Key Findings from the Latest Monthly pack:Global monetary policy settings are increasingly shifting from headwind to tailwind as inflation falls and economic cycle data remain soft.The major macro dilemma for investors at this stage is the tails; resurgence risk on the one end (growth reaccelerates, inflation resurges), and recession risk on the other end (recession takes hold, deflation comes into focus).The second coming of Trump exacerbates this, with a puzzling policy path potentially pushing up inflation, but also raising recession risk (it will all depend on what gets implemented, how quickly, to what degree, and the second order effects e.g. with fiscal consolidation headwinds).The main upside risks for growth assets would be: a macro middle path (goldilocks, policy perfection), Chi
Does Improving Stock Trading Skills Contribute to Family Harmony?
Recently, a WSB user posted on reddit saying that because of his stock market failure, his fiancée was going to leave him. Stories like this seem to come up constantly.Some people have also mentioned that ever since they started investing in stocks, they've been doing more housework at home. Since they're always losing money, they try to make up for it by doing other things.A colleague said that during bull market, ever since his account started making a profit, his girlfriend has been treating him much better. I can relate to this too. When you're making money, family and friends start to look at you differently.Some people have even suggested that $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ could introduce a matchmaking feature, where a person’s stock returns could r
Trade to Win Star | @ponkrumo: Strategy Innovation, Steady Climb
In this stock trading competition, @Ponkrumo stood out with 15 years of trading practice and evolving investment philosophy. As the Chief Human Resources Officer of United World College, he not only continuously explores new ideas in the capital markets, but also learns valuable experience in actual combat to shape a unique trading system.In the competition, @Ponkrumo used several strategies to capture market opportunities:•Credit Spread Portfolio: Use short-term options (1-2 week maturities) to build credit spreads to lock in expected gains while keeping losses under control.•Value-selective investing: buy stocks with solid fundamentals but undervalued by the market, such as Boein
$TIGR 20250307 6.5 PUT$ Saw tiger reaching 6.5 levels and decided to sell puts there. The good thing is I'm glad I followed my original plans to not just sell puts weekly but to wait for the right price first. I'll be watching these key levels but if the China Market continues to pump, I will be betting that there will be a new floor for this stock around 7 -7.5. Market is in panic right now so proceed with caution. Selling puts is a bullish strategy, for those of you who own stocks, selling calls might be a safer hedge for you in this market. Im still in the red for my NVDA calls, but I plan on still holding, I'll keep you guys updated. @CaptainTiger &nbs
IWM, AMZN & AMD very short term bounce is very likely
1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ IWM is showing indecisive candles following Monday's selloff. The lower Bollinger Band looks like a slider rather than support, but the oversold RSI suggests a likely bounce to the 20DMA. Notably, the 200DMA has been breached by far.Image2. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Dragonfly at the 200DMA validated by high volume, and there is a bullish divergence with oscillators in general. Very short term bounce is very likely, but will it fade after a day or two as the previous one highlighted?Image3. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ The current volume shelf suggests a potential support zone. The latest candle displays indecision, and the daily timefra
Most traders want fast money. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$DJIA(.DJI)$ They chase alerts, FOMO into plays, and hope for instant success.📉 No system.⏳ No trade journal.😨 No risk management.If they win, they give it back just as fast.But you? You play the long game.🔹 You focus on high-probability setups.🔹 You journal every trade and refine your process.🔹 You manage risk first—profits come second.At first, it’s slow.You’ll take small wins. You’ll take small losses.But over time, you start to see the game differently.🧠 You
Sirius XM: A High-Frequency Winner or Static Interference?
I've been tuning into Sirius XM Holdings lately, and let me tell you, this satellite radio heavyweight offers an investment case that's hard to ignore. With none other than Warren Buffett’s $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ holding a substantial 30% stake—roughly $2.3 billion—you’d be forgiven for thinking this stock is more than just white noise in the financial cosmos. 🚀 From Satellites to Streams: Sirius XM’s Evolution in Audio Dominance A Market Dominator with an Expanding Orbit Sirius XM isn't just holding onto its market position; it's practically got a monopoly on US satellite radio, boasting a subscriber base of 33 million. Over the past year, it has seen fluctuations—losing 300,000 subscribers year-over-year but managing to add 150,000 in the
$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ April should see a dividend increase announcementLast year 6% increasePast 4 years 4% CAGRInteresting to see the approach double digit increase? - and signal confidence on FCFor keep ~7% increase and buyback shares more aggressively vs previous yearsImageQCOM has ramped-up buybacks using this FCF improvement1Q´25 saw more than doubling of buybacks vs 1Q the year prior and the average per quarter over the past 4 yearsThe company has an open buyback authorization of $14.3 B (~8% of current mkt cap. $178 B)ImageQCOM FCF / shareFY24 delivered » record FCF/share +14% YoY » record Operating Cash flow +8% YoY » Capex reduction -28% YoY » FCF +14% YoY » Shares ~flat1Q´25 FCF kept improving +58% YoY Image
we've likely reached a point where we need to separate our trading ideas based on whether they are $NYSE(NYSE)$ - or $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ -listed in our screener. It's still unclear how this might impact strategies centered around gap trades, as a 24-hour market could make them resemble current futures trading which have tendency to spike their daily range during Asia, and Europe opening hour. One thing that is possible is that risk is better capped since the price will now slice through your stop, instead of a momentous gap beyond your stop, with the provision that liquidity is sufficient for subject securities to remain tight in their spread even during off US market hours.can actually be welcoming to explo
We just witnessed the largest 4 week outflow from Crypto funds on record. All throughout its history, Bitcoin declines by 70%+ during Bear cycles. When the narrative is “Bitcoin is dead and will never recover”, it’s the time to buy. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$$Strategy(MSTR)$ Image
$Novavax(NVAX)$ 🚀 $NVAX, Escaping the Doom Loop? A Speculative LEAPS Play in the Making 🔥 Novavax, $NVAX, has been stuck in a brutal downtrend, battered by financial struggles, market scepticism, and relentless volatility. But is this biotech underdog finally bottoming out? The technical setup suggests a potential shift, with the stock hovering around key support levels and signs of exhaustion in selling pressure. Meanwhile, implied volatility remains lofty at 84%, signalling wild swings ahead. I am eyeing January 2027 LEAPS as a speculative way to play what could be a long-term reversal. If NVAX regains traction, this could be a high-risk, high-reward opportunity. Let’s break it down: 🛠 The Technical Setup, Cracks in the Downtrend? NVAX has been
$Deere(DE)$ 📈🅱️ Ṳ̮ L̤̮ L̤̮ I̤̮ S̤̮ H̤̮ 📈🚜 🔐 I’m locked in on $DE for Monday 10Mar25, this stock is gearing up to blast off, and the chart is screaming buy. The technicals are lining up like stars in a perfect constellation, while fundamentals..well, they’re just along for the ride 🚜🚜🚜 On Friday, Deere & Co. ($DE) closed at $499.62, surging 3.48%, capping a red-hot three-day winning streak. It’s now just 3% shy of its 52-week high at $515.05, and with this kind of momentum, that ceiling is about to get obliterated. Once $515 falls, the runway to $600+ is wide open. The price action is carving out a textbook breakout pattern, echoing past cycles where these setups ignited massive rallies. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 👀 Support, $450, a battle-tested floo
Costco missed earnings expectations and paid the price.
Disclaimer: Whatever I say or post doesn't act as financial advice, so please do your due diligence before making any decision. On March 6, 2025, Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST) released its fiscal second-quarter earnings report for February 16, 2025. The company reported net sales of $63.72 billion, a 9% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations. However, earnings per share (EPS) came in at $4.02, slightly missing the projected $4.09. Key highlights from the report include: Same-Store Sales Growth: Increased by 6.8%, exceeding forecasts. E-commerce Performance: Experienced a significant growth of 20.9%. Membership Fee Revenue: Rose by 7% year-over-year to $1.19 billion, attributed to the membership fee hike introduced in September 2024. Despite the revenue growt
$VNET Group(VNET)$, is a leading Chinese internet data center (IDC) services provider. It has shown remarkable growth, with its shares skyrocketing by: (see above) +334.17% over the past 6 months. +688.98% (staggering!) over the last year. This phenomenal growth reflects artificial intelligence (AI)-driven demand for its data centers. Focused primarily on China’s Tier-1 cities and surrounding areas, VNET’s data centers benefit from: Favourable supply-demand dynamics due to high internet traffic. Limited resources. Strong demand for data center facilities. VNET caters to both retail and wholesale segments. Retail services offer scalable solutions ranging from single cabinet deployments to megawatt-scale setups, tailored to meet diverse customer nee
$TNA 20250411 32.5 PUT$ TNA: Why This 3X Small-Cap ETF Looks Like It’s Bottoming The Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X ETF (TNA) is a leveraged ETF that magnifies movements in the Russell 2000 Index by three times (3X). With small-cap stocks under pressure lately, TNA has dipped to a key support level, presenting an opportunity for sharp rebounds. Based on technical analysis and past price action, this could be an ideal entry point for traders looking to ride a potential bounce. ⸻ Key Support at $30-$32: A Strong Base for Reversal Looking at the chart, TNA has repeatedly bounced from the $30-$32 range over the past year. The ETF has tested this area multiple times (circled in blue), making it a well-defined support level. Ea
Broadcom recently reported strong earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, primarily driven by robust demand for its artificial intelligence (AI) products. For the second quarter of fiscal year 2024, Broadcom's revenue reached $12.49 billion, which was a 43% year-over-year increase and above the expected $12.04 billion. However, its earnings per share (EPS) of $4.42 fell short of the anticipated $4.97, reflecting a decline from the previous year's $8.15 per share Future Outlook for Broadcom Broadcom's key AI products are primarily focused on networking and connectivity solutions. Here are some of its notable offerings: Networking Switches - Tomahawk 5 and Jericho 3-AI: These high-performance ethernet networking switches are designed to accelerate AI/ML workloads. They enable intelligen
Is SPX & TSLA's Relief Rally Here to Stay, or Just Another Fakeout?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , and a bunch of others made higher lows today on the daily BX—finally some relief. Short-term, it looks like the bleeding is done.That said, the weekly hasn’t confirmed a bottom yet. We could get a breakout next week… and then a rug pull right after. Wouldn’t be the first time.I’m locking in this weekend, running through the charts, and I’ll drop updates on what’s next.And $Rocket Companies(RKT)$ up 33% since we started trading it a couple of months ago.Shutting down all bots now as we approach the original target.Posting this as a case study to highlight exactly what we look for:✅ HL weekly BX + smart money zone or deep d
Let's talk about falling stocks. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$DJIA(.DJI)$ This is a normal part of the market.The top isn't representative of underlying value.Neither is the bottom.Look at the long-term and position yourself for success over 10-20 years. A couple of months is mostly volatility.Stocks can ALWAYS fall more.Don't anchor your view of a company based on the top of the market.Understand where you think the market is wrong about the long-term. That's when you back the truck up.
3.0% Yield.HIMX’s automotive display-driver sales increase just under 20% year over year, now representing around 50% of global market share.Invested in partner FOCI, seeking to accelerate development of CPO (co-packaged optics) to improve efficiency in data transmission within datacenters.Continued partnership with “leading AR (augmented reality) partner” in creating new consumer AR wearables device.Computer vision partnership with $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , allowing HIMX’s technology to be plug-and-play with NVDA software.Investment Thesis $Himax(HIMX)$ is a semi-fabless semiconductor design and manufacturing firm specializing in optical and driver components for displays and sensors. HIMX holds a significant mar