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SmartReversals
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2025-04-13

SMH Outlook: Bounce Potential & Key Levels

For next week, the odds for a bounce are significant, and the Support and Resistance levels for next week play an essential role for all indices. In the case of semiconductors $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ , there will be bullish momentum towards $219.4 as long as price stays above $194.7; a break below this key level could trigger a bearish move towards $176.7. For that reason a trader or investor can use as a reference $194.7 to set their stop losses according to their own risk tolerance (the exact level is not recommended since the levels can act as a bouncer as we have studied for bullish and bearish reversals).For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with
SMH Outlook: Bounce Potential & Key Levels
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JC888
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2025-04-12

MSFT halts Data Centre build. Sell SMCI ?

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ appears to be stepping back on multiple data center projects both domestically and globally. (see below) At the same time, it is raising new doubts about the speed of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure development. Although MSFT still maintains that it’s still on target to invest $80 billion in capital expenditures in 2025 alone, the charge has since raised investors’ concerns. But, to say that the AI-hype is over will be a misnomer. This is because it (AI) will be next IT frontier for businesses to adopt & refine over time. Menial & repetitive tasks will, increasingly be taken over by customized AI apps, improving productivity and driving down costs of businesses drastically. Right-Sizing. Current scale back is
MSFT halts Data Centre build. Sell SMCI ?
TOPTiger_CashBoostAccount: Great job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
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10.94K
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Tiger_chat
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2025-04-12
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ASX_Stars
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2025-04-11

Weekly | Will Gold’s Surge Boost Aussie Gold Stocks Like DEG and NST?

As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 7646.50 on Friday, down 0.28% in the past 5 days.1. $Zip Co Ltd(ZIP.AU)$ +15.56%Zip's shares rose following the announcement of a A$50 million buyback plan, reflecting its strategy to capitalize on favorable market conditions, after reporting strong financial growth in its digital retail finance and payments operations.State Street Corporation have gained significant voting power in Zip, potentially influencing its strategy and governance.Zip issued 144,501 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme to align staff interests with company goals and boost efficiency.2. $DE GREY MIN
Weekly | Will Gold’s Surge Boost Aussie Gold Stocks Like DEG and NST?
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HKEX_Comments
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2025-04-11

Weekly | Trade Tensions Drive HK stocks down with Southbound funds buying!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market faced heavy losses, with $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 8.47%.Trade War IntensifiesLast Wednesday, the U.S. government announced "reciprocal tariffs" on Chinese imports. In response, China imposed a 34% tariff increase on all U.S. imports. This escalated trade tensions caused a global market sell-off. The HSI plummeted 13.22% on Monday, marking its biggest one-day drop since 1997.In mainland China, the ChiNext Index dropped 12.5%, the largest single-day fall in history.Government Support Amid growing panic, the Central Huijin Investment Co. reaffirmed its confidence in China's capital markets, announcing further ETF purchases. The People's Bank of China also expressed support, stating it would provide sufficient re-lendin
Weekly | Trade Tensions Drive HK stocks down with Southbound funds buying!
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5.76K
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PeterDiCarlo
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2025-04-12

TSLA looking good going into next week

📈 Ticker: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ⏱️ Time Frame: Weekly🎢 Market Bias: Monthly Bullish / Weekly Bear🏗️ Structure: Bullish + Support and Resistance Zone✅ BX Trender: Higher Low 🚀🎯 Target: $360🛑 Invalidation: LL or break of Support and Resistance Zone⏳ Time Horizon: 30 - 45 days🧠 Confidence Level (1–5): ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️TSLA looking good going into next week 😎This setup has a 62% win rate historically, with an average 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
TSLA looking good going into next week
TOPa4xrbj1: Haha, what kind of wishful thinking is this? You need people to pump up the stock (even more than they already do)? Have you taken a look at the declining profit margin, the shrinking sales and revenue? Now with the Chinese tariffs the Megapacks will take a big hit as they are 100% CATL batteries from China. Same for powerwall.
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2.72K
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SmartReversals
·
2025-04-12

Is This the Turn? SPX's First Notable Bounce in 8 Weeks

After the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spiked to 60, U.S. indices showed a positive week, but be aware that intra-week volatility has been extreme, exhausting both bulls and bears, triggering stop losses on both sides. Price action has been erratic, leading to short-term invalidation of setups, yet remaining consistent with the Support and Resistance Levels.The previous publication presented how violent can be the bounces during bear markets, providing visual guidance on how technical analysis can be used in your favor to be profitable in bear markets as well and not even shorting (if so, the potential is higher, but with the right preparation, mindset and use of S/R levels. The publication studies the technicals of six bear markets (1987, 2000, 20
Is This the Turn? SPX's First Notable Bounce in 8 Weeks
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4.85K
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SmartReversals
·
2025-04-12

NVDA is testing the 20-day moving average again

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is testing the 20-day moving average again, a level that has acted as strong resistance in recent weeks. Given the last three bullish candles, not to mention Monday's strong bullish reversal validated by volume. Price action suggests a potential break above this resistance. Will the downtrend finally yield?ImageBitcoin: The 20 daily moving average (DMA) will provide breakouts validations.The more a line is tested...ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
NVDA is testing the 20-day moving average again
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3.55K
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Stock_Botty
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2025-04-12
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1.88K
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SmartReversals
·
2025-04-12

Death Cross Imminent in SPX

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Nice rally, and price remains near the 10-day moving average zone, similar to last Wednesday⚠️, and the death cross is looming⚠️. While further short-term bullish momentum is possible, without a V-shaped recovery akin to 2020 or 2018, this area could act as resistance before a resumption of the sell-off.That signal, the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average, was the subject of an educational analysis covering the last decade, published just two weeks ago. Review that publication to see for yourself the signal's historical relevance for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $iShares
Death Cross Imminent in SPX
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jfsrevg
·
2025-04-12

SE & GRAB – On Growth Watchlist as Potential Winners in the Tariff Storm

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ – On Growth Watchlist as Potential Winners in the Tariff StormThese two 2024 growth stock darlings might actually be viewed as defensive plays going forward, given their lack of direct exposure to US, and (minimal China trade for SE) and the fact that all their revenue is generated within Southeast AsiaQ1'24 Earnngs Date: SE: 20/5GRAB: 15/5ImageImage1-Month Relative Strength (sorted) for my 15 Liquid watchlist $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Robinhood(HOOD)$
SE & GRAB – On Growth Watchlist as Potential Winners in the Tariff Storm
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2.12K
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Building_Benjamins
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2025-04-12

Whirlpool’s 8.2% Dividend Powerhouse Spinning Through the Downcycle

8.2% Dividend YieldDespite current headwinds in North American sales WHR’s high domestic manufacturing footprint (80% of US sales) provides insulation against potential tariff impacts.With a debt reduction target from 4.4x to 3.4x by end of 2025 and projected $550 million in free cash flow, WHR appears financially positioned to weather current housing market weakness.The stock has declined 27.0% over the trailing twelve months, potentially creating an attractive entry point as worst-case scenarios appear priced in.Investment Thesis $Whirlpool(WHR)$ is a US-based manufacturer of home appliances. Globally, WHR owns and operates 25 manufacturing facilities, with 11 in the United States. It owns 13 brands across small and large appliances, including Ki
Whirlpool’s 8.2% Dividend Powerhouse Spinning Through the Downcycle
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Michael Esther
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2025-04-12

The SPY hardly moved

The SPY hardly moved from US PPI data and it was really good (lower inflation) and this is why:What’s the data saying?1.US PPI YoY (Year-over-Year):Actual: 2.7%Expected: 3.3%Previous: 3.2%✅ Came in lower than expected!2.US PPI MoM (Month-over-Month):Actual: -0.4%Expected: 0.2%Previous: 0.0%✅ Negative – prices dropped this month!3.US Core PPI YoY (excludes food & energy):Actual: 3.3%Expected: 3.6%Previous: 3.4%✅ Softer than expected!4.US Core PPI MoM:Actual: -0.1%Expected: 0.3%Previous: -0.1%✅ Still negative – very soft inflation pressureWhat does this mean? (Simple Terms)PPI = inflation for businesses.If it’s going up, costs go up, which may lead to price hikes for consumers.This report shows inflation is cooling off – businesses are paying less or not seeing much cost increases.How do
The SPY hardly moved
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1.27K
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Travis Hoium
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2025-04-12

Historically, market pullbacks don’t happen in a week or two

Historically, market pullbacks don’t happen in a week or two. They’re drawn out and bumpy.There was over 2 years from peak to drought from 2000-2002.There was over 2 years from peak to drought from 2007-2009.This peak was Feb 2025. May be 2027 until we see bottom.The stock market thinks short-term.Your biggest advantage is thinking long-term.The best investors are on a constant learning journey.Buffett started buying "cigar butt" stocks and evolved to a buy-and-hold strategy.Bill Gurley has made a fortune on internet companies and the internet didn't even exist when he started.Learn, implement, repeat. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(N
Historically, market pullbacks don’t happen in a week or two
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1.39K
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Callum_Thomas
·
2025-04-12

Daily Charts - Bargain hunters should be looking for a different kind of liquidity

1.Weekend Wine-d Down...With fine wine prices down -25% off the peak, vs about -12% for stocks, maybe bargain hunters should be looking for a different kind of liquidity 😅Image2.One interesting dynamic is we haven't seen a whole lot of rotation through this...Basically been a process of "sell everything"Still, it's well worth keeping an eye on some of those stretched setups like the one in this chart.Image3.Funny how things just seem to have a habit of happening when the Market Cycle is "ready" to turn...Stockmarket Cycles reflect-valuations-business cycle-financial cycles-social/political cycles-industrialization/innovation cyclesThere were multiple signs that the market cycle was near a peak late last year, and now we have things happening -- and sure enough the cycle is turning down.The
Daily Charts - Bargain hunters should be looking for a different kind of liquidity
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808
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Callum_Thomas
·
2025-04-12

Weekly Macro Themes - Stocks/bonds ratio turns bearish amid recession risks

This week I covered the following topics/ideas:1. Weighing Recession Risk: The US economy faces a high chance of recession this year.2. Stocks vs Bonds: The stock/bond ratio is rolling over as recession risk weighs and momentum shifts from bullish to bearish; relative value and positioning support further follow-through to the downside.3. Credit Spreads: Credit spreads are catching up (/waking up) to equity market volatility, and may well see further upside; particularly in event of recession (remain cautious on credit spreads/risk assets).4. US Dollar: Remain bearish US dollar on recession/political risk, deteriorating technicals, longer-term cycles, expensive valuations; and see credible chance of larger breakdown.5. Global vs US: Bullish global vs US equities given the prospect of a wea
Weekly Macro Themes - Stocks/bonds ratio turns bearish amid recession risks
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2.61K
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JaminBall
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2025-04-12
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2.63K
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TRIGGER TRADES
·
2025-04-12

SPX - THE BEAR MARKET IS SET TO RESUME

THE BEAR MARKET IS SET TO RESUME $S&P 500(.SPX)$ CONFIRMED the bearish WXY model invalidating that the rally off the lows is impulsive.Therefore, 4835 is not safe as that should be crossed to decline to 4600-4400.However, there is strong risk of sideways price action to digest the historic swings before we begin the major leg lower.Overall, looking lower against 5481. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ ImageImag
SPX - THE BEAR MARKET IS SET TO RESUME
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OptionsDelta
·
2025-04-11

Big Loss of $90M! Market Maker Scores Big as Sell Put Trader Runs for the Exit

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Let’s start with a funny story: the whale who sold 90,000 contracts of the $130 put on Wednesday ran for the exit during Thursday’s session. Currently, the open interest for $NVDA 20250411 130.0 PUT$  stands at 58 contracts.We know this whale opened their position right before Wednesday’s close, which was at the highest price of the day. However, they closed out their position on Thursday at intraday lows.As a result, the market makers made a huge profit yet again. Assuming the whale’s closing price was $25 per contract, this trade resulted in a loss of about $90 million for them. In other words, the market makers pocketed $90 million in profits.I admit, I overesti
Big Loss of $90M! Market Maker Scores Big as Sell Put Trader Runs for the Exit
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