I would keep some powder dry.
A market that can swing from "AI bubble bursting" to "new bull leg" within a week is telling you one thing: sentiment is driving price more than fundamentals right now.
The bullish case:
U.S.-Iran tensions easing reduces a major macro risk.
Liquidity concerns around the SpaceX listing are fading.
AI spending remains enormous, supporting names like NVIDIA, AMD and Broadcom.
Many stocks corrected sharply before rebounding, resetting some excess optimism.
The cautious case:
Valuations are still demanding.
AI infrastructure spending must eventually justify expectations.
Geopolitical risks can re-emerge quickly.
Leveraged products like SOXL amplify both gains and losses.
If I had fresh capital today, I would probably deploy it gradually rather than go all-in. Something like 50-70% invested and 30-50% reserved for volatility gives exposure if the rally continues while preserving flexibility if another correction appears.
The biggest mistake now is probably not being underinvested. It is assuming last week's panic and this week's euphoria can both be fully trusted. Markets often punish certainty at both extremes.
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