.SPX: Remain the Primary Outlook Until the Risk-off System Signals Another Alarm
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ There is a tremendous amount of top calling today. This is important, but first a recap for context. My risk system fired the alarm bell on February 21, this was well shared. This was the sole reason for outperformance through Q1. In April I shared thoughts of sentiment (Fear & Greed Index read 3!) and positioning being simultaneously depressed. This combination did well again to mark a local bottom. This was a good trade. (The market rallied another 5%. Happy to have caught 2/3 of the rally)Most recently for me however is a misstep taking a short sided traded last week. This was quickly cut on Monday. Many more of these will happen, the objective is to limit the number of missteps per year. There is a lot to review this we
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Took profit on the $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ May 16 exp 335P. Sold CSPs for next week's expiry. Went with the 337.5 and 332.5 put strikes.Will look to add to position and write another CSP, and will strangle put positions with naked calls next week. May 23 expiration, call strikes tbd.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
UBER, OCSR, NFLX, SPY& CVNA Welcome Great Potential Here!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ Hitting the breaks at megaphone resistance? 📢Image2. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ When RSI & MACD are in agreement it's a beautiful thing. 📈Image3. $Netflix(NFLX)$ | $Nike(NKE)$ Posted without comment. 😶 Image4. $Oscar Health, Inc.(OSCR)$ Hey now.🟢 +3.50%Image5. $Uber(UBER)$ This time is looking like the real deal. ✅ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trad
Weekly | Big News Hits, But Southbound Funds Pull Off a Surprise
This week, the Hong Kong stock market rallied for a fifth straight week, with the $HSI(HSI)$ up 2.09%.The big driver? A major breakthrough in U.S.-China trade talks. Top officials from both sides met in Geneva and reached meaningful consensus.Both countries agreed to slash tariffs. 91% of the so-called “emotional tariffs” were scrapped outright. Of the remaining 34% tariffs imposed post-“Liberation Day,” 24 percentage points are on a 90-day pause—only 10% remains.This means the current U.S. administration has cut its tariffs on China from 145% to just 30%. China’s tariffs on U.S. goods dropped from 125% to 10%.Markets loved it. The Hang Seng surged 3.4% on Monday.But then—something unexpected.Southbound Funds, which had been actively bottom-fishing
🌟🌟🌟As China pushes to assert its dominance on the global AI stage, few rivalries are as closely watched as the contest between Tencent $TENCENT(00700)$ and Alibaba $BABA-W(09988)$ . While both giants are investing aggressively in AI, their approaches and core strengths differ. Alibaba's recent high profile forays into Generative AI models and cloud based innovations contrast with Tencent's deep rooted integration into China's digital and social fabric. Alibaba's Bold AI Push Alibaba has been quick to position itself as a frontrunner in the AI revolution. Its latest strategy includes launching advanced AI models, i
Why I’m Bullish on AMD Stock: A Golden Investment Opportunity in 2025
As the technology sector continues to evolve at a rapid pace, the surging demand for artificial intelligence (AI), data centers, and cloud computing has positioned semiconductor giant Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as a focal point for investors. Currently, AMD stock is trading at approximately $117.17 (as of May 16, 2025), and analysts are overwhelmingly optimistic about its future performance. With its innovative products and strategic positioning, AMD offers substantial growth potential for investors. Here are the key reasons why I’m bullish on AMD stock. 1. Strong Financial Performance and Growth Potential AMD’s financial results for the first quarter of 2025 are impressive, showcasing the company’s robust growth trajectory. The company reported revenues of $7.4 billion, a year-over-year
this is what I'd do with your $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$$GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF(CONL)$ entry to my exit. since I don't know how you size your trade to your stop, I can only assume your avg price price on 12th may entry.1. 12th May entry (T day)2. 13th May (T+1)3. 14th May (T+2)4. 15th May (T+3), sell 33% size for partial profit, and adjust balance nett size to breakeven stop $19. 5. wait for first closed below 10-MAYou're in a luxury position on this COIN trade—meaning you're ahead, and that's a powerful spot to manage from.Nobody knows what the market will do tomorrow, next week, or next month. But I strongly encourage you to try holding a portion of your position as long as the 10-day
1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Quiet session today, but the BX is still green and printing higher highs — so buying pressure hasn’t gone anywhere.📍$140 remains our best upside target and that still stands.Until the Daily BX flips red, it’s full steam ahead.Image2. $Strategy(MSTR)$ Pulled back again today and daily BX is still red 🔴Could find support around $400 at this volume shelf — worst case we pull back to $350 before stabilizing.Still watching closely. Once the BX flips green, I’ll be looking to go long again.This might just be a re-load phase before the next push to $500.Image3. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ Closed today with lower highs on the BX for the first ti
1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Very slow session today with Tesla closing down 1.5%, but the BX trender is still expanding and showing higher highs — no sign of weakness yet.Price Explorer still has a best-case target of $400 to $426, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see some short-term resistance around $350.Still holding my Dec 2026 calls and staying bullish until the daily BX flips red.we stay patient and watch for a strong weekly close tomorrow.Image2. $Reddit(RDDT)$ Right back to yesterday’s levels — but nothing to stress about.The Inverted Head & Shoulders is still intact, Point of Control is holding, and the setup remains strong.I still think we’re looking at a potential 42–50% move in the coming weeks.
Mastering Reversals Through Key Levels and Confirmation Indicators
The strategic use of support and resistance levels is paramount in trading and investing, serving as crucial confirmation for various setups. The past week perfectly illustrated this, with the market experiencing the squeeze, a move that gained significant momentum due to the bullish outlook indicated by the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ and the fact that the price stayed way above $5,659, which was the level that had to stay as support to maintain the price structure with bullish momentum. Notably, the $5,868 mark on the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , initially the third weekly resistance, flipped to act as support, demonstrating its significance by triggering bounces on both May 14th and May 15th. This real-time e
Moody’s Downgrades U.S. for First Time on Debt Concerns
Moody's has just downgraded the United States' credit rating for the first time ever, citing an unsustainable trajectory for federal debt and the burdensome interest that follows.The US Debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to hit 134% by 2035, while federal interest payments are expected to account for about 30% of revenue by that same year, up from roughly 18% in 2024 and 9% in 2021.The current deficit spending mirrors World War II levels as a percentage of GDP. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commissi
SPY: Momentum continues, and more bullish signals are emerging
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : Momentum continues, and more bullish signals are emerging, such as the crossover between the 20-day and 50-day moving averages (green arrow). The current candle suggests bullish continuation, with the next potential resistance at the following volume shelf (black arrow). This shelf warrants careful monitoring, considering the nearly overbought RSI (orange arrow).Hence the levels mentioned to watch in order to avoid premature decisions: $5,868 for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $585 for SPY.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs
Daily Charts - The Best vs The Worst of Global Equities
1.The Best vs The Worst of Global Equities...US/Large/Growth = ExpensiveGlobal/Small/Value = CheapImage2.Where in the cycle(s)?It's a diversified portfolio of cycles 😵💫-the market cycle-the hype cycle-the bubble cycleWe are at a time where it's highly useful to know and understand each of these 3 repeating cycles...ImageImageImage3.Reported volatility for private markets 🧐🤔(to be fair, these things haven't really been tested by bear/recession/stress conditions in recent times, so it's anyone's guess as to what actual experienced volatility will end up being)(the other issue is there has been heavy flows into private assets; in search of better returns and lower volatility... which ironically will likely ultimately mean worse returns and higher volatility than expected)
The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ wave pattern looks CLEAR.Tomorrow is time to start shorting as SPX is about to terminate the ABC structure from the Apr 21 low, which would favor a HIGHER DEGREE CORRECTION following.An Daily/H1 close below 5845. would now be the first indication with the cross of the 50% retrace confirming such - currently 5750.Both bear and bull counts suggest that being hit, thus making it high probability.I’ll be looking at the lower Daily FVG at 5642-5582 as support for the 4th, or for the bears to bounce then break that down. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$$NASDAQ 1
A High-Cost-Effectiveness Strategy for Protecting Against a Market Top
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Next week’s target: 140.On Thursday, May 15th, $NVDA 20250516 132.0 PUT$ saw 58,000 contracts opened, with most of the activity leaning toward buying. The total transaction value was over $1.7 million, indicating that traders are expecting a pullback to 132 by Friday.From the transaction details, the 132 put was bought at NVIDIA’s intraday high. Combined with the transaction size, this suggests that the trader has high confidence in a pullback.However, since everyone is now anticipating a pullback to enter bullish positions, the market rarely aligns with such expectations. I think there’s a higher probability of the stock closing flat.Even if the stock doesn’t pul
On Thu, 15 May 2025, US stocks continued to close mostly higher, despite a blip in tech stocks, as investors go through retail sales data and $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ results for a snapshot of consumer health. When trading day ended: DJIA: +0.65% (+271.69 TO 42,322.75). S&P 500: +0.41% (+24.35 TO 5,916.93). Nasdaq: -0.18% (-34.49 to 19.112.32). Rally’s Catalysts ? (1) Producer Price Index (PPI) - April 2025. US producer prices unexpectedly fell in April 2025 as “wholesale services prices” declined the most (-0.7%) since 2009. It was “pulled” down by ebbing demand for air travel & hotel accommodation. (see above) For April 2025, (see above) Headline MoM inflation dropped -0.5%, after upward revision of March 2025 data from -0.4 to 0.0. Annual headlin
$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ has faced one blow after another this year. First, a top executive was shot. Then, the company missed earnings expectations. The CEO resigned, and the company withdrew its full-year guidance. This week, it was revealed that the company is under criminal investigation for alleged Medicare fraud.These successive shocks have sent the stock price plummeting from $620 to $250 within a month—a 33% drop this month alone and a year-to-date decline of over 55%.In the short term, the stock may be oversold, but it’s hard to rule out further downside if more news about criminal charges emerges.Did the Options Market Know First? How Credible Is the Criminal Allegation?Before The Wall Street Journal published its story, someone secretly short