1.Volatility rises Below...As they say: "nothing good happens below the 200-day moving average"Something to keep in mind $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Gold Miners' cash flow just reached a 13-year high, but here's the funny thing...Investors are Sleeping on gold mining stocks $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ Image3.Seasonal Tailwinds for Crude OilA perfect storm of upside risk is brewing for commodities, and this comes at a time when disinflation has stalled. $WTI Crude Oil - main 2503(CLmain)$ Image
Someone asked me if there's anything we can learn from Coffee (price) Bubbles, and it got me pondering...1. Going back to 1970, they seem to happen with regularity around every 10-years.2. They tend to peak in blow-off top fashion, and then fall about as sharply as they surged.3. They also seem to happen in some proximity with stock market peaks/economic crises (which I would guess would be a reflection of echoes with commodity prices in general; inflation; and interest rates)Made me think anyway...Image
Intel (INTC) Stock Analysis: AI Momentum Fuels a Strong Rally
As of February 11, 2025, Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) surged 6.17%, closing at $20.97, with an intraday high of $21.88 and a low of $19.58. Trading volume hit 150,080,191 shares, reflecting strong investor confidence. AI Acceleration: Intel’s Game-Changer Intel recently unveiled its next-generation AI accelerator, designed to enhance data center AI processing power. This move strengthens its position in the competitive AI chip market, challenging industry leaders. Moreover, Intel announced strategic partnerships with major tech firms to drive AI adoption. These alliances expand Intel’s AI ecosystem and create new revenue opportunities. Technical Breakout & Market Sentiment From a technical perspective, Intel’s stock has broken key resistance levels, signaling a bullish trend. The i
Will retail investors win with $4 million bet on NVIDIA reaching 140?
The battle for $NVDA$ at 130 this week will be intense.Monday's battle was unexpected, with institutions not closing their sell calls, and NVIDIA closing below 134. Short sellers entered during trading hours, positioning for a pullback below 130 this week.Surprisingly, there was unusual heavy opening of bullish doomsday options above 140.Possible reason 1: The chance of institutional short squeeze seems to have attracted bullish traders, such as the leading position in 140 calls $NVDA 20250214 140.0 CALL$ , with 53,000 contracts opened, worth approximately $4 million.$4 million is a significant position in doomsday options. Can this trade succeed?If betting on an institutional squeeze, the probability is low. Based on un
Two leaders have emerged in autonomous-driving technology - $Alphabet(GOOG)$ and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and it’s helping the 2 stocks, in terms of their stock prices. Tesla plans to launch a self-driving robotaxi service at the end of 2025. Coming to a city near you. Alphabet’s self-driving robotaxi company Waymo already operates in 4 US cities. They are: Phoenix. Los Angeles. San Francisco. Austin. Atlanta (coming in 2025). Collectively they have completed more than 150,000 self-driving taxi rides a week. For 2025, Waymo plans to launch a robotaxi service in Atlanta. According to recent report by $Morgan Stanley(MS)$, Analyst, Brian Nowak - Waymo is expected to expa
OpenAI Acquisition and DOGE Operation: How Low Will Tesla Continue to Crash?
Recently, Elon Musk posted something resembling a will, stating:"If something happens to me, the board will prioritize finding a successor who shares the same vision. Advancing civilization is the conclusion I’ve reached through both success and failure. The most important thing isn’t my legacy, but the experience of being a creator!"This eerily reminds people of the assassination scene in The Days of the Jackal. Musk’s approach of applying private enterprise logic to public governance is bound to stir further turmoil and provoke strong reactions from vested interests.Aside from DOGE concerns, Musk’s focus has been drifting far away from $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$. Elon Musk has made a massive $97.4 billion offer to acquire OpenAI’s nonprofit entity, ai
COIN at a Crossroads: Can This Earnings Report Send It to the Moon?
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is scheduled to report its Q4 2024 earnings on February 13, 2025. Analysts project an 82.2% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by a surge in cryptocurrency trading activities. As of February 11, 2025, COIN is trading at $280.22. Analyst Projections and Price Targets Analysts have set various price targets for COIN, reflecting differing perspectives on its potential performance: Needham & Company: Initially raised their price target to $420 from $375 in December 2024, citing significant retail activity returning to the crypto market. However, in February 2025, they adjusted the target to $330, considering recent downturns in altcoin markets. Oppenheimer: In November 2024, increased their price target to $358 fro
🎁If Gold Breaks $3,000, Could a Short Squeeze Follow? Have You Bought Gold?
On February 11, $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ hit a new high of $2,968, just a step away from the widely agreed $3,000 target set by major banks. It’s highly likely to break $3,000 this week. Of course, new highs in gold are nothing new—gold prices have already set 40 record highs in 2024.Is $3,000 the consensus target among major banks?Citigroup: Raised its 0-3 month gold target to $3,000 per ounce while maintaining the 6-12 month target at $3,000.Goldman Sachs: Set a $3,000 target, citing ongoing US policy uncertainty and safe-haven demand from central banks and investors as key drivers.UBS: Increased its 12-month forecast to $3,000, emphasizing gold's role as a store of value and hedge against uncertainty, despite prices being above its f
After Being Down 85% Is Snap Stock a Must Buy In 2025
$Snap Inc(SNAP)$ In this article, I’ll be sharing my thesis on a company I’ve been accumulating over the past few months—one that has now become a significant position in my portfolio. That company is Snap. Let’s dive in. Introduction I won’t spend too much time introducing Snap, as most of you are already familiar with it. Snap is a social media company that operates the Snapchat app, which primarily attracts young adults and teens. It competes with platforms like TikTok and Meta and was founded in 2011. Snapchat currently boasts 443 million daily active users and generates $5.17 billion in revenue (LTM). While the majority of its revenue comes from advertising, the company is also expanding its B2C revenue stream through Snapchat+, its subscript
$Reddit(RDDT)$ captured significant attention in the investment community, particularly after its impressive post-earnings surges exceeding 20%. As the company prepares to release its upcoming earnings, investors are keen to assess whether Reddit can replicate such remarkable performance. Recent Financial Performance In the third quarter of 2024, Reddit reported a 68% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $348.4 million. The company achieved a net income of $29.9 million, marking its first profitable quarter since going public. Daily active users grew by 47% to 97.2 million, underscoring the platform's expanding reach and engagement. Factors Contributing to Growth Advertising Revenue: Reddit's advertising revenue increased by 56% year-over-
Major U.S. Bank Issues Urgent Warning On U.S. Assets as Gold Soar Toward $3000
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ Goldman Sachs has issued a major warning about the potential impact of global retaliation against the U.S., particularly on the S&P 500. The world is not standing by idly—countries like Canada are not just imposing tariffs but also shifting production and exports away from the U.S. Back in 2018, when Trump initiated his trade war, the S&P dropped 5% after the U.S. announced tariffs, and the cumulative decline reached 7% when other countries, including Canada and China, responded with counter-tariffs. However, this time, the trade war is expanding globally. It’s no longer just the
Singapore Banks: A Compelling Investment Case for 2025
$iShares MSCI Singapore ETF(EWS)$ In a world of elevated valuations and uncertain growth prospects, Singapore's banking sector stands out as a rare combination of growth, value, and income. Despite strong performance over the past year, several structural factors suggest there's more room to run. Here's why global investors are increasingly turning their attention to Singapore, particularly its three banking giants: DBS, OCBC, and UOB. Attractive Valuations in an Expensive World Let's start with the numbers that catch every value investor's eye. Singapore's big three banks currently trade at price-to-earnings (PE) ratios between 10-11x while offering dividend yields of 5-6%. To appreciate how attractive these valuations are, let's look at th
Gold at Record Highs: Is It Time to Buy Barrick Gold Stock?
Overview Gold prices have soared to a historic high of $2,921 per ounce, fueled by growing market uncertainty following former U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on all U.S. steel and aluminum imports. This has reignited investor demand for safe-haven assets, with gold surging 11% year-to-date. Meanwhile, Citi has raised its short-term target for gold to $3,000 per ounce, maintaining the same target for the next 6-12 months. With gold at these levels, is Barrick Gold $Barrick Gold Corp(GOLD)$ an attractive buy, or is the stock already too expensive? Gold Prices Surge Amid Global Uncertainty Gold's remarkable rally can be attributed to escalating trade and geopolitical tensions. Tru
McDonald's Global Expansion: Investment Opportunities & Challenges
Market Overview: Global Economic Recovery & Consumer Trends The global economy is in a post-pandemic recovery phase, with consumer spending gradually rebounding. However, challenges such as food safety incidents and supply chain disruptions continue to impact the restaurant industry. Investors should monitor how companies navigate these challenges while capitalizing on market opportunities. McDonald's Financial Performance: Declining Profits but Future Confidence McDonald's $McDonald's(MCD)$ reported 2024 full-year revenue of $25.92 billion, down 2% YoY, with net profit of $8.223 billion, a 3% decline. Q4 revenue was $6.388 billion, a 0.28% decline, missing market expectations. U.S. same-store sales fell 1.4%, marking the largest dr
Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano
AI🤖 War⚔️ Heats Up: Can Microsoft or Google Claim📥 the Throne in 2025?
Key Highlights Microsoft’s Aggressive Moves: Microsoft ( $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ) continues to expand its AI-powered Azure OpenAI services, boosting revenue by 30% YoY.The company also invested another $5 billion in AI startups in Q4 2024, reinforcing its ecosystem. Google’s Dominance Challenged: Google ( $Alphabet(GOOG)$ ) still leads in AI search and advertising, but its cloud segment lags, growing only 10% YoY, compared to Microsoft’s 25% YoY growth in cloud services. New Entrants in the AI Race: Companies like Meta ( $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ ) and Amazon (
Assets That May Depreciate the Fastest in the Next Decade
As technology advances, consumer preferences shift, and industries evolve, certain assets are likely to lose value more rapidly than others in the coming decade. From traditional vehicles facing competition from electric alternatives to rapidly outdated consumer electronics and even some real estate sectors at risk due to climate change, depreciation can significantly impact investors and consumers alike. Understanding which assets are most vulnerable to losing value can help individuals and businesses make more informed financial decisions and avoid potential losses. 1. Gasoline Cars (Especially Luxury Gasoline Cars) • Reason: The rise of electric vehicles (EVs), increasing bans on gasoline cars, and stricter environmental regulations will significantly reduce the resale value of ga
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Why I Sold NVIDIA (NVDA) at $133.23: A Technical Analysis Approach Yesterday, I sold my NVIDIA (NVDA) shares at $133.23. This decision was driven by clear signals from Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and the Directional Movement Index (DMI), both indicating that NVDA’s bullish momentum was losing steam. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis that led to my decision: 1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) Indicate Weakening Momentum 📉 The EMA indicators on the chart pointed to a slowing uptrend, suggesting that NVDA might struggle to push higher: • EMA5 (132.54) and EMA10 (134.06) were very close to the selling price of $133.23, signaling short-term resistance. The fact that EMA10 was slightly above the selling price suggested that