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2025-05-02
Think Like Buffett: What Counterintuitive Truths Have You Overlooked?
At a party with 25 people, what is the probability that at least two of them share the same birthday?This is a classic probability puzzle known as the "Birthday Paradox". Warren Buffett once used this paradox to make a bet.At a gathering of Benjamin Graham followers, Buffett claimed that in a group of 25 attendees, at least two would share the same birthday. It turned out Buffett was right.“The simple (but surprising) explanation is that the probability of this happening is around 60%.”Probability sometimes is unintuitiveIn fact, a more accurate estimate of the probability is about 57%. That figure is still surprisingly high—so how is it calculated?Assume there are 25 people, and each birthday is uniformly distributed across 365 days in a year. Let's first calculate the easier scenario: th
TOPShyon: The Birthday Paradox has always intrigued me—especially how Warren Buffett used it to win a bet. At first, it seems unlikely that in a group of 25 people, two would share a birthday, but the math shows a 57% chance. It’s a great example of how our intuition often fails when dealing with probability. This kind of thinking error appears often in the stock market. Many believe a stock that has dropped 50% is unlikely to fall further, but if fundamentals worsen, another 20% drop is very possible. Markets respond to present conditions, not past price movements—just like a coin toss has no memory. One of the best lessons I’ve learned from Buffett is the power of independent thinking and patience. Like waiting for the right pitch in baseball, good investing means staying calm and avoiding emotional decisions. Paradoxes like this sharpen my thinking and remind me to always question what seems obvious. $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)$ @Tiger_SG @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
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2025-05-02
RDDT, MSFT, NFLX, SPY& QQQ Welcome Great Rebound Now!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ To the sellers:Speak now, or forever hold your peace. Image2. $Netflix(NFLX)$ "How can an image cause physical pain?"The image:Image3. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ That was fun. ⛹️ Image4 $Reddit(RDDT)$ Yeah, that's a beauty. ☕️ T +18% on earnings.Image5.The 200-day SMA has entered the chat.Real-time alert is set. ⏰ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ | $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageLook for another way to gain more profits!Open a CBA today and enjoy p
4.93K
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2025-05-02
Is Palantir A Buy Ahead of Q1 25 Earnings?
🌟🌟🌟Palantir $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
TOPThe last earnings when pltr reported it blasted off to $125. I’m imagining after this blowout earnings we will blast to $140
22.30K
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2025-05-02
AAPL 25Q2: iPhone Beat, Tariff Trouble Ahead, China Struggle, AI Holds Future Growth
On May 1, $Apple(AAPL)$ released its financial results for the second fiscal quarter ended March 2025. The company’s overall performance slightly exceeded market expectations, with core business lines remaining resilient. However, as prior investor concerns were validated, Apple’s share price fell by over 4% in after-hours trading.Both revenue and earnings surpassed consensus forecasts this quarter. The Services segment once again set a new record and significantly contributed to margin expansion. Performance in the Greater China region slightly outpaced earlier conservative expectations.Nonetheless, Apple faces multiple challenges, including a potential $900 million increase in tariff-related costs in Q3, persistent demand pressures in China, and
TOPJust think folding phone and enhanced AI… Ignore the troll responses to this and everything else … Stay long stay strong
4.13K
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2025-05-02
$老虎证券(TIGR)$ my biggest profit
TOPCongratulations on your succeed trades. Your portfolio is a shining example of what smart investing looks like. Congratulations on your achievements! Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
1.91K
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2025-05-02
Labubu’s World Domination: Can Pop Mart Still Pop Higher?
As Labubu 3.0 ignites global frenzy, is the magic priced in? The tiny yet mischievous Labubu has done it again. On April 25, Pop Mart’s app rocketed to the top of the US App Store’s Shopping category for the first time ever—an extraordinary feat for a Chinese designer toy company still expanding globally. That same evening, its LABUBU 3.0 series sold out instantly across China. The market's reaction? A 12% surge in Pop Mart’s share price, vaulting it to a new all-time high of HK$199. I won’t deny it—seeing a company with roots in Beijing’s toy aisles now command such global attention is exhilarating. But with shares up over 475% in the past year and the valuation nearing nosebleed territory (a trailing P/E of 77.5 and price-to-sales ratio over 18), the question feels inevitable: have we mi
TOPI can't understand it, but I saw the news of voting, it should be at the top
1.55K
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2025-05-02
SPX & AMZN - Will the price reach the 20DMA?
1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Reversed today at $5,658.9, and the bullish target published in the premium content last Friday for the index was $5,668.3🎯🎯🎯Today's bearish candle anticipated a pullback considering also the overbought oscillator. Price action needs a reset.Will the price reach the 20DMA? Image2. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ The indecision candle at the 50DMA zone (purple line) was enough warning considering the gap opened in the morning. Will the 20DMA (blue line) act as support? (I think so)Image3. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ QQQ - Daily Doji Star in the Making ⚠️My bullish target for the week shared last Friday with subscribers was $487 ➡️That was the rejection point this
2.47K
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2025-05-02
Hot Stocks - PLTR, MSTR & MSFT
1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Congrats to everyone who nailed the PLTR trade — target hit 🎯I didn’t take this one myself, but huge win for those who followed the setup!2. $Strategy(MSTR)$ MSTR up 33% since this call just a few weeks ago.I'm not always right — and I don’t need to be.What matters is how much you lose when you're wrong vs how much you win when you're right.3. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ 10/17/25 $460 Calls – $14.57M Block (7,249 Contracts @ $20.10 Ask)Massive long-dated block slammed at the ask while MSFT trades ~$432.79.Over $22M stacked across multiple blocks and a $4M sweep within minutes.This isn’t retail — this is institutional firepower loading
2.62K
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2025-05-02
AMZN, GOOG & MSFT - Cloud Giants Update
Cloud Giants Update:AWS ( $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ): $117B run rate growing 17% YoY (last Q grew 19%)Azure ( $Microsoft(MSFT)$ ): ~$77B run rate (estimate) growing 35% YoY (last Q grew 31%)Google Cloud ( $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ includes GSuite): $49B run rate growing 28% YoY (last Q grew 30%, neither are cc)ImageAWS at a $117B run rate growing 17%Quarterly YoY growth trends below.ImageQuarterly net new ARR added below:ImageYoY growth in quarterly net new ARR added below:ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commis
2.88K
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2025-05-02
Cloudflare (NET) Earnings To Show Monetization Success On Newer Products
$Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ is scheduled to report its Q1 2025 financial results on Thursday, 08 May 2025, after the U.S. market closes. They will also host an investor conference call that day at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time / 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. Revenue: Expected to be between $468.0 million and $469.4 million. This represents approximately 24% year-over-year growth. Non-GAAP EPS: Expected to be around $0.16 per share. This would be flat compared to the $0.16 reported in Q1 2024. GAAP EPS: Consensus estimates are around $-0.05 per share, compared to $-0.03 in Q1 2024. Non-GAAP Income from Operations: Cloudflare's guidance was for $54.0 million to $55.0 million. Cloudflare (NET) Last Positive Earnings Call Saw Share Price Decline By 13.36% NET had a pos
TOPIS NET a better buy than PANW or CRWD??? I own PANW but want more Clooud security exposure....
1.74K
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2025-05-02
TSLA - Structure is still bullish
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Monthly BX closed 🔴 — but that’s not the end of the world.Structure is still bullish, and now all eyes are on tomorrow’s weekly close.If the Weekly BX flips 🟢, we’ve got a 70% shot at blasting through the liquidity zone and tagging $360 🎯Let's see if buyers show up to finish the job.Image TSLA Alpha Gold for June ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers No
1.93K
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2025-05-02
Heavy size sweep slammed at the ask as NVDA traded at $113.55
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 05/23/25 $115 Calls – $3.67M Sweep (8,000 Contracts @ $4.58 Ask) Note 📝Heavy size sweep slammed at the ask as NVDA traded at $113.55.This is short-dated, high conviction, and came right before other follow-up sweeps hit $124 and $122.They're loading calls fast — eyes on a potential breakout move by end of week. 🔥Seems NVDA right should will form 🚀ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to
TOPCould mean both ways. Those who sold 8000 contracts believe that it wouldn't ever cross 115. Best earning premium while the stock market in doldrums
2.00K
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2025-05-02
SPX came just short of the 5685-5750 target zone
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ came just short of the 5685-5750 target zone.As long as price remains above 5545, it has upside potential to that zone - holding confluence of the 100% extension, Weekly FVG, and 200DMA.However, the loss of 5545 would suggest the bearish WXY or bullish 3rd wave terminated to begin pulling back to 5461-5401 support.Overall, the bearish WXY model is only confirmed below the 50% retracement of the Apr 21 rally - currently 5380. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
1.80K
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2025-05-02
How To Trade Stock Market Behavior When U.S. Goes Into Stagflation
Stagflation, a challenging economic environment characterized by stagnant economic growth, high inflation, and typically high unemployment, generally poses significant headwinds for the stock market. Why Recent Economic Data Suggest Potential Stagflation? The combination of the unexpected economic contraction (negative GDP growth) in Q1 alongside inflation metrics that accelerated on a quarterly basis and remain well above the Fed's target is the core reason for rising stagflation concerns. Weakening manufacturing activity with simultaneously rising price pressures, coupled with early signs of a cooling labor market, adds to the picture. Analysts are specifically using the term "stagflation warning shot" in response to this recent mix of data. Below is a summary of the most recent U.S. eco
TOPI like CVX and the 5% divvy but with the DOW falling there is absolutely no hurry to buy.
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2025-05-02
Systematic Funds are being forced to add back net long exposure with the market rallying. Vol Control Funds have basically just begun buying from 3+ year allocation lows. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trad
3.92K
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2025-05-02
Mapletree Logistics Trust's 4Q FY24/25 Result Review
$Mapletree Log Tr(M44U.SI)$ Basic Profile & Key Statistics Key Indicators Performance Highlight Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT) reported a mixed set of results for 4Q FY24/25: Gross revenue and NPI dipped slightly year-on-year, primarily due to lower contributions from China, currency depreciation, and absence of revenue from divested assets. These were partially offset by stronger performance from Singapore, Australia, and Hong Kong SAR, as well as contributions from acquisitions completed in 1Q FY24/25. DPU declined 11.6% YoY to 1.955 cents, impacted by lower NPI, higher borrowing costs, and smaller capital distributions from divestments. Rental Reversion MLT achieved an overall portfolio rental reversion of +5.1% for the quarter. While m
19.72K
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2025-05-02
[Event] Are You the Next Warren Buffett or George Soros? Discover Your Investing Style with TigerAI!
🔥 May 3rd marks the biggest event in the investing world — the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting!It’s time to ask yourself: what’s your investing style? Let TigerAI give your portfolio a quick checkup and match you with a legendary investor.🎯 What’s Your Investing DNA?Which of these icons do you invest like?✔️ Buffett – Focused on “moat” stocks, slow and steady, long-term thinker✔️ Soros – A master of market timing, bold and decisive✔️ Peter Lynch – Finds 10-baggers just by observing everyday life✔️ Ray Dalio – Obsessed with asset allocation and risk balanceHow to Join:1️⃣ Use TigerAI to analyze your portfolio and see which legend your investing style matches.👉 [Click here to ask TigerAI]2️⃣ Share a screenshot
TOPBased on my style—favoring Palantir (PLTR), holding for about 24 months plus, and as an aggressive investor—my approach most closely resembles that of Cathie Wood, the CEO of ARK Invest. • High-conviction tech bets: Cathie Wood is known for investing heavily in disruptive, high-growth tech stocks like PLTR. • Medium-term horizon: While she can hold for years, she's also willing to adjust positions over a couple of years based on evolving theses, which aligns with your 24-month timeframe. • Aggressive growth: Wood embraces volatility in pursuit of exponential returns, fitting your aggressive risk tolerance. Here's how my style compares to a legendary investor: Warren Buffett – Contrasting Style • Focus: Value investing, strong fundamentals, durable moats. • Risk Tolerance: Low to moderate. • Holding Period: Decades. • Similarity: Low. Buffett avoids speculative tech plays and seeks steady compounders. thank you @TigerEvents have fun @koolgal @Zarkness @HelenJanet @vodkalime
3.09K
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2025-05-02
Can Marathon Digital (MARA) Earnings Net Loss Per Share Expected Be Helped By Stronger Bitcoin Prices?
$MARA Holdings(MARA)$ is scheduled to report its Q1 2025 financial results and host a conference call on Thursday, 08 May 2025, after the market closes (5:00 p.m. Eastern Time / 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time). Revenue: Expected to be around $221.2 million to $221.7 million. This would represent a significant year-over-year increase of roughly 34%. Earnings Per Share (EPS): Estimates vary somewhat. Different sources report consensus forecasts ranging from approximately $-0.01 per share to $-0.68 per share. For comparison, MARA reported an EPS of $-0.06 in Q1 2024. Most estimates suggest a larger loss per share compared to the same quarter last year, despite the expected rise in revenue. Estimate Revisions: Some sources note that consensus EPS estimates ha
TOPNo use..whatever earning results it’s already depressed. It will not surpass $20 even if btc surpass 100k as traders already controlled
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2025-05-01
Investors Alert - If US faces Stagflation !
Lately, there are many news article speculating that US will slip into Stagflation anytime from Q2 2025 onwards. (see below) After reading one post too many about it, it seems to take on a life of its own. What is Stagflation ? It is an economic term used to describe a combination of (a) rising inflation, (b) slower economic growth and (c) high unemployment. Objectively speaking, item #a does not seemed to be happening, at least not based on CPI’s March 2025 data. There will be another take on US inflation when US’s personal consumption expenditure (PCE) is released on Wed, 30 Apr 2025. On US economic growth, when the GDP report is out on Wednesday, we will know. Rounding off, Fri’s US Non-farm payroll will shed light on Jobs/ Labour & Unemployment. Market Consensus. Like it or not, ma
TOPGreat job on your latest stock market success! Your commitment to research and analysis is evident in your results.Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading toenhance your strategies."Welcome to open a CBAtoday and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HKand US stocks. as well as ETFs. How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
5.70K
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2025-05-01
Buffett’s lunch offers timeless wisdom rooted in fundamentals—compounding, value, patience. Trump’s dinner? A high-stakes table where policy hints and market-moving rhetoric are on the menu. As a trader, I choose Trump: not for ideology, but for real-time signals that could tilt sectors overnight. Insight is gold—but timing is platinum.