Shifting Tides: Contrasting Economic Narratives in Eastern and Western Markets
China’s sustained economic development continues to serve as a stabilizing force in Asia, underpinning regional growth through strategic investments in infrastructure, technology, and multilateral partnerships. This contrasts with evolving dynamics in Western markets, where financial ecosystems face mounting scrutiny over sustainability. The U.S. stock market’s decade-long bull run, fueled by expansive monetary policies and tech-sector dominance, has drawn global capital into historically high valuations. While this prosperity underscores America’s financial innovation, concerns about overvaluation and speculative excess now loom large. A market correction appears increasingly inevitable as investors weigh stretched price-to-earnings ratios against slowing corporate earnings growth. Singap
Every morning, I wake up and grab my iPhone, the first device in my day’s digital journey. I scroll through WhatsApp to catch up on messages, then indulge in a few Instagram Reels, scrolling through a mix of humor, trends, and inspiration. I take a quick detour to Google Maps, checking the best route to the office. It’s a brief but necessary step to avoid traffic chaos and ensure I’m on time. Then comes the familiar routine: opening my browser to skim through the latest news—whether it’s the stock market updates, global headlines, or just a quick search on things that pique my interest. Once I’m at work, the real heavy lifting begins. I power up my computer, diving into the world of Microsoft Office Suite—spreadsheets, presentations, and reports. A Teams call comes in, and I’m right back i
$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Correction seems to be on support at around $448 right now. Short term rebounce might come soon. If it drops more, low $400 might comes in. Nevertheless, berkshire is for long term growth. Its meant to be rich SLOWLY. Ignoring 99% noise & staying focus! Long term till 2030. It will be around x2 gain. Its fine with me.
Bear Market Strategies: Preparing for the Downturn
Overview: Slowing Labor Market Signals Recession Fears Last week, U.S. economic data revealed a cooling labor market, heightening recession concerns. The ADP report and non-farm payrolls for August both came in below expectations, with private employment rising by only 9.9k (vs. 14.5k expected) and non-farm payrolls increasing by 14.2k (vs. 16.5k expected). Additionally, the U.S. employment rate climbed to 4.2% in August 2024, up from 3.7% a year earlier. These indicators have alarmed investors, triggering declines in the three major U.S. stock indices, reflecting heightened uncertainty over the economic outlook. U.S. Stock Market: A Sharp Pullback The disappointing labor data led to a broad sell-off across U.S. equity markets last Friday. Investors, fearing a potential recession, be
Overview: Goldman Sachs $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ strategists suggest that while U.S. stocks may experience a decline by year-end, a full-blown bear market, marked by a 20% or more drop, is unlikely. With the Federal Reserve expected to ease rates and recession risks remaining low, the U.S. economy continues to be supported by a "healthy private sector." Despite recent market fluctuations, particularly the S&P 500's dip from record highs in July, the overall outlook suggests a tempered, risk-aware approach rather than alarm. U.S. Market Valuations: Balancing Uncertainty The Goldman team, led by Christian Mueller-Glissmann, notes that while valuations remain elevated and growth prospects mixed, policy un
A recession in the U.S. can have various impacts on Australian stocks, influenced by several interconnected factors. I have been researching some potential effects: Changes Market Sentiment: A Negative sentiment in the U.S. can lead to declines in stock markets worldwide, including Australia. Volatility: Uncertainty increased market volatility , impacting Australian stocks. Exports: The U.S. is a trade partner for Australia. Reducing demand, affecting companies in mining, agriculture, and manufacturing. Commodity Prices: Could lower global demand for commodities, leading to price drops and lower revenues. Australian Dollar: Weakening the U.S. dollar strengthens the Australian dollar. Make Australian exports more expensive and less competitive globally. Monetary Policy: Lower interest
Shifting Tides: Contrasting Economic Narratives in Eastern and Western Markets
China’s sustained economic development continues to serve as a stabilizing force in Asia, underpinning regional growth through strategic investments in infrastructure, technology, and multilateral partnerships. This contrasts with evolving dynamics in Western markets, where financial ecosystems face mounting scrutiny over sustainability. The U.S. stock market’s decade-long bull run, fueled by expansive monetary policies and tech-sector dominance, has drawn global capital into historically high valuations. While this prosperity underscores America’s financial innovation, concerns about overvaluation and speculative excess now loom large. A market correction appears increasingly inevitable as investors weigh stretched price-to-earnings ratios against slowing corporate earnings growth. Singap
Every morning, I wake up and grab my iPhone, the first device in my day’s digital journey. I scroll through WhatsApp to catch up on messages, then indulge in a few Instagram Reels, scrolling through a mix of humor, trends, and inspiration. I take a quick detour to Google Maps, checking the best route to the office. It’s a brief but necessary step to avoid traffic chaos and ensure I’m on time. Then comes the familiar routine: opening my browser to skim through the latest news—whether it’s the stock market updates, global headlines, or just a quick search on things that pique my interest. Once I’m at work, the real heavy lifting begins. I power up my computer, diving into the world of Microsoft Office Suite—spreadsheets, presentations, and reports. A Teams call comes in, and I’m right back i
Bear Market Strategies: Preparing for the Downturn
Overview: Slowing Labor Market Signals Recession Fears Last week, U.S. economic data revealed a cooling labor market, heightening recession concerns. The ADP report and non-farm payrolls for August both came in below expectations, with private employment rising by only 9.9k (vs. 14.5k expected) and non-farm payrolls increasing by 14.2k (vs. 16.5k expected). Additionally, the U.S. employment rate climbed to 4.2% in August 2024, up from 3.7% a year earlier. These indicators have alarmed investors, triggering declines in the three major U.S. stock indices, reflecting heightened uncertainty over the economic outlook. U.S. Stock Market: A Sharp Pullback The disappointing labor data led to a broad sell-off across U.S. equity markets last Friday. Investors, fearing a potential recession, be
Overview: Goldman Sachs $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ strategists suggest that while U.S. stocks may experience a decline by year-end, a full-blown bear market, marked by a 20% or more drop, is unlikely. With the Federal Reserve expected to ease rates and recession risks remaining low, the U.S. economy continues to be supported by a "healthy private sector." Despite recent market fluctuations, particularly the S&P 500's dip from record highs in July, the overall outlook suggests a tempered, risk-aware approach rather than alarm. U.S. Market Valuations: Balancing Uncertainty The Goldman team, led by Christian Mueller-Glissmann, notes that while valuations remain elevated and growth prospects mixed, policy un
A recession in the U.S. can have various impacts on Australian stocks, influenced by several interconnected factors. I have been researching some potential effects: Changes Market Sentiment: A Negative sentiment in the U.S. can lead to declines in stock markets worldwide, including Australia. Volatility: Uncertainty increased market volatility , impacting Australian stocks. Exports: The U.S. is a trade partner for Australia. Reducing demand, affecting companies in mining, agriculture, and manufacturing. Commodity Prices: Could lower global demand for commodities, leading to price drops and lower revenues. Australian Dollar: Weakening the U.S. dollar strengthens the Australian dollar. Make Australian exports more expensive and less competitive globally. Monetary Policy: Lower interest
$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Correction seems to be on support at around $448 right now. Short term rebounce might come soon. If it drops more, low $400 might comes in. Nevertheless, berkshire is for long term growth. Its meant to be rich SLOWLY. Ignoring 99% noise & staying focus! Long term till 2030. It will be around x2 gain. Its fine with me.
More poor job data n unemployment rate more than 4.5% by August will push fed cut 1st rate aggressively
Goldman Economists Lift "Limited" US Recession Risk to 25%
LONDON - Goldman Sachs Group economists increased the probability of a recession in the United States in the next year to 25 per cent from 15 per cent but said there are several reasons not to fear a slump even after unemployment jumped.“We continue to see recession risk as limited,” the Goldman economists led by Jan Hatzius said on Aug 4.The economy continues to look “fine overall”, there are no major financial imbalances and the Federal Reserve has a lot of room to cut interest rates and can do so quickly if needed, they said.Last week ended with US jobs data showing that hiring had slowed markedly in July and unemployment had risen to the highest in almost three years, raising concerns of a slowdown and fears the Fed has waited too long to cut interest rates.Goldman Sachs to raise headcount in asset and wealth management as it expands in Asia