profit taking to sector wide panic is a fresh warning from JP Morgan.  Analysts warned that surging global long bond yields whi

Sometimes the strongest businesses are the ones with a simple formula — loyal customers, recurring revenue and products people buy every week. Today I’m watching Costco $Costco(COST)$   — a business built around something surprisingly powerful: getting customers to pay for the privilege of shopping there. So what does Costco actually do? Think about a typical Costco trip: groceries, petrol, electronics, appliances, clothing, furniture, pharmacy items and its famous food court. It sells a huge range of products through membership warehouses and its online business, using high sales volumes and rapid inventory turnover to keep prices competitive. And that’s the interesting part of the business model. Costco makes money from selling pr

On October 7, 2026, $Webull Corp(BULL)$ experienced a sharp 19% drop, with a maximum decline of 23.32%. This unusual market activity was triggered by findings from a bipartisan congressional panel—reported by CNBC—indicating that the digital investment platform, which boasts 28 million global users, maintains structural ties to the Chinese government and poses a national security threat to the U.S. financial system. CNBC reported on Wednesday, citing a report from the U.S. House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party, that the committee stated Webull's equity structure, technology, workforce, and data flows all have ties to China, and that the company therefore poses a national security risk. As a result, Webull's stock fell 20% in premar

Samsung just delivered a set of numbers that look almost unreal. For Q3 2026, the company expects revenue of about KRW 195 trillion and operating profit of roughly KRW 107.4 trillion, or around $80.2 billion, up about 783% year over year. The main driver is still AI: HBM, traditional DRAM and NAND are all benefiting from tight supply, giving memory makers exceptional pricing power. What is more interesting is the market reaction. Despite the record-level profit, Samsung shares barely moved and remain well below their June high. That suggests investors are no longer asking, “How much can Samsung earn this quarter?” The question has shifted to: How long can these margins last? That is now the key debate across the memory sector. Demand is still strong. AI servers continue to absorb HBM, serv

Oil’s Supply, still dire. A slight easing in oil prices and claims that Strait of Hormuz flows have almost returned to “normal” should not be mistaken for market security. The immediate disruption may be easing, but the global stockpile buffer that normally absorbs supply shocks is nearly exhausted. Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser noted that under 6 billion barrels of commercial inventories remain, with most not practically available. The world entered the crisis (end February 2026) with nearly 10 billion barrels of oil stocks, but almost 3 billion barrels of gross supply were lost since the Iran war began, alongside over 1 billion barrels withdrawn from inventories, the last major tool to relieve market pressure. The International Energy Agency (IEA) plans to release 100 million barrels of c

BUY IT CHEAP NOW !  MASSIVE IPO LISTING OF ITS SPINOFF UNIT $KUAISHOU-W(01024)$   $BABA-W(09988)$   $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  

[你懂的]  Semtech (SMTC): The AI Infrastructure Stock Most Investors Still Overlook When investors talk about AI infrastructure, the usual names are NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom, Marvell, Micron and SanDisk. But there is another part of the AI infrastructure equation that is becoming increasingly important: How do all those GPUs actually communicate with each other? That is where Semtech (SMTC) gets interesting. Semtech is not a GPU company and it is not simply another “AI chip stock.” It provides critical semiconductor technologies for high-speed data transmission, signal integrity and connectivity inside modern data centers. In simple terms: NVIDIA provides the computing power. Networks move the data. Semtech helps make that data move faster and more reliably. And as AI clusters move fro

🌟🌟🌟On Wednesday, the Singapore market suffered a bruising wake up call.  Driven by a brutal Citigroup downgrade on $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$  , an institutional selloff wiped billions in value off Singapore's banking trio, shaking weak hands out of the market and leaving retail portfolios bleeding. Yet amidst this selloff, the spotlight has swung dramatically onto a legendary enterprise that refuses to be ignored: $Great Eastern(G07.SI)$ . For investors looking beyond the daily panic, Great Eastern isn't just a defensive shelter.  It is company of immense value, backed by over a century of history, massive earnings power and a corporate drama that could ex