Gold breaking to fresh highs is not something I take lightly. A move above $4,300+ confirms that this rally is not just a short-term squeeze, but a structural trend driven by liquidity, geopolitics, and declining real yields. When gold makes new highs, it's usually a sign that risk hedging demand is rising beneath the surface—even if equities are still holding up.
From my perspective, the first question is time horizon, not price. For long-term core holdings, I don't rush to take full profit just because gold prints a new high. Breakouts to all-time highs tend to attract trend-following capital, and historically gold often extends further than expected once price discovery begins. Trimming everything too early risks missing the strongest part of the move.
That said, I do believe in partial profit-taking. If I'm sitting on sizeable gains, I'll scale out a portion near highs to lock in profits and reduce emotional pressure. This creates flexibility—if gold pulls back, I can re-enter; if momentum accelerates, I still have exposure. Risk management matters more than calling the exact top.
On the momentum side, I'm still constructive. Central banks continue accumulating gold, fiscal deficits remain elevated, and any renewed weakness in the USD or drop in real rates could push prices even higher. As long as gold holds above its breakout zone and momentum indicators stay constructive, I'm comfortable letting the trend run rather than fighting it.
So my approach here is balanced: respect the breakout, don't overtrade the noise, and manage size. I'll lock in some profits, keep a core position, and let the market tell me when momentum truly fades. In strong trends like this, patience often pays more than perfect timing.
As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community.
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