Debt ceiling settled! What will it do to the market?

Asphen
2023-05-28

SPY - Keep an eye on QQQ! It will influence how SPY goes!

- Reached ~421 on Friday rally

- 2nd breakout above 416 in recent weeks

- Area of balance remains between 405 to 416

- False breakouts and back into 405/416 range will just mean a head fake

- 30mins chart see a possible inverse basing/cup

- Debt ceiling deal done (just) may give a last push rally on Tuesday?

- But "might" pullback after that

- But as usual, do not predict, watch price action. ==> So any pullbacks to 416 will be my key watch

My watch

- 416 as a support level for pullbacks - Can still be a bull flag formation

- Breaking back into 405/416 range will then watch for 414, 409, 405 levels

- Mainly 409 as that is the full formation of the inverse cup

Good luck, all

Reminder - Observe, React, DO NOT predict!

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NASDAQ - Key one to watch as it will bring the market further up or down

- Bull flag plays has been consistent and is exactly at the peak (348/349)

- Big gap between 331 and 338

- Pullbacks will be 332 (gap fill) and down to 321 previous breakout)

Why this is important?

- Tech has been driving this market rally so far

- Any major pullback will mean an overall market correction

- This will also mean S&P500 will come down

My Watch

- Debt ceiling deal reached will bring some cheer (but rally unlikely to sustain)

- Buy on rumours and sell on news applies

@Deposit  @melson  @TigerStars  @CaptainTiger  @LMSunshine  

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Comment（22）

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  • LMSunshine
    ·2023-05-28
    TOP
    我明白了，非常感谢explainations₹️什么是垂直移动？所以最好在周二尽快卖出，一旦开始抛售就锁定利润？
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    • LMSunshineReplying toAgxm: 
      同意…以前见过很多次
      2023-05-29
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    • Agxm: 
      很难说。有时当盘前市场下跌很多，但它会在盘后市场反弹。但在其他市场前下跌的时候，它会在市场后进一步下跌。
      2023-05-29
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    • LMSunshineReplying toAsphen: 
      明白了，谢谢你。
      2023-05-28
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  • ChrisColeman
    ·2023-05-29
    TOP

    The market is a cruel mistress. Questioning her sanity is like asking the rain man how much a candy bar costs.

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    • Asphen: 
      funny one 😉
      2023-05-29
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  • WendyDelia
    ·2023-05-29
    TOP

    When the details of this "deal" come out, look out below!

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    • Asphen: 
      bingo
      2023-05-29
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  • melson
    ·2023-05-28
    TOP
    buy on rumor sell on news, maybe will crash on tuesday
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    • Asphen: 
      v possible... might rally first 30mins then bull trap n reverse 😀
      2023-05-28
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  • LMSunshine
    ·2023-05-28
    TOP
    Thanks Buddy❣️ Why do you think rally unlikely to sustain?
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    • Asphen: 
      I'm still bullish long term. but pullbacks are good.
      2023-05-28
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    • Asphen: 
      3. Vertical moves usually means a big correction (and that's seen in QQQ and quite a few counters)
      4. Many indicators are pointing to a temporary end (5 waves, bull flags etc)
      2023-05-28
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    • Asphen: 
      1. because debt ceiling has been more or less decided. The signing of the agreement would lead to sell on fact.
      2. most of the tech counters are on exhaustion price action, a pullback is required in order for any continued moves. How deep the pullback is, depends on bulls and bears.
      2023-05-28
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  • Pinarelli
    ·2023-05-29

    Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

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    • Asphen: 
      thank you
      2023-05-29
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  • Brando741319
    ·2023-05-29
    Good
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  • Tiggy invest
    ·2023-05-28
    Ok
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  • Nicknamed1
    ·2023-05-28
    [Like]
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  • Gunners80
    ·2023-05-28
    ok
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