The USMAI remains in a Bullish zone, supporting long-term investment
$.SPX(.SPX)$$.IXIC(.IXIC)$$.DJI(.DJI)$ The USMAI remains in a Bullish zone, supporting long-term investment strategies, but recent corrections signal weakening momentum. A transition to a Bearish zone is likely within the next few weeks, necessitating caution in both long-term and short-term positions.Last week's strong buying momentum drove a robust upward movement earlier this week. However, the market closed with a sharp decline as strong employment data and resilient economic indicators reduced the likelihood of future rate cuts. Currently, the market is undergoing a corrective phase. Starting next week, the weekly trend is expected to enter a bearish zone
This is absolutely incredible:US Technology, Media, and Telecom (TMT) stocks relative to global TMT stocks have hit an all-time high of 2.0x.This ratio has DOUBLED over the last 5 years.Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, US tech has outperformed its global peers by 5 TIMES.To put this into perspective, this ratio reached 0.7x at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak.In other words, the ratio is now nearly 3 TIMES higher than it was in 2000.US Big Tech is dominating.Image
I deeply miss the washout from August 5th last year. It's so difficult now.$NVDA$Let me first review last Friday - Wall Street was particularly crafty and didn't follow the usual playbook.Last Friday January 10th, due to large opening positions in 125 put $NVDA 20250117 125.0 PUT$ , considering time decay's impact on option value, I thought there might be a short squeeze in the opposite direction - a sharp drop Friday followed by a gap down Monday, so I bought 125 puts waiting for intraday decline.However, shortly after market open there was a deep V-shaped recovery. The rebound caused call volume to disperse put volume - option trading didn't become one-sided. At 12PM I saw no opportunity for the second half, so I closed
Post election, strong optimism for the US economy and stock market in 2025 was abruptly replaced with simmering dread, following the last FOMC meeting in Dec 18-19, 2024. Specifically, news on inflation projection for 2025, was raised from 2.1% to 2.5%; raising concerns about the actual state of the economy as well as about the actual fruits of regulatory efforts. Furthermore, there has been no shortage of worrying data both before and after the press conference. The latest possible danger to come to public attention is the state of American banks and (state of) their investments. $329 billion losses - Insolvency Risk ? Recently, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) shows that the finance sector is facing $329 billion in unrealized losses, making the situation precarious for so
Open Interest Data Update: Chinese Stock Options See Large Orders Exit, Market Makers Profit Another
In December, we summarized the bullish positioning in Chinese stocks, with two large orders particularly noteworthy: 98,000 contracts of $YINN 20260116 27.0 CALL$ traded in one day, and 210,000 contracts of $CHAU 20250516 15.0 CALL$ .These two large orders were positioned just before the December 9th surge, becoming highly visible in the market, with various media speculating about the source of the funds. After a month of volatility, on January 10th evening, Yinn plunged 8.69% and CHAU dropped 4.44%, finally forcing these large positions to close at a loss.According to Monday's updated open interest data,
【Stock Prediction】Guess which bank is a big winner this week ?
The highly anticipated Q4 earnings season kicks off this week, starting with JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup, all set to report on Wednesday. Following closely behind, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley will release their results on Thursday.Can you predict which bank is a big winner this week ? If you get the correct answer, you may divide 1000 Tiger Coins with other Tigers.Q4 banks' earnings consensusU.S. banks will probably report stronger earnings this week, fueled by robust dealmaking and trading in the fourth quarter. The six biggest U.S. lenders have benefited from a resurgence in investment banking in recent months. For more information about Banks‘ Earnings Preview, please click US Banks Q4 Ear
Grasp the short opportunity: L&I ETFs again - VIXY, SQQQ, SRTY
💰 Major indices post their worst performance for the same period since 2016.📈 Consider VIXY/SQQQ/SRTY to hedge portfolio risk. Take a good look at oil & gas ETFs too.📣 Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with CashBoost!| Market recapLast week, the Nasdaq $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ fell 2.34%, the S&P 500 $.SPX(.SPX)$ dropped 1.94%, and the Dow Jones $.DJI(.DJI)$ declined 1.86%, marking a two-week losing streak for all three indices. Most popular Chinese stocks also saw declines, with $NASDAQ Golden Dragon China Index(HXC)$ falling 3.14%.- Megacaps:The S&P 500 erased all of its gains since Trump's victory in the 2
Seeking Alpha's 2024 Best of the Top 10 stocks performed 124% overall, outperforming the $S&P 500 (.SPX)$ by 25%.Among them was selected the bullish $AppLovin Corporation (APP)$.And the Top 10 for 2025 are as follows:$OppFi Inc.(OPFI)$Market capitalization: $651.78 million.Quantitative rating: Strong Buy.Sector: Financial.Sector: consumer finance.Powered by AI-driven underwriting, OppFi Inc (OPFI) leverages its scalable technology platform to provide access to credit for underserved middle-income consumers.The company reported outstanding third quarter 2024 earnings results, with revenues reaching a new high of $136 million.Meanwhile, net income under GAAP more than do
Morgan Stanley Predicts Continued Growth for TSMC: How to Trade Bull Call Spreads?
On January 10, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) released its December 2024 monthly revenue report. The data shows $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ ’s December revenue reached NT$278.16 billion, a 0.8% increase from the previous month and a 57.8% year-over-year growth. For the entire year of 2024, TSMC's total revenue was approximately NT$2.8943 trillion, a 33.9% increase compared to 2023.TSMC’s Q4 2024 revenue (October to December) amounted to NT$868.5 billion (approximately USD 26.36 billion), surpassing market expectations. Analysts had previously estimated the company’s Q4 revenue at NT$853.6 billion (approximately USD 25.9 billion).As the world's largest advanced chip manufacturer, TSMC is a major beneficiary of the gl
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This Friday through next week looks dangerous.After killing the shorts last Friday (January 3rd) and the longs on Tuesday (January 7th), the shorts are striking again, opening 47,000 contracts of January 17 expiry 125 puts $NVDA 20250117 125.0 PUT$ .This wasn't done through regular market trading; they likely placed direct orders due to good liquidity in next week's expiring options. From this order style, it seems the shorts aren't trying to hide their intentions, placing orders for whatever quantity was available, making it easy to spot in unusual activity screens.On the bulls' side, institutions are implementing a call spread for next week, selling 144 calls aga
📊 CPI Coming! Can Data Push Market Toward Recovery This Week?
Market Context This week’s economic calendar is packed, with U.S. December CPI, PPI, and retail sales data set to be released consecutively on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. Here’s why these numbers matter: Inflation Outlook: December CPI is expected to rise to 2.9% YoY, while core CPI is forecasted to remain at 3.3% YoY for the fourth month. Persistent inflation may push the Fed to maintain higher interest rates for longer. Market Sentiment: Strong ISM Services and Nonfarm Payroll data last week reduced rate-cut expectations, sparking a market decline. The S&P 500 lost 1.2%, while the Nasdaq shed 2.1% last week. Key Questions Will CPI Be a Turning Point? A lower-than-expected CPI could revive rate-cut hopes, triggering a market rally. A hotter CPI print might intensify fears of
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Can't wait for Inaugration day and see all the goodness driving MAGA in action! Watch out for Earnings report on Jan 29 too, just like last time the energy segment will probably help fill in the gaps from lower vehicle delivery and some FSD subscriptions miss.