To The Moon

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) has proven itself as a force to be reckoned with in the realm of data analytics and artificial intelligence (AI). Known for its robust software platforms, Palantir serves a diverse range of both commercial and government clients. Despite a remarkable rally in Q4 2024, the stock faces significant challenges as it heads into 2025. This essay will explore the reasons behind the recent stock jump, analyze company fundamentals and revenue structure, assess the sustainability of its growth driven by Department of Defense (DoD) orders, and evaluate its financial position from a valuation standpoint. Additionally, we will delve into why analysts, including Morgan Stanley, have downgraded their stock price expectations. The Q4 2024 Rally: A Temporary Surge? P

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More commercial proofs that counters Nvidia's Jensen Huang  shallow vision. More details on QBTS's current customers list. 1.  NTT Docomo uses QC to optimize its cell tower resources. 2.  Ford Otosan. JV between Ford & Turks conglomerate Koc Hldgs in computation processings to reduce turnaround time. 3.  Pattison Food Grp - Canadian supermarket. Uses QC for workforce scheduling & e-Commerce delivery optimization. 4.  Mastercard. Optimize loyalty rewards programs to improve uptake. Next phase is about gaining more customers and allowing customer to tap on its processing powress that is miles ahead of even AI processing speed. Perhaps it's the customers that do not want competitors to know that they are dabbling in QC already. Or that QC companies are weak in

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1.Peaky MarketsHere’s how the S&P500 $.SPX(.SPX)$ has traded on average before and after market peaks since 1930. The bearish takeaway is how quickly and significantly things can turn, but the bullish/optimists perspective is that things eventually get back on track + great opportunities are uncovered.Image2.The Macro Risk SandwichThis chart also puts the “macro-risk-sandwich” of recession vs resurgence on display; i.e. the strength and tight capacity in labor markets [blue line] vs excess capacity and weakness in industry [black line]Image3.You've probably seen the CAPE or PE10 ratios for global equities before, but have you seen the CAE/E10?This chart shows the 10-year moving average of earnings for global equities, and it is extremely telli

The internet of the past 20 years and the multi-trillion dollar tech companies we see today are built on two assumed truths.The addressable markets are nearly infinite in sizeMarginal costs round to zeroThis is why $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Facebook was trading for 100x earnings in 2014 and 2015. Investors knew it could eventually scale profits to the $55.5 billion in net income we see today.ImageIt’s why $Uber(UBER)$ could raise tens of billions of dollars chasing ride-sharing.It’s whywinner-take-all markets are valuable. It’s why theSmiling Curve works.Margins are 80% to 90% for most of these companies. The marginal cost isn’t important. What’s important is growing. Fast.ImageAI may not look like thi

Key Highlights December Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Employment rose by 256,000, beating expectations of 200,000.Suggests strong labor market resilience, which could fuel hawkish Federal Reserve policy. Market Reaction: US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Climbed to 4.8%, pressuring equities.US Stock Market: Opened lower; major indices reflect cautious sentiment. Market Impact Analysis Equity Markets Bearish Sentiment: Higher yields increase borrowing costs and challenge high-growth sectors like tech. Key Movers: Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ): -2.1%, reflecting weak investor confidence. Nvidia ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ): -1.5%, impacted by rising yields. Opportunities in Dips: Cyclicals: Defensive stocks in consumer stap

1. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Pull out Google Cloud and Waymo and you still have an amazing business with Alphabet's core. 2. $Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ When a tech company gets religion about cash flow the turnaround can happen fast. 3. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ At the current rate of capex growth, Microsoft will be FCF NEGATIVE in ~2026. This is a company with falling ROIC trading for 12.5x sales. Makes you think... 4. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ A reminder that Coinbase is much more than an exchange business. And with the growth of USDC the stablecoin business is gett