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tomthetrader1
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2025-05-17

.SPX: Remain the Primary Outlook Until the Risk-off System Signals Another Alarm

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ There is a tremendous amount of top calling today. This is important, but first a recap for context. My risk system fired the alarm bell on February 21, this was well shared. This was the sole reason for outperformance through Q1. In April I shared thoughts of sentiment (Fear & Greed Index read 3!) and positioning being simultaneously depressed. This combination did well again to mark a local bottom. This was a good trade. (The market rallied another 5%. Happy to have caught 2/3 of the rally)Most recently for me however is a misstep taking a short sided traded last week. This was quickly cut on Monday. Many more of these will happen, the objective is to limit the number of missteps per year. There is a lot to review this we
.SPX: Remain the Primary Outlook Until the Risk-off System Signals Another Alarm
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Selling For Premium
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2025-05-17

Option Strategies: TSLA

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Took profit on the $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ May 16 exp 335P. Sold CSPs for next week's expiry. Went with the 337.5 and 332.5 put strikes.Will look to add to position and write another CSP, and will strangle put positions with naked calls next week. May 23 expiration, call strikes tbd.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
Option Strategies: TSLA
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1.91K
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TrendSpider
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2025-05-17

UBER, OCSR, NFLX, SPY& CVNA Welcome Great Potential Here!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ Hitting the breaks at megaphone resistance? 📢Image2. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ When RSI & MACD are in agreement it's a beautiful thing. 📈Image3. $Netflix(NFLX)$ | $Nike(NKE)$ Posted without comment. 😶 Image4. $Oscar Health, Inc.(OSCR)$ Hey now.🟢 +3.50%Image5. $Uber(UBER)$ This time is looking like the real deal. ✅ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trad
UBER, OCSR, NFLX, SPY& CVNA Welcome Great Potential Here!
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2.70K
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HKEX_Comments
·
2025-05-16

Weekly | Big News Hits, But Southbound Funds Pull Off a Surprise

This week, the Hong Kong stock market rallied for a fifth straight week, with the $HSI(HSI)$ up 2.09%.The big driver? A major breakthrough in U.S.-China trade talks. Top officials from both sides met in Geneva and reached meaningful consensus.Both countries agreed to slash tariffs. 91% of the so-called “emotional tariffs” were scrapped outright. Of the remaining 34% tariffs imposed post-“Liberation Day,” 24 percentage points are on a 90-day pause—only 10% remains.This means the current U.S. administration has cut its tariffs on China from 145% to just 30%. China’s tariffs on U.S. goods dropped from 125% to 10%.Markets loved it. The Hang Seng surged 3.4% on Monday.But then—something unexpected.Southbound Funds, which had been actively bottom-fishing
Weekly | Big News Hits, But Southbound Funds Pull Off a Surprise
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1.34K
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jfsrevg
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2025-05-17

Current 1-month RS leaderboard for Liquid 15

Current 1-month RS leaderboard for Liquid 15 (Sorted). Only $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has yet to report Q1 earnings, scheduled for May 28th after hours.I will always go for the leveraged ones if they are as liquid, due to lower capital locked up.Top 5: $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ $Robinhood(HOOD)$ ImageAMD Volatility Adjusted RS since late December 2024. Very similar to my $iShares Global Clean Energy ETF(ICLN)$ tradeImageFor whom haven
Current 1-month RS leaderboard for Liquid 15
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1.69K
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TopdownCharts
·
2025-05-17

Weekly Macro Themes - Path Cleared, But Risks Remain

This week I covered the following topics:1. Stocks vs Bonds: The reset in sentiment and positioning have cleared the path for a rebound in the stock/bond ratio post tariff-pivot, but valuations, longer-term cycles, and recession risk warrant caution. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $GLOBAL X DOW 30® COVERED CALL ETF(DJIA)$ 2. Japan: Remain bullish given structural economic/fundamental improvements, cheap valuations (absolute and vs global), and light allocations b
Weekly Macro Themes - Path Cleared, But Risks Remain
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8.04K
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koolgal
·
2025-05-17

China AI Battle : Tencent or Alibaba?

🌟🌟🌟As China pushes to assert its dominance on the global AI stage, few rivalries are as closely watched as the contest between Tencent $TENCENT(00700)$  and Alibaba $BABA-W(09988)$ .  While both giants are investing aggressively in AI, their approaches and core strengths differ. Alibaba's recent high profile forays into Generative AI models and cloud based innovations contrast with Tencent's deep rooted integration into China's digital and social fabric. Alibaba's Bold AI Push  Alibaba has been quick to position itself as a frontrunner in the AI revolution.  Its latest strategy includes launching advanced AI models, i
China AI Battle : Tencent or Alibaba?
TOPnomadic_m: thank you @koolgal for the analysis. I love it! I'm a fan of both $Alibaba(BABA)$ and $Tencent Holding Ltd.(TCEHY)$ , but instead of trying to decide which one, I'm letting $CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ take away the mental load. By investing in KWEB, I'm getting diversified exposure to both companies, as well as other Chinese internet giants. It's a hassle-free way to tap into China's tech growth story, without the need to $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ monitor and compare individual stocks. KWEB is my go-to solution for a stress-free China tech play.
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1.73K
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ToNi
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2025-05-17

Why I’m Bullish on AMD Stock: A Golden Investment Opportunity in 2025

As the technology sector continues to evolve at a rapid pace, the surging demand for artificial intelligence (AI), data centers, and cloud computing has positioned semiconductor giant Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as a focal point for investors. Currently, AMD stock is trading at approximately $117.17 (as of May 16, 2025), and analysts are overwhelmingly optimistic about its future performance. With its innovative products and strategic positioning, AMD offers substantial growth potential for investors. Here are the key reasons why I’m bullish on AMD stock. 1. Strong Financial Performance and Growth Potential AMD’s financial results for the first quarter of 2025 are impressive, showcasing the company’s robust growth trajectory. The company reported revenues of $7.4 billion, a year-over-year
Why I’m Bullish on AMD Stock: A Golden Investment Opportunity in 2025
TOPValerie Archibald: AMD truly has tremendous upside. Unfortunately, the macroeconomics of the current business structure moving forward, presents a challenging tailwind for the conpany. Good entry here is $105. Best of luck to all LONGS!
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2.01K
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jfsrevg
·
2025-05-17

From Entry to Exit: A Disciplined Plan for COIN

this is what I'd do with your $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF(CONL)$ entry to my exit. since I don't know how you size your trade to your stop, I can only assume your avg price price on 12th may entry.1. 12th May entry (T day)2. 13th May (T+1)3. 14th May (T+2)4. 15th May (T+3), sell 33% size for partial profit, and adjust balance nett size to breakeven stop $19. 5. wait for first closed below 10-MAYou're in a luxury position on this COIN trade—meaning you're ahead, and that's a powerful spot to manage from.Nobody knows what the market will do tomorrow, next week, or next month. But I strongly encourage you to try holding a portion of your position as long as the 10-day
From Entry to Exit: A Disciplined Plan for COIN
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2.41K
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PeterDiCarlo
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2025-05-17

Hot Stock Charts - NVDA, MSTR & HIMS

1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Quiet session today, but the BX is still green and printing higher highs — so buying pressure hasn’t gone anywhere.📍$140 remains our best upside target and that still stands.Until the Daily BX flips red, it’s full steam ahead.Image2. $Strategy(MSTR)$ Pulled back again today and daily BX is still red 🔴Could find support around $400 at this volume shelf — worst case we pull back to $350 before stabilizing.Still watching closely. Once the BX flips green, I’ll be looking to go long again.This might just be a re-load phase before the next push to $500.Image3. $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ Closed today with lower highs on the BX for the first ti
Hot Stock Charts - NVDA, MSTR & HIMS
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3.89K
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PeterDiCarlo
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2025-05-17

Hot Stock Charts - TSLA, RDDT & SPY

1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Very slow session today with Tesla closing down 1.5%, but the BX trender is still expanding and showing higher highs — no sign of weakness yet.Price Explorer still has a best-case target of $400 to $426, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see some short-term resistance around $350.Still holding my Dec 2026 calls and staying bullish until the daily BX flips red.we stay patient and watch for a strong weekly close tomorrow.Image2. $Reddit(RDDT)$ Right back to yesterday’s levels — but nothing to stress about.The Inverted Head & Shoulders is still intact, Point of Control is holding, and the setup remains strong.I still think we’re looking at a potential 42–50% move in the coming weeks.
Hot Stock Charts - TSLA, RDDT & SPY
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1.75K
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SmartReversals
·
2025-05-17

Mastering Reversals Through Key Levels and Confirmation Indicators

The strategic use of support and resistance levels is paramount in trading and investing, serving as crucial confirmation for various setups. The past week perfectly illustrated this, with the market experiencing the squeeze, a move that gained significant momentum due to the bullish outlook indicated by the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ and the fact that the price stayed way above $5,659, which was the level that had to stay as support to maintain the price structure with bullish momentum. Notably, the $5,868 mark on the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , initially the third weekly resistance, flipped to act as support, demonstrating its significance by triggering bounces on both May 14th and May 15th. This real-time e
Mastering Reversals Through Key Levels and Confirmation Indicators
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SmartReversals
·
2025-05-17

Moody’s Downgrades U.S. for First Time on Debt Concerns

Moody's has just downgraded the United States' credit rating for the first time ever, citing an unsustainable trajectory for federal debt and the burdensome interest that follows.The US Debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to hit 134% by 2035, while federal interest payments are expected to account for about 30% of revenue by that same year, up from roughly 18% in 2024 and 9% in 2021.The current deficit spending mirrors World War II levels as a percentage of GDP. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commissi
Moody’s Downgrades U.S. for First Time on Debt Concerns
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1.11K
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SmartReversals
·
2025-05-17

SPY: Momentum continues, and more bullish signals are emerging

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : Momentum continues, and more bullish signals are emerging, such as the crossover between the 20-day and 50-day moving averages (green arrow). The current candle suggests bullish continuation, with the next potential resistance at the following volume shelf (black arrow). This shelf warrants careful monitoring, considering the nearly overbought RSI (orange arrow).Hence the levels mentioned to watch in order to avoid premature decisions: $5,868 for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $585 for SPY.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs
SPY: Momentum continues, and more bullish signals are emerging
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2.62K
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Callum_Thomas
·
2025-05-17

Daily Charts - The Best vs The Worst of Global Equities

1.The Best vs The Worst of Global Equities...US/Large/Growth = ExpensiveGlobal/Small/Value = CheapImage2.Where in the cycle(s)?It's a diversified portfolio of cycles 😵‍💫-the market cycle-the hype cycle-the bubble cycleWe are at a time where it's highly useful to know and understand each of these 3 repeating cycles...ImageImageImage3.Reported volatility for private markets 🧐🤔(to be fair, these things haven't really been tested by bear/recession/stress conditions in recent times, so it's anyone's guess as to what actual experienced volatility will end up being)(the other issue is there has been heavy flows into private assets; in search of better returns and lower volatility... which ironically will likely ultimately mean worse returns and higher volatility than expected)
Daily Charts - The Best vs The Worst of Global Equities
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2.83K
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JaminBall
·
2025-05-17

Top 10 SaaS Cloud multiples this week

Top 10 SaaS Cloud multiples this week
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1.66K
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TRIGGER TRADES
·
2025-05-17

The SPX wave pattern looks CLEAR

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ wave pattern looks CLEAR.Tomorrow is time to start shorting as SPX is about to terminate the ABC structure from the Apr 21 low, which would favor a HIGHER DEGREE CORRECTION following.An Daily/H1 close below 5845. would now be the first indication with the cross of the 50% retrace confirming such - currently 5750.Both bear and bull counts suggest that being hit, thus making it high probability.I’ll be looking at the lower Daily FVG at 5642-5582 as support for the 4th, or for the bears to bounce then break that down. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 1
The SPX wave pattern looks CLEAR
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OptionsDelta
·
2025-05-16

A High-Cost-Effectiveness Strategy for Protecting Against a Market Top

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Next week’s target: 140.On Thursday, May 15th, $NVDA 20250516 132.0 PUT$  saw 58,000 contracts opened, with most of the activity leaning toward buying. The total transaction value was over $1.7 million, indicating that traders are expecting a pullback to 132 by Friday.From the transaction details, the 132 put was bought at NVIDIA’s intraday high. Combined with the transaction size, this suggests that the trader has high confidence in a pullback.However, since everyone is now anticipating a pullback to enter bullish positions, the market rarely aligns with such expectations. I think there’s a higher probability of the stock closing flat.Even if the stock doesn’t pul
A High-Cost-Effectiveness Strategy for Protecting Against a Market Top
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JC888
·
2025-05-16

US Market & WMT end on a Friday Low ?

On Thu, 15 May 2025, US stocks continued to close mostly higher, despite a blip in tech stocks, as investors go through retail sales data and $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ results for a snapshot of consumer health. When trading day ended: DJIA: +0.65% (+271.69 TO 42,322.75). S&P 500: +0.41% (+24.35 TO 5,916.93). Nasdaq: -0.18% (-34.49 to 19.112.32). Rally’s Catalysts ? (1) Producer Price Index (PPI) - April 2025. US producer prices unexpectedly fell in April 2025 as “wholesale services prices” declined the most (-0.7%) since 2009. It was “pulled” down by ebbing demand for air travel & hotel accommodation. (see above) For April 2025, (see above) Headline MoM inflation dropped -0.5%, after upward revision of March 2025 data from -0.4 to 0.0. Annual headlin
US Market & WMT end on a Friday Low ?
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😊 WMT chart 📈 still looking have potential upside but maybe 🤔 Corrections soon.... @JC888 @Shyon @Barcode @Jes86188 @yourcelesttyy @koolgal
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Tiger_comments
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2025-05-16

UNH Lost 50% YTD! Can We Buy the Dip Right Now?

$UnitedHealth(UNH)$ has faced one blow after another this year. First, a top executive was shot. Then, the company missed earnings expectations. The CEO resigned, and the company withdrew its full-year guidance. This week, it was revealed that the company is under criminal investigation for alleged Medicare fraud.These successive shocks have sent the stock price plummeting from $620 to $250 within a month—a 33% drop this month alone and a year-to-date decline of over 55%.In the short term, the stock may be oversold, but it’s hard to rule out further downside if more news about criminal charges emerges.Did the Options Market Know First? How Credible Is the Criminal Allegation?Before The Wall Street Journal published its story, someone secretly short
UNH Lost 50% YTD! Can We Buy the Dip Right Now?
TOPBarcode: $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ 🚨📉🔥 Should You Buy the Dip? $UNH Is the Ultimate High-Conviction Test Case 🔥📉🚨 In a market drowning in volatility and regulatory headlines, the sharpest insights don’t come from talking heads, they come from the cold, hard data of insider moves. On May 15, 2025, Timothy P. Flynn, a director at UnitedHealth Group ($UNH), dropped nearly $500,000 of his own capital to scoop up 1,533 shares at $320.80 each via a trust. This wasn’t a PR stunt or a casual dip of the toe, it was a bold, deliberate bet, executed as the stock weathered a storm of fear and tested critical support levels. The question that slices through the noise is this: Why would an insider, with intimate knowledge of the company’s inner workings, pour personal wealth into the stock if a federal investigation posed a genuine threat? The answer lies in a timeless truth of markets: insiders know more than we do, and their actions scream conviction when the crowd is running scared. While pundits amplify the Department of Justice (DOJ) probe into $UNH’s Medicare billing practices, Flynn’s move stands as a defiant counter-signal. Whispers of broader boardroom buying swirl, though only Flynn’s purchase is confirmed, but the real intrigue is this: Who else stepped up when the stock kissed $250? That level, a long-term institutional demand zone between $250 to $260, didn’t just hold, it roared back with surging volume, hinting that big money saw value where others saw peril. Contrast that with Steve Weiss slashing his stake and branding $UNH “uninvestable” on air. Insiders bought. The crowd sold. That’s the setup we’re working with. Let’s break it down with the precision of a surgeon and the swagger of a trader who smells blood in the water 🩸🩸🩸 The Lay of the Land: Price, Value, and Sentiment • Price Action That Talks: $UNH has been on a wild ride. From a 1-year high of $630.73, it cratered to a low of $248.88, with the current price hovering at $285.005 as of May 16, 2025. That’s a gut-wrenching 50 percent plunge from $581.10 just a month ago on April 16. But here’s the kicker: when it retested that $250 to $260 zone, where institutions have historically piled in, it held firm. Volume spiked, and the price clawed back above $285. This isn’t random; it’s a neon sign flashing “support confirmed.” • Valuation That Screams Value: The numbers don’t lie. At a P/E ratio of 11.4x, $UNH is trading at a discount rarely seen for a healthcare titan of its stature, far below its historical average and peers like CVS or Cigna. EV/EBITDA and free cash flow yields are equally juicy, sitting at pandemic-era lows. The market’s panic has compressed multiples to levels that make value hunters salivate. Add in a 3.1 percent dividend yield, backed by 15 straight years of increases, and you’ve got a cash-flow machine that cushions the downside. • Insider vs. Short Sentiment: Flynn’s $500K buy at $320.80, above today’s price, signals he sees upside even from that entry. Meanwhile, short interest is climbing, with bears betting on more pain. But here’s the twist: rising shorts plus insider buying could ignite a squeeze if good news drops. That’s dynamite waiting for a match. This is textbook informational asymmetry. Those in the know are loading up while the market freaks out. Forget the noise. Inverse Weiss. Follow the filings. Trust the capital, not the commentary. The DOJ Probe: Real Risk or Overblown Fear? Let’s tackle the elephant in the room head-on. The DOJ has been sniffing around $UNH’s Medicare Advantage billing since last summer, with potential criminal allegations in play. The stock’s 50 percent haircut reflects that fear, amplified by vague headlines and the abrupt exit of CEO Andrew Witty, replaced by ex-CEO Stephen Hemsley, a steady hand who ran the show from 2006 to 2017. The company’s pushing back hard, calling reports “deeply irresponsible” and denying formal notification of a criminal probe. Uncertainty? Sure. But here’s the rub: Flynn’s buying amid this mess. That’s not the move of someone bracing for a knockout punch. Could fines or operational shifts hit? Maybe. But $UNH’s scale, $349.75 billion market cap, the U.S.’s largest health insurer, gives it a moat. Its diversified empire, insurance, pharmacy benefits, healthcare services, isn’t crumbling over one probe. Analysts like RBC Capital Markets and JPMorgan agree, pegging 2025 adjusted EPS at $20 and 2026 at $23, with RBC holding an Outperform rating and a $355 target. The market’s pricing in Armageddon. The insiders and analysts aren’t. Counterarguments: Why the Bears Might Growl To win this, we’ve got to face the skeptics and crush them with logic. • “One Insider Doesn’t Move the Needle”: Fair point. $500K isn’t shifting a $349B giant. But it’s not about size, it’s about signal. Flynn’s not tossing pocket change; he’s staking real skin in the game. Insiders don’t buy to lose money, especially not during a DOJ firestorm. • “The Probe Could Tank It”: If the DOJ lands a haymaker, think massive fines or forced restructuring, the stock could dip further. But at 11.4x P/E and $250 support, how much more downside is left? The market’s already slashed it in half. Fear’s baked in; value’s what’s left. • “Shorts Know Something”: Rising short interest could mean smart money’s betting on a fall. Fine. But high shorts plus insider buying is a recipe for a squeeze. If $UNH beats earnings, next report’s looming, or the probe fizzles, those bears get torched. The Verdict: Buy the Damn Dip This isn’t a coin toss, it’s a calculated play. Flynn’s conviction, the $250 to $260 support hold, and dirt-cheap valuation scream opportunity. The DOJ probe’s a wild card, but $UNH’s fundamentals, 3.1 percent yield, consistent dividend hikes, analyst backing, say it’s built to endure. At $285.005, you’re buying a blue-chip giant at a fire-sale price, with short-squeeze upside as a bonus. Risk? Sure. But fortune favours the bold, and the smart money’s already in. For the long-term, risk-tolerant trader, this is your shot. Stack the gains while the crowd’s still scared. Trade like a boss. Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
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