To The Moon

As I shared with clients earlier this week, there’s a highly important distinction to make when it comes to the moves in the stock/bond ratio —this is a US thing.If you look at global markets, the trend we see in emerging markets and developed markets ex-US is that the stock/bond ratio is actually moving higher. Europe and China are stimulating their economies and turning up out of slowdown, things are really changing in Japan, and even LatAm is looking good —much of the world’s stockmarkets are going up and enjoying a weaker USD and rotation flows out of US into global markets.Not only does this help frame what is going on in the US with the turn in the stock/bond ratio, but it also hammers on the global vs US rotation theme. As alluded to above I think we are early on both of these major

The US stock/bond ratio has rolled over from extraordinary price levels + excessive relative optimism in stocks vs bonds + extended positioning + extreme expensive valuations for stocks (both absolute and relative to bonds).Meanwhile, the macro backdrop is about as unfavorable as it gets for the stock/bond ratio; heightened uncertainty, reform-like policy moves, and declining economic confidence makes the risk of recession a real possibility (and the Treasury Secretary is basically telling us this). $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ The fiscal contraction aspect is also a double whammy in that it is a he

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Insiders increasing their purchases signal confidence, suggesting the recent rebound may mark a bottom. This metric is set to hit its highest level since June, nearing its historical average for SPY. Obviously, insiders they dont know anything about the company. You do! You're waiting for the bottom to get in.ImageSooner you UNDERSTAND and live by this motto in trading, sooner you'll be consistent and profitableTrading is boring, you have to wait around for the set-up to form, then you wait around for the move to happen, then you wait for the next trade to happen before you take another one.

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ can easily drop another 5%-10% from $565 after FOMC on March 19.Here's 4 things that will impact the course of history 🧵1. GDP is for Q1 is estimated to be NEGATIVE. I don't think SPY has properly priced this in. and JPOW will address this on Wednesday. If he says, the economy is slowing down and we are seeing deterioration, SPY wont like it all. The Q&A session at FOMC will determine if there will be BLOOD on the streets this week back down under $550.2. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ & $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ displayed yesterday bearish candles on the 4H chart. Today, they show indecision again. Although the candle isn't fully bullish, and thus a bounce is less probable, the potential remains. Risk management is essential: $5,616 and $476.7 respectively are today's resistances that were breached without conviction.ImageSPX: The 4-hour chart accurately reflected anticipated the red day following the shooting star highlighted yesterday. The key level is $5,616, which served as support today, coinciding with the 5DMA. Tomorrow will be crucial: Break or a bounce?Image

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.What Makes $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ GTC Event So Important• Nvidia controls over 90% of the AI accelerator market -- cementing its role as the backbone of gen AI & deep learning.• CUDA, Nvidia’s industry-standard computing platform, boasts 4M developers and 40K+ enterprise customers -- making it indispensable for AI innovation.• 80% of the top logistics and warehouse firms -- including $AMZN & $FDX -- rely on Nvidia’s robotics stack for AI-driven automation.• More than 50% of all AI-powered robots -- from humanoids to warehouse systems -- run on Nvidia Jetson & Isaac, solidifying its dominance in robotics AI.Yeah, today is a big dealImage

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.TECHNICAL: Gold price breaks through $3,000 at another record high, ANZ raises gold price forecast to $3,100! Gold's near-term outlook is bullish.The 4-hour chart shows technical indicators resuming their uptrend, albeit with uneven strength, but still into positive territory. In addition, gold price is trading above its bullish moving averages and the 20-period SMA is currently providing dynamic support around $2,925.8. Expect today's trading range to be in the range of 3006-3040. Trade to keep buying trades! Strategy:Buy:3008-3010 TP:3028-3030 SL:2998 Image2.The situation in the Middle East is heating up again as spot gold stands at $3010, renewing its record high. So far this year, the cumulative increase of more than

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!!1. $StoneCo(STNE)$ releases earnings on Tuesday after market close.Looking at an optionselling pre-earnings trade simply to capture elevated premium.The ATL is just below 7, but there isn't any premium until the 8 strike. So, Mar 21 expiry 8 put strike it is.Image2.Took a few optionselling trades right now. Playing these for assignment. But will happily take the premium capture if it does not happen. March 21 expiry.- $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 205P- $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 105PImage