1.99K
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2025-01-27
$QQQ - Gaps tend to be filled
$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ - Gaps tend to be filled when they are close to overbought price actionStochastic and Williams%R are overbought, can they continue in that condition? of course; but there are two gaps below, and in previous cases they have been filled or at least re-visited.Will this time be different? I don't think so. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Image $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ has faced rejection at its 50-day moving average for four consecutive days, culminating i
1.49K
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2025-01-27
TXN goes ex-dividend JAN31
$Texas Instruments(TXN)$ goes ex-dividend JAN31, and current yield is 2.9%. ImageTXN FY24 Cash FlowOperating Cash flow -2%Capex -5%Free Cash Flow +11%Second year in a row not covering dividendsImageFCF/share +11% YoY for FY24Driven by Capex reductionImageTXN presentation from last year - FCF/share and Capex impactCapex "scalability" as of 2026 - spent Revenue dependentImageTXN 4Q at high end of guidance4Q YoYRevenue -2% (-3% QoQ)Net income -12%Dil. EPS -13%FY24OCF -2%FCF +11% (lower Capex)1Q’25 guidanceRevenue $3.91B at mid point -2% QoQ ; -+7% YoY
5.02K
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2025-01-27
Big Tech's Ticking Time Bomb
It was a slow and steady week of gains for the stock market this week. Bank earnings began and results were mostly ahead of expectations. This week, we begin earnings season in earnest with companies like $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ $General Motors(GM)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ The Ticking Time Bomb on Big Tech’s Balance SheetThis week, I explored the world of data center investment and depreciation. It’s not an exciting world, but it may be a place to find risk where most investors are seeing opportunity.As I’ve highlighted before, the economics of AI aren’t the same as technology companies are used to. Norma
TOPTiger_CashBoostAccount: Great job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
11.30K
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2025-01-27
RGTI, SOFI & MGM Under Pressure
1. $Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ Rigetti has $11.9 million in revenue and a $3.7 billion market cap.Even if quantum is the future, this is a bad stock to bet on because the fundamentals are so bad.Image2. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ If SoFi is becoming more of a platform company, facilitating loans through its "lending platform" like we saw with the $2 billion Fortress deal, that growth will show up here, not in lending revenue.Image3. $MGM Resorts International(MGM)$ MGM stock is down 23% in the past year.If management just keeps the buyback level flat, it could reduce shares outstanding at a 20%/yr pace right now.Image
TOPi knew that stock was trashy, it amazed me how much people kept pushing the stock up nd how volatile it was giving gains to people who buy it cheap, it's not fair 😭
1.29K
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2025-01-27
Daily Charts - US Corporate Profit Margins
1.US Corporate Profit Margins-tech has found a new higher plateau-non-tech has trended up over timeThank you 🙏 -lower interest rates-lower tax rates-higher productivity-higher share of global revsImage2.One reason for US equities outperforming Global equities for much of the past 10-15 years has been the consistently higher profitabilityUS RoE out-punches the rest.Image3.The Great Deleveraging Thanks to scars of the financial crisis spurring folk to be more prudent with debt and of course — more-to-the-point: the dream run in stocks and property on the asset side...US household leverage (as measured by debt as a % of assets) has dropped to multi-decade lows. Who da thunk it.Image
1.56K
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2025-01-27
DeepSeek - Cheaper AI is better for all
DeepSeek could certainly accelerate the amount of tinkering / experimenting / prototyping folks do with AI. With lower cost barriers, why not try out more things?But once enterprises find use cases they want to scale up into production, I think there will be real hesitations around trust. How do you handle the inherent bias in the training data? Or how those bias will show up in a reasoning agent? Or worse? I think the real question is what are the implications if a US based company takes a similar approach that DeepSeek didAI is becoming more powerful at the same time it's becoming more accessible. Amazing!Cheaper AI is better for all. It will lead to more education, more experimentation and thus more production use. Excited for this year!
1.43K
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2025-01-27
What influences share prices?
What influences share prices? Here’s how I see it.ImageFour of the most important ratios in investing:1. FCF / Invested capital2. FCF / Historic FCF3. FCF / Revenue4. FCF / Market capitalisationIf you had to add one, what would it be?Here's a mental model for thinking about a company's growth:• Is the growth rate high?• Is the growth predictable?High + Predictable = InvestableAnything else = Perhaps best to avoidWhere do you invest?ImageHigh growth companies normally have high multiples.I created this table to show the relationship between growth and multiples👇In short, a PE ratio of 50 requires a 20% earnings growth over 5 years to turn that multiple from 50 -> 20.FYI, I use FCF yield - not P/E.Image
2.35K
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2025-01-27
4 of the Mag 7 stocks are set to report earnings next week. This is the most friendly positioning backdrop we have seen into Mag 7 prints in a long time.The group long/short ratio is currently in the 5th percentile vs. the past year. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Image
17.29K
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2025-01-26
TSLA, META, MSFT: Cont'd Rally on CNY Week ?
The optimism investors exhibited during President Trump’s first week back in the White House tempered a bit on Fri, 24 jan 2025. By the time trading ended for the holiday-shortened trading week: (see above) (1) DJIA: -0.32% (-140.82 to 44,424.25). (2) S&P 500: -0.29% (-17.47 to 6,101.24). Notched 1st record close of 2025 on Thursday. The S&P 500 rallied from a 2-month low to a record high over just 8 sessions. Marking the 2nd-fastest reversal since 1928. (3) Nasdaq: -0.50% (-99.38 to 19,954.30). For the week, the 3 indexes performances have been “credible” : (see above) Dow : up +2.2% or 936.42 points. S&P 500 : up +1.7% or 104.58 points. Nasdaq : up +1.7% or 324.10 points. Similarly, Year-to-date, the 3 indexes performances have been “great” : Dow : up +4.4% or 1,880.03 points
TOPGreat job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
9.79K
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2025-01-26
Netflix (NFLX)
Netflix (NFLX) has been a cornerstone of the streaming entertainment industry, boasting a vast library of original and licensed content that appeals to a global audience. As an avid fan of Netflix shows, I find their offerings highly engaging and diverse, catering to various tastes and preferences. The company has built a strong brand reputation, and its products are in high demand, making it a reliable source of entertainment for millions worldwide. Strengths of Netflix: High Demand for Content: Netflix continues to capture the attention of global audiences through original shows like Stranger Things, The Witcher, and The Crown. Its consistent release of high-quality, award-winning content ensures its relevance and market dominance. Global Reach: With subscribers in over 190 countries, Ne
TOPMuch appreciation on your openness of yourtrading strategies of $Netflix(NFLX)$ and Best ofluck with your future trades! Welcome to open a CBA todayand enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 withupcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and USstocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
7.09K
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2025-01-26
From Capitol Trades to Market Plays: Decoding the Risks and Rewards of Options Trading
In recent years, particularly during the economic turbulence caused by the global health crisis, options trading has surged in popularity among retail investors in the United States. Data from the Options Clearing Corporation shows that during the peak of the epidemic, the volume of options traded soared, with daily average trading volumes in 2020 increasing by about 50% compared to the previous year. However, this increase in activity has not universally led to success; statistics suggest that approximately 80% of retail options traders end up losing money, with average losses often exceeding initial investments by significant margins. According to a 2022 report by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), only about 20% of retail investors consistently profited from optio
6.54K
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2025-01-25
Rigetti Computing (RGTI): Momentum Builds Amid Ongoing Recovery
Rigetti Computing (RGTI) traded at $14.65 (+8.76%) during market hours on January 24, showing renewed strength after a correction from its recent high of $21.42. This intraday movement highlights a continued upward trajectory, supported by technical indicators and investor sentiment in the burgeoning quantum computing space. Technical Overview 1. Moving Averages Alignment: • MA5 ($13.16) & MA10 ($11.19): Intraday action has the price decisively above short-term moving averages, signaling renewed bullish momentum. • MA20 ($13.75): The stock’s recent push above this average suggests the potential for sustained recovery. • MA30 ($12.00): A critical longer-term level providing solid support for any pullbacks. 2. Trend Analysis: • The uptrend remains intact as Rigetti continues to print hig
5.24K
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2025-01-25
I decided to build a simple option screener in python using free api's looking for cheap option close to in the money with decent iv and delta. Remember I am starting from $300 USD so need cheap ones while managing risk 🫥 Now with this trade I didn't do any research which I might come to regret 😆however I just put an order in and it triggered.🙈 $SENS 20250321 1.0 CALL$ this is the order and the stock is $Senseonics(SENS)$
TOPLook forward to more of your options sharing[Miser]
2.73K
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2025-01-26
Investing and DCA with SPY ETF
How Many Americans Own Stock? About 162 Million -- but the Wealthiest 1% Own More Than Half (Source: Motley Fool article dated 27 Dec 2024) About 162 million Americans, or 62% of U.S. adults, own stock. The top 1% holds 50% of stocks, worth $23 trillion. The bottom 50% of U.S. adults hold only 1% of stocks, worth $480 billion. Dollar Cost Averaging With SPY ETF The following is extracted from an Investopedia article that illustrates the benefit of DCA over trying to time the market. Total Invested via DCA: $81,000 Value of Shares: $128,130 Below are three charts: Price of SPY shares: The first depicts the price per share for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as it shifts prices from 2018 to 2024. Shares bought each month: Putting away $1,000 monthly, regardless of the price, the second chart
TOPGreat job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
2.64K
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2025-01-25
The AI revolution is fueled by a global scramble for GPUs, with $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ reigning supreme. Tech giants are stockpiling NVIDIA's chips to power their AI ambitions, driving up prices and creating shortages. But the competition is expanding beyond big tech. Nations are recognizing AI's strategic importance and investing heavily in securing access to these crucial resources. This demand will only intensify as AI permeates everyday life, from smartphones to cars. This raises critical questions about equitable access, potential biases, and responsible use. The GPU gold rush is not just about hardware; it's about the future. NVIDIA holds significant sway in this landscape, and the choices made today, by governments, corp
TOPThanks for sharing hawshy 💪💪💪🍀🍀🍀
1.62K
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2025-01-25
Microsoft vs Google: Who Will Win the AI Search War?
The AI search engine battle between Microsoft's Bing( $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ) and Google Search( $Alphabet(GOOG)$ ) has intensified in 2025, fueled by generative AI integration. With both companies investing billions in AI, the stakes are higher than ever. Bing, leveraging OpenAI's GPT technology, has shown rapid growth in market share, while Google continues to dominate with Bard enhancements and its massive user base. Key Updates Microsoft Bing: Bing’s integration of ChatGPT-5 has improved conversational search, enabling real-time content creation and research tools. Bing’s ad revenue jumped 30% in Q4 2024, signaling growing user engagement. Google Search: Google remains the leader with 84% global search
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2025-01-25
China’s DeepSeek Challenges U.S. Tech Dominance with Breakthrough AI Model
DeepSeek’s AI Model Threatens $NVDA’s Premium GPU Strategy A little known AI lab from China has caused a stir in Silicon Valley by releasing AI models that surpass America's top performers, despite being developed more cost-effectively and with less powerful hardware. The lab, known as DeepSeek, introduced a free, open-source large-language model in late December. According to the lab, the model was developed in just two months at a cost of under $6 million, utilizing Nvidia's lower-capability H800 chips. China's DeepSeek could pose a significant threat to US equity markets, as the company appears to have developed a groundbreaking AI model at an exceptionally low cost without relying on cutting-edge chips. This raises questions about the value of the hundreds of billions of doll
TOPHoly cow. Market red AF… what’s your thought on the new DEEPSEEK AI R1? Is NVDA still a buy/hold?
1.62K
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2025-01-25
Market Surge Amid AI, Earnings, and Trade Optimism: What Lies Ahead?
1. Weekly Stock Market Performance The stock market rally paused but maintained its momentum for a second consecutive week. $.SPX(.SPX)$ closed the week up 1.7%, contributing to a 4.7% gain over two weeks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ also posted weekly increases of 2.2% and 1.7%, respectively, despite minor dips on the final trading day. Strong earnings reports and positive developments on tariffs drove investor confidence, buoying the markets. Ind Perf 2. Big Tech Earnings and AI Rivalry Tech Next week promises heightened activity as four of the seven largest U.S. companies— $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ,
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2025-01-26
What You Need to Know Ahead of Microsoft's Earnings? Over the past year, $Microsoft(MSFT)$
TOPVery influenced by the development of AI