For my view: Dilution is often priced in quickly, but not always immediately.
In RKLB’s case:
Thursday: stock rose 6.47% despite the $1.94B share offering.
Friday: stock fell 4.79%, suggesting investors started focusing more on the dilution.
But dilution does not automatically mean the company is worse. Rocket Lab also receives a large amount of new cash to fund growth.
The key question is whether the company can use that money to create more revenue and cash flow than the value given up by existing shareholders.
Simple rule:
New shares → ownership per old share becomes smaller.
New cash → company gets more money to grow.
So I would not judge RKLB only from one day's price movement.
Bottom line: The market can take several days or weeks to fully digest dilution. Watch share count + cash balance + revenue growth + cash flow.
# Two-Thirds of Next Year's Capacity Already Sold — Who's Still Shorting Memory?

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