To The Moon

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 01Jun2026)

The following sections outline key macroeconomic forecasts and indicators spanning manufacturing, services, labor markets, and energy sectors, with particular emphasis on metrics influencing upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions.

1. Manufacturing Sector Indicators

• S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (May): The forecast is projected at 55.3, indicating continued expansion and growth within global manufacturing.

• ISM Manufacturing PMI (May): The index is forecasted at 53.3, signalling anticipated growth within the domestic American manufacturing sector.

• ISM Manufacturing Prices (May): A significant point of concern is the high forecast of 85.3. This elevated metric indicates rising producer costs, which are highly likely to be passed down to consumers.

2. Services and Non-Manufacturing Sector Indicators

• S&P Global Services PMI (May): The forecast stands at 50.9, suggesting some growth within the services sector.

• ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (May): The index is projected at 53.8, which further supports expectations of sector expansion.

• ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (May): This data is scheduled for release in the upcoming week, with the previous figure standing at 70.7. The ongoing upward trend in service-related prices remains a concern, as these increased costs are expected to impact consumers.

3. Labour Market and Employment Data

• JOLTS Job Openings (April): Job openings are forecasted at 6.87 million. This reflects a marginal improvement from the previous month and serves as a critical reference point for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.

• ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (May): The forecast is set at 116,000. This represents a key employment metric under evaluation by the Federal Reserve.

• Initial Jobless Claims: The forecast is established at 211,000, serving as another vital labor market indicator monitored by the Federal Reserve.

• Average Hourly Earnings (MoM, May): Month-over-month wage growth is expected to be forecast at 0.3%.

• Non-Farm Payrolls (May): Expectations are set at 95,000 jobs, marking a deceleration from the previous figure of 115,000. This data point is highly significant for central bank policy considerations.

• Unemployment Rate (May): The unemployment rate is projected to arrive at approximately 4.3%. Any significant deviations from this figure may introduce heightened market volatility.

4. Energy Indicators

• Crude Oil Inventories: This metric remains a leading market indicator, closely monitored as a reference point for drawdowns by oil producers in anticipation of shifting demand.

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