To The Moon

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a previous index of 52.0. This

Choppy and sideways. Might sit out this month

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Jun25 S&P 500 chart on 15Jun25 Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is coming. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.18, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. 16 indicators are showing a “Buy” rating, and 4 indicators show a “Sell” rating. Here are the recent candlestick patterns. Outlook and Implications Short-Ter

Earnings Calendar (16Jun25) I am interested in the earnings of Jabil, Kroger, and Accenture. Let us look at Kroger in detail. The stock price has risen 32.9% from a year ago. The technical analysis has a “Strong Sell” recommendation. The analysts’ analysis has a “Buy” rating. With a target price of $70.69, there is an upside of 7.82%. Let us review the performance of the business from the last 10 years: Gross Profit and Margin: Gross profit grew from $24.334 billion in 2016 to $33.403 billion in 2025, with the 10-year average gross margin at 22.2%, a reflection of stable profitability. Revenue has grown from $109.8B (2016) to $147.1B (2025). Operating profit has grown from $3.576B (2016) to $3.849B (2025). Earnings per share (EPS) have seen steady growth from $2.06 (2016) to $3.67 (2025).

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, or Hong Kong. America is closed on 19 June 2025 for the Juneteenth holiday. Economic Calendar (16Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched event in the coming week will be the Fed’s interest rate decision. The market is expecting the interest rate to remain. Any changes to this rate can bring some volatility to the market. A FOMC statement will be made alongside the economic projections. These are important bearings for the market. Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales updates will be released in the coming week. The forecast shows an increase in retail sales. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index has last reported a -4.0 figure, suggesting contraction in the manufacturing sector. The market is hopeful of a manufacturing r

Last Week’s Performance. Last week (June 02 - 06), US stocks were influenced by a strong jobs report, that helped markets close on a high note. Major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw pressure earlier in the week, but positive labour data and easing trade tensions led to a rebound, with stocks edging toward record levels by Fri, 06 Jun 2025. (see below) The major composite index’s performance for the week: DJIA was up +1.33% (+562.93 to 42,762.87). S&P 500 was up +1.76 (+103.68 to 6,000.36). Nasdaq was up +2.45% (+466.89 to 19,529.95). A New Wind Is Blowing ! For this week (June 9 - 13), US market attention now turns to US inflation data. Economists and traders are closely watching for the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Wed, 11 Jun 2025, that will be critical

My Investing Muse (09Jun25) Layoffs & Closure news Nearly 160 companies will be laying off employees throughout the month of June, exceeding the approximately 130 companies that did so in May. The layoffs will affect multiple industries, including retail, pharmaceutical, food and beverage, airlines, package delivery and more. Layoffs in the workforce vary by company, with some laying off between one and 25 employees; other companies, like U.S. Cellular, have larger cuts planned. - NewsWeek Microsoft cuts hundreds of jobs after firing 6,000 in May - Bloomberg Walt Disney Co. launched another deep round of layoffs on Monday, notifying several hundred Disney employees in the U.S. and abroad that their jobs were being eliminated amid an increasingly difficult economic environment for tradi

Earnings Calendar (09Jun25) I am interested in the earnings releases of Adobe, Oracle, and GameStop. Let us look into Adobe Systems in detail. Adobe has a “Strong Buy” technical analysis recommendation. The Analyst’s sentiment is “Buy”. The price target is $488.02, which represents an upside of 17.05%. 10-year performance of Adobe: Revenue grew from $4,796M in 2015 to $21,505M in 2024, over 4x over 10 years. Growth: Revenue grew from $4,796M to $21,505M, with a 10-year CAGR of 17.9%. Growth rates varied, peaking at 24.7% in 2017 and slowing to 10.8% in 2024, showing consistent expansion. Operating Margin grew from 18.8% (2015) to 36.0% (2024). Trend: Operating margin improved significantly from 18.8% to 36.0%, with a notable rise from 25.5% in 2016 to a peak of 34.6% in 2022, reflecting en

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends:   The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market:   The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energ

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends: The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market: The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energy and Producer

The Great Brush Off. On Sun, 01 Jun 2025, in an interview on CBS - "Face the Nation", US Treasury Secretary - Scott Bessent dismissed $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ CEO, Jamie Dimon's warning that “Rising national debt could cause a bond market crisis”. (see below) This happened after Dimon sounded alarm last week, cautioning America's (a) overspending during the pandemic and (b) Quantitative easing (QE) will lead to a 'crack in the bond market'. Bessent brushed off his fears, alleging Dimon had, throughout his 'entire career' issued stark predictions and 'none of them have come true'. That explained why Dimon is a banker; albeit a great one, as he always tries to look around the corner', said Bessent to 'Face the Nation’s host Margaret Brennan. Bessent arg

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   PCT: Shiller Ratio & May CAGR v1.0 : PCT = Pandas Coffee Talk. Shiller Ratio = Google. May CAGR = Seeking Alpha. BTC. QQQ. S&P500. XAU.

I saw a chart that looked “interesting” and entered impulsively without a real thesis or stop loss. When it dipped, I had no framework for what to do, so I just hoped it would come back. It didn’t. That trade taught me that no entry should happen without a full plan. @deal2deal

After three green trades in a row, I went heavy on the next setup without waiting for confirmation. It reversed hard right after my entry, and I froze instead of cutting the loss. That single trade erased all my prior gains and reminded me that overconfidence is the silent killer. @AhGong

I followed a popular trader on social media into a complex options spread I didn’t fully understand. When it started moving against me, I panicked and closed it wrong, locking in unnecessary losses. Lesson: if you don’t fully understand the strategy, don’t trade it — no matter who’s doing it. @Frisbee

I went 5x long on a crypto token during a bull market thinking it would double. A 15% pullback wiped me out overnight while I slept. The coin later recovered, but my account didn’t. I learned the hard way that leverage doesn’t forgive timing mistakes. @luv2trade

I bought a breakout on a clean technical setup, convinced it was the real deal. Volume looked strong, but I didn’t wait for the close. It turned out to be a bull trap, and I got stopped out quickly. That taught me to stop rushing into trades without confirmation. @onlyYou

I jumped into a stock after a bullish headline hit Twitter — no research, no confirmation — just pure FOMO. It spiked for five minutes, then tanked just as fast. I lost 15% in less than an hour. I realized I was trading someone else’s excitement, not my own plan. @nickname168

I had just taken a loss on a trade I was sure would work — shorting a meme stock during the 2021 craze. I got squeezed out with a 25% loss. Instead of stepping away, I got angry. @deal2deal

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a previous index of 52.0. This

The Great Brush Off. On Sun, 01 Jun 2025, in an interview on CBS - "Face the Nation", US Treasury Secretary - Scott Bessent dismissed $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ CEO, Jamie Dimon's warning that “Rising national debt could cause a bond market crisis”. (see below) This happened after Dimon sounded alarm last week, cautioning America's (a) overspending during the pandemic and (b) Quantitative easing (QE) will lead to a 'crack in the bond market'. Bessent brushed off his fears, alleging Dimon had, throughout his 'entire career' issued stark predictions and 'none of them have come true'. That explained why Dimon is a banker; albeit a great one, as he always tries to look around the corner', said Bessent to 'Face the Nation’s host Margaret Brennan. Bessent arg

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends: The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market: The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energy and Producer

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, or Hong Kong. America is closed on 19 June 2025 for the Juneteenth holiday. Economic Calendar (16Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched event in the coming week will be the Fed’s interest rate decision. The market is expecting the interest rate to remain. Any changes to this rate can bring some volatility to the market. A FOMC statement will be made alongside the economic projections. These are important bearings for the market. Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales updates will be released in the coming week. The forecast shows an increase in retail sales. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index has last reported a -4.0 figure, suggesting contraction in the manufacturing sector. The market is hopeful of a manufacturing r

Last Week’s Performance. Last week (June 02 - 06), US stocks were influenced by a strong jobs report, that helped markets close on a high note. Major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw pressure earlier in the week, but positive labour data and easing trade tensions led to a rebound, with stocks edging toward record levels by Fri, 06 Jun 2025. (see below) The major composite index’s performance for the week: DJIA was up +1.33% (+562.93 to 42,762.87). S&P 500 was up +1.76 (+103.68 to 6,000.36). Nasdaq was up +2.45% (+466.89 to 19,529.95). A New Wind Is Blowing ! For this week (June 9 - 13), US market attention now turns to US inflation data. Economists and traders are closely watching for the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Wed, 11 Jun 2025, that will be critical

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, America, Singapore, or Hong Kong. Economic Calendar (23Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data is the Core PCE price index. This is the preferred reference used by the Federal Reserve as an inflation indicator for America.. This is likely to bring some volatility. The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) was previously 2.5%. Will President Trump get what he wants with a rate cut? A falling PCE can aid his course. CB consumer confidence has a forecast of 99.0, a drop from the previous, which suggests declining consumer confidence. Durable Goods orders have previously dropped 6.3%, and if this trend continues, it is bearish for the economic outlook. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has reported a

My Investing Muse (09Jun25) Layoffs & Closure news Nearly 160 companies will be laying off employees throughout the month of June, exceeding the approximately 130 companies that did so in May. The layoffs will affect multiple industries, including retail, pharmaceutical, food and beverage, airlines, package delivery and more. Layoffs in the workforce vary by company, with some laying off between one and 25 employees; other companies, like U.S. Cellular, have larger cuts planned. - NewsWeek Microsoft cuts hundreds of jobs after firing 6,000 in May - Bloomberg Walt Disney Co. launched another deep round of layoffs on Monday, notifying several hundred Disney employees in the U.S. and abroad that their jobs were being eliminated amid an increasingly difficult economic environment for tradi

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ May’s over, and what a ride it was! The S&P 500 soared 6.15%, its strongest monthly gain of 2025, clawing back from April’s brutal sell-off. If you rode that wave, congrats—your wallet’s probably a little fatter. But now, June looms, and the big question is: Will the market keep climbing, or is it time for a breather? With the "Sell in May and go away" saying buzzing around, historical trends whispering caution, and last year’s defiance in the rearview, let’s unpack what June might have in store—and whether you should hold tight or cash in. May’s Triumph: From Ashes to Gains April was a bloodbath—5.75% wiped off the S&P 500 amid tariff fears and economic wobbles. Then came May, a phoenix rising with a 6.15% surge, flipp

A Bullish Outlook for the S&P 500 in June 2025 As we step into June 2025, the financial markets are buzzing with anticipation following a remarkable 6.15% surge in the S&P 500 during May, marking it as the best-performing month of the year so far. This impressive rally, coming on the heels of April’s sell-off, has reignited optimism among investors and sparked debates about the relevance of the old adage, “Sell in May and go away.” Historically, June has not been a standout month for the S&P 500, with data since 1980 showing it has never been the top-performing month of the year. However, I am bullish on the S&P 500 for June 2025, and here’s why. The Momentum Carries Forward The 6.15% gain in May is a strong signal of underlying market strength. This surge suggests that inv

【SRT】 SRT’s gains during the week were led by industrial, retail and hotel by subsector and FLT, MLT, and CLAR by individual REIT. CLAR gained on its 4.1x subscribed private placement which will fund acquisitions of 2 Singapore prime assets to expand its tech portfolio. The deals aim to capitalize on global tech and digitalization trends and diversify its client base. $CSOP S-REITs INDEX ETF(SRT.SI)$ 2025 WTD Total Return: +1.29% 【MMF】 No surprise from FOMC May meeting minutes as it reinforced a wait-and-see approach, citing policy uncertainty and risks to both sides of Fed's dual mandate. Market priced in ~45bp rate cuts for 2025, in line with Fed’s March dot plot. Initial jobless claims rose 14k to 240k (consensus: 230k), increasing the risk o

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Jun25 S&P 500 chart on 15Jun25 Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is coming. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.18, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. 16 indicators are showing a “Buy” rating, and 4 indicators show a “Sell” rating. Here are the recent candlestick patterns. Outlook and Implications Short-Ter

Earnings Calendar (16Jun25) I am interested in the earnings of Jabil, Kroger, and Accenture. Let us look at Kroger in detail. The stock price has risen 32.9% from a year ago. The technical analysis has a “Strong Sell” recommendation. The analysts’ analysis has a “Buy” rating. With a target price of $70.69, there is an upside of 7.82%. Let us review the performance of the business from the last 10 years: Gross Profit and Margin: Gross profit grew from $24.334 billion in 2016 to $33.403 billion in 2025, with the 10-year average gross margin at 22.2%, a reflection of stable profitability. Revenue has grown from $109.8B (2016) to $147.1B (2025). Operating profit has grown from $3.576B (2016) to $3.849B (2025). Earnings per share (EPS) have seen steady growth from $2.06 (2016) to $3.67 (2025).

Earnings Calendar (09Jun25) I am interested in the earnings releases of Adobe, Oracle, and GameStop. Let us look into Adobe Systems in detail. Adobe has a “Strong Buy” technical analysis recommendation. The Analyst’s sentiment is “Buy”. The price target is $488.02, which represents an upside of 17.05%. 10-year performance of Adobe: Revenue grew from $4,796M in 2015 to $21,505M in 2024, over 4x over 10 years. Growth: Revenue grew from $4,796M to $21,505M, with a 10-year CAGR of 17.9%. Growth rates varied, peaking at 24.7% in 2017 and slowing to 10.8% in 2024, showing consistent expansion. Operating Margin grew from 18.8% (2015) to 36.0% (2024). Trend: Operating margin improved significantly from 18.8% to 36.0%, with a notable rise from 25.5% in 2016 to a peak of 34.6% in 2022, reflecting en

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, Hong Kong and America. Economic Calendar (09Jun25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) The most watched economic data should be CPI, which serves as one of the references for inflation. Inflation Trends:   The CPI forecasts (previous core at 0.2% MoM, YoY at 2.3%) suggest a cooling inflation environment, especially with the YoY rate dropping from 2.6%. If actual figures align or undershoot, it could reduce pressure on the Fed to tighten policy, potentially supporting equities and bonds. Labour Market:   The previous “Initial Jobless Claims” at 247K shows a stable labour market. A significant increase could signal weakening conditions, while a decrease might bolster confidence in economic resilience. Energ

On June 3, 2025, U.S. President Trump signed an executive order, announcing that starting from June 4, the tariffs on imported steel and aluminum would be increased from 25% to 50%, but the tariffs on steel and aluminum imported from the UK would still remain at 25%.This policy is aimed at protecting the profit margins of the U.S. domestic steel and aluminum industries and stimulating investment in new production capacity.Although the tariff policy may increase the cost of raw materials for U.S. manufacturing, the market expects that this policy will help boost the profits of domestic steel and aluminum producers, thereby driving up stock prices.Despite the renewed escalation of trade tensions, the U.S. stock market continues to rise.As of the close on Tuesday:

I opened my Tiger Brokers app yesterday and noticed a notable surge in Occidental Petroleum (OXY) stock. The stock closed at $42.69, up 3.02% from the previous trading day — a strong move that immediately caught my attention. Occidental (OXY) One likely catalyst behind this rally is the recent rise in global oil prices, perhaps fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and Iran. Concerns over supply disruptions continue to unsettle markets, driving crude prices higher and providing a tailwind for energy stocks like OXY. Additionally, the latest announcement from OPEC+ regarding a modest production increase of just 411,000 barrels per day in July came in below market expectations. This smaller-than-expected output bump signals that supply constraints may persist, further support

Stock Best Buy/ now at bottom Price  Virgin Galactic (NYSE: SPCE) is advancing its next-generation Delta-class spaceplanes, with plans to commence assembly in March 2025 and initiate commercial operations in 2026. Reference  The Business Journals Virgin Galactic SpaceNews 🚀 Upcoming Projects (2025–2026) Delta-Class Spaceplanes Assembly Start: March 2025 at Virgin Galactic’s new manufacturing facility in Phoenix, Arizona. SpaceNews Virgin Galactic Virgin Galactic Test Flights: Scheduled for spring 2026. SpaceNews Commercial Service: Anticipated to begin in mid-2026 with research payload flights, followed by private astronaut missions in the fall. Virgin Galactic SpaceNews MarketWatch Production Rate: Virgin Galactic aims to produce up to six Delta-class ships annually. MarketWatch

As we step into June, the US market appears set for another exciting month. This month key economic data such as CPI and GDP figures come into focus.  I will be watching the Feds' policy signals too. Yet with uncertainties lie opportunities. I will continue my dollar cost averaging strategy into ETFs such as $SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPLG)$ as well as $STI ETF(ES3.SI)$.  A well diversified portfolio can reduce the impact of market volatility on my overall returns. While it is important to remain updated on economic data releases and Fed policy signals, it is just as important to stay calm and focused on my goal which is FIRE - Financial Independence Retire Early. As Warren Buffett lik

Happy birthday to the Dow Jones Industrials index $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ that just turned 129 years old last week It closed last week at 42,270.07, well above the 40.94 it started at 129 yrs ago despite spanish flu, 2 world wars, a great depression, a great financial crisis, a dot com crash , a global pandemic etc That’s over 103,000% capital gain and over 10% annualised return ( including dividends).ImageThe $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ a significant landmark in the financial world, has weathered 129 years of ups and downs. It started at 40.94 a century and a quarter ago and closed last week at 42,270.07.The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ’s “birthday” can be traced back to March 4, 1957,

May concluded with the S&P 500 achieving a 6.15% gain, marking its strongest monthly performance of the year. This rally followed April’s downturn, challenging the traditional “Sell in May and go away” adage. While historical data indicates that the May to October period often yields weaker returns compared to November to April, recent trends suggest that rigid adherence to this strategy may not be beneficial. Investors who remained engaged in the market during May likely capitalized on the upswing, highlighting the potential drawbacks of strictly following seasonal investment patterns. Looking ahead to June, it’s noteworthy that this month has historically not been a peak period for the market. However, past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. With ongoing economic developme