Weekly | XYZ Jumps 15.5% as Bridgewater Backs Rebound!
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 8231.20 on Friday, up 0.48% in the past 5 days.1. $Block Inc(XYZ.AU)$ +15.5%Despite the disappointing Q1 2025 earnings, Block shows a 43.43% upside potential as of May 2, 2025. This suggests market confidence in a potential rebound and long-term growth.With a substantial stake of $104.5 million from Bridgewater, XYZ is backed by one of the most successful hedge funds in the world, indicating a strong belief in its future potential despite the short-term challenges.2. $QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED(QAN.AU)$ +8.83%Shares of Qantas Airways rose to a one-month high, tracking a drop in oil prices after OPEC
Weekly | Big Talks Ahead – Will There Be Good News?
Hong Kong stocks continued their rebound this week. $HSI(HSI)$ rose 1.6%, reclaiming levels not seen since the China-U.S trade war began.Markets are watching closely: a heavyweight meeting is set for this weekend between China’s top economic officials and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. It's the first formal trade dialogue since Trump hiked tariffs on Chinese goods to 145% last month.Holiday Spending Blows Past ExpectationsAccording to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, the May Day holiday saw 314 million domestic trips, up 6.4% year-on-year. Tourism spending totaled 180.3 billion yuan, an 8% jump — beating market forecasts.Policy Boosts: RRR Cut and Rate DropIn a surprise mid-week move, China’s central bank rolled out a set of monetary ea
Don’t trade one-dimensionally on technical recognition
We’re navigating market environments that are far from straightforward. The recent wave of tariffs have injected considerable uncertainty into global trade and economic policy. These external factors can contribute to conditions that define competitive advantages or vulnerabilities within sectors or for specific stocks. During these times, technical analysis isn’t just helpful—it’s indispensable.When you see a candlestick forming near a major support line amid ongoing macroeconomic headwinds, it’s more than just a price reaction; it’s a signal that market participants may be defending what they perceive as fair value, despite external pressures. In practice, if you’re trading a security that historically respects a certain price floor, a strong bullish candlestick formation near that zone—
1. $Strategy(MSTR)$ Called this setup last month — now up 35% 🤑Was expecting a short-term pullback, but buyers clearly had other plans.BX still holding 🟢 so the expansion could continue.Congrats to everyone who caught the move 🤝Image2. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ BX still 🔴 but we did get a higher low — a good sign.That said, I’m still not trading this 🛑Weekly and monthly charts still support expansion, so I’m not shorting.But risk/reward isn’t strong enough to go long BEST move right now? Sit back and stay patient.Image3. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ BX still 🟢, but losing some steam. Smart money zone is still being tested and wouldn’t surprise me if
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Just like that Daily BX 🟢 againWeekly 🟢 as well.All we need now is to sweep this $290 liquidity zone and it's off to $350 / $360 🎯Image2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Everything is moving according to plan. Weekly BX showing strength ✅Daily BX still making higher highs and holding green ✅If we sweep $120 liquidity level, we're filling this thin volume profile level @ $130Image3. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ Perfect bounce off the smart money zone — we’ve been trading this long with the Discord team.Monthly BX is still 🔴 which isn’t ideal.Wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback to $9 this summer.That said, I’ll keep trading this long as long as the wee
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The 2 Hours chart presents the bullish hammer above the central level on April 30th, and during this last week, the central level acted as support, with a temporary breach on April 7th that makes the case of fake breakdowns and the reason why a stop loss has to be set below the level.Anyway, the bearish doji observed on Thursday initiated a decline, however, there is no bearish confirmation since the blue line ($5,606) has not been lost. That blue line will change next week, the level is provided below.For next week, the support and resistance levels will be crucial, since the price action has been indecisive for seven consecutive days already. Such indecision builds price platforms that can act as a launchpad, as presented las
4.35% Dividend YieldSFD maintains strong financial health with a 0.7x debt-to-EBITDA ratio, $928 million cash on hand, and no major debt payments until 2027.The company plans $400-500 million in capex for 2025, split between maintenance and operational improvements focused on automation.The company has already cut 20% of its herd size since December 2024, with the goal of internally producing only 30% of needed hogs to stabilize margins across commodity cycles.Despite export challenges, the USDA only expects a 2% drop in overall pork trade, and low storage levels may limit pricing pressures from oversupply in the domestic market.Investment Thesis $Smithfield Foods Inc.(SFD)$ is a producer and processor of pork, and is the largest producer of pork b
PICK 1 TRADING SET-UP AND STICK TO IT FOR AT LEAST 20-30 TRADES
You'll be 100% more consistent in your trading if you realize this about your entries and exits:(Bookmark this picture to print it of later!)PICK 1 TRADING SET-UP AND STICK TO IT FOR AT LEAST 20-30 TRADES.Do not jump around all the time and start chasing profits. For example, for this reversal play here. You can take a least 4 trades maybe even 10. But that is not the point.The point here is to pick which set-up you like best and only trade it when you see it happen. If you don't see it happen then dont trade it. You are working on consistency and confidence building as a new trader.You are not trying to get call the moves the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ can do in 1 day.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA toda
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ - The shooting star printed on Thursday was followed by a red candle, but the price continues above the 5 and 10DMA, so no bearish confirmation yet. Since the price is overbought relative to fast oscillators and still below the 200 DMA, the bearish setup has to be confirmed losing the 5DMA, for a visit to $5,551.6.ImageThe futures are building on the launchpad thesis. Let’s see how the day ends. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Tr
Warren Buffett: His journey wasn't a sprint but a marathon, meticulously built on core principles, patience, and a profound understanding of intrinsic value. Let's delve into the key milestones and philosophies that shaped his investment career.ImageEarly Seeds (1930s-1950s): Born in Omaha, Nebraska, Buffett's early fascination with finance was evident. He bought his first stock at just 11! Heavily influenced by Benjamin Graham's work, "The Intelligent Investor," he embraced the bedrock of value investing: acquiring undervalued companies with robust fundamentals.ImageThe Graham Years (1950s): Buffett's academic pursuit led him to study under Graham at Columbia Business School. Graham's core tenets – the margin of safety and viewing stocks as ownership stakes in a business – became foundati
Congratulations to all of the $Lyft, Inc.(LYFT)$ holders!This is an Asymmetric Investing stock that had a lot of people scratching their heads, but it's already working and has lots of upside with tailwinds from:1. International Expansion2. Buybacks3. Autonomy4. Multiple ExpansionImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉
It’s hard to overstate how well $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ is performing. The company reported 111% growth in the first quarter and is now profitable and generating consistent free cash flow.Management also expects margins to continue expanding 1-3% per year, so in time, this could be a 10-20% operating margin business.Growth in the quarter was certainly driven by GLP-1s, which were still in shortage in the first quarter, allowing Hims & Hers to compound the product and sell it to subscribers at a low price.That shortage ended early in Q2, so growth will slow in the final three quarters of the year, but management is still expecting 56% to 63% revenue growth in 2025, despite the loss of the compounded GLP-1 exemption.A recent partners
GoldNuggets Digest: ETF holdings of gold $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ , gold price valuation indicator, gold vs bonds, family office asset allocations, gold price forecasts...Retail ArrivedTurns out the Gold price peaked just as retail started piling in. ImageExtreme ExpensiveWhile there are strong monetary tailwinds behind gold and an entrenched bull trend, the expensive valuation signal in the chart below —alongside overbought technicals, consensus bullishness, and extended flows/positioning— make for an uncertain outlook, and a period of consolidation and correction is probably a healthy thing for the gold price at this point. ImageGold vs BondsGold has done an outstanding job as a bond alternative — and has not only outperformed as a diversi
Weekly Macro Themes - Remain bullish EM equities on strengthening technicals
This week I covered the following topics:1. Global Growth Pulse: Soft data slumped in April from already waning levels, but the global hard data pulse is on an improving trend (following the lead set by bullish leading indicators).2. Ups & Downs: There is almost a precise balance of downside and upside risks on the list, it serves as a good reminder about not getting too carried away on the bull or bear side.3. Commodities: Remain bullish given promising technicals (and flows/sentiment/positioning), cheap valuations, light capex, and mixed-to-positive demand outlook (with scope for upside).4. Emerging Markets: Remain bullish EM equities on strengthening technicals, reset in sentiment/flows, cheap valuations, and light allocations by investors (+turning point in relative performance).5.
Thoughts on the Guidance Impact on Stock Trends I believe the decision by United Overseas Bank and DBS to adjust or pause their two thousand twenty-five guidance due to uncertainties from United States tariffs will have a noticeable effect on stock trends. The drop in UOBs share price by nearly two percent and DBSs cautious outlook suggest that investors might adopt a wait-and-see approach. I think this uncertainty could lead to short-term volatility, with stocks potentially trending downward until clearer economic signals emerge. However, the resilience in loan growth and stable profits might provide some support, so I would not rule out a recovery if market sentiment improves. Analysis of UOBs Performance in the First Quarter I am somewhat impressed by UOBs abilit
Anti-Tariff Shock: Are "AI + Product" Stocks the Next Stop?
Over the past week, several AI concept stocks have seen sharp gains. $Duolingo, Inc.(DUOL)$ surged over 20% thanks to its development of 148 new language courses using AI. $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ withstood short-selling pressure, leveraged AI to power its ad system, and achieved 40%+ revenue growth and 80%+ profit margins. $Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ returned to high growth, jumping 11% in the week of its earnings report. It’s seen as a “subscription + entertainment” stock, a type of defensive asset during trade wars and economic downturns.Is "AI + Product" the Real Growth Opportunity?While most AI projects still struggle with the dilemma of “powerful models, b
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ A rare bullish order for Tesla appeared: a short-term bullish option, 300 call $TSLA 20250606 300.0 CALL$ , with 38,000 contracts opened, likely indicating buying activity.At the same time, the top bearish open interest was the 280 put $TSLA 20250509 280.0 PUT$ , with 8,250 contracts opened, primarily sold.Additionally, a significant number of new positions were opened for July-expiry 400–415 calls, such as $TSLA 20250718 400.0 CALL$ . This is worth monitoring.From a trend perspective, 280 has become a new support level,