To The Moon

Earnings Calendar (27Jul2026)

This week features several major earnings releases, including Baker Hughes, PayPal, Coca-Cola, Boeing, UPS, Visa, Apple, Amazon, ExxonMobil, Moderna, and Chevron.

We begin with UPS.

Here is how UPS earnings serve as an economic reference (Google):

UPS is a reliable economic bellwether because its logistics network handles about 6% of U.S. GDP and 3% of global GDP. By moving raw materials, finished goods, and e-commerce orders, its earnings offer a timely snapshot of broad economic health.Rising package volumes and express shipping suggest stronger business investment, retail activity, and consumer confidence. Falling volumes or a shift to cheaper delivery options can signal tighter spending, inventory slowdowns, and economic.

UPS Valuation and Market Sentiment

UPS shares have risen 10.84% over the past year. Technical analysis currently points to a “strong buy” rating, while analyst sentiment is “buy,” with a price target of $111.04 and a potential upside of 0.25%.

With EPS of $6.18 and a P/E ratio of 18.8, UPS appears attractive from a valuation perspective. Before reaching a conclusion, it is important to review the company’s financials in more detail.

Financial statements are a useful starting point for assessing a business, but they should not be the only basis for evaluation. Qualitative factors such as brand strength, competitive moat, innovation, and capital expenditure should also be considered.

Financial Performance

UPS’s financial performance from FY2021 to FY2025 shows a decline in revenue from $97.2 billion to $88.6 billion. Revenue peaked in 2022 at $100.3 billion before trending lower.

Profitability has also weakened over the same period. Net profit fell from $23.2 billion to $20.0 billion, while net income declined from $12.8 billion to $5.5 billion. The current TTM net profit margin stands at 5.94%, and TTM return on investment is 11.77%.

Balance Sheet Position

Over the same period, total assets increased from $69.4 billion in 2021 to $73.0 billion in 2025. Total liabilities rose slightly from $55.1 billion to $56.8 billion, while total equity increased from $14.2 billion to $16.2 billion.

Debt remains a key concern. Long-term debt to equity MRQ stands at 143.52%, while total debt to equity MRQ is 181.51%, indicating a relatively high leverage position.

Cash Flow Trends

Cash from operations declined from $15.0 billion in 2021 to $8.4 billion in 2025. Cash from financing has remained negative since 2021, suggesting ongoing efforts by the business to reduce debt. In 2025, cash from financing ended at -$4.1 billion.

Levered free cash flow also declined, falling from $7.8 billion in 2021 to $5.1 billion in 2025.

UPS top news in Q2/2026 (compiled by Gemini and validated by DeepSeek):

Between April and June 2026, UPS focused on navigating strategic shifts and cost realignment:

• Q1 Earnings Beat (Late April): UPS reported Q1 2026 revenue of $21.2 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.07, surpassing Wall Street expectations. However, overall net income fell to $864 million due to lower domestic volume and operational contraction.

• Network Transformation: CEO Carol Tomé emphasized progress on UPS’s efficiency initiatives, capturing $600 million toward a $3 billion annual cost-cutting goal. The company continued pivoting away from lower-margin e-commerce volumes to focus on higher-margin sectors like healthcare.

• Dividend Delivery (May/June): Demonstrating financial stability, UPS declared its standard $1.64 per share quarterly dividend on May 6 (paid June 4).

Upcoming Earnings Outlook

For the upcoming earnings release on 28 July 2026, UPS is expected to report EPS of $1.67 and revenue of $21.82 billion. While these figures are important, the market outlook provided by UPS may carry greater significance.

Management’s outlook could provide insight not only into UPS’s business direction, but also into broader global economic conditions.

Given the above, I prefer to monitor UPS. What the outlook represents can also be for the greater economy, and not just the outlook of UPS as a company.

@TigerStars

$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$

$ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(UVXY)$

$United Parcel Service Inc(UPS)$