🌟🌟🌟Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ share price has been on a wild roller coaster ride. Even though Tesla was up 5.2% on Friday, it is still down 34% year todate. It is a far cry from its all time high of USD 484.79 achieved on December 17 and its market capitalisation exceeded USD 1.5 Trillion. But now Tesla's market capitalisation has plummeted to USD 779.33 billion. Why are Tesla's shares down? There are several factors that have negatively impacted Tesla's shares. One of the main reasons can be attributed to CEO Elon Musk's role as Head of DOGE, the Department of Government Efficiency. Elon Musk himself has admitted that he has found it hard to
Tesla’s Political Halo: A Double-Edged Sword for TSLA Stock in 2025
Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) has long been a stock market darling, driven by its innovative EVs, ambitious AI projects, and the larger-than-life persona of CEO Elon Musk. However, as of March 24, 2025, the company finds itself at a crossroads, grappling with a volatile stock price, global sales declines, and a controversial "political halo" stemming from Musk’s role in the Trump administration. Recent developments—such as U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick’s public endorsement of Tesla stock on March 19, 2025, and whispers of a potential drop to $200—have sparked heated debates about Tesla’s future. In this analysis, we’ll dive into TSLA’s fundamentals, Musk’s recent updates, technical indicators, and the company's broader sentiment, offe
After much waiting, the actuals are out. Is it crunch time for $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ ? Let’s find out. Q4 Forecast: In my previous post (click here !for details), I have shared Wall Street analysts’ estimates: Loss per share: -$0.42 per share. Revenue: RMB 20.19 billion. Q4 Actuals: Loss per share: -$3.45 per share, that is a +8.5%YoY further loss. (see below) Revenue: RMB 19.70 billion, that is a +15.2% YOY gain but it misses analysts’ estimates. Net loss: RMB 7.11 billion, that is a +27.5% YoY increase. Gross profit: was RMB2.31 billion (US$316.3 million), that is a +80.5% YoY increase. Gross margin: climbed
$Johnson & Johnson(JNJ)$ 🚀🧬💸 Big Bucks, Big Breakthroughs, Big Pharma Flex 💸🧬🚀 🗞️🚨🗞️ The $55 Billion Prescription for JNJ’s Future Health Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) recently announced a $55 billion investment in the US over the next four years (2025–2029), focusing on manufacturing, research and development (R&D), and technology, including the construction of four new factories. This marks a 25% increase over the company’s prior four-year investment levels, with an estimated annual economic impact of over $100 billion in the US. The initiative began with the groundbreaking of a high-tech facility in North Carolina, expected to create a $3 billion economic impact in the state over its first decade, alongside 500 permanent jobs and 5,000 dur
$NANO Nuclear Energy Inc(NNE)$$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$$Arista Networks(ANET)$ ☢️🅱️ U͛ L͛ L͛ I͛ S͛ H͛🔺 🎯 Hidden Market Setups: A Precision Playbook for Traders 🎯 In the labyrinth of financial markets, where noise drowns out signal, the sharpest traders don’t chase headlines, they hunt for patterns, whispers of intent that hum with potential. This analysis unveils three such setups, $ANET, $OKLO, and $NNE, each a masterclass in market dynamics, forged from technical rigour, fundamental strength, and options flow whispers. These aren’t gambles, they’re blueprints, designed to reward the alert before the crowd catches on. 🧠 $ANET: Arista Networks Inc. ~ The Quiet Titan of
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ - Death Cross: It happens when the 50-day MA falls below the 200-day MA as highlighted in the chart.In addition, the 20-day MA has rejected any bounce attempt during the last two weeks. Only a break above 20DMA and $118.4 would give some hope for a bounce to $127.Just a year ago NVDA was going to the moon! Indeed, and it soared to $150, but gravity exists for consolidations.ImageThis is my analysis the other day:NVDA shows a promising bounce, but next week will reveal if it can overcome the typical volatility at the 50 DMA, especially given its convergence with the 200 DMA. We'll see if it leads to a rejection, potentially filling the two highlighted gaps.➡️ Is this a lower high or a solid bounce?Image
Fed’s Dovish Dodge: Slowing QT Lifts Markets, But Liquidity Hangs on Trump’s Tariff Gamble
The FOMC March 18-19, 2025, meeting flipped the script: “Starting in April, the committee will slow the pace of tapering, lowering the monthly redemption cap for U.S. Treasuries from $25 billion to $5 billion.” After years of draining its balance sheet through quantitative tightening (QT), the Fed’s easing off—not reversing, just braking. Paired with Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish tone and a pledge to “wait for more clarity” before bold moves, markets roared back. The S&P 500 surged, Bitcoin hit $87,000, and Treasuries steadied. But with Trump’s reciprocal tariffs set for April 2, does this QT slowdown juice liquidity enough to sustain the rally—or is it a mirage masking more considerable risks? Powell’s Dovish Dance Ignites a Rally Rates held at 4.25%-4.5%—no shock there. The kicker was
Quality investing has outperformed value investing
Over the last 15 years, quality investing has outperformed value investing.• The MSCI's quality index has an average outperformance of 2.71%, compared to -2.32% for their value index.• Quality has outperformed in 11/15 years, while value only managed 5/15 years.• Quality delivered the lowest volatility (SD=4.36%).Critics may argue that 15 years is a short time frame, but the consistency and lower volatility speaks for itself. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ ImageYear 1 - you invest $20 and make $10Year 2 -
Daily Charts - There has been a long-standing stalemate between Gold vs Stocks
1.Despite the strong performance by gold, there has been a long-standing stalemate between Gold $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$ vs Stocks $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ...That stalemate looks set to break, and break big --- when it comes to chart patterns, the bigger the space, the bigger the break.Image2.For the longest time European equities have struggled to overcome the hurdle of inflation and lagged well behind their US counterpartsBut that is starting to changeImage3.Gold Nuggest Digest-gold vs stocks-silver price trend-China gold buying-breaking thousands-USD gold buying powerImageImageImageImage
Longer-Term Reservations: here’s the latest update to that margin debt chart I flagged a few weeks ago — the risk signal has now intensified because following the move into the redzone it has now turned down off the high.That’s the thing, even if you get a trading rally or some short-term oversold indicators, we still have facts like this looming in the background. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ Similarly, the composite valuation indicator (combines: PE ratios, equity risk premia, price-based mean reversion factors) while down about 0.3 SD off the high — is still in the expensive zone, and p
Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm - The S&P500 broke its 4-week losing streak with a +0.5% gain
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ The S&P500 broke its 4-week losing streak with a +0.5% gain.Yet it remains below the 200-day moving average.Traders have been buying the short-term oversold dip.Even if it’s a bear market we might get a seasonal bounce.(but) There are multiple medium/longer-term downside risk signals.Overall, I can sum it up best as saying: what I am seeing is that a lot of short-term tactical indicators are oversold/buys (partly sentime
$SOXL 20250425 20.0 PUT$ Below is a technical analysis overview of SOXL (Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares) based on the information provided in the chart: ⸻ 1. Overall Price Action and Trend • Recent Trend: The chart indicates that SOXL has been in a volatile downward trend since early March, falling from the upper 20s into the upper teens. • Current Price Level (~$19.28): Price is sitting below the mid Bollinger Band (near $20.89) and is closer to the lower Bollinger Band (near $15.78). Trading near the lower band often suggests either oversold conditions or continued bearish momentum, depending on other indicators and broader market sentiment. ⸻ 2. Moving Averages & Bollinger Bands • Bollinger Bands (Upper
Can Dollar Tree be our Money Tree? Earnings Calendar for the week starting 24 Mar 2025
Earnings Calendar (24 Mar 2025) The most anticipated earnings releases for the week of March 24, 2025 I look forward to Lucid, Lululemon, Gamestop, McCormick, Jefferies and Dollar Tree earnings. Let us look at Dollar Tree. Description of business taken from QuickFS Dollar Tree has a “Sell” rating for Technical Analysis. The Analysts’ Sentiment is “neutral”. The price target is $83.29 which suggests an upside of 24.78%. The stock price fell 46.9% from a year ago. Revenue Growth Trend: Dollar Tree's revenue has grown significantly over the decade, increasing from $8.602 billion in 2015 to $30.604 billion in 2024. The 10-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue is 14.6%, reflecting strong expansion. Key Milestones: Revenue growth was particularly notable in 2016 (80.2%) due to
Is it time to plough into Dollar Tree - Preview of the week starting 24 Mar 2025
Public Holidays Singapore, Hong Kong, China & the USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (24 Mar 2025) Notable Highlights The most watched economic data for the coming week would be the Core PCE price index. This is one of the references used by the Fed for inflation. The result will impact the Fed’s interest rate decision. S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI will be released. An amount above 50 would suggest global growth in either sector. This would be a good indication for the global economy. CB Consumer Confidence is an important reference for consumption outlook. Sentiment can have more impact on consumption than statistics. New Home Sales is a good reference for the real estate. Durable Goods Orders is one of the indica
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Major Index Performance (Friday & Weekly Gains): Dow Jones: +0.1% (+1.2% for the week). $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.1% (+0.5% for the week) and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +0.5% (+0.2% for the week) First positive week after weeks of losses: S&P & Nasdaq snapped 4-week losing streaks Dow broke a 2-week skid 1️⃣ Friday Rally: "No News is Good News" Tech Stocks Rebound: $Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF(MGK)$ Magnificent Seven ETF ( $Alphabet(GOOG)$ , Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, Tesla) jumped. $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(