To The Moon

1."Valuations don't matter"Seems like analyst creativity rises exponentially around stockmarket peaks.Nothing new in markets and investor psychology! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$ Image2.Crude Conundrum-stuck in the range-buyers running out of steam-sellers can't get it below supportWhen this stalemate breaks it is going to be a *huge* move... $WTI Crude Oil - main 2503(CLmain)$ Image3.Most important chart on Gold ?We are in the middle of a historic rebalancing of reserve portfolios.Meanwhile most retail and institutional investors are still stuck in the old ways...

This week I covered the following topics/ideas:1. Resurgence Risk: The global growth reacceleration + inflation resurgence macro edge risk is increasingly becoming the base case as a growing body of evidence points to imminent inflation upside.2. Commodities: Clear case for upside based on improving technicals, sentiment and positioning, growth reacceleration prospects, cheap valuations, and a prolonged period of underinvestment in supply.3. Credit Spreads: The credit (and equity) risk premium looks uncomfortably low, and while we can outline some risks, there doesn’t appear to be any near and pressing catalyst; but still lean cautious.4. Global Bank Stocks: Global bank stocks have been performing well technically, with strengthening macro/fundamentals to back it; global (ex-US) banks are

When considering which company—Alibaba or Baidu—would gain more from a partnership with Apple, the key lies in evaluating how well each firm’s core strengths and business models align with Apple’s ecosystem and strategic priorities. Here’s a detailed breakdown: 1. Core Business and Strategic Alignment Alibaba: • Diverse Ecosystem: Alibaba isn’t just an e-commerce giant—it also leads in cloud computing (Alibaba Cloud), digital payments (Alipay), and even logistics. This diversified portfolio means Alibaba can offer a broad range of services that could seamlessly integrate into Apple’s premium ecosystem. • Consumer-Focused Services: A partnership could, for instance, embed Alibaba’s shopping or payment services directly into Apple devices or apps, enhancing user convenience and potentially o

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Institutions regularly roll over bull call spreads, selling $NVDA 20250221 140.0 CALL$  and buying $NVDA 20250221 149.0 CALL$ . This supports the stock price above 140 next week.Excluding regular institutional large orders, bullish opening positions remain very active, showing steady progress.To play it safe, I sold a put expiring next week at 130 $NVDA 20250221 130.0 PUT$ By the way, TSMC's 190 put large position was closed earlier this week. The unclear negative news turned out to be about the trade war, with Trump stating ch

As climate change and soil degradation become ever more pressing issues, carbon farming is emerging as a revolutionary approach to sustainable agriculture. In 2025, innovative practices that sequester carbon in soils are not only improving farm productivity but also playing a pivotal role in mitigating climate change. This post explores the fundamentals of carbon farming, key technological drivers, practical applications, investment opportunities, and the challenges that lie ahead—supported by market projections and data. 1. Overview of Carbon Farming Definition & Significance: Carbon farming involves implementing agricultural practices designed to capture and store atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) in soil organic matter. Tech

(This is an article I received from a friend. I am NOT the author. This has got me thinking.) 🚨REAL ESTATE CRASH ON THE HORIZON by Josh Rincon Warren Buffett has just made a striking move, reallocating a staggering $234.6 billion into treasury bills. This marks the first time he's held more than the Federal Reserve's $195 billion. When Buffett shifts his investments like this, it's time to pay attention. Something major is brewing. Consider this: over the next 20 months, a whopping $2.7 trillion in commercial loans is due for repayment. These loans originally had an interest rate of 4.3%, but now they've surged to 6.2%. Let's break it down with a straightforward example: Imagine a $100 million hotel with a 3.5% loan. That's an annual interest payment of $3.5 million. Under t