$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is down 54% in 2 months. Is a bounce coming? (A thread) 🧵TSLA has been selling off hard… but the signs of a short-term bounce are here.Here’s what I see & how I’m trading it. 👇ImageTSLA is trading below the weekly market bias✅ Structure & trend indicate bearish pressure🟢 BUT—the bias is still greenTranslation:Short-term buyers are stepping in, but long-term confirmation isn’t there yet.Image🔹 Daily BX Trender: Higher lows + turned green → Bullish accumulation🔹 Weekly BX Trender: Still making lower lows → No full confirmation TSLAWhat this tells me:Buyers are trying to step in, but we don’t have a true bottom yet.Image📊 Upside potential: $280-$300📉 Downside risk: ~11% from hereBest case → Weekly BX confirms higher lows
$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - 3 critical contextual factors: A) the presence of a volume gap, which facilitates rapid price transitions between these levels, as recently evidenced; B) price establishing support within a demand zone, implying that a sustainable bounce could gain momentum between volume shelves; and C) the RSI reaching extreme oversold conditions, with a potential bullish divergence, signaling that price may encounter resistance before a durable bounce materializes. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ Image
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.Munger wisdom: $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ Image2.The best time to buy stocks in usually in corrections and recessions:Image3.Fast growing quality:Image4.Evolution 2020 📈Rev: $561MEPS: $1.5FCF: $292.8MShare Price: $95.67 (Peak) Evolution 2025 📉Rev: 2.063M (+267%)EPS: $5.9 (+293%)FCF: $1.235M (+321%)Share Price: $77.59 (-18.9%)Is Evolution attractive at the current price?5.Factors needed to make money in the stock market:Image
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold is near the new high of 3004.9, and then falls back! In the New York market, the technical correction is maintained, which is in line with the expected trend. Remember: However, a short-term correction cannot stop the momentum of gold's rise, and new highs will continue to be created! Short-term selling of gold also made a good profit! ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Beautiful volume shelf setup on the weekly candle chart. Image2. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ This could easily be one of the biggest gainers next week for mega caps. Watching for an easy 5% day at some point Monday or Tuesday.Image3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Another perfect bounce at the December 2023 pivot VWAP zone. Image4. $Shopify(SHOP)$ At an interesting spot into next week.Image5. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Third time's a charm?ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Lots of are starting to point towards $Alibaba(BABA)$ breaking out towards 175. Over a year ago this exact target was marked with wonderful entry opportunity. 175 and 75 for Alibaba and $TENCENT(00700)$ will be the time to conclude the trade— …. just when everyone is looking at them.2.I’ve caught the Longevity bug— courtesy of people like Bryan Johnson, Dr. Huberman & Gary Brecka. James Clear’s Atomic Habits helped stitch it all together. Feeling my absolute best in 2025. Mental clarity is incredible when the foundation is set in consistency.ImageImageImageImage
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option stratgies with you!1.UPDATE: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 0DTE gamma stacks have changed- 5600 is still the battleground level being the largest gamma stack- 5650 is the next largest gamma stack, and could act as a magnet to pull the market up to that level if 5600 doesn't hold - 5550 could serve as support for todayWe wrote an Iron Condor, 5690/7000 CCS & 5430/5420 PCS. Will be 👀 the call side. Image2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ still showing a preference for the put side based on the gamma stacks. Am looking to write a 0DTE call credit spread around the 5700 strike. A 2.5-3% move to the upside today would be surprising (but welcomed for the overall portfolio).- 5600
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Now I believe that the entire bearish W-1 has completed yesterday at 5504 for SPX. Now, it is the sharp and strong rebound W-2. Don't mistake this upward rise for a reborn bullish market. That bull has been dead, since Feb. 19th at 6147. RIP (2009.3.6 -- 2025.2.19) 💀🐮🙏Image2. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ retreat: (1) this is a very reliable sign that the large impulsive downward wave has run its course and now the market is working on a corrective wave. (2) in my reading, this is still a higher degree w-4, most likely a sharp zigzag to get back to 5666 zoneImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
GLD, NVDA, JPM, MSTR& .SPX Enjoy Great Potential Here!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ This pullback has mirrored the August 2024 Yen Carry Trade fiasco very closely—peak to trough.Even daily RSI is turning up at the same spot. Image2. $Strategy(MSTR)$ Saylor's Revenge. Image3. $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$$Goldman Sachs(GS)$ Two of the biggest financial names testing their 200-day SMA for the first time in over a year…Big week ahead. Image4. $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ Have you ever seen a more perfect cup & handle pattern? ☕️GLD on pace for its best Q1 performance since 2016.Image
Bitcoin has a 70% chance of bottoming here. BTCUSDWe’re sitting at the weekly market bias, and historically, when price trades above it, pullbacks to a discount tend to bounce.The last time we sustained bearish structure below the market bias was February 2023—since then, every dip has recovered.Break this level? We drop to $63,000 to test the Smart Money Zone.The weekly BX trender hasn’t made higher lows yet—that confirmation comes if this breakout holds. But the daily BX is already green.Critical week ahead.Image
AMZN is sitting right at $200—the bottom of our weekly market bias
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ is sitting right at $200—the bottom of our weekly market bias.For the past two years, every dip here has bounced. Even in August 2020, when we broke briefly, we fully reclaimed.Now, the daily BX is making higher lows and has turned green—our first sign of a short-term bounce.I’m looking to go long here with a target of $220, offering a 3:1 risk-reward.Best case? A breakout to equal highs—a 20% move and a 5:1 risk-reward.Trading bots will stay live for Amazon this week.Image
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ shows a promising bounce, but next week will reveal if it can overcome the typical volatility at the 50 DMA, especially given its convergence with the 200 DMA. We'll see if it leads to a rejection, potentially filling the two highlighted gaps.➡️ Is this a lower high or a solid bounce?Image $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ rebounded from the lower Bollinger Band, a move that typically leads to a rally towards the 20DMA (A) or the upper Bollinger Band (B). The overbought oscillator has anticipated the end of previous bounces. Which target will it reach this time?A reversal candle and overbought oscillator will tell.Image
LOW 32% reduction in shares outstanding since FY17 ~$53 B in buybacks
$Lowe's(LOW)$ 32% reduction in shares outstanding since FY17 ~$53 B in buybacks~$11 B current buyback authorization~$127 B current market capThese buybacks have materially improved FCF/share (next tweets)ImageLOW DebtFirst the caveatBuybacks have largely been financed by debtNet debt increased from $6B at the end of FY17 to $33 B at the end of FY24ImageLOW Cash flow pictureCash flow from operations (OCF) peaked in FY20 FY24 saw the reversal of a downtrend in OCFAlthough FY24 OCF is still 13% lower than FY20FCF/share has improved 10% vs FY20 (see previous tweet)Effect of shares outstanding reduction from buybacksImageLOW FCF/shareFY24 saw record FCF/share+10% FCF/share vs previous record in FY20 ImageLOW DividendsA side benefit of shares outstanding
$Fair Isaac(FICO)$ operates a consumer credit scoring system that's widely used in consumer loans and banking. They also have a software business that provides solutions for fraud detection, loan origination and customer relationship management. The company's revenue is typically split evenly between scores and software, though scores contribute 75% of operating income due to higher marginsFICO Scores:The industry-standard credit score, used in over 90% of U.S. lending decisionsGenerates high-margin revenue.Used in mortgages, auto loans, credit cards and loan securitisation.Scores are inexpensive (often under $1), but essential to financial institutions.Software Business:Provides analytics for fraud detection, credit origination, and customer mana
We have just witnessed 1 of the sharpest drops in investor sentiment EVER.Other such drops have historically been a bullish signal for near term $S&P 500(.SPX)$ returns.Image70-80% hit rate after similar declines in investor sentiment (only a few in history)Image
Every Generation Meets And Loves Gold: Share Your Story!
This week, $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ broke through the $3,000 mark. Goldman Sachs maintains its baseline scenario of $3,100 for 2025, with an upward risk to the forecast range of $3,100-$3,300.In the past, gold's returns were often considered low. But the data is clear: in the past five years, gold's returns have been nearly on par with $S&P 500(.SPX)$.Gold's Three Cycles: Every Generation Meets GoldDeclining gold production: As resources become scarcer, gold supply decreases, leading to an increase in gold prices.Inflation: Gold performs exceptionally well as a traditional store of value during inflationary periods.Central banks hoarding gold: Major central banks around the world purchase large
On Thu, 13 Mar 2025, for the first time, the S&P 500 finished more than 10% below its most recent record high close, achieved on 19 Feb 2025. It was still about US tariffs that have caused global unrest. In the latest long list of tariff threats, Trump vowed he would hit European beverage imports with duties of 200% if the EU does not remove US whiskey surcharges. This comes after his increased tariffs on all US steel and aluminium imports took effect on Wed, 13 Mar 2025. Thursday was another blood letting day. (see below) By the time market called it a day: DJIA: -1.29% (-537.36 to 40,813.57). The Dow is nearing a correction as well, down -9.3% from its all-time high in December 2024. S&P 500: -1.38% (-77.77 to 5,521.52). This puts the S&P benchmark index into correction. Nasd