SPX: Bullish divergence suggests bullish continuation and a more solid bounce
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Stay open minded, this bullish divergence suggests bullish continuation and a more solid bounce.As a first milestone, the 20DMA (blue line) will set the first resistance.The bounce from the lower Bollinger band was the missing point for a reversal, and the Bollinger band supporting the bounceImageHere's my analysis from March 30:SPX is at Extreme Fear, but make no mistake, during 2022 this level may have preceded bear market rallies, but price continued setting lower lows printing a painful bullish divergence that ended in October 2022.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other
This “magic” is useless if a Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ runs into a light post every 100,000 miles (Feb. 2025).Tesla hasn’t recorded the prerequisite safety data $Alphabet(GOOG)$$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ waymo or even $General Motors(GM)$ cruise did with a safety driver in the seat for millions of miles before going fully autonomous.If Tesla records every intervention for a year and reports it publicly, I’ll believe FSD is ready. Until then, it’s well behind competitors who are taking the safety needed to be truly autonomous seriously. Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commi
When it comes to the market cycle it’s easy to lose sight of concepts during chaos. Meanwhile oversimplified schematics often instill a false sense of confidence. So I thought it would be worthwhile revisiting my “nuanced version“ of the market cycle.The simple version says that you go in a nice orderly fashion from boom to bust, expensive to cheap, and all you need to do is buy low and sell high. In practice emotions, peer pressure, industry forces all conspire against us through every step of the way. That’s why you need to be data and evidence driven in forming a clear view of where you are at in the cycle and what kind of forward-looking risk vs reward setup is on the horizon.As I attempt to explain in this visual, the best time to go all-in on stocks is when the cycle is turning up fr
Hedge Funds have de-risked at a record pace over the last 2 months.This continued last week with the largest net selling in Tech in 6 months and 2nd largest in the past 5 yrs.$S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ImageThis is a stark contrast to retail, who bought the dip throughout Q1 👇👇ImageOpen a Cash Boost Account (CBA) today and unlock a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000!Enjoy the benefits of upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading a
The top contributors to performance were ATOSS & CDNS in March 2025
Portfolio at the end of March 2025March performance: -8.1%YTD: -7.6%FCF ROC = 39%FCF per share CAGR (5yr) = 23%FCF Linearity (5yr) = 0.93FCF Margin = 36%FCF Margin Expansion (5yr) = 6%FCF Yield = 2.85%There were no outright sales or purchases. The top contributors to performance were ATOSS Software and Cadence Design Systems $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ . The top detractors from performance were NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and Fortinet $Fortinet(FTNT)$ .ImageOpen a Cash Boost Account (CBA) today and unlock a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000!Enjoy the benefits of upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading across Singapore, Hong Kong, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Start tradi
Here’s the situation. As of 27 Mar 2025, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is facing significant challenges. Sales dropped -31% YoY in California in January and -43% in Europe in the first 2 months of 2025. In China, sales decreased by -29% through February 2025. In terms of stock price, it has plummeted by -30.5% YTD. Falling From Grace. To make matters worse: $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDY)$ has surpassed Tesla in revenue in 2024. However, Model Y remained the best-selling EV in China last year. This despite, BYD's vehicles like Seagull hatchback ($16,000) costs less than Model Y ($50,500) or Model 3 (approx. $32,000) and its new battery technology and self-driving systems are outpacing Tesla's offerings, To sustain sale, Te
When it comes to the tariff agreement, what exactly does Trump want?I don’t know. The market doesn’t know either. So, the approach seems to be to crash the market first and then figure things out later—hence the market drop. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Since we don’t know what the final tariff agreement will look like or what its future impact might be, newly opened options positions are concentrated on this week’s expiration dates. The thinking seems to be “just get through this week.”Institutions are selling calls at the 114–115 strikes and hedging with positions at 121–125. This suggests the stock’s upper limit this week is 114–115.On the bearish side, significant open interest has been observed for puts at the 105, 104, and 100 strikes. Among these:The 100
Selling covered call options (sell covered call) is a strategy adopted by many large funds. It can also be used by retail investors in the US stock market.You can get income while holding it. This strategy is very suitable for stocks that have long-term positions, but they have not moved but they are not in a bearish position recently or are in a bearish position recently. It can be a good strategy for mature investors to roll over when holding some targets for a long time. Income comparison Assume that investors hold 200 shares of Amazon from January 1 to December 17, 2021 If there is no operation during the holding period, the final total assets will be USD 675,484 If the covered call strategy is carried out, it will be operated once a week; if 100 shares are sold after the exercise, ano
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Even after a 50% sell-off, the structure is still bullish.Now testing the monthly market bias, and the weekly BX just made a higher low.Upside target: $330–$340 in the coming weeks — expecting rejection there.All bots are primed. If we trigger this week, perfect.Worst case? BX makes a lower low, and we retest $200.Image2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I was expecting a bounce to $128 before rejection…But Friday’s massive sell-off changed the game.Now, I’m eyeing a continued breakdown toward $90, even $80 over the next couple months.That’s where I’ll be looking to go long — high probability bounce zone.Image3. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Market structure
The S&P 500 just did something it hasn’t done in 2 years… $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ And it’s not bullish. 🔴We just closed a monthly candle red for the first time since 2022.I’m not looking to short yet.But I do think we could slowly bleed down to $510–$490 over the next 3–6 months.That would be a ~10% drawdown.This isn’t a black swan.It looks more like 2022 — slow, controlled downside until we meet the monthly bias.If we see a relief rally back to $580, I might open a short.If not, I’ll sit on my hands and wait for price to come to us.Patience wins.Discipline > prediction.ImageOpen a Cash Boost Account (CBA) today and unlock a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000!Enjoy the benefits of upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading across Sing
1. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ The weekly market bias is currently being tested, indicating that price is trading within a discounted range.Despite the recent 42% sell-off, structure and trend remain bullish for now.I’m not actively trading this — $40 is the key level I’m watching.If we lose the weekly market bias and it flips red, we could see a multi-month sell-off down toward the low $30s.Image2. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ The bullish structure remains intact, and the weekly market bias is still holding.I’ll be keeping my bots active this week to monitor for any new entries.That said, if we lose the weekly market bias in the coming months, it could signal a much deeper shift — and we’d likely see price
SOFI - There’s a chance we get a relief rally in the coming weeks
1. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 63 days of aggressive selling… and we’re not done yet.There’s a chance we get a relief rally in the coming weeks.But I think there’s a 75% chance we keep bleeding into the next couple of months.My target?A move down to $10–$8 to retest the monthly market bias.We traded underneath that level for nearly 3 years.Now macro structure has flipped — and that’s a good thing long-term.I’ll be looking to load up on shares once we get there.Let the market come to you.Patience pays.ImageOpen a Cash Boost Account (CBA) today and unlock a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000!Enjoy the benefits of upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading across Singapore, Hong Kong, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Start trading smarter and more eff
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Sadly, I did not beat the market for Q1 2025! The only person I believe beat Q1 2025 is Warren Buffet , as he sold off tonnes of his portfolio holding the cash and now is his shopping spree moment as a long term investor! So,did any of you buy any cheap stock recently? Looking at the data of post COVID period from 2020 till now for NASDAQ monthly timeline, the only time when candle touch on Bolinger Band centre line, instead of go up it goes further down was 2022! 2022 was the year with highest inflation post COVID and also the year of Ukraine Vs Russia war, which eventually FEDS keep increase interest rate. So, the big question ' Where are we now?' We are now getting closer to centre line of Bolinger Band
Hi Tigers~ The following are the most bought stocks by insiders in the past week.Data source: Bloomberg, data cutoff date: March 28, 2025. $Wynn(WYNN)$ YTD -4.45% $CME Group Inc(CME)$ YTD 12.91% $Texas Pacific Land(TPL)$ YTD 18.06%“Insider buys” usually means that company executives or major shareholders are confident in the company’s future development and believe that the current stock price is undervalued with potential for appreciation. This behavior may send a positive signal to the market and attract other investors.However, it’s important to note that insider buys do not guarantee an increase in stock prices. Investors should consider other factors as well.R
💰 Consumer confidence hits a new low; will it influence Trump's policy direction?💹 $AT&T Inc(T)$/$Verizon(VZ)$/$Southern(SO)$: High-dividend value stocks that offer both offensive and defensive strategies.📣 Stay tuned, supercharge purchasing power through CashBoost!Check it out loud plzIn case you missed it, do chase back to our New Alpha series last Fri.:https://ttm.financial/post/418380787118520| Market recap 💹Last week, hopes for a rebound were dashed, with $S&P 500(.SPX)$ declining 1.5% and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ down 2.6%, resulting in significant losses.
Option Movers|Strategy's $370 Call Draws Strong Interest; Wolfspeed's Volume Surges 14 Times
Wall Street stocks ended sharply lower on Friday(Mar 28), with selloffs in Amazon, Microsoft and other technology heavyweights, after U.S. data stoked fears of weak economic growth and high inflation as the Trump administration ratchets up tariffs.Regarding the options market, a total volume of 56,325,520 contracts was traded on Friday, up 23% from the previous trading day.Top 10 Option VolumesTop 10: $NVDA(NVDA)$; $TSLA(TSLA)$; $Strategy(MSTR)$ ; $AAPL(AAPL)$; $PLTR(PLTR)$; $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ; $M