$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Double Gap - A Must-WatchDaily and a weekly gap at once, a significant development. Today's price action underscores the rapid movement between volume shelves. Unlike $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ discussed in my previous post, tech has managed to climb above its 20DMA. The Stochastic indicator suggests this move is beginning.On the bearish side, acting solely on the gap and bearish candle could be premature (see circles). Instead, using $523 as a reference for (a tight) invalidation or $521.4 for a wider one offers a better risk assessment.Image $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - The 20DMA x 50DMA Bearish Crossover is Proven its Worth, and today
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ - The prognosis during the weekend was: "Potential short lived bounce incoming, in an overall bearish landscape", and once again price action is following the Weekly Compass' script🎯.Shooting stars are significant warnings, for that reason $5984 had to be consolidated to consider a safe zone for longs in $.SPX(.SPX)$ , and it didn't happened.Switching to SPY: $588 is providing temporary support, will it hold? The bearish red candle has volume validation, and the 50DMA has been breached. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ : +11%, probably nothing.Image
Learning how to trade Stellanis trading ideals on island reversal
Stellantis (STLA) and the Island Reversal Pattern 🚀 Looking at the Stellantis (STLA) chart, I can see a potential island reversal pattern forming in the last three trading periods. An island reversal is a strong technical signal that can indicate a sharp change in trend. Identifying the Island Reversal Pattern 📊 1. The Gap Down Formation (Bearish Phase) • The sharp drop to $12.12 in December, forming a gap down, suggests a bearish move. • Price remained low, consolidating at the bottom with no immediate recovery. 2. The Gap Up Formation (Bullish Reversal) • The recent price action shows a gap up, disconnecting from the previous downtrend. • This traps short sellers who expected further decline, causing potential covering. 3. Confirmation of the Reversal • The previous two island rever
Businesses make rational decisions. 1. Is the system in licensing safe? 2. Is the software I’m licensing customizable? Do I get data? Will I know failure modes? Can I fix problems quickly? 3. Is the partner in working with a good partner? $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ fails on all 3.Just to be clear, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ making it easier to create autonomous vehicles and robots isn't bullish for TSLA. It's the opposite.When these technologies reach a point of "good enough" there's no differentiation.Tesla becomes...an auto company. And it's losing market share.
V, MA & FICO - The companies benefiting from networks effect
The network effect is one of the most resilient barriers to entry and one of the hardest competitive advantages to create.Here are my favourite companies benefiting from networks:• Visa $Visa(V)$• Mastercard $MasterCard(MA)$• FICO $Fair Isaac(FICO)$Fortunately I’m not a value investor! FICO is probably in the top 0.1%, if not 0.01%, of companies in terms of business quality.It’s incredible how many humans use either Facebook, Instagram or WhatsApp.I’m starting to see that $Copart(CPRT)$ more and more in the UK. Compared to a few years ago when I only ever saw it on Fintwit!What would you add?
Aurora Innovation (AUR) Soars 29% on Tuesday: Is This the Beginning of a Turnaround?
Aurora Innovation ( $Aurora Innovation(AUR)$ ), a leading autonomous vehicle technology company, experienced a significant surge in its stock price on Tuesday, closing at $8.39—an impressive 29.08% increase from the previous day. The substantial rise in Aurora's stock is primarily attributed to the announcement of a long-term partnership with Nvidia ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) and Continental to develop and deploy autonomous trucks. This collaboration involves integrating Nvidia's DRIVE Thor platform and DriveOS operating system into Aurora's self-driving technology, with Continental expected to commence mass production of the necessary hardware by 2027. Aurora plans to launch its autonomous trucking service in Tex
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🎯📈 SPY and NVDA Wyckoff Masterclass Amid Market Uncertainty 📈🎯 Wall Street stumbled today (NZ 🇳🇿 time Wednesday 08Jan25), with tech stocks under pressure as upbeat economic data complicated the outlook for Federal Reserve policy. SPY and Nvidia ($NVDA) reflected these dynamics through textbook Wyckoff setups, offering traders clear roadmaps for navigating volatility. Updated Market Overview • SPY: $591.25 (0.69 percent lower) • Nvidia: $141.57 (5.26 percent lower) • Nasdaq: Down 1.5 percent as tech stocks led declines. Key movers: Nvidia (5.4 percent lower), Tesla (5 percent lower), Meta (
$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ Given Bitcoin's recent volatility, scalping could be viable if you can capitalize on small price movements. This strategy involves making numerous trades throughout the day to profit from minor price changes. However, this requires quick decision-making and constant market monitoring. If you anticipate Bitcoin's price to swing back towards a previous high or low, this strategy might work. Look for key support or resistance levels, if Bitcoin tests the 92k level again, buying near this support could be strategic if you believe in an upward continuation, as well as $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ . My own TA : Btc Current support 97k500 Btc Next support 92k
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ That was a great move! Taking profits at $152.84 when NVIDIA was overbought aligns well with a disciplined trading strategy. Given the sharp drop to $141.37 (-5.39%), your decision to sell early and wait for a lower re-entry at around $140 is well-calculated. Technical Breakdown: 1. Overbought Zone: The stock surged past the upper Bollinger Band, indicating it was extended. 2. Profit-Taking Reaction: The sharp red candle suggests institutions and traders also took profits. 3. Support at $140: Your planned buy zone aligns with a psychological and technical support level (near the 50-day moving average). 4. Volatility Spike: High volume (150M) confirms a strong reaction—possibly a short-term correction before a bounce. Next Steps
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 6 Reasons Why Tesla (TSLA) is a Strong Buy Tesla is one of the most debated stocks on the market, but for long-term investors, it remains a high-potential growth stock. Here’s why I believe Tesla is a strong buy: 1️⃣ Dominance in the EV Market 🚗⚡ Tesla is the global leader in electric vehicles (EVs) with a strong brand, innovative technology, and a first-mover advantage. Despite rising competition, Tesla’s cost efficiency and massive production scale give it a competitive edge. The Model Y was the best-selling car worldwide in 2023, proving its market strength. 2️⃣ AI & Full Self-Driving (FSD) Potential 🤖🚀 Tesla isn’t just a car company—it’s an AI and robotics company. Its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology is improvi
$Pfizer(PFE)$ Is Pfizer an undervalued stock to buy right now? Let’s answer that question by conducting a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation of Pfizer stock. I'll break down the inputs and explain precisely where I’m sourcing each number so you can evaluate whether the estimates are reasonable. Let's explore this intriguing healthcare company. Key Inputs for Pfizer's Valuation To begin, here are three critical inputs: Market Capitalization: $150 billion Cash and Equivalents: $1.1 billion Total Long-Term Debt: $66.6 billion Additionally, Pfizer’s total or average number of shares outstanding is 5.7 billion. To project free cash flow (FCF), I’ll leverage Wall Street analysts' estimates for the next several years: 2024: $10.86 billion 2025: $17.6 bi
$Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF(QQQM)$ QQQM Trade: Selling at $216.47 for a Pullback Buy 📉📈 Your strategy of selling QQQM at $216.47 is well-timed based on the Bollinger Bands and recent price action. Here’s why this trade setup makes sense and how you can optimize your re-entry. 1. Spotting the Reversal Signal 🔄 • QQQM rallied for four consecutive days, reaching near the upper Bollinger Band ($221.48) before reversing. • The price closed lower, indicating a potential short-term peak. • Your sale at $216.47 locks in profits before a potential dip back to support. 2. Targeting the Lower Bollinger Band for Re-entry 🎯 • The lower Bollinger Band is currently at $209.07, which is your likely re-entry zone. • If QQQM dips to this level, it could be oversol
Nothing Is Cast In Stones. When it comes to stock price predictions for 2025, it's important for investors to understand that even the "experts" can make dumb predictions. Consider one of the most infamous calls in Wall Street history. It happened in 2008 when Goldman Sachs strategist Abby Joseph Cohen stuck to her 1,675 target for the S&P 500 index, across the first part of the year even as the global financial crisis took shape. [ For the record, the S&P 500 finished the year around 900, nearly -50% below that target. ] There is no single metric that is a universal indicator of success in the stock market. That said, the price targets set by leading investment firms are still worth a look. Who knows one might learn something new in the process. Analysts’ Price Predictions. Stoc
Despite broader market correction pressure, bulls won this pullback battle, and barring unexpected events, NVIDIA should head above 160 before earnings.Though it's only the first week of January, celebrating halfway might seem premature, but these champagne bottles were brought in truckloads by the bulls:Monday's options open interest details show surging call option positions at the top. Excluding spread strategy positions in 155 and 162.5 calls, February expiry calls with strikes 158-166 saw massive increases in open interest, ranging from 40,000 to 89,000 new contracts.Put strike prices rose accordingly, anchoring in the 130-140 range.Friday's short squeeze, combined with Jensen's vision-casting speech, produced remarkable price gains.Previously, I assessed NVIDIA's January movement as
CES Ignites the Market! Will the New RTX 50 Bring More Revenue for Nvidia?
At the 2025 CES, NVIDIA unveiled the RTX 50 series GPUs based on the Blackwell architecture, including the RTX 5090 and RTX 5080. After Jensen's keynote speech, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ surged to an new all time high of $153.67 in pre-market trading.Based on the latest 12-month price targets from 40 Wall Street analysts, the average target for NVIDIA’s stock is $177.03.With AI computing power doubling and prices becoming more affordable, will the RTX 5090 bring in more revenue?The new RTX 5090, based on the Blackwell architecture, is equipped with 92 billion transistors, offering 3,400 TOPS computing power and 4,000 AI TOPS (trillions of operations per second), priced at $1,999. In comparison, the RTX 4090 has only 1,300 AI TOPS, priced at $1,599.The RTX 50