SPX 7,000 Reached, Then Faded: Where the Money Actually Moved

U.S. equities finished the midweek session essentially flat, marked by a historic intraday move in which the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ briefly crossed the 7,000 level for the first time. The benchmark index ultimately faded to settle unchanged like the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ , and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ gained 0.32%. Market participants digested the Federal Reserve’s widely expected decision to hold interest rates steady.

The S&P 500 remained muted not only today but also throughout November and December, showing net moves of just 0.13% and 0.05% respectively. As mentioned weeks ago, the real opportunities right now are found in individual names rather than the broad indices and for that reason I keep track of a specific list of megacaps and securities with high daily volume.

The bullish expectation posted on Saturday for the Standard & Poor’s was correct, the index surpassed the $6,970 target, crossing $7,000 and all-time highs for a moment. This level serves as a reference to close short-term positions if breached.

For the Nasdaq (NDX), the projected move to $25,892.1 (+1.1%) happened yesterday, and the extended target of $26,178.7 was met today (check the impressive precision). Price reversed upon reaching that second target zone. Similarly, the Qs reached our extended target of $636. The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ target of $694.7 remains the reference line to measure continued momentum.

Regarding individual names, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ met the bullish expectation. The target of $683.5 (+3.8%) was surpassed following the earnings report, and the extended target of $708.2 (+7.5%) is being reached.

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ also followed the bullish anticipation, surpassing the $478.5 (+2.7%) target. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ met its $244.1 (+2.1%) target. The price surpassed this level before declining, offering an opportunity to close positions. High-probability setups also include bearish positions, as seen with $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ ; the setup targeted $1021.5 for a -4% move. Since price breached this target and reversed, we will analyze the current context below to determine the next steps.

Beyond the high-probability list, I provide analysis for the full universe of securities. For example, the bullish expectation for $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ targeted $182.3 (+2.5%). This level marked today’s high, achieved despite daily indecision. Similarly, the bullish setup for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ targeted 461.8 (+2.9%).

A critical feature of the weekly setups for 34 securities is the specific reference level for risk management. If a setup is invalidated, this price point dictates the exit. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ serves as a prime example: My bullish setup targeted $174 (+2.6%) –$178 (+5.2%) with an invalidation level of $167. When the price retraced and breached $167.6 on Monday, the risk was contained to just -1.2%, protecting paid subscribers to a -7.2% selloff.

This demonstrates the value of combining directional analysis with professional support and resistance levels to manage performance. Other setups are also tracking expectations: $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ are validating the bearish expectations. Conversely, $Apple(AAPL)$ triggered its key level and rallied, NVDA is in the green as anticipated reaching $192.3 as anticipated.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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