To The Moon

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $Micron Technology(MU)$ Bullish $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bullish 26 Dec 2025 🇺🇸 | 27 Dec 2025 🇳🇿

I’m focused on Tesla at $477 as key, because this is where strong trends prove their credibility. Wednesday’s low tagged the highest-volume support across the entire candle cluster, and that matters. That is accepted value, not coincidence. Price rebounded cleanly off the daily 9EMA and is now consolidating at highs. Strong trends pause to absorb supply, they do not unwind. Structure remains intact, momentum remains constructive, and buyers continue to defend premium levels.

I’m watching the weekly chart for signal quality, not noise. Price is pressing into resistance while weekly RSI shows bearish divergence, a classic sign of momentum compression. That does not end trends, it resets them. The higher-high, higher-low regime is still intact. What the market is doing here is digestion, not distribution. Corrections in strong regimes often resolve through time and range, not through structural damage.

I’m drilling into the 4H and 2H structure, and the message is consistent. Volatility is compressing, upside probes are being absorbed, and price is rotating around value rather than rejecting it. That behaviour tells me buyers are selective, not exhausted. Liquidity pockets below $470–465 and deeper near $450–445 remain well defined, and a controlled pullback into either would improve trend durability rather than weaken it.

I’m not trading headlines, but I do track optionality and long-cycle catalysts. Elon Musk stating that Tesla FSD could be roughly 100× better than a human within five years reframes the discussion away from incremental auto margins toward systemic safety, regulatory inevitability, and scale economics. Fewer accidents reduce insurance costs, accelerate adoption, and increase fleet utilisation. That is a flywheel, not a feature.

I anchor to institutional frameworks, not retail hype. Morgan Stanley expects Tesla to scale its Robotaxi fleet to roughly 1,000 vehicles in 2026, expanding toward 1 million Robotaxis by 2035 across multiple cities. That is platform economics layered on top of manufacturing, software, energy, and data. This is why I continue to view Tesla as a software-defined ecosystem, not simply an automaker. The story is not the print, it is the roadmap.

I also like to zoom out when structure is respected. If you stop watching the day-to-day noise and look at the 6-month chart, the picture is unambiguously bullish for investors. Barring a dramatic late-year reversal, Tesla is on track to close with a bullish engulfing candle with minimal wicks, a structure that historically favours continuation rather than exhaustion. Long-duration charts do not lie. They reflect capital, not emotion.

Zooming out even further, Tesla’s Christmas close has moved from $14.22 in 2016 to $485.40 in 2025. That is not linear appreciation. That is repeated repricing as new revenue layers migrate from speculative to credible.

I’m also realistic about near-term sequencing. Hopes of five consecutive green weeks are fading fast, and that is not surprising. The last time Tesla achieved that stretch was 2023, and extended weekly runs tend to invite consolidation rather than immediate continuation. That fits perfectly with what the weekly RSI divergence and volatility compression are already signalling. Momentum is pausing, not reversing.

2016: $14.22

2017: $21.68

2018: $21.32

2019: $28.69

2020: $220.59

2021: $355.67

2022: $123.15

2023: $252.54

2024: $431.66

2025: $485.40

Every major drawdown along the way was noise relative to the compounding arc.

What I’m watching next is simple. Whether consolidation continues to respect volume-defined support and short-term trend measures, and whether autonomy continues to migrate from narrative to numbers inside institutional models. For me, the story is not the candle, it’s the compounding.

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