Weekly: Indexes Extend Losing Streak, Energy Outperforms, Jobs Data & Good Friday Ahead

Last Week's Recap

1. U.S. Market Summary Indexes Extend Losing Streak, Energy Leads Broad Weakness

  • NASDAQ, Dow corrections: Major indexes fell for a fifth straight week. NASDAQ -3.2%, S&P 500 -2.1%, Dow -0.9%.

  • Style reversal: Growth stocks underperformed value; growth -13% YTD vs value slightly positive.

  • Small beats large: $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ +0.5% weekly, $iShares Russell 1000 ETF(IWB)$ -2.0%.

  • Burst of energy: Energy stocks $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ +6% weekly; +13% since Mar 1, +41% YTD, supported by oil & gas price gains.

  • Sentiment slips: U.S. consumer sentiment dropped to 2026 low, reversing recent improvements.

  • Yields rise again: 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 4.43%, highest in over 8 months.

  • Jobs ahead: March jobs report due Friday; Feb saw 92,000 job losses, third decline in five months.

2. The US Sectors & Stocks - Geopolitics Hit Tech While AI, Autos and Optical Names Trade on Fundamentals

Sectors: Middle East tensions and oil volatility led the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 to fall 2.12% and 3.23% respectively. High-valuation AI and tech sectors retracted, while traditional energy stocks strengthened alongside rising oil prices.

  • $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : -1.7%, 2nm Terafab chip project with xAI/SpaceX for 2027 raised capex concerns; SpaceX merger rumors sparked dilution fears

  • $Oracle(ORCL)$ : -6.7%, Microsoft’s takeover of a 700MW Texas data center project raised competition worries and cloud market share doubts

  • $Micron Technology(MU)$ : -15.5%, Google’s TurboQuant tech sparked fears of weaker storage hardware demand, dragging the sector lower

  • $Pony AI Inc(PONY)$ : -13.2%, 2025 revenue +20%, Robotaxi income +129%; company focuses on 2026 “Dual-Engine Strategy” for 3,000 global taxis

  • $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ : +12.2%, won new 800G optical transceiver orders from large cloud providers; strong call option activity on AI infrastructure spending

  • $Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ : +11.8%, fiscal 2025 net sales $12.6B (+6.2%), margin 29.8%, adjusted EPS $1.27, showing improving profitability

  • $Hesai Group(HSAI)$ : -19.3%, Q4 2025 revenue +39%, net profit +6.2% with positive 2026 Q1 shipment outlook; share still dropped sharply

  • $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ : +3.8%, 2025 revenue over RMB430B, net profit dipped on investments; management plans RMB100B brand self-operation investment in 3 years

  • $Legence Corp.(LGN)$ : +12.1%, Q4 2025 revenue +34.6%, net profit +53%; core backlog hit $3.7B, up 49% YoY

  • $Argan(AGX)$ : +19.5%, fiscal Q4 2026 results beat estimates; J.P. Morgan upgraded to Overweight with PT raised to $550

  • $REX American Resources(REX)$ : +23.3%, fiscal 2025 EPS at record $2.50, strong profit elasticity drew heavy capital inflows

  • $Precigen(PGEN)$ : +11.9%, PAPZIMEOS approved by FDA in 2025; first full commercial quarter (Q4) delivered $3.4M net revenue

3. Hong Kong Market - HSI slipped 1.29% as geopolitics hit risk appetite

HSI & HSTECH: The $HSI(HSI)$ fell 1.29% and closed at 24951.88 last week, with the $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ down 1.94%. The global risk-off triggered by U.S.–Iran tensions and a sharp sell-off in tech, gold and insurance names dragged the market lower.

  • $WERIDE-W(00800)$ : +21.57%, strong Q4 beat; issued over 100 million Class A shares for 2026 equity incentive plan.

  • $XUNCE(03317)$ : +28.23%, 2025 revenue +103.3%, gross profit +63.4%.

  • $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ +8.53%, 2025 revenue ~RMB365B (+8.1%); launched LongCat‑Next multimodal model, continued AI R&D.

  • $KINGSOFT CLOUD(03896)$ : +4.28%, parent Kingsoft 2025 revenue +15.8%, net profit +15.8% to RMB1.8B.

  • $CNOOC(00883)$ : -4.34%, 2025 revenue -5.3%, net profit -11.5%.

  • $SMIC(00981)$ : -7.73%, chip sector sell-off, leveraged short semiconductor ETFs up over 14%, overshadowing fundamentals.

  • $KUAISHOU-W(01024)$ : -14.35%, 2025 revenue ~RMB143B (+12.5%); strong results overwhelmed by surging put-option activity.

  • $POP MART(09992)$ : -28.63%, 2025 revenue +184.7% to RMB37.1B; slightly missed high expectations, non‑LABUBU IP underperformed.

  • $HESAI-W(02525)$ : -14.13%, Q4 2025 revenue RMB1.001B (+39%), net profit RMB153M (+4.2%).

  • $MIXUE GROUP(02097)$ : -15.3%, 2025 revenue RMB33.56B (+35.2%), net profit ~RMB5.9B (+33%); pressured by profit-taking and consumption sector volatility.

  • $CHINA LIFE(02628)$ : -11.22%, Q4 loss RMB13.7B; insurance sector sold off amid geopolitical risk-off.

  • $LAOPU GOLD(06181)$ : +1.0%, 2025 revenue +221% to RMB27.3B, profit +230.5% to RMB4.9B; volatile weekly trading.

4. Singapore Market - STI slipped 1.02% as selective Singapore stocks defied the downturn

STI: $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ fell 1.02% and closed at 4,898.18, as broad market sentiment softened even while pockets of strength emerged in brokers, tech and transport plays, underscoring a highly selective risk-on tone.

  • $AEM SGD(AWX.SI)$ : +10.98%, announced private placement of 3.35m shares at S$3.591 to an ASE Technology subsidiary, raising ~S$12m. Partnership to combine AEM’s testing tech with ASE’s manufacturing for AI and HPC solutions.

  • $PanUnited(P52.SI)$ : +9.27% weekly, outperformed weak market amid rotation into selected financials and brokerages.

  • $Haw Par(H02.SI)$ : +7.42%, gained in down market as investors rotated into defensive, cash-rich stocks.

  • $Sembcorp Ind(U96.SI)$ : +5.69%, supported by continued interest in resilient energy and utilities names.

  • $Boustead(F9D.SI)$ : +5.03%, shareholders approved divestment of 19 industrial properties to new REIT at EGM. Expected fair value gain ~S$155m; ~S$258m cash to be realized.

  • $AUTHORISED INVESTMENT FUND L(AIY.AU)$ : +4.89%, iFAST Global Bank raised fixed deposit rates for GBP, USD, HKD across tenors, expected to attract new deposits.

  • $UOB(U11.SI)$ : -0.89%, repurchased 37,000 shares on Mar 20, 2026; cumulative buybacks 20,068,200 shares. Buyback support partially offset financial sector weakness.

  • $SIA(C6L.SI)$ : +0.91%, added Singapore–London Gatwick flights (Mar 31–Aug 29) and adjusted capacity including A380 on Singapore–Melbourne, reflecting strong travel demand.

  • $Nanofilm(MZH.SI)$ : -1.63%, reported strong FY2025 results: revenue +20%, profit +58%, final dividend declared, S$85m cash position; share price roughly flat for the week.

5. Australian Market - ASX 200 gains 1.04% amid market fluctuations

XJO: $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ rose 1.04% and closed at 8516.3, driven by a mid-week rally and investor optimism despite mixed economic signals.

Sectors: Materials are Best performer; Strong gains in construction and engineering names(Industrials ;Rotation into high-quality defensive growth biotechs.

The Week Ahead

1. Macro Factors -Key Economic Data

This week is packed with high-impact economic data, especially around labor market and consumer health, which will heavily influence Fed rate hike expectations.

  • 📊 Tuesday, Mar 31

    March Consumer Confidence Index, a key gauge of U.S. household sentiment.

    Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), offering insights into labor market tightness.

  • 🛒 Wednesday, Apr 1

    February retail and food service sales data, a critical indicator of consumer spending strength.

  • 💼 Friday, Apr 3

    Monthly jobs report, which includes non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate figures—this is a major market-moving release.

    Good Friday and Market Closure.

2. Earnings Spotlight: NKE, BITF ,SPCE

Earnings from Nike will offer insights into consumer discretionary spending, while Bitfarms’ results will reflect trends in crypto mining.

  • $Nike(NKE)$ : High-profile consumer discretionary release, will signal global sportswear demand and retail trends.

  • $Bitfarms Ltd.(BITF)$ : Crypto mining sector update, reflecting Bitcoin price and mining profitability trends.

  • $Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$ : Commercial space travel progress update, tracking investor sentiment toward the sector.

  • 🎁EPS Growth & Dividend Stars to Watch: PPD, CTAS, CCL, AVGO & More

# Meta Biggest Drop Ever: Capex Concerns Back, Enters Buy Zone Again?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment11

  • Top
  • Latest
  • 這是甚麼東西
    ·03-30 14:34
    TOP
    Strategic Compounding vs. Cyclical Recovery
    Broadcom (AVGO) exemplifies this mastery of capital efficiency. By successfully integrating VMware, the company has shifted its narrative from a pure-play hardware vendor to a diversified infrastructure software giant. The critical data point here is their Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow Margin, which reached a staggering 45% of revenue in the most recent fiscal period. This allows AVGO to sustain a dividend growth rate that outpaces the broader semiconductor sector while simultaneously retiring high-interest debt. In contrast, Carnival (CCL) represents the "False Positive" of the current rally. Although their reported EPS surged from $1.42 to $2.25 in the 2025 fiscal year, this growth is heavily leveraged. With a total debt load still hovering near $28 billion, every dollar of "earnings" is essentially spoken for by creditors long before it can reach the pockets of equity holders in the form of a dividend.
    Reply
    Report
  • 北极篂
    ·03-30 21:47
    策略上,我会更偏“均衡”:保留能源和防御仓位,同时慢慢挑一些已经跌出性价比的科技股,但前提一定是——有盈利,而不是只有故事。
    Reply
    Report
  • 北极篂
    ·03-30 21:46
    至于接下来,我会重点盯三件事:就业数据、消费数据,还有利率走势。如果就业继续转弱,反而可能缓解市场压力;但如果通胀和利率继续顶着,那成长股估值还会被压。
    Reply
    Report
  • 北极篂
    ·03-30 21:46
    个股层面分化更明显:一边是像Micron这种被新技术预期打压直接大跌,另一边却有AAOI、Chewy这种靠基本面兑现走强。这说明市场不再一刀切,而是开始认真挑公司。
    Reply
    Report
  • 北极篂
    ·03-30 21:46
    但有意思的是,小盘股反而开始有点韧性,像IWM还能小涨,这通常意味着市场开始在找“被忽视的角落”。同时能源股继续强势,本质还是油价在主导节奏——只要地缘风险还在,资金就不会轻易离开这个板块。
    Reply
    Report
  • 北极篂
    ·03-30 21:46
    这一周看下来,我的最大感受其实就一句话:市场正在从“讲故事”,重新回到“算现实”。


    先看大方向,美股连续第五周下跌,其实已经不是简单的技术回调,而是风格在切换。成长股年内-13%,而价值股还能勉强撑住,这背后很清晰——利率重新抬头(10年期接近4.43%),直接压缩了高估值资产的空间。过去那种“只要是AI就给溢价”的阶段,基本结束了。
    Reply
    Report
  • L.Lim
    ·03-30 17:59
    It is ridiculous that despite the chaos sowed by the us president, the world is still so beholden to the usd and to the us treasury bonds. So much so that gold faces a slide while the war rages on. All because gold does not gain interest, but the war holds interest rates up and therefore it was deemed better to head back into us markets because interest rates will not be coming down any time soon.
    Reply
    Report
  • Cadi Poon
    ·03-30 16:00
    Sectors: Middle East tensions and oil volatility led the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 to fall 2.12% and 3.23% respectively. High-valuation AI and tech sectors retracted, while traditional energy stocks strengthened alongside rising oil prices.
    Reply
    Report
  • TimothyX
    ·03-30 15:55
    U.S. Market Summary Indexes Extend Losing Streak, Energy Leads Broad Weakness
    NASDAQ, Dow corrections: Major indexes fell for a fifth straight week. NASDAQ -3.2%, S&P 500 -2.1%, Dow -0.9%.

    Style reversal: Growth stocks underperformed value; growth -13% YTD vs value slightly positive.

    Small beats large: $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ +0.5% weekly, $iShares Russell 1000 ETF(IWB)$ -2.0%.

    Burst of energy: Energy stocks $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ +6% weekly; +13% since Mar 1, +41% YTD, supported by oil & gas price gains.

    Sentiment slips: U.S. consumer sentiment dropped to 2026 low, reversing recent improvements.

    Yields rise again: 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 4.43%, highest in over 8 months.

    Jobs ahead: March jobs report due Friday; Feb saw 92,000 job losses, third decline in five months.

    Reply
    Report
  • 這是甚麼東西
    ·03-30 14:35
    The Divergence of Operational Moats
    Cintas (CTAS) continues to prove that "boring is beautiful" by maintaining an Operating Margin of 22.3%, a figure that has expanded for five consecutive quarters despite inflationary pressures on labor and logistics. Their ability to pass through costs to a captive B2B client base ensures that their 45-year dividend increase streak is backed by real organic cash flow, not financial engineering. Meanwhile, PDD Holdings faces a different crisis of identity. While their TTM EPS of 73.32 RMB looks attractive on paper, the hidden variable of "Geopolitical Risk Discount" and the management's explicit warning of "declining profitability" suggest that the high-growth phase is hitting a wall of diminishing returns. The market is beginning to realize that PDD’s lack of a dividend policy isn't just about reinvestment; it's a reflection of the high capital intensity required to defend their market share against domestic and international rivals.
    Reply
    Report
  • HSYeoh
    ·03-30 17:39
    Good
    Reply
    Report