$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Still not painful enough. Have to drop until at least 50-60 region to wipe out retail investors. It has been a smooth ride since 2024, I foresee the drop have to be more and wipe out at least half of 2024 gain before reaching the bottom. Stock market is never the easy place for retail investors. Sitting on 99% cash now, ready to buy your stocks when you sell in fear hehehehe
U.S. Stock Market Current State: U.S. stocks are under significant pressure as of April 7, 2025. The backdrop is a global market rout triggered by escalating trade tensions, particularly following the Trump administration’s imposition of a 25% tariff on imported vehicles (effective April 3) and a broader 10% baseline tariff on all imports starting April 5. China’s retaliatory 34% tariff on U.S. goods, set to begin April 10, has further fueled the fire. Key Indices: Dow Jones Industrial Average: Reports indicate a massive sell-off, with the Dow dropping over 2,200 points on April 4 alone—its third-largest single-day point decline ever. Futures suggest another rough day on April 7, with Dow futures down 1,250 points (3.3%) pre-market, signaling continued declines. S&P 500: The index clos
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ the impact on Tesla’s stock could be negative in the short to medium term due to several investor concerns: ⸻ 1. Investor Sentiment • Tariff wars = Uncertainty. Markets hate uncertainty. Investors could fear rising costs, squeezed margins, and slower growth, especially in China—one of Tesla’s key markets. • This could trigger selloffs, especially from institutions focused on near-term profitability and global exposure. ⸻ 2. Revenue Growth Risk • China is a massive growth driver for Tesla. If Chinese tariffs remain on U.S.-made Teslas, demand could drop. • Investors would likely price in weaker future revenues, especially if Tesla loses ground to Chinese EV rivals like BYD. ⸻ 3. Margin Compressio
Microsoft’s Stock Just Got Cheaper — But Is It a Buy Amid Rising Tariff Risks?
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Following the latest market pullback, Microsoft is now trading at one of the cheapest valuations we’ve seen in over a year. Based on its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio—currently around 24.85—investors have rarely had the opportunity to buy this tech titan at such a discounted multiple. Historically, Microsoft has commanded a premium for good reason: it's one of the most profitable and strategically positioned companies in the world. But the selloff wasn't random. It came after a wave of tariff announcements that are likely to reverberate through global supply chains—and Microsoft is right in the middle of that storm. So before deciding whether this is a buy-the-dip opportunity or a value trap, we need to examine how the ta
After this market bloodbath, let's take a look at how the forward PE ratios of the Mag 7 are performing.Two companies from the Mag 7, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , have reached historic low PEs.Google’s PE has dropped below 20, while Amazon stands at 27.07.$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is only 13% away from its historical lowest PE, and if it falls to $83, its stock price will reach the lowest forward PE in the past 10 years.$Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , and $Apple(AAPL)$ are still far from their historical lows, but M
1.Big Tech will be the Biggest Loser as they get 50% of revenues offshore and are likely to suffer major collateral damage in a full-blown trade war. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Image2.It's Commodity Season!While there are a lot of other things going on, historically this time of the year has tended to see commodity prices drift higher. $WTI Crude Oil - main 2505(CLmain)$ Image3.Bond Yields Up-can mean the market sees a future uptick in Growth and/or and Inflation (bond market is not dumb, although it can be very dumb temporarily)-can mean folk selling the only thing that's not down in their portfolios (and/or rebalancing)-can mean loss of confidence i
History says this market drop could last for years
Why the Stock Market Is Plunging?Let’s discuss the elephant in the room. On Wednesday, President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on nearly every country in the world at levels that could cause a deep recession if fully implemented in the U.S.The tariffs weren’t a surprise, but the scale and haphazard nature was. Countries like Cambodia (49%) and Vietnam (46%) will see debilitating tariffs that will likely do little but make shirts and shoes more expensive for Americans.In addition to the impact on consumers, the tariffs make business more unpredictable and if you’re planning a new factory or building a supply chain for new products, uncertainty is bad.That’s why the market has dropped. Consumers drive the U.S. economy and if a bigger chunk of their paycheck is going to pay taxes tariffs i
Tech Titan or Insurance Icon? The Battle of Growth vs. Stability
In the red corner, we have Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC)—China’s semiconductor darling, pushing technological boundaries under the shadow of US sanctions. In the blue corner, China Life Insurance—the behemoth of financial security, steering through economic headwinds with strategic asset allocation. One offers high-octane growth, the other a fortress of stability. But which one deserves a place in your portfolio? SMIC: Sprinting Towards Self-Sufficiency (With a Few Hurdles) SMIC is on a mission to defy the odds. With geopolitical tensions restricting its access to cutting-edge equipment, it has still managed to produce 7nm chips and is reportedly edging closer to sub-5nm nodes. A remarkable feat, given that Western suppliers have slammed the door shut on EUV
$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ Sam Altman, co-founder of OpenAI, made headlines this past week calling out how demand for AI is surging so fast that their Nvidia GPUs are literally melting. Just yesterday, he tweeted that when ChatGPT first launched, it took five days to hit 1 million users. Now? They’re adding 1 million users in a single hour. That’s not just exponential growth — it’s exponential usage. So who's stepping in to help OpenAI keep up with this explosive demand? Enter CoreWeave — ticker symbol CRWV — a company purpose-built for AI infrastructure. Just last month, OpenAI signed a massive $12 billion deal with CoreWeave to keep their AI models running smoothly. CoreWeave just went public this week. The IPO opened a bit soft, dipping below $40
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq Just Entered a Bear Market — Is the S&P 500 Next? Well, here we are. After months of mixed signals, chop, and denial, the Russell 2000 officially entered bear market territory on Thursday. By Friday, the Nasdaq 100 followed suit. And now, all eyes are on the S&P 500, which is looking increasingly fragile. If it closes below 4873, it will have fallen 20% from its peak—putting it squarely in bear market territory as well. This isn’t the outcome I expected. In fact, I’ve gone on record saying that a third bear market in five years was unlikely. But the markets don
Q1 2025 Earnings Season: Can Big Banks Weather the Tariff Tempest?
$BlackRock( $BlackRock(BLK)$ )$ $JPMorgan Chase( $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ )$ $Morgan Stanley( $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ )$ $Wells Fargo( $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ )$ $S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ This Friday, April 11, the Q1 2025 earnings season unofficially begins, with BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo stepping up to the plate. After a stellar Q4 2024 where financials topped the S&P 500, the mood has soured. Trump-era tariffs—revived and hitting hard—have sparked a market bloodbath, with bank stocks sliding double digits in a week. Even if these giants beat e
$JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ 🤖🚨📉 JPMageddon: The Titan Trembles 📉🚨🤖 Markets hinge on JPMorgan Chase ($JPM), and it just buckled. The global finance juggernaut cratered 7.48% on 04Apr25, closing at $210.28, then shed another 4.63% overnight to $200.55, a brutal $27 plunge in under 24 hours. This isn’t a dip, it’s a warning shot. Until JPM finds its footing, the broader market remains structurally paralysed. The bounce begins when the titan stands tall again. Follow if you crave setups with bite and impeccable timing, this beast is sinking fast! With earnings slated for 11Apr25 (ET), kicking off alongside Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo, JPM is the lead domino. Goldman Sachs, Citi, and Bank of America trail in the same week. The financial sector’s fate hangs
Mastering Breadth and Relative Strength for Consistent Trading Success
This is my free EOD breadth level panel — you can use the same ticker to build your own, there are much more options but I always have mine based on traditional MA value.Breadth absolutely deserves a place in your trading system, and I couldn’t agree more. When used right, it’s incredibly powerful — especially when you combine with a thorough screen of sectors and industry groups showing relative strength. One important nuance I want to highlight: relative strength isn't just about securities outperforming the benchmark on the surface. It also emerges from names that show the least weakness during prolonged down moves. That resilience matters, and that itself will be a upturning RS on a line chart based indicator.To consistently spot these opportunities, routine is everything. Regardless o
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - Bear Market Confirmed, something anticipated to subs on December 18th 2024 targeting $4,800 in the middle of the euphoria🎯. Today the Return to the Bollinger Range is in play. The spinning candle below the band and oversold RSI suggest a comeback to the $5200 zone. ➡️Is the bottom in? not very likely, so the levels were updated last Saturday (access in bio). $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageExtreme Fear, and the Futures are PanickingDuring 2022, extreme pessimism brought bear market rallies. However, in 2025 the bounces vanished quickly and the selloff continu
Here's the latest Global Compounders Database. New names in pink. $AppFolio(APPF)$$Charter Corporate Services, Inc.(CVCS)$$Equinix(EQIX)$$FISERV INC(FI)$$Marsh & McLennan(MMC)$$Waters(WAT)$ What would you add or subtract?Are you interested in having a spreadsheet full of quality growth metrics for each of these companies? Including return on capital, free cash flow growth and share price linearity?ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, a
Bottom in? NOPE. Still expecting one more wave down to complete the bearish 5-wave diagonal from the 6147 peak. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ traced out a potential bearish 4th wave triangle at close, so we should begin the 5th wave immediately targeting 4800-4720.A break above 5120 is a warning sign this set up will fail with 5246+ as the hard invalidation.If we do produce the projected 5th wave decline, there will then be great risk for a multi-week rally. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
Is SPX completing the GRAND CYCLE of the overall impulse?
This projection shows $S&P 500(.SPX)$ completing the GRAND CYCLE of the overall impulse from the 1871 origin to the 2025 peak. This suggests we may be heading toward the GREATEST STOCK MARKET CRASH OF ALL TIME with the 2020 low being the BARE MINIMUM target. The damage could extend far beyond that with the 2009 low being the WORST CASE SCENARIO. It is so bearish, I cannot project it out.How likely is this? Predicting a crash of this magnitude is obviously not easy, but unfortunately, this ultimate time frame wave count is exceptionally clean, abiding to highly common Elliott Wave fib measurements with price confined perfectly within a channel.You can literally put this in a textbook as to what an impulse wave typically look like. I will share
With US Non-farm payroll out last Fri, 04 Apr 2025, there will not be any economic reports in early part of the week of 07 Apr 2025. Focus on jobs (employment reports) will turn to inflation from mid-week onwards. Investors should (at least) take a look at the latest inflation report because it’s the first after the initial 25% tariffs imposed on Mexico, Canada and China (20%). Economic Reports. Below are US economic reports that will be out this week. Wed, 09 Apr 2025. US Fed’s FOMC minutes of meeting for March 2025. Not an economic report (per se) but it provides insight to FOMC sentiments towards inflation control, in light of global tariffs rollout. Thu, 10 Apr 2025. Consumer price index (CPI) for March 2025. US weekly jobless claims. Fri, 11 Apr 2025. US Producer price index (PPI) for