Trump Strikes Again! Have You Gotten On the Resource Stocks Board?
$USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ surged yesterday. The U.S. government is set to acquire a 10% stake in USA Rare Earth, backed by a total funding package of around $1.6 billion (federal funding + loans) to accelerate the buildout of domestic rare earth mining and magnet production capacity.
This would mark the largest single U.S. government investment in critical minerals under the Trump administration so far.
1. Four Trump Deals in One Year! And the Market Went Wild
In the past year, Trump-backed deals have repeatedly sent U.S. stocks flying:
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First, $400M was injected into rare earth miner $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$
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Then $10B went into struggling chip giant $Intel(INTC)$
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After that, the government took a stake in U.S. lithium player $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$
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Most recently, the White House confirmed plans to acquire 10% of $Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$
In 1Y performance, the stocks have rallied near or more than 100%.
2. What Exactly Is This Resource-Stock Rally Trading?
1. Policy Funding = Certainty. Example: $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$+ U.S. Department of Defense
DoD will purchase $400M of convertible preferred shares, plus warrants. Reuters reported the effective stake could reach around 15%
2. A “Repricing” of Financing Costs and Refinancing Risk. Example: $Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$
The government receives 5% equity via warrants, and also gains an additional 5% interest in the Thacker Pass JV project. This structure was disclosed in both DOE statements and company filings
3. Government Endorsement = Liquidity + Attention
Once a policy signal lands, the market typically reacts in this sequence: volume + attention surge first → valuation framework gets rerated → fundamentals slowly catch up later
3. What Should You Buy? Key Watchlist Summary
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$USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ : A $1.6B funding package to build out rare earth mining in Texas and magnet production capacity in Oklahoma. The U.S. government participates through equity ownership + additional purchase rights.
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$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ : $400M DoD convertible preferred + warrants. The policy goal is clear: U.S. independence in rare earth magnets. Reuters estimates ~15% effective stake.
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$Lithium Americas Corp.(LAC)$ : DOE takes 5% equity via warrants, plus an additional 5% interest in the Thacker Pass JV — a textbook “loan structure + equity protection” combo.
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$Trilogy Metals(TMQ)$ : Reuters reported a U.S. government investment of around $35.6M for roughly a 10% stake, plus potential warrant upside of about 7.5%.
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$CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ : Partnered with U.S. critical minerals company GreenMet to develop Greenland’s southern Tanbreez project, focused on heavy rare earth extraction.
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$Energy Fuels(UUUU)$: A leading U.S.-based critical minerals company that has successfully expanded from traditional uranium mining into rare earth elements (REE) and heavy mineral sands (HMS).
High-Beta “Sentiment Plays” in the Same Theme
Rare Earth / Critical Minerals: AREC NB TMRC TMC UAMY
Lithium: SQM RIO SGML SLI ATLX
Uranium / Nuclear Fuel Chain: LEU CCJ UEC DNN NXE
Community Poll
Which theme do you think becomes the next major market storyline?
Rare earths + magnets (USAR / MP)
Domestic lithium supply chain (LAC / Thacker Pass)
Uranium + nuclear fuel (LEU / CCJ / UEC)
High-beta critical minerals small caps (UUUU / AREC / NB, etc.)
Would you join the resource stock trade?
Will Trump trade last for another 4 year term?
Leave your comments to win tiger coins~
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The truth is that they are a signal that resources are finite. The next 4 years focus will be on Lithium, Uranium, Critical Minerals and Nuclear Fuel.
Among the 4 mega resource trends, I believe that Nuclear Fuel is the most important . It provides the power to fuel the AI revolution and Uranium is the heart of Nuclear Fuel.
Centrus Energy $Centrus(LEU)$ is the quiet gatekeeper of the nuclear fuel cycle . It is only US company capable of producing High Assay Low Enriched Uranium, the advanced fuel required for the next generation reactors. This makes Centrus Energy the bridge between Uranium & nuclear fuel.
Exciting times are ahead for Centrus Energy.🌈🌈🌈💰💰💰
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG
第一类,是像 MP、UUUU 这种已经有产量或多元业务支撑的公司,政策是增量,不是救命稻草;
第二类,是 LAC 这种融资结构被政府深度“兜底”的项目,至少最危险的阶段已经过去。
The expertise required poses a challenge even if there are sites found to have good concentration of rare earths. Both the act to retrieve them, and not causing adverse environmental problems would be important things to balance.
潜在影响:
提高关税:计划包括对所有进口商品征收10%的潜在基准关税,对中国商品征收高达60%的关税。这可能会扰乱供应链并给国际企业带来压力。
通胀压力:需求端财政刺激和关税的供给端冲击相结合,预计将使通胀保持高位。
特定行业的影响:能源行业虽然受益于总体周期性趋势,但如果实施广泛的报复性关税,可能会面临一些大宗商品的下行风险。专注于国内的小盘股预计将受益于对回流和国内增长的关注。
2. Would I join the resource stock trade yes $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$
3. Will the trump trade last for another 4 years: trump is likely to win the next mid terms and be president for another 4 years
1、政策性資金=確定性。示例:$MP材料公司(MP)$+美國。國防部
國防部將採購4億美元可轉換優先股,更多搜查令。路透社報道稱,有效股份可能達到15%
2.融資成本和再融資風險的“重新定價”。示例:$美洲鋰業公司(LAC)$
政府通過認股權證獲得5%的股權,並獲得Thacker Pass合資項目額外5%的權益。這種結構在能源部聲明和公司文件中都有披露
这将标志着美国政府对关键矿产的最大单笔投资迄今为止在特朗普政府的领导下。