To The Moon

Earnings Calendar (17Nov25)

I am monitoring the coming earnings for ZIM, Baidu, PDD, Target, Nvidia, and Walmart.

Let us look at Nvidia’s performance.

Over the past year, the company’s stock price has increased by 34%. Despite this strong performance, there is a notable divergence in market sentiment: technical analysis currently suggests a “sell” rating, while analysts maintain a strong buy recommendation. The consensus price target stands at $230.78, indicating a potential upside of 21.35% from current levels.

Revenue and Profit Growth

The company has demonstrated remarkable financial growth over the past decade. Revenue has surged from $5 billion in 2016 to $134 billion in 2025. This growth is reflected in the gross profit, which expanded from $2.8 billion to $97 billion over the same period.

Operating Performance

Operating profits saw significant growth, rising from $878 million in 2016 to $81.4 billion in 2025. Earnings per share (EPS) have increased, from $0.03 in 2016 to $2.94 in 2025.

Valuation and Margins

The company currently trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 52.5. Over the past 10 years, the median gross profit margin has been a robust 61.6%, while the median free cash flow margin stands at an impressive 39.1%. The company’s debt-to-assets ratio remains strong at 0.2, suggesting prudent financial management.

Growth Metrics

The 10-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for free cash flow (FCF) is a strong 54.1%, and for earnings per share (EPS), it is 59.3%, highlighting the company’s sustained value for shareholders.

P/E Check

P/E Ratio: Nvidia’s trailing P/E of 52.5 is elevated but below AMD’s (129) and Intel’s extreme (592), reflecting Nvidia’s strong growth expectations in AI. It’s above TSMC’s more mature 29 but above Broadcom’s 34.7. The semiconductor industry average trailing P/E is around 50-58, placing Nvidia roughly in line with peers.

Investment Trends in the AI Ecosystem

The AI ecosystem continues to attract significant investment and attention. While there is considerable enthusiasm surrounding the sector, some discussions have emerged regarding potential overvaluation in the current environment. As investment flows into AI, it becomes increasingly important for companies operating in this space to demonstrate tangible returns, including value creation, cost savings, and productivity improvements. Ultimately, the ability of AI initiatives to deliver measurable benefits will be a key factor in sustaining investor confidence.

Earnings Outlook and Impact on Stock Price

For the upcoming earnings report, the company is forecasted to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of $1.25 and revenue of $54.8 billion. These projections indicate expectations for improved performance in both earnings and revenue compared to the previous quarter. However, it is important to note that the stock price may be influenced not only by the current results but also by the company’s forward-looking guidance and outlook provided after the earnings announcement.

Based on the above, I prefer to monitor this exciting company for this season.