[Event] If You Could Time-Travel, What Assets Would You All In?
Imagine this: If you could go back, relying only on your memories to invest, how would you choose?Investing, at its core, is about catching the right trends. Nail a few key moments, and your life could change forever.📌 For example:2005: Buy a property in Beijing’s Third Ring before the 2008 Olympics—instant wealth.2009: Spend a few thousand dollars on $CME Bitcoin - main 2504(BTCmain)$, buying tens of thousands of coins. Even if you forgot your private key later, your story would be movie-worthy.2020: Go all in during the historic oil price $WTI Crude Oil - main 2505(CLmain)$ crash when futures went negative. Profit multiplied dozens of times overnight.2023: Bet on
Since the first days of the Trump administration, Elon Musk’s so-called Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has been everywhere in the federal government, moving fast and breaking things. In a matter of weeks, DOGE operatives have spread across dozens of government agencies as they have attempted to terminate tens of thousands of federal employees. With so much focus on where DOGE is going, WIRED wanted to take a beat to look at where they’ve come from and hopefully, that might reveal how they’re thinking about reshaping the federal government. Big takeaway: Many on the DOGE team are from Musk’s world. If Musk is America’s CEO, then DOGE has become his Silicon Valley executive branch. Scary isn’t it ! List of DOGE members Above is mapped out, non-exhaustive list of people affiliate
Q1/2025 earnings start with BlackRock - Preview of the week starting 07Apr25
Public Holidays The USA, China, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (07Apr25) Economic Calendar for the week starting 07Apr25 Notable Highlights Consumer Price Index (CPI) should be the most watched macro data of the coming week. The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures month-over-month inflation (excluding volatile food and energy prices). It’s a key indicator of underlying inflation trends. This represents the cost of living and will influence the Fed’s monetary policy decisions. The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures month-over-month changes in prices at the producer level, often a precursor to consumer inflation trends. The inflation that hits the producers would be passed onto the consumers. This can also be seen as one of the p
Concerns and Hope from last week ending 04 Apr 2025
Concerns and Hope from last week ending 4th Apr 2025 Economic Calendar 31Mar-04Apr25 Manufacturing Sector Weakness: The U.S. manufacturing sector showed signs of contraction, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI (49.0) falling below 50 and the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (50.2) dropping significantly from the previous month (52.7). The Chicago PMI (47.6) also remained in contraction territory. This suggests a broader slowdown in industrial activity, which could be a drag on economic growth. Rising manufacturing prices (ISM Manufacturing Prices at 69.4) indicate increasing cost pressures, which could squeeze profit margins if demand weakens further. Crude Oil Inventories Surge: The unexpected increase in crude oil inventories (6.165M vs. a forecast of -0.200M) suggests a potential oversuppl
Paws, Profits, and Payouts: Why I’m Backing Zoetis for the Long Haul
It’s not just a pet play – it’s a decade-long dividend dynamo in disguise If you thought the animal health industry was all wagging tails and flea collars, think again. Zoetis, the world’s largest animal pharmaceutical company, has been quietly upgrading its pedigree. While most investors chase shiny AI tickers, $Zoetis(ZTS)$ has been weaving cutting-edge tech into its surprisingly resilient business model – and still manages to toss out reliable dividends like treats from a pocket. As of now, the stock trades around $151.73, which sits closer to its 52-week low than its $200+ high. So, is this just a rough patch, or the ideal time to build a position in a high-quality dividend compounder? Let’s dig into the numbers (without needing a chew toy). In
NVIDIA and AMD Face Tariff Pressures: Will a Price War or Steady Pricing Impact Their Game Plans?
As of Friday, April 5, 2025, NVIDIA ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) closed at $94.31, down 7.36%, while AMD ( $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ) closed at $85.76, shedding 8.57%. These declines come amid swirling rumours about new GPU releases—NVIDIA’s RTX 5060 Ti and AMD’s Radeon RX 9060 XT—and growing concerns over tariff policies inflating supply chain costs. With both companies potentially opting to maintain current pricing or engage in a price war, their gaming divisions’ revenue, profit margins, EPS, and stock prices hang in the balance. Here’s a closer look at how these dynamics might unfold. Nvidia AMD New Product Rumors Set the Stage Reports suggest NVIDIA is gearing up to launch the RTX 5060 Ti on April 16, 2025
One of the hardest parts about sharing publicly is knowing others are struggling in silence.I’ve seen weeks like this before—I’ll be fine.But I think about those who are overleveraged, or going through this for the first time.It’s why I talk so much about risk, sizing, and probabilities.Not because it’s sexy.Because it’s survival.Markets are hard.But if you stick to your rules, stay calm, and stay in the game—this won’t break you.It’ll just be a chapter in your story.Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouche
If you’ve been riding the short side with me, here’s a word of advice: don’t overstay into this capitulation. Risk-reward in the short term is starting to lean bullish into next week, imho. All inverse are now at historical high ATR% multiple from 50-MA, also coinciding with a parabolic +300% ATR move in $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ at open right now.Try my profit taking strategy below via scaling out 30% of net size into strength into every new ATR multiple high of your position beginning today, and prepare your warchest for a potential quick 'pain trade' against the shorts, potentially next week before CPI Thursday. $Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares(SPXS)$
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Nobody, not even the most pessimistic anticipated the velocity of this selloff. Price is oversold at any technical you can name, but the candle shows substantial bearish conviction and continuation for Monday. Last similarity: The Covid crash. Most of the 2024 gains have been erased.Bear markets teach much more to investors than bull markets, get access to the bear market target published for SPX before the crash started $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
The $iShares MSCI Japan ETF(EWJ)$ aims to mirror the MSCI Japan Index, and as you can see, the price is currently consolidating within a base, highlighted by the rectangle, much like it did during 2021.The chart also presents three essential indicators:Moving Averages: The short-term moving averages (5 and 10 months) are trending downwards, signaling a loss of bullish momentum; in fact, the 5-month average has already crossed below the 10-month. For educational content about moving averages, click here.Reversal Candlesticks: Bearish reversal candlesticks, indicated by the black arrows, have served as early warning signs in the past, such as at the start of 2021 and in the second half of 2024. However, they have also marked tops, as shown by the hig
It's wild to see this decline unfold so quickly. Looking back, I shared warnings across several publications beforehand, backed by Elliot Wave, Fibonacci studies, long-term charts, moving averages, crossovers, and macro data – the pullback felt imminent from many angles since I like to provide objective data and analysis. What's surprising is just how fast it's happening.Today, I want to chat about the human side of investing. Our emotions can really cloud our judgment of those technical signals. For those newer to the market (maybe joining in '23 or '24), outside opinions can be really influential, making it tough to focus on the charts. For more seasoned folks, the hope around the new U.S. administration might have made this "self-inflicted" crash unexpected. And for everyone, the sheer
What are your weaknesses as an investor?Create constraints around them.I am terrible at timing the market when I buy and my biggest mistake is selling a great company early.Solution:1. Buy once per month2. Default to "never sell"Keep it simple.Sentiment is correlated with a stock's price.If you want to beat the market, buy great companies when the sentiment around them is bad. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission
1.Given that the US Stock market has just put in a "Valuation-Extreme Inflection Point" --this chart has now taken on a high level of significanceWorth noting: "Heading into market peaks the ride can be deceptively smooth and rewarding, but perversely when things turn the pace of decline is most rapid during the initial phase, and you might not be able to just gradually scale out." $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Image2.Gold's strength is becoming its weakness in this type of market environment...First: it got to expensive levels as this chart from our monthly pack shows.Second (and more importantly): in liquidation events like this, people tend to sell the thing that went up the most
The AI Bubble is bursting 👀And yes, AI is here to stay, and yes it will have a lasting and significant impact - especially in the longer run.But history shows time and again that downturns are not kind to emerging technologies... when confidence gets rattled, funding comes into question, and focus goes hard on every cost and only immediate revenue it's the projects and investments that can't give those questions a good answer that get cut first (or at least put in the freezer)Just part of the overall unintended consequences, and also a coming full circle of some wild market movements like that in the chart below. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Advanced
Fear & Greed Index has been in “Extreme Fear” for SPX correction
CNN’s Fear & Greed Index has been in “Extreme Fear” for the entirety of this -17% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ correction. It was at Extreme Fear 1M ago (11), and the $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is down -15% over the last month. This is not a good indicator of much. Positioning tells you all you need to know about sentiment (fear and greed).ImageWe are currently 32 trading days into this SPX correction. The median non-recessionary SPX correction lasts 60 days. The median recessionary SPX correction lasts 282 days, almost 5x as long.ImageRetail investors bought $4.7 bln in stocks on thursday, largest level over the past decadeNo panic!Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming
By now everyone would have been fully aware of US market Thu, 03 Apr 2025 catastrophic fall, the biggest slide in US equities in 5 years, on fears that Trump’s new tariff plans will: Trigger a global trade war. Drag US economy into recession. By the time, 4pm came around - each composite index was progressively worse than the one before: DJIA: -3.98% (-1,679.39 to 40,545.93). S&P 500: -4.84% (-274.45 to 5,396.52). Down more than -10% from its February all-time high. Nasdaq: -5.97% (-1,050.44 to 16,550.61). Stocks lost roughly $3.1 trillion in market value, their largest one-day decline since March 2020. Stock-index futures drifted lower on Thursday evening as well. Magnificent 7 - Not looking good. THe Mag 7 were not spare deither. Thursday’s sell-off hit megacap technology stocks espe
US market on Thu, 03 April 2025 came crashing down hard for the first time in the longest time, as a result of the mad hatter Trump provoked a global trade war by raising tariffs worldwide. US market reacted “decisively” by plunging into the abyss without hesitation. (see below) While negative sentiments swept through the market on Thursday, US economic reports continued to be released as planned. On Thursday, the two reports released were : US weekly jobless claims for week ending 29 Mar 2025. ISM Service purchasing manager index (PMI) for March 2025. US weekly initial jobless claims US Weekly Jobless claims. For week ended 29 March, US Labour Department showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell by -6,000 claims to a seasonally adjusted 219,000 from last week’s data of 22
Weekly | Is WOW' Strong Growth and Low Valuation a Sign of Future Upside?
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 7667.8 on Friday, down 3.94% in the past 5 days.1. $COLES GROUP LTD(COL.AU)$ +7.26%Coles Group received orders of more than A$525m, including A$65m JLM demand, for its A$300m 7.5Y fixed-rate senior unsecured note, according to RBC Capital Markets. Optimism in the options market suggests investors are bullish on the upside.2. $WOOLWORTHS GROUP LTD(WOW.AU)$ +4.53%Woolworths managed to grow sales in every single division in the first half of FY25. It should be able to report stronger growth in the HY26 result and FY26 result.There are a number of growth areas within the business, helping offset som