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2025-04-05
Paws, Profits, and Payouts: Why I’m Backing Zoetis for the Long Haul
It’s not just a pet play – it’s a decade-long dividend dynamo in disguise If you thought the animal health industry was all wagging tails and flea collars, think again. Zoetis, the world’s largest animal pharmaceutical company, has been quietly upgrading its pedigree. While most investors chase shiny AI tickers, $Zoetis(ZTS)$ has been weaving cutting-edge tech into its surprisingly resilient business model – and still manages to toss out reliable dividends like treats from a pocket. As of now, the stock trades around $151.73, which sits closer to its 52-week low than its $200+ high. So, is this just a rough patch, or the ideal time to build a position in a high-quality dividend compounder? Let’s dig into the numbers (without needing a chew toy). In
TOPMerle Ted: This company will eventually take a large hit due to the medication issues of Librela.
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2025-04-05
NVIDIA and AMD Face Tariff Pressures: Will a Price War or Steady Pricing Impact Their Game Plans?
As of Friday, April 5, 2025, NVIDIA ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) closed at $94.31, down 7.36%, while AMD ( $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ) closed at $85.76, shedding 8.57%. These declines come amid swirling rumours about new GPU releases—NVIDIA’s RTX 5060 Ti and AMD’s Radeon RX 9060 XT—and growing concerns over tariff policies inflating supply chain costs. With both companies potentially opting to maintain current pricing or engage in a price war, their gaming divisions’ revenue, profit margins, EPS, and stock prices hang in the balance. Here’s a closer look at how these dynamics might unfold. Nvidia AMD New Product Rumors Set the Stage Reports suggest NVIDIA is gearing up to launch the RTX 5060 Ti on April 16, 2025
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2025-04-05
Markets Test Everyone
One of the hardest parts about sharing publicly is knowing others are struggling in silence.I’ve seen weeks like this before—I’ll be fine.But I think about those who are overleveraged, or going through this for the first time.It’s why I talk so much about risk, sizing, and probabilities.Not because it’s sexy.Because it’s survival.Markets are hard.But if you stick to your rules, stay calm, and stay in the game—this won’t break you.It’ll just be a chapter in your story.Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouche
3.58K
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2025-04-05
SPXS, SQQQ, TZA & LABD – Time to Tread Lightly
If you’ve been riding the short side with me, here’s a word of advice: don’t overstay into this capitulation. Risk-reward in the short term is starting to lean bullish into next week, imho. All inverse are now at historical high ATR% multiple from 50-MA, also coinciding with a parabolic +300% ATR move in $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ at open right now.Try my profit taking strategy below via scaling out 30% of net size into strength into every new ATR multiple high of your position beginning today, and prepare your warchest for a potential quick 'pain trade' against the shorts, potentially next week before CPI Thursday. $Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares(SPXS)$
7.05K
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2025-04-05
SPX Selloff: Faster, Deeper Than Anyone Expected
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Nobody, not even the most pessimistic anticipated the velocity of this selloff. Price is oversold at any technical you can name, but the candle shows substantial bearish conviction and continuation for Monday. Last similarity: The Covid crash. Most of the 2024 gains have been erased.Bear markets teach much more to investors than bull markets, get access to the bear market target published for SPX before the crash started $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
1.49K
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2025-04-05
EWJ chart presents three essential indicators
The $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$ aims to mirror the MSCI Japan Index, and as you can see, the price is currently consolidating within a base, highlighted by the rectangle, much like it did during 2021.The chart also presents three essential indicators:Moving Averages: The short-term moving averages (5 and 10 months) are trending downwards, signaling a loss of bullish momentum; in fact, the 5-month average has already crossed below the 10-month. For educational content about moving averages, click here.Reversal Candlesticks: Bearish reversal candlesticks, indicated by the black arrows, have served as early warning signs in the past, such as at the start of 2021 and in the second half of 2024. However, they have also marked tops, as shown by the hig
1.49K
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2025-04-05
Bear markets bring opportunities
It's wild to see this decline unfold so quickly. Looking back, I shared warnings across several publications beforehand, backed by Elliot Wave, Fibonacci studies, long-term charts, moving averages, crossovers, and macro data – the pullback felt imminent from many angles since I like to provide objective data and analysis. What's surprising is just how fast it's happening.Today, I want to chat about the human side of investing. Our emotions can really cloud our judgment of those technical signals. For those newer to the market (maybe joining in '23 or '24), outside opinions can be really influential, making it tough to focus on the charts. For more seasoned folks, the hope around the new U.S. administration might have made this "self-inflicted" crash unexpected. And for everyone, the sheer
1.22K
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2025-04-05
What are your weaknesses as an investor?
What are your weaknesses as an investor?Create constraints around them.I am terrible at timing the market when I buy and my biggest mistake is selling a great company early.Solution:1. Buy once per month2. Default to "never sell"Keep it simple.Sentiment is correlated with a stock's price.If you want to beat the market, buy great companies when the sentiment around them is bad. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission
1.22K
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2025-04-05
Daily Charts - Peaks: Easy In, Hard Out
1.Given that the US Stock market has just put in a "Valuation-Extreme Inflection Point" --this chart has now taken on a high level of significanceWorth noting: "Heading into market peaks the ride can be deceptively smooth and rewarding, but perversely when things turn the pace of decline is most rapid during the initial phase, and you might not be able to just gradually scale out." $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Gold's strength is becoming its weakness in this type of market environment...First: it got to expensive levels as this chart from our monthly pack shows.Second (and more importantly): in liquidation events like this, people tend to sell the thing that went up the most
2.64K
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2025-04-05
The AI Bubble is bursting
The AI Bubble is bursting 👀And yes, AI is here to stay, and yes it will have a lasting and significant impact - especially in the longer run.But history shows time and again that downturns are not kind to emerging technologies... when confidence gets rattled, funding comes into question, and focus goes hard on every cost and only immediate revenue it's the projects and investments that can't give those questions a good answer that get cut first (or at least put in the freezer)Just part of the overall unintended consequences, and also a coming full circle of some wild market movements like that in the chart below. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Advanced
2.80K
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2025-04-05
Top 10 SaaS Cloud multiples this week
This week in enterprise software: Top 10 SaaS Cloud multiples as of today's market close.Median NTM multiple ended the day at 4.5x. This is lower than any point in 2022 and the lowest since 2016. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ $Samsara, Inc.(IOT)$ $Guidewire(GWRE)$ $ServiceNow(NOW)$ $Veeva(VEEV)$ $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ $SailPoint Parent, LP(SAIL)$
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2025-04-05
SPX 5120 target reached
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 5120 target reached✅Watch for a 4th wave bounce here to 5240-5280.Expecting that to be sold, but may wait until we get a green candle Monday to sell off for the 5th targeting 5000 or lower. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ ImageThis was my analysis from yesterday：5400 target reached ✅ Now, SPX is primed to keep cratering in the ultra-bearish 3rd wave, with a target of 5300 on the horizon.Watch f
2.46K
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2025-04-05
Fear & Greed Index has been in “Extreme Fear” for SPX correction
CNN’s Fear & Greed Index has been in “Extreme Fear” for the entirety of this -17% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ correction. It was at Extreme Fear 1M ago (11), and the $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is down -15% over the last month. This is not a good indicator of much. Positioning tells you all you need to know about sentiment (fear and greed).ImageWe are currently 32 trading days into this SPX correction. The median non-recessionary SPX correction lasts 60 days. The median recessionary SPX correction lasts 282 days, almost 5x as long.ImageRetail investors bought $4.7 bln in stocks on thursday, largest level over the past decadeNo panic!Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming
15.21K
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2025-04-04
Magnificent 7, still falling on Fri (04 Apr) ?
By now everyone would have been fully aware of US market Thu, 03 Apr 2025 catastrophic fall, the biggest slide in US equities in 5 years, on fears that Trump’s new tariff plans will: Trigger a global trade war. Drag US economy into recession. By the time, 4pm came around - each composite index was progressively worse than the one before: DJIA: -3.98% (-1,679.39 to 40,545.93). S&P 500: -4.84% (-274.45 to 5,396.52). Down more than -10% from its February all-time high. Nasdaq: -5.97% (-1,050.44 to 16,550.61). Stocks lost roughly $3.1 trillion in market value, their largest one-day decline since March 2020. Stock-index futures drifted lower on Thursday evening as well. Magnificent 7 - Not looking good. THe Mag 7 were not spare deither. Thursday’s sell-off hit megacap technology stocks espe
TOPMeta is dead everybody said when Meta went to $98 during Covid. Then it went to $740 minting new millionaires lol. Same thing will happen here. The lower it goes the more I’ll BUY!
11.66K
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2025-04-04
What are US Economic reports, telling us ?
US market on Thu, 03 April 2025 came crashing down hard for the first time in the longest time, as a result of the mad hatter Trump provoked a global trade war by raising tariffs worldwide. US market reacted “decisively” by plunging into the abyss without hesitation. (see below) While negative sentiments swept through the market on Thursday, US economic reports continued to be released as planned. On Thursday, the two reports released were : US weekly jobless claims for week ending 29 Mar 2025. ISM Service purchasing manager index (PMI) for March 2025. US weekly initial jobless claims US Weekly Jobless claims. For week ended 29 March, US Labour Department showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell by -6,000 claims to a seasonally adjusted 219,000 from last week’s data of 22
TOPTrump's Tariffs will cost Amazon Many $Billions. Who is Trump trying to get even with?
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2025-04-04
Weekly | Is WOW' Strong Growth and Low Valuation a Sign of Future Upside?
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 7667.8 on Friday, down 3.94% in the past 5 days.1. $COLES GROUP LTD(COL.AU)$ +7.26%Coles Group received orders of more than A$525m, including A$65m JLM demand, for its A$300m 7.5Y fixed-rate senior unsecured note, according to RBC Capital Markets. Optimism in the options market suggests investors are bullish on the upside.2. $WOOLWORTHS GROUP LTD(WOW.AU)$ +4.53%Woolworths managed to grow sales in every single division in the first half of FY25. It should be able to report stronger growth in the HY26 result and FY26 result.There are a number of growth areas within the business, helping offset som
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2025-04-03
Weekly | Did HK Market Rally Halt by Shock Setback?
This week, Hong Kong stocks underperformed, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 2.46%.Several negative news events contributed to this slump:1.Robot Investment PullbackFamous investor Zhu Xiaohu announced he is exiting investments in humanoid robots due to unclear commercialization, shaking up the industry and cooling tech stock hype.2.Xiaomi’s Tragic IncidentOn Tuesday, a deadly crash involving the $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ SU7 raised doubts about the company’s autonomous driving features. Three people died, and Xiaomi faced public backlash, resulting in two consecutive days of sharp stock price declines.3.Trump’s Tariff OrdersOn Thursday, President Trump signed two executive orders imposing "reciprocal tariffs" on 40+
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2025-04-04
S&P 500 Teeters on the Edge: Tariff Fallout, NFP Data, and the Looming Risk of a Deeper Correction
April 4, 2025 – The S&P 500 ( $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ) is at a critical juncture, reeling from a tariff-driven selloff that has already shaved 2.84% off the index, closing at 5394.52 on Thursday, April 3. This sharp decline—part of a broader 4.8% drop, marking the index’s worst single-day performance since June 2020—comes on the heels of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement, which introduced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with higher rates for specific countries, effective April 5. As markets brace for the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report due today at 8:30 AM EDT, the stakes couldn’t be higher. A disappointing NFP print, combined with the tariff shock, could push the S&P 500 into a deeper correction, heightening the risk
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2025-04-04
Markets in Shock: Trump Tariffs Unleash 2025’s First True Meltdown
Here's a concise Market Intelligence Brief synthesizing the core themes from today’s events and Thursday, April 3, 2025 - Market Recap & Macro Pulse 🔻 Equities: Deepest Selloff Since 2020 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -4.8% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -6.0% Dow: -4.0% (-1,679 pts) Market cap wiped: ~$3.1 trillion VIX: Elevated, stuck in “no-man’s-land” (uncertainty, but not peak fear) The tariff barrage has upended market assumptions, pricing in a materially higher recession probability. Analysts and traders, caught flat-footed by the scale of the action, scrambled to reprice risk across all sectors. Fair value on the S&P 500 is estimated near 4,900—but that’s assuming no further shocks. With market structure frag
TOPI never seen stocks drop so fast before this dropped hard then covid time, with no plan of stopping
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2025-04-04
Panic Selloff Begins? Will the Recession Trade Really Happen?
The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 8 yesterday, with its lowest point in May 2022 reaching 3. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ companies lost a combined $2.4 trillion in market value during Thursday’s selloff on Wall Street, marking their biggest one-day loss since March 16, 2020, when the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic sent global markets into a tailspin.Following the tariff storm yesterday, the market now faces the challenge of March’s non-farm payrolls (NFP) report and unemployment rate today.The market expects no major surprises in the March jobs report, forecasting 140,000 new jobs, an unemployment rate of 4.1%, and average hourly earnings rising 4% YoY, all within long-term trends. However, mass layoffs at DOGE could introduce uncertaint
TOPThe Fear and Greed Index dropping to 8 is a strong indicator of extreme panic. While the market is bracing for the March jobs report, history shows that extreme fear often marks the start of opportunity. I’m watching the data, but I also believe great entries rarely feel comfortable. Nvidia hitting $100 caught my attention. It’s down 33% from recent highs, and some are questioning if the semiconductor rally is over. But we've seen this before—back in 2021, Nvidia dropped over 60% before rebounding. I still believe in its long-term role in AI and chips, so I see this as a chance to start accumulating, even if more volatility comes. There’s no doubt recession risks are rising, and the short-term outlook is shaky. But whether it’s a trading recession or a real one, I’d rather position myself early than wait for perfect clarity. Fear creates opportunity—especially for those thinking long term. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @TigerGPT @Tiger_SG