Weekly: Indexes Extend Losing Streak, Energy Outperforms, Jobs Data & Good Friday Ahead
Last Week's Recap
1. U.S. Market Summary Indexes Extend Losing Streak, Energy Leads Broad Weakness
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NASDAQ, Dow corrections: Major indexes fell for a fifth straight week. NASDAQ -3.2%, S&P 500 -2.1%, Dow -0.9%.
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Style reversal: Growth stocks underperformed value; growth -13% YTD vs value slightly positive.
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Small beats large: $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ +0.5% weekly, $iShares Russell 1000 ETF(IWB)$ -2.0%.
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Burst of energy: Energy stocks $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ +6% weekly; +13% since Mar 1, +41% YTD, supported by oil & gas price gains.
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Sentiment slips: U.S. consumer sentiment dropped to 2026 low, reversing recent improvements.
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Yields rise again: 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 4.43%, highest in over 8 months.
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Jobs ahead: March jobs report due Friday; Feb saw 92,000 job losses, third decline in five months.
2. The US Sectors & Stocks - Geopolitics Hit Tech While AI, Autos and Optical Names Trade on Fundamentals
Sectors: Middle East tensions and oil volatility led the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 to fall 2.12% and 3.23% respectively. High-valuation AI and tech sectors retracted, while traditional energy stocks strengthened alongside rising oil prices.
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$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : -1.7%, 2nm Terafab chip project with xAI/SpaceX for 2027 raised capex concerns; SpaceX merger rumors sparked dilution fears
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$Oracle(ORCL)$ : -6.7%, Microsoft’s takeover of a 700MW Texas data center project raised competition worries and cloud market share doubts
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$Micron Technology(MU)$ : -15.5%, Google’s TurboQuant tech sparked fears of weaker storage hardware demand, dragging the sector lower
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$Pony AI Inc(PONY)$ : -13.2%, 2025 revenue +20%, Robotaxi income +129%; company focuses on 2026 “Dual-Engine Strategy” for 3,000 global taxis
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$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ : +12.2%, won new 800G optical transceiver orders from large cloud providers; strong call option activity on AI infrastructure spending
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$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ : +11.8%, fiscal 2025 net sales $12.6B (+6.2%), margin 29.8%, adjusted EPS $1.27, showing improving profitability
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$Hesai Group(HSAI)$ : -19.3%, Q4 2025 revenue +39%, net profit +6.2% with positive 2026 Q1 shipment outlook; share still dropped sharply
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$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ : +3.8%, 2025 revenue over RMB430B, net profit dipped on investments; management plans RMB100B brand self-operation investment in 3 years
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$Legence Corp.(LGN)$ : +12.1%, Q4 2025 revenue +34.6%, net profit +53%; core backlog hit $3.7B, up 49% YoY
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$Argan(AGX)$ : +19.5%, fiscal Q4 2026 results beat estimates; J.P. Morgan upgraded to Overweight with PT raised to $550
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$REX American Resources(REX)$ : +23.3%, fiscal 2025 EPS at record $2.50, strong profit elasticity drew heavy capital inflows
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$Precigen(PGEN)$ : +11.9%, PAPZIMEOS approved by FDA in 2025; first full commercial quarter (Q4) delivered $3.4M net revenue
3. Hong Kong Market - HSI slipped 1.29% as geopolitics hit risk appetite
HSI & HSTECH: The $HSI(HSI)$ fell 1.29% and closed at 24951.88 last week, with the $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ down 1.94%. The global risk-off triggered by U.S.–Iran tensions and a sharp sell-off in tech, gold and insurance names dragged the market lower.
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$WERIDE-W(00800)$ : +21.57%, strong Q4 beat; issued over 100 million Class A shares for 2026 equity incentive plan.
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$XUNCE(03317)$ : +28.23%, 2025 revenue +103.3%, gross profit +63.4%.
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$MEITUAN-W(03690)$ +8.53%, 2025 revenue ~RMB365B (+8.1%); launched LongCat‑Next multimodal model, continued AI R&D.
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$KINGSOFT CLOUD(03896)$ : +4.28%, parent Kingsoft 2025 revenue +15.8%, net profit +15.8% to RMB1.8B.
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$CNOOC(00883)$ : -4.34%, 2025 revenue -5.3%, net profit -11.5%.
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$SMIC(00981)$ : -7.73%, chip sector sell-off, leveraged short semiconductor ETFs up over 14%, overshadowing fundamentals.
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$KUAISHOU-W(01024)$ : -14.35%, 2025 revenue ~RMB143B (+12.5%); strong results overwhelmed by surging put-option activity.
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$POP MART(09992)$ : -28.63%, 2025 revenue +184.7% to RMB37.1B; slightly missed high expectations, non‑LABUBU IP underperformed.
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$HESAI-W(02525)$ : -14.13%, Q4 2025 revenue RMB1.001B (+39%), net profit RMB153M (+4.2%).
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$MIXUE GROUP(02097)$ : -15.3%, 2025 revenue RMB33.56B (+35.2%), net profit ~RMB5.9B (+33%); pressured by profit-taking and consumption sector volatility.
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$CHINA LIFE(02628)$ : -11.22%, Q4 loss RMB13.7B; insurance sector sold off amid geopolitical risk-off.
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$LAOPU GOLD(06181)$ : +1.0%, 2025 revenue +221% to RMB27.3B, profit +230.5% to RMB4.9B; volatile weekly trading.
4. Singapore Market - STI slipped 1.02% as selective Singapore stocks defied the downturn
STI: $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ fell 1.02% and closed at 4,898.18, as broad market sentiment softened even while pockets of strength emerged in brokers, tech and transport plays, underscoring a highly selective risk-on tone.
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$AEM SGD(AWX.SI)$ : +10.98%, announced private placement of 3.35m shares at S$3.591 to an ASE Technology subsidiary, raising ~S$12m. Partnership to combine AEM’s testing tech with ASE’s manufacturing for AI and HPC solutions.
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$PanUnited(P52.SI)$ : +9.27% weekly, outperformed weak market amid rotation into selected financials and brokerages.
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$Haw Par(H02.SI)$ : +7.42%, gained in down market as investors rotated into defensive, cash-rich stocks.
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$Sembcorp Ind(U96.SI)$ : +5.69%, supported by continued interest in resilient energy and utilities names.
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$Boustead(F9D.SI)$ : +5.03%, shareholders approved divestment of 19 industrial properties to new REIT at EGM. Expected fair value gain ~S$155m; ~S$258m cash to be realized.
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$AUTHORISED INVESTMENT FUND L(AIY.AU)$ : +4.89%, iFAST Global Bank raised fixed deposit rates for GBP, USD, HKD across tenors, expected to attract new deposits.
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$UOB(U11.SI)$ : -0.89%, repurchased 37,000 shares on Mar 20, 2026; cumulative buybacks 20,068,200 shares. Buyback support partially offset financial sector weakness.
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$SIA(C6L.SI)$ : +0.91%, added Singapore–London Gatwick flights (Mar 31–Aug 29) and adjusted capacity including A380 on Singapore–Melbourne, reflecting strong travel demand.
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$Nanofilm(MZH.SI)$ : -1.63%, reported strong FY2025 results: revenue +20%, profit +58%, final dividend declared, S$85m cash position; share price roughly flat for the week.
5. Australian Market - ASX 200 gains 1.04% amid market fluctuations
XJO: $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ rose 1.04% and closed at 8516.3, driven by a mid-week rally and investor optimism despite mixed economic signals.
Sectors: Materials are Best performer; Strong gains in construction and engineering names(Industrials ;Rotation into high-quality defensive growth biotechs.
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$LYNAS RARE EARTHS LTD(LYC.AU)$ : +2.76%, supported by steady rare earth prices and long-term Japan supply contracts
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$ILUKA RESOURCES LIMITED(ILU.AU)$ : +7.05%, zircon & titanium prices rebounded, margin improvement supported gains
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$Citizens(CIA)$ : +13.53%, iron ore prices strengthened on China steel demand recovery
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$ORA BANDA MINING LTD(OBM.AU)$ : +41.82%, record gold prices and strong production beat drove sharp rally
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$IperionX Ltd(IPX.AU)$ : -33.21%, weak operational progress and risk-off sentiment hit speculative shares
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$SANDFIRE RESOURCES LTD(SFR.AU)$ : +1.79%, Macquarie exited its holding; copper volatility limited upside
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$AGL ENERGY LTD(AGL.AU)$ : +6.18%, coal prices rebounded and defensive yield appeal lifted the stock
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$Woodside Energy Group Ltd(WDS)$ : +1.26%, oil prices rose on Middle East supply risks
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$SANTOS LIMITED(STO.AU)$ : -0.38%, LNG price softness and higher costs pressured margins
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$NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LTD(NAB.AU)$ : -7.86%, margin concerns and analyst downgrades weighed on shares
The Week Ahead
1. Macro Factors -Key Economic Data
This week is packed with high-impact economic data, especially around labor market and consumer health, which will heavily influence Fed rate hike expectations.
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📊 Tuesday, Mar 31
March Consumer Confidence Index, a key gauge of U.S. household sentiment.
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), offering insights into labor market tightness.
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🛒 Wednesday, Apr 1
February retail and food service sales data, a critical indicator of consumer spending strength.
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💼 Friday, Apr 3
Monthly jobs report, which includes non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate figures—this is a major market-moving release.
Good Friday and Market Closure.
2. Earnings Spotlight: NKE, BITF ,SPCE
Earnings from Nike will offer insights into consumer discretionary spending, while Bitfarms’ results will reflect trends in crypto mining.
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$Nike(NKE)$ : High-profile consumer discretionary release, will signal global sportswear demand and retail trends.
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$Bitfarms Ltd.(BITF)$ : Crypto mining sector update, reflecting Bitcoin price and mining profitability trends.
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$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$ : Commercial space travel progress update, tracking investor sentiment toward the sector.
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🎁EPS Growth & Dividend Stars to Watch: PPD, CTAS, CCL, AVGO & More
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Broadcom (AVGO) exemplifies this mastery of capital efficiency. By successfully integrating VMware, the company has shifted its narrative from a pure-play hardware vendor to a diversified infrastructure software giant. The critical data point here is their Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow Margin, which reached a staggering 45% of revenue in the most recent fiscal period. This allows AVGO to sustain a dividend growth rate that outpaces the broader semiconductor sector while simultaneously retiring high-interest debt. In contrast, Carnival (CCL) represents the "False Positive" of the current rally. Although their reported EPS surged from $1.42 to $2.25 in the 2025 fiscal year, this growth is heavily leveraged. With a total debt load still hovering near $28 billion, every dollar of "earnings" is essentially spoken for by creditors long before it can reach the pockets of equity holders in the form of a dividend.
先看大方向,美股连续第五周下跌,其实已经不是简单的技术回调,而是风格在切换。成长股年内-13%,而价值股还能勉强撑住,这背后很清晰——利率重新抬头(10年期接近4.43%),直接压缩了高估值资产的空间。过去那种“只要是AI就给溢价”的阶段,基本结束了。
NASDAQ, Dow corrections: Major indexes fell for a fifth straight week. NASDAQ -3.2%, S&P 500 -2.1%, Dow -0.9%.
Style reversal: Growth stocks underperformed value; growth -13% YTD vs value slightly positive.
Small beats large: $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ +0.5% weekly, $iShares Russell 1000 ETF(IWB)$ -2.0%.
Burst of energy: Energy stocks $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ +6% weekly; +13% since Mar 1, +41% YTD, supported by oil & gas price gains.
Sentiment slips: U.S. consumer sentiment dropped to 2026 low, reversing recent improvements.
Yields rise again: 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 4.43%, highest in over 8 months.
Jobs ahead: March jobs report due Friday; Feb saw 92,000 job losses, third decline in five months.
Cintas (CTAS) continues to prove that "boring is beautiful" by maintaining an Operating Margin of 22.3%, a figure that has expanded for five consecutive quarters despite inflationary pressures on labor and logistics. Their ability to pass through costs to a captive B2B client base ensures that their 45-year dividend increase streak is backed by real organic cash flow, not financial engineering. Meanwhile, PDD Holdings faces a different crisis of identity. While their TTM EPS of 73.32 RMB looks attractive on paper, the hidden variable of "Geopolitical Risk Discount" and the management's explicit warning of "declining profitability" suggest that the high-growth phase is hitting a wall of diminishing returns. The market is beginning to realize that PDD’s lack of a dividend policy isn't just about reinvestment; it's a reflection of the high capital intensity required to defend their market share against domestic and international rivals.