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Weekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, Earnings

Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!

📈 Wednesday — Options Market Analyze options open interest and implied volatility to track short-term market movements.

Top 10 Option Volumes

U.S. stocks finished nearly unchanged on Monday after a turbulent session marked by early declines following weekend U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, though dip-buying throughout the day helped stabilize the market. The options market saw heavy activity with 59.4 million contracts traded, 55% of which were calls. Tech giants dominated volume, with Nvidia, Tesla, Netflix, Palantir, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, AMD, Ondas, and Meta ranking as the top 10 most-active names. Palantir stood out with an 8.1% surge on 810,580 option contracts—62% bullish calls—including a 246% gain on $145 strike calls expiring Friday, as investors rewarded its expanding government cloud contracts and recurring-revenue model.

Defense and energy sectors saw unusual options activity as geopolitical tensions escalated, with Raytheon volume spiking to 121,774 contracts—7.2x its 90-day average. Analysts anticipate accelerated defense spending in 2026, with Stifel noting that prolonged conflict with Iran would make budgets "more urgent and less controversial." This pattern reflects the sector's role as a geopolitical barometer, where military conflict typically drives procurement cycles and crisis-driven investment flows.

📌【Today’s Question】

What's your outlook on crude oil price movements?

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# 💰Stocks to watch today?(5 Mar)

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  • highhand
    ·03-04 11:46
    remember to buy everyone... VIX almost 30. maximum fear now means time to buy.
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  • ECLC
    ·03-04 11:55
    Opportunities available. Need to consider carefully with limited funds
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  • L.Lim
    ·03-04 13:44
    Defense stocks won't go wrong. Not only is it good now, munitions will have to be replenished. This will also be a learning point that one way attack drones are the wat forward, and militaries will pay more attention and divert more resources. The money will both benefit manufacturers of attack drones AND defence companies that can establish a low cost system against such unmanned aircrafts.

    A little surprised that gold is not as strong as I thought it would be.
    So crude and oil would be a good play too.

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  • koolgal
    ·03-04 13:59
    🌟🌟🌟截至3月4日,在中东军事打击和霍尔木兹海峡有效关闭后,原油价格飙升。分析师警告称,如果霍尔木兹封锁持续数周或地区基础设施成为目标,原油价格可能飙升至100美元甚至120美元。

    最坏的情况是,如果发生涉及美国地面部队的全面战争,价格可能会翻倍,甚至达到150美元。

    相反,如果停火,“战争”溢价可能会在几天内蒸发,使油价回到73至75美元。

    $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ 该基金代表了1只强大的ETF中的22家美国石油巨头,在地缘政治不稳定时期提供了战术策略。

    这些包括 $埃克森美孚(XOM)$ $雪佛龙(CVX)$ 这将受益于当前的石油短缺。仅这两家石油巨头就占XLE持股的近40%。

    让我们希望并祈祷该地区早日实现和平,因为战争永远不是解决问题的办法。

    @Daily_Discussion

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  • AliceSam
    ·03-04 14:15
    美国股市周一收盘几乎持平,此前美国和以色列周末空袭伊朗后,股市早盘下跌,但全天逢低买入帮助稳定了市场。
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  • Mrzorro
    ·03-04 15:06
    In overnight trading, $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ gains over 7% after announcing a settlement with Arbutus Biopharma and Genevant Sciences.
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  • 北极篂
    ·03-04 15:41
    我的判断是:短期偏强震荡,中期看区间博弈。只要地缘政治没有明显缓和,油价更可能维持高波动,而不是单边行情。真正的关键在于两点——第一,冲突是否扩大到影响运输或产能;第二,通胀重新抬头后,美联储政策预期是否改变。
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  • icycrystal
    ·03-04 16:24
    TOP

    The crude oil outlook for March 2026 is currently dominated by high volatility and a significant "geopolitical risk premium" due to escalating conflict in the Middle East. While long-term fundamentals suggest a surplus, immediate supply fears—specifically regarding the Strait of Hormuz—have pushed prices to multi-month highs.


    Current Market Snapshot (March 4, 2026)


    WTI Crude: Trading around $76.27 per barrel, up roughly 2.3% on the day.


    Brent Crude: Trading near $83.52 per barrel, following a surge of over 12% in the past 48 hours.

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  • TimothyX
    ·03-04 23:29
    Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!

    📈 Wednesday — Options Market Analyze options open interest and implied volatility to track short-term market movements.

    Reply
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  • Cadi Poon
    ·03-04 23:34
    TOP
    U.S. stocks finished nearly unchanged on Monday after a turbulent session marked by early declines following weekend U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, though dip-buying throughout the day helped stabilize the market. The options market saw heavy activity with 59.4 million contracts traded, 55% of which were calls. Tech giants dominated volume, with Nvidia, Tesla, Netflix, Palantir, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, AMD, Ondas, and Meta ranking as the top 10 most-active names. Palantir stood out with an 8.1% surge on 810,580 option contracts—62% bullish calls—including a 246% gain on $145 strike calls expiring Friday, as investors rewarded its expanding government cloud contracts and recurring-revenue model.
    Reply
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  • 北极篂
    ·03-04 15:41
    交易策略上,我不会追高能源股,而是更关注波动率机会。地缘冲突带来的往往不是方向红利,而是波动溢价。对我来说,跑赢市场不一定靠押方向,而是选对节奏。
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  • 北极篂
    ·03-04 15:41
    如果说交易的天空是敞开的,那我更愿意把现在理解成“气流紊乱期”,而不是一味冲高的顺风区。


    中东局势升温,本质上是通胀预期的二次扰动。油价是最直接的传导变量。只要冲突存在“外溢风险”,原油下方空间就很有限,资金不会轻易做深度看空。但另一方面,美国需求并没有爆发式增长,全球经济也谈不上强劲复苏,所以油价要走出趋势性牛市,也缺乏基本面配合。
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