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nerdbull1669
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2025-02-13

12 Feb Market Fell On Accelerated Inflation Interest Rates Outlook Worries

We saw the stock market experienced some sell-off after we saw the inflation data came in hotter than expected, it accelerated for a fourth consecutive month in January. This raised questions about the outlook for interest rates this year, which have the investors worried that stubborn inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, might mean the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer. The DJIA fell 0.5%, while the S&P 500 shed 0.27%. The NASDAQ finished the session modestly with only 0.03% higher. The indexes were different from a mixed session on Tuesday in which the Dow advanced and the Nasdaq ticked lower. Inflation accelerated for a fourth consecutive month in January. The Consumer Price Index rose 3% in January, its biggest increase since June. Core inflat
12 Feb Market Fell On Accelerated Inflation Interest Rates Outlook Worries
# 💰Stocks to watch today?(11 September）
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SmartReversals
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2025-02-13

SPX: The disappointing CPI report triggered pullback

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : The disappointing #CPI report triggered a pre-market pullback, consistent with the recent daily analyses. While the rapid buying was encouraging, the diagonal resistance remains a key challenge. Will the price decisively break through the red resistance line, or will it follow the projected bearish path indicated by the blue line?Worth noting: Price bounced at $6017, a level mentioned in the emailed publication on Monday. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Image
SPX: The disappointing CPI report triggered pullback
TOPEraGrowth_Wealth: yeah, but at least the market seems strong
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Callum_Thomas
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2025-02-13

Daily Charts - Credit Risk Pricing Cycles

1.Credit Risk Pricing Cycles Credit Spreads go through cycles as investors adjust the risk premium they demand over and above "risk-free" treasury yields to take on credit risk. These cycles echo and mirror the equity market cycle, but feature the same drivers, behavioral patterns, and periods of opportunity vs risk.As things stand now we are going through the trough, but the time to be tactically concerned is when it starts un-troughing 🧐 🤓 ✍️ 🗒️Image2.That is a shocking divergenceMakes you wonder how sustainable it is (the blue line is to a great degree propped up by big tech)Also makes you wonder what it would take for the black line to turnaround...Image3.Why bother with Risk Management?Math.The steeper the loss, the bigger the gain required to just get back to square.Image4.Even if th
Daily Charts - Credit Risk Pricing Cycles
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TopdownCharts
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2025-02-13

Bonus Chart - Further Perspective…

In CPI adjusted terms the EURO STOXX 50 looks less impressive, albeit arguably also looks better in terms of potential upside as there remains a large distance to the historical all-time inflation-adjusted highs. The breakout in real terms also looks very compelling.Similarly, relative to the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ it's been in a 24-year relative-bear-market. There have been numerous false dawns along that path, but the recent bounce after a failed breakdown to new lows looks promising, especially after the period of relative stalemate over the past couple of years.I remain convinced that we are set to see an imminent turnaround in global vs US stocks, and this here is a key part of that story.
Bonus Chart - Further Perspective…
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TopdownCharts
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2025-02-13

Chart of the Week - MEEGA

If you’ve been fixated on the news flow around tariffs and stuck on the old narrative that Europe is doomed and can only regulate vs innovate then you might have missed the fact that European equities are up over +10% YTD.Change is in the air, a key set of breakouts and improving technicals serve as a timely prompt to consider whether there’s more to this —and more left in the move…What’s driving the strength in European Equities:Valuations: unlike expensive US stocks, European stocks are still cheap/reasonably priced, and trade at a record low valuation discount vs US. The thing I always emphasize is that when valuations reach such extremes they have a habit of speaking for themselves; the rubber band eventually snaps back.Monetary Policy: the European Central Bank began rate cuts earlier
Chart of the Week - MEEGA
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Bixley
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2025-02-13

Charts| Cryptos performance - ENS Minimal Bull Target

1.ENSUSD - Minimal Bull TargetENSUSD: ENSUSD - Minimal Bull TargetThis is the bull target regarding the prior bear market initiation I think this is a very bullish coin with this only being the minimen Another long of mine BULLISH2.ETHUSD - 3M ChartETHUSD: ETHUSD - 3M ChartInteresting bull chart on the 3M timeframe Looks kinda like a bullflag Im extremely bullish on Ethereum Lets go on this long position Pog3.DNTUSD - Large Monthly TriangleDNTUSD: DNTUSD - Large Monthly TriangleBig symmetrical triangle on this Monthly timeframe Im just waiting for the break out Lets go Again this is a symmetrical triangle (monthly)
Charts| Cryptos performance - ENS Minimal Bull Target
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PeterDiCarlo
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2025-02-13

UPST – Time to lock in some gains

Just caught $Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ , and this was a perfect example of what our strategy looks for.📍 Key Setup:✅ Weekly pullback into market bias – optimal entry right at the SMA✅ Now pushing into equal highs – time to lock in some gains🛑 Trade Plan:🔹 Stop loss: Lower lows🔹 Taking profits as we push higher🔹 Letting the rest ride until the weekly BX Trender makes a lower highIf I had taken this trade, I’d be trimming risk now and letting the momentum play out. 🔥ImagePS：Sadly I did not take this trade. Was scanning through top posts today and decided to check on UPST.... hurts my soul
UPST – Time to lock in some gains
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HMH
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2025-02-12

HOOD’s Big Reveal: Will Earnings Fuel a Massive Rally or a Brutal Sell-Off?

$Robinhood(HOOD)$ is set to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings on February 12, 2025, after market close. As of February 12, 2025, the stock is trading at $53.34. Analysts project earnings per share (EPS) of $0.41 and revenue of $934 million for Q4 2024, a significant increase from the $0.03 EPS and $471 million revenue reported in the same quarter of 2023. Key Drivers Positive Factors: Cryptocurrency Trading Surge: The re-election of President Donald Trump has led to expectations of a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment, boosting investor interest in digital assets. Robinhood's cryptocurrency trading revenue is anticipated to have benefited from this trend. Product Expansion: Robinhood has diversified its offerings by
HOOD’s Big Reveal: Will Earnings Fuel a Massive Rally or a Brutal Sell-Off?
# 💰Stocks to watch today?(11 September）
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1.27K
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nerdbull1669
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2025-02-13

Roku (ROKU) ARPU and Margins Pressure Improvement To Watch

$Roku Inc(ROKU)$ will be reporting their Q4 2024 results on 13 Feb 2024 after the market close. Market is bullish toward Roku (ROKU) ahead of the streaming platform's turn on the earnings calendar. As for ROKU the important upside valuation drivers in 2025 would be their connected TV (CTV) ad growth, and industry consolidation. ROKU is in a position to benefit from both. ROKU fourth-quarter results is expecting to post revenue around $994.1 million, up 1% year over year which is below the consensus estimate of $1.1 billion. Earnings per share is also expected at a loss of 41 cents which is an improvement from the same period one year ago at loss of 55 cents per share. Roku (ROKU) Last Neutral Earnings Call Give 9.38% Change Since The last earnings
Roku (ROKU) ARPU and Margins Pressure Improvement To Watch
# 💰Stocks to watch today?(11 September）
TOPNotWizard: $ROKU looks strong for Q4. Holiday sales and streaming subs should push revenue past $994.1M, maybe even to $1.14B. Flat ARPU at $41.10 worries me, but higher engagement (4.1 hrs/day) and political ads might help margins. Device margins at -8% are rough, though retail growth could fix that. Cash flow’s solid at $157M. If EPS beats the 41-cent loss, stock could jump above $82-83. Watching that 26-EMA hold before Feb 13. Thoughts on ARPU and margins? 🤔
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nerdbull1669
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2025-02-13

Moderna (MRNA) COVID Vaccine Market Challenges And Next Generation Vaccine Reception By Market

$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ is scheduled to report fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 earnings on 14 Feb before the opening bell. While a major portion of Moderna revenues is expected to be generated from the sales of its COVID-19 vaccine, but we need to understand that we are already into matured phase of the post-pandemic, and the vaccine sales would likely declined from one year ago level due to the lower demand. Based on what Moderna has provided in the preliminary updates last month, MRNA has likely recorded minimal product sales of its RSV vaccine mResvia, which received FDA approval in May. The revenue consensus is set to expect at $955.23 million, this represent a significant decline from one year ago period metric, that is also reflected in its
Moderna (MRNA) COVID Vaccine Market Challenges And Next Generation Vaccine Reception By Market
# 💰Stocks to watch today?(11 September）
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PeterDiCarlo
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2025-02-13

Hot Stocks - TSLA, GOLD, MSTR, SPY & NVDA

1.Wild Day for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ – What’s Next?We locked in profits on our cash-secured puts and were ready to go long into the close… then the 1hr bull trap hit after rejecting market bias.this is how they trap the impatient.We need that daily BX to CLOSE higher low1hr now rejecting right at market bias and looks like BX might not close HL todayImage2. $Barrick Gold Corp(GOLD)$ monthly chart is looking ready for a generational breakout 👀 Last time we saw a squeeze breakout like this on GOLD was 2019 - 2020Image3.The $Strategy(MSTR)$ wait continues 🥱Image4. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ need to break structure and
Hot Stocks - TSLA, GOLD, MSTR, SPY & NVDA
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PeterDiCarlo
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2025-02-13

Next TSLA resistance level is $349

Next $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ resistance level is $349If we break this market bias this could be the short term bottom Need the daily bx to also make HL Now that I am no longer in cash puts I will either wait for another sell off or once we get confirmation on the daily chart I will go with callsImagePS：It just usually depends on the current set upIf my cash secured puts would have filled this Friday I would’ve ended up buying the stock Now that I covered them since I’m up almost all of the premium. I’m going to look to go with call options, but only about 30% of the total position that I want to build out. This way, if the bounce happens very quickly, and I don’t get to build out the bigger position I will at least have some strong leverage to the up
Next TSLA resistance level is $349
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785
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jfsrevg
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2025-02-13

No. of SPDR Sectors Above 50-MA

This may come as a surprise to some of you, especially those who haven't gained traction or had trades that could stick in recent period (even I myself got stopped out of $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ on two separate attempts since the below post but at the end of the day, it's all about numbers and probabilities)No. of SPDR Sectors Above 50-MAOne Month Earlier: 1 out of 11Today: 10 out of 11Recent weeks may have been a chop fest but quite a number of charts at sectoral and group level are displaying tightening action similar to $iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF(ITA)$ here. Take a bird's-eye view of $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR F
No. of SPDR Sectors Above 50-MA
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TRIGGER TRADES
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2025-02-13

SPX still has more room lower to 5995-5975

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ resolved lower favoring that [W4] is still progressing in the form of a triangle.It is possible the triangle is complete, but I lean SPX still has more room lower to 5995-5975 since $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ did not cross its 02/09 low.Expect price to find resistance at 6083-6100 to then reach those targets before terminating the [W4] triangle leading to the final [W5] rally. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$ ImageImage
SPX still has more room lower to 5995-5975
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orsiri
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2025-02-13

GitLab: A Sprint or a Marathon?

GitLab's recent share price surge has left investors either celebrating their foresight or nursing a serious case of FOMO. But before we get carried away with visions of endless gains, let’s take a step back. Is this rally built on solid ground, or are we just chasing a hare that might not have the stamina for the long run? Racing ahead in the AI-powered DevOps revolution Market Mayhem: What’s Fuelled the Fire? GitLab’s latest rally isn't just hot air. The company has capitalised on the broader tech sector’s bullish sentiment while making tangible strides of its own. Enterprise adoption of its DevOps platform is gaining traction, fuelling impressive revenue growth. The DevSecOps space, where $GitLab, Inc.(GTLB)$ has been sharpening its claws, rema
GitLab: A Sprint or a Marathon?
# Earnings Season: Which Companies Are You Following?
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Shernice軒嬣 2000
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2025-02-13

Speculative Play:Hims & Hers Health, Inc.

$Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$  has been showing signs of potential rerating by the market, particularly as it transitions from being primarily known as a provider of affordable generic medications to being recognized as a profitable telehealth platform. Here's a breakdown based on recent developments and market sentiment: Market Performance and Financials: Stock Performance: The stock is up 176% in the last 6 months. Presently trading at $44.17. Recent data indicates that HIMS stock has been on an upward trajectory, with significant gains in recent weeks.  Earnings and Revenue: Hims & Hers reported impressive year-over-year revenue growth of 52% and a 377% increase in free cash flow for
Speculative Play:Hims & Hers Health, Inc.
# 💰Stocks to watch today?(11 September）
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JC888
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2025-02-12

NFLX : Tariff-Proof "Buy" In Troubled US Mkt?

Tuesday (11 Feb 2025) was the first of a 2-day semiannual monetary policy report meeting by Fed chair, Mr Jerome Powell with US Congress. In his address to the Senate Banking Committee, he has signaled the Fed does not need to move quickly to ease monetary policy, for a while. This is because: Fed’s policy stance is significantly less restrictive than it had been. US economy remains strong, with a “solid” labour market. As such the central bank does not need to be in a hurry to adjust their policy stance, Wonder what questions (if any) will be thrown at him come Wed, 12 Feb 2025 when he meets with the House of Representatives. Thankfully, Tuesday meeting did not cause a “panic” run in US market. As investors digested cautious commentary from Fed Chair, Jerome Powell on interest rates, conc
NFLX : Tariff-Proof "Buy" In Troubled US Mkt?
# 💰Stocks to watch today?(11 September）
TOPTiger_CashBoostAccount: Great job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
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Aqa
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2025-02-12
🚘 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Buy the dips if you dare. It is now $337.7, rising 2.9% from the ashes of yesterday’s $325.1. It has rebounded without having to hit the next support level of $320. But if you are extra cautious and dare not. Then wait for $320 or even all the way down to $230. However, I have confidence in $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ in long term. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is a volatile stock, easily up or down 30%. Elon Musk will do wonders for TSLA once he is done with DOGE. Do your due diligence before each trade. Good luck 🍀 Thanks @TigerClub @icycrystal

🎁What the Tigers Say | Tesla Falls 5 Days: Buy the Dip?

@TigerClub：
Tesla dropped for 5 consecutive days and fell below the key level of $350. Some investors are beginning to buy the dip and aim for a price under $300.Will Tesla continue breaking down to $300 this time? At what price are you planning to buy the dip?🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.Click titles to read the full analysis:1. @Tiger V :Key Points:Support & Resistance Levels: Tesla’s current price of $350.73 suggests potential further downside toward the $300 support level. If selling pressure continues, this could be a key buying zone for investors.Valuation vs. Growth Risks: While Tesla’s revenue forecast
🎁What the Tigers Say | Tesla Falls 5 Days: Buy the Dip?
🚘 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Buy the dips if you dare. It is now $337.7, rising 2.9% from the ashes of yesterday’s $325.1. It has rebounded without havin...
TOPTigerAI: According to my analysis of Tesla Motors (TSLA), here are some key points to consider: Business and Industry: Tesla Motors is a renowned electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer led by CEO Elon Musk. The EV industry is expected to continue growing in the future as governments and consumers increasingly prioritize sustainable transportation solutions. Earnings Forecast: Based on the forecasts, Tesla is expected to report an EPS of $2.76 for FY2025, $3.60 for FY2026, and $4.38 for FY2027. The gross income forecast is $110.76 billion for FY2025, $130.77 billion for FY2026, and $152.14 billion for FY2027. The estimated EBIT for these years are $9.85 billion, $13.82 billion, and $18.32 billion, respectively. Analyst Recommendation: Currently, there are 7 analysts who recommend holding, 16 analysts recommend buying, 16 analysts recommend holding, 9 analysts recommend underperforming, and 4 analysts recommend selling the stock. Analyst Target Price: According to 44 analysts, the mean target price for Tesla is $334.54, with a low estimate of $24.86 and a high estimate of $550.00. Capital Flow: In the past 5 days, Tesla has experienced significant capital outflow, indicating that there has been selling pressure on the stock. Profiteer Ratio: The current profiteer ratio for Tesla is 0.3244, suggesting that investors have on average made a profit on their investments. Support and Resistance Prices: As of February 11th, the support price for Tesla is $327.21, while the resistance price is $338.21. These levels can indicate potential buying or selling zones for investors. Earnings Results: In the fourth quarter of 2024, Tesla reported an EPS of $0.72, a gross profit margin of 16.26%, a net profit margin of 9.01%, and a return on equity of 12.96%. Based on the above analysis, it is important to note that Tesla is a volatile stock, which can experience significant price fluctuations. It is advisable to conduct your own due diligence and consider the inherent risks before making any investment decisions. Please be aware that the above information should not be considered as investment advice. The stock market is subject to risks, and stock prices can fluctuate. It is always recommended to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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OptionsDelta
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2025-02-12

Now it's Tesla's turn to face its "DeepSeek moment"

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla's recent decline mirrors NVIDIA's situation from two weeks ago. BYD held a "Vehicle Intelligence Strategy" conference, unveiling their "God's Eye" advanced intelligent driving system and 21 new models.Autonomous driving systems available in vehicles under $70,000 - essentially unmatched in the industry.The Morgan Stanley analyst who previously hyped Tesla to $800 now calls BYD's "God's Eye" autonomous driving update the "DeepSeek moment" for autonomous vehicles.While not explicitly naming specific autonomous vehicle companies, which other companies maintain high valuations based on autonomous driving promises?The hype that even earnings couldn't break was shattered by BYD, leading to a delayed earnings-related decline.La
Now it's Tesla's turn to face its "DeepSeek moment"
# Options Hub
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Mickey082024
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2025-02-12

SoftBank ARM, Would You Add Arm To Your Portfolio?

$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ Earning Overview ARM Holdings released its earnings report this week. The stock started the week around $152 and responded positively to the earnings announcement, gaining about 6% year-to-date. Overall, ARM Holdings is up 31%, and we’ll take a closer look at its technicals after reviewing its Q3 earnings. For the third quarter, the company reported revenue of $983 million, with a market capitalization of approximately $171 billion. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at 20%, although the company's earnings can be somewhat volatile due to fluctuations in licensing revenue. Some quarters see significant revenue spikes, while others experience slowdowns. Fundamental Analysis One of ARM’s key attractions is its impressive gross pr
SoftBank ARM, Would You Add Arm To Your Portfolio?
# 💰Stocks to watch today?(11 September）
TOPTiger_CashBoostAccount: Great job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
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