Divergence Builds: $SPX Strong, $IWM Weak, $IGV Resilient

The market is grinding higher, but the internals are sending mixed signals.

While smart money remains steady—reducing the risk of a sharp selloff—rising retail confidence, gap-heavy price action, and divergences point toward a near-term consolidation rather than continued straight-line upside.

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$

Dumb money confidence is strengthening while the SP500 continues to move higher, leaving behind gaps and indecisive candles.

The good news is that smart money remains stable; so a major decline (-5%) is not expected, though a healthy consolidation (-1% -2%) is possible.

2. $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$

The Software ETF showed resilience this week, with a 1.7% gain.

The bounce from the 50DMA and a developing Stochastic crossover, looks promising for bullish continuation. $90 is the key resistance to watch.

3. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$

Indecisive price action, combined with a bearish RSI divergence and three open gaps, suggests a decline is possible this week.

The $270 level will likely act as a magnet, followed potentially by $265. A deeper correction beyond those levels is not currently expected.


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