US Inflation Data and Treasury Buybacks in Focus; Singapore’s 2026 GDP Growth Forecast Raised to 5%; China Bonds Supported by Easing Money Market Conditions【 CSOP SG Weekly 】
【Money Market Fund】
US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.58%*
While last week’s manufacturing and services indicators were weaker than consensus estimates, nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside, rising 162k (vs 55k consensus) with unemployment holding at 4.1%.
Looking ahead, markets are focused on the upcoming US inflation data print, especially as Fed Chair Warsh had signalled that further policy action may be needed if inflation does not move clearly and sufficiently toward the 2% target.
Additionally, markets will be watching the Treasury’s larger long-end buybacks, though it is unlikely to materially change the outlook for longer-term yields given the persistent fiscal deficits and reduced Fed holding share in the Treasury market.
* 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.
【REITs】
$CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI)$ YTD total return: -4.39%
As of 4 Sep 2026, SRT declined 0.97% WTD, bringing its YTD total return to -4.39%. WTD losses were led by industrial, retail and office by subsector, and CLAR, MPACT and CICT by individual REIT.
Despite the WTD declines, DBS Research has noted that S-REITs are increasingly attractive for income investors, with average yields of 6.2% versus 4% for Singapore banks. A wider yield gap, easing refinancing costs, and expected 3% DPU growth in FY2026 increase the attractiveness of S-REITs.
On the macro data front, Singapore’s manufacturing activity expanded for a 13th straight month in August, with PMI hitting a near eight-year high of 51.5, driven by AI-related demand. According to MAS latest quarterly survey of professional forecasters, strong 1H26 exports and factory output also prompted private economists to raise Singapore’s 2026 GDP growth forecast to 5% from 3.5%.
【Fixed Income】
$ICBC CSOP CGB ETF S$(CYC.SI)$ YTD NAV: +2.28% in CNY; +6.51% in USD^
China's money market conditions eased at the start of September as bond issuance dropped, with net central and local government, as well as policy bank bond issuance near zero versus RMB412bn the previous week. While issuance is expected to normalise next week as redemptions decline, HSBC remains constructive on long-duration Chinese government bonds, noting that upcoming price and loan data could signal further growth moderation and therefore support Chinese government bonds. Separately, RMB is currently trading at 6.71.
^ CYC/CYB/CYX USD NAV is converted based on benchmark FX, subject to rounding error.
【Equities】
Regional Equity ETFs
$CSOP FTSE Asia Pacific Select Index ETF USD(LCU.SI)$ YTD return: +25.18%
LCU gained 0.68% WTD in USD, bringing its YTD return to +25.18%.
WTD gains were led by financials, IT and communications services by sector, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea by region, and MediaTek, MUFG and Softbank Group by individual firm.
MediaTek rose sharply WTD after Nvidia invested $3.5bn, its biggest direct investment outside US via convertible bonds.
MUFG gained alongside major Japanese banks as markets anticipate further BOJ rate hikes that could boost net interest margins.
$CSOP SEA TECH ETF US$(SQU.SI)$ YTD return: -14.63%
SQU declined 0.59% WTD in USD, bringing its YTD return to -14.63%.
WTD declines were led by Sea Ltd, Grab and Infosys.
A-Share Equity ETFs
$CSOP DIV ETF S$(SHD.SI)$ YTD return: +11.53%; S$ SCY YTD return: +14.06%; S$ CSA500 YTD return#: -3.40%
According to SCMP, a UBS analyst expects foreign investors to keep adding to China A-share holdings, with China’s push for technological self-sufficiency as one of the main structural supports.
Furthermore, Yuan’s ongoing strength directly boosts total returns for foreign holders of Yuan-denominated assets.
# Data begins from CSA500 SP Equity’s inception date of 2026/01/20.
Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, JPM, HSBC, as of 2026/09/04, except where otherwise stated.
SCY’s underlying fund’s top 10 holdings (as of 2026/06/30)
SHD’s underlying fund’s top 10 holdings (as of 2026/06/30)
CSA500’s underlying fund’s top 10 holdings (as of 2026/06/30)
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SRT & SQQ
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SHD & CSA500 & SCY
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